12
Articles www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8 1 Published Online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140- 6736(11)61710-8 See Online/Comment DOI:10.1016/S0140- 6736(11)61926-0 Primary Care Research Group, Institute of Health Services Research (C E Clark FRCP, Prof R S Taylor PhD, Prof J L Campbell MD), Vascular Medicine, Peninsula NIHR Clinical Research Facility and Institute of Biomedical and Clinical Science (Prof A C Shore PhD), and Peninsula Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care (O C Ukoumunne PhD), Peninsula College of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Exeter, Exeter, Devon, UK Correspondence to: Dr Christopher E Clark, Primary Care Research Group, Institute of Health Services Research, Peninsula College of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Exeter, Exeter, Devon EX1 2LU, UK [email protected] Association of a difference in systolic blood pressure between arms with vascular disease and mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis Christopher E Clark, Rod S Taylor, Angela C Shore, Obioha C Ukoumunne, John L Campbell Summary Background Differences in systolic blood pressure (SBP) of 10 mm Hg or more or 15 mm Hg or more between arms have been associated with peripheral vascular disease and attributed to subclavian stenosis. We investigated whether an association exists between this difference and central or peripheral vascular disease, and mortality. Methods We searched Medline, Embase, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Cochrane, and Medline In Process databases for studies published before July, 2011, showing differences in SBP between arms, with data for subclavian stenosis, peripheral vascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, cardiovascular disease, or survival. We used random effects meta-analysis to combine estimates of the association between differences in SBP between arms and each outcome. Findings We identified 28 eligible studies for review, 20 of which were included in our meta-analyses. In five invasive studies using angiography, mean difference in SBP between arms was 36·9 mm Hg (95% CI 35·4–38·4) for proven subclavian stenosis (>50% occlusion), and a difference of 10 mm Hg or more was strongly associated with subclavian stenosis (risk ratio [RR] 8·8, 95% CI 3·6–21·2). In non-invasive studies, pooled findings showed that a difference of 15 mm Hg or more was associated with peripheral vascular disease (nine cohorts; RR 2·5, 95% CI 1·6–3·8; sensitivity 15%, 9–23; specificity 96%, 94–98); pre-existing cerebrovascular disease (five cohorts; RR 1·6, 1·1–2·4; sensitivity 8%, 2–26; specificity 93%, 86–97); and increased cardiovascular mortality (four cohorts; hazard ratio [HR] 1·7, 95% CI 1·1–2·5) and all-cause mortality (HR 1·6, 1·1–2·3). A difference of 10 mm Hg or higher was associated with peripheral vascular disease (five studies; RR 2·4, 1·5–3·9; sensitivity 32%, 23–41; specificity 91%, 86–94). Interpretation A difference in SBP of 10 mm Hg or more, or of 15 mm Hg or more, between arms might help to identify patients who need further vascular assessment. A difference of 15 mm Hg or more could be a useful indicator of risk of vascular disease and death. Funding Royal College of General Practitioners, South West GP Trust, and Peninsula Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care. Introduction Peripheral vascular disease is a risk factor for future cardiovascular events and mortality, 1 and it is associated with reduced arterial pressures in legs. 2,3 Early detection of the disease is important because interventions to promote smoking cessation, lower blood pressure, or offer statin therapy can reduce mortality. 4–6 Most cases, however, are clinically silent, 7 and gold-standard non- invasive identification of this disease requires detection of a reduced ankle-brachial pressure index at rest or after a stress test. 8 This measurement requires time, experience, and training; 9 it is not routinely undertaken in primary- care assessment of hypertensive patients and is not proposed within the UK vascular check programme. 10,11 Data suggest that a difference in systolic blood pressure (SBP) of 10 mm Hg or more or of 15 mm Hg or more between arms might, like a reduced ankle-brachial pressure, suggest poor prognosis. 12–15 Researchers have linked a difference of more than 15 mm Hg with subclavian stenosis 14,16,17 and atherosclerotic plaque, 18,19 although no radiological investigation of atherosclerotic lesions in unselected populations has been undertaken. The latest guidance from the European Society of Hypertension and European Society of Cardiology advises that a difference between arms is due to peripheral vascular disease. 20 Although these guidelines are the first to identify the disorder as the pathological basis for differences, no evidence is cited to justify this statement and thus it seems to be based on consensus (Dominiczak, A, University of Glasgow, and Parati, G, Università degli Studi Milano- Bicocca, personal communications). The new National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) clinical guideline for hypertension 21 states that a difference of less than 10 mm Hg can be regarded as normal; however, a difference of more than 20 mm Hg between arms is unusual, occurring in less than 4% of people and usually associated with underlying vascular disease. Our previous meta-analysis of studies of opportunistic populations at low risk of bias 22 showed a pooled prevalence for a difference of 20 mm Hg or more of 4·2%, but we also reported a prevalence of 19·6% for a difference of 10 mm Hg or more. The NICE guideline 21

Articles Association of a diff erence in systolic blood ... · 6736(11)61926-0 Primary Care Research Group, Institute of Health Services Research (C E Clark FRCP, Prof R S Taylor

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Articles

www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8 1

Published OnlineJanuary 30, 2012DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8

See Online/CommentDOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61926-0

Primary Care Research Group, Institute of Health Services Research (C E Clark FRCP, Prof R S Taylor PhD, Prof J L Campbell MD), Vascular Medicine, Peninsula NIHR Clinical Research Facility and Institute of Biomedical and Clinical Science (Prof A C Shore PhD), and Peninsula Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care (O C Ukoumunne PhD), Peninsula College of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Exeter, Exeter, Devon, UK

Correspondence to:Dr Christopher E Clark, Primary Care Research Group, Institute of Health Services Research, Peninsula College of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Exeter, Exeter, Devon EX1 2LU, [email protected]

Association of a diff erence in systolic blood pressure between arms with vascular disease and mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysisChristopher E Clark, Rod S Taylor, Angela C Shore, Obioha C Ukoumunne, John L Campbell

SummaryBackground Diff erences in systolic blood pressure (SBP) of 10 mm Hg or more or 15 mm Hg or more between arms have been associated with peripheral vascular disease and attributed to subclavian stenosis. We investigated whether an association exists between this diff erence and central or peripheral vascular disease, and mortality.

Methods We searched Medline, Embase, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Cochrane, and Medline In Process databases for studies published before July, 2011, showing diff erences in SBP between arms, with data for subclavian stenosis, peripheral vascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, cardiovascular disease, or survival. We used random eff ects meta-analysis to combine estimates of the association between diff erences in SBP between arms and each outcome.

Findings We identifi ed 28 eligible studies for review, 20 of which were included in our meta-analyses. In fi ve invasive studies using angiography, mean diff erence in SBP between arms was 36·9 mm Hg (95% CI 35·4–38·4) for proven subclavian stenosis (>50% occlusion), and a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or more was strongly associated with subclavian stenosis (risk ratio [RR] 8·8, 95% CI 3·6–21·2). In non-invasive studies, pooled fi ndings showed that a diff erence of 15 mm Hg or more was associated with peripheral vascular disease (nine cohorts; RR 2·5, 95% CI 1·6–3·8; sensitivity 15%, 9–23; specifi city 96%, 94–98); pre-existing cerebrovascular disease (fi ve cohorts; RR 1·6, 1·1–2·4; sensitivity 8%, 2–26; specifi city 93%, 86–97); and increased cardio vascular mortality (four cohorts; hazard ratio [HR] 1·7, 95% CI 1·1–2·5) and all-cause mortality (HR 1·6, 1·1–2·3). A diff erence of 10 mm Hg or higher was associated with peripheral vascular disease (fi ve studies; RR 2·4, 1·5–3·9; sensitivity 32%, 23–41; specifi city 91%, 86–94).

Interpretation A diff erence in SBP of 10 mm Hg or more, or of 15 mm Hg or more, between arms might help to identify patients who need further vascular assessment. A diff erence of 15 mm Hg or more could be a useful indicator of risk of vascular disease and death.

Funding Royal College of General Practitioners, South West GP Trust, and Peninsula Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care.

IntroductionPeripheral vascular disease is a risk factor for future cardiovascular events and mortality,1 and it is associated with reduced arterial pressures in legs.2,3 Early detection of the disease is important because interventions to promote smoking cessation, lower blood pressure, or off er statin therapy can reduce mortality.4–6 Most cases, however, are clinically silent,7 and gold-standard non-invasive identifi cation of this disease requires detection of a reduced ankle-brachial pressure index at rest or after a stress test.8 This measurement requires time, experience, and training;9 it is not routinely undertaken in primary-care assessment of hypertensive patients and is not proposed within the UK vascular check programme.10,11

Data suggest that a diff erence in systolic blood pressure (SBP) of 10 mm Hg or more or of 15 mm Hg or more between arms might, like a reduced ankle-brachial pressure, suggest poor prognosis.12–15 Researchers have linked a diff erence of more than 15 mm Hg with subclavian stenosis14,16,17 and atherosclerotic plaque,18,19 although no radiological investigation of atherosclerotic lesions in

unselected populations has been undertaken. The latest guidance from the European Society of Hypertension and European Society of Cardiology advises that a diff erence between arms is due to peripheral vascular disease.20 Although these guidelines are the fi rst to identify the disorder as the pathological basis for diff erences, no evidence is cited to justify this statement and thus it seems to be based on consensus (Dominiczak, A, University of Glasgow, and Parati, G, Università degli Studi Milano-Bicocca, personal communications).

The new National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) clinical guideline for hypertension21 states that a diff erence of less than 10 mm Hg can be regarded as normal; however, a diff erence of more than 20 mm Hg between arms is unusual, occurring in less than 4% of people and usually associated with underlying vascular disease. Our previous meta-analysis of studies of opportunistic populations at low risk of bias22 showed a pooled prevalence for a diff erence of 20 mm Hg or more of 4·2%, but we also reported a prevalence of 19·6% for a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or more. The NICE guideline21

Articles

2 www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8

does not address diff erences of 10–20 mm Hg, perhaps because their clinical signifi cance is unknown.

Bilateral brachial blood-pressure measurements can be easily done and are recommended in assessment of new hypertensive patients.23 Detection of a diff erence in SBP between arms could be a pragmatic way to select patients at high risk of asymptomatic peripheral vascular disease in primary care. Although the need to check blood pressure in both arms is recognised in present guidelines,21,23 the advice is not followed by most UK general practitioners,24 which could be because of inertia in adoption of the workload25 or because a clearly presented synthesis of the evidence for this intervention is lacking.26

How diff erences are measured is important; a simul-taneous method obtaining repeated pairs of measure-ments with one or two automated sphygmomanometers avoids overestimation of prevalence.27 However, this method needs additional resources, and many studies have used a pragmatic sequential measurement protocol22 that can still detect the probable presence of diff erences between arms.28

We aimed to establish whether a diff erence in SBP between arms is associated with ipsilateral angio-graphically proven subclavian stenosis on the side of the arm with the lowest pressure, with peripheral or cardiovascular disease, and with an increased risk of cardiovascular-related or all-cause mortality.

MethodsSearch strategy and selection criteriaWe undertook a systematic review in accordance with recognised methods.29 We searched the Medline, Embase, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Cochrane Library, and Medline In Process databases for reports published between each database’s start date, and July 31, 2011. We used various search terms (webappendix). We searched one author’s (CEC) reference archive and reference lists of included primary studies for additional

studies. Included study authors were contacted for further information and unpublished data if necessary.

Reports were reviewed by one author (CEC) and decisions were checked by a second (ACS or RST). We included cohort or cross-sectional studies of diff erences in blood pressure between arms in any adult population (aged ≥18 years) with data for central vascular disease, peripheral vascular disease, or death (table). Case reports were excluded, and no language exclusion criteria were applied. Information about study design, population, method of blood-pressure measurement, and outcomes were extracted to a standardised data form.

Statistical analysisData were processed in accordance with the Cochrane handbook.30 We compared (as dichotomous outcomes) subclavian stenosis, peripheral vascular disease, cerebrovascular disease, and cardiovascular disease status (table) between groups defi ned by diff erence in SBP between arms with prespecifi ed thresholds of either 10 mm Hg or more or 15 mm Hg or more, and calculated risk ratios (RRs) and 95% CIs. Mortality outcomes were compared with hazard ratios (HRs). The weighted mean diff erence in SBP between groups was reported for individuals with angiographically proven subclavian stenosis. When estimates could be combined, RRs, HRs, and means were pooled with a conservative random eff ects model; otherwise individual study estimates are reported.

We undertook two a priori specifi ed subgroup analyses to assess whether associations varied by method of measurement of SBP diff erence (ie, sequential vs simultaneous) or by baseline cardiovascular risk of the cohort (ie, community vs hospital population). We estimated pooled sensitivity and specifi city values with the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic model when four or more studies were available.31,32 When fewer than four studies were available, we reported sensitivity and specifi city values from individual studies. We did analyses with RevMan (version 5.1) and Stata (version 11.1).

Role of the funding sourceThe sponsors of the study had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or writing of the report. All authors agreed to fi nal submission. The corresponding author had full access to the data.

ResultsWe identifi ed 691 unique reports by database searches and 159 from personal collections and citations. 28 studies met the inclusion criteria and 20 reported quantitative data for inclusion (fi gure 1; webappendix).

Studies typically included groups of individuals with raised cardiovascular risk compared with the general population—eg, patients undergoing cardiac surgery or angiography (nine studies),16,33–40 those with known peripheral vascular disease (four studies),41–44 hospital

See Online for webappendix

Invasive assessment Non-invasive assessment

Central vascular diseases

Coronary Angiography* Documented history of cardiac disease (myocardial infarction or angina)

Cerebrovascular (carotid or cerebral) Angiography* Documented history of cerebrovascular event or transient ischaemic attack

Aortic arch Angiography* NA

Peripheral vascular diseases

Subclavian stenosis Angiography* NA

Leg NA Measurement of reduced ankle brachial index (<0·9) or documented history of peripheral vascular disease in the leg

Mortality

All cause NA Prospective recording of events

Cardiovascular related NA Prospective recording of events

NA=no data available. *Percentage stenosis varied between individual reports.

Table: Vascular diseases and mortality outcomes assessed

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www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8 3

inpatients (two studies),45,46 or cardiology and vascular outpatients (four studies).13,14,47,48 Investigators of nine studies collected data in primary-care settings or from community-based populations.12,15,17,18,49–53 Two studies were of the same cohort; therefore, data for objective assessment of peripheral vascular disease were used in cross-sectional analyses51 and prospective data in survival analyses.12 Researchers of 12 studies (13 cohorts) used a method of repeated simultaneous bilateral blood-pressure measurements,14,16,37,39,45–47,49–53 and seven repeated sequential measurements.12–15,17,18,41 The rest used pairs of brachial blood-pressure measurements33,34,44,48 or methods that were unclear.35,36,38,40,42,43

From fi ve case series of patients with angiographically proven asymptomatic subclavian stenosis (defi ned as >50% occlusion for two studies,35,43 but not defi ned for the other three; 135 cases),39,40,44 we estimated mean blood pressure to be 36·9 mm Hg (95% CI 35·4–38·4) lower in the arm with stenosis than in the other. The diff erence was similar in two other studies that could not be pooled (41 mm Hg33 and 21 mm Hg36 ); one further study37 showed a mean intra-arterial pressure gradient of 28 mm Hg (95% CI 14·4–41·6) across stenoses of more than 75% in ten patients. A subgroup analysis showed no variation in the mean diff erence between studies with repeated simultaneous blood-pressure measurements and those with sequential single measurements (mean 33·5 mm Hg vs 37·1 mm Hg; mean diff erence 3·6 mm Hg, 95% CI –3·9 to 11·1, p>0·20).39

Investigators of three studies,34,38,42 all using a sequential method of measurement, recorded prevalence of subclavian stenosis at angiography and between-arm diff erences. We could pool two of these datasets (n=532), to give an RR of 8·8 (95% CI 3·6–21·2, p<0·0001) for subclavian stenosis of more than 50% occlusion at angiography and a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or more.34,42 English and colleagues34 analysed diff erences of 20 mm Hg or higher in 458 patients to give an RR of 7·4 (2·9–18·7, p<0·0001). Sensitivity was 65% (95% CI 35–86) and specifi city 85% (82–88) for identifi cation of subclavian stenosis with a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or more; sensitivity was 35% (14–62) and specifi city 94% (92–96) with a diff erence of 20 mm Hg or higher. In Calligaro and co-workers’ investigation,42 sensitivity was 75% (19–99) and specifi city 75% (58–88) for identifi cation of subclavian stenosis with a cutoff of 10 mm Hg or higher. Osborn and colleagues38 reported that all four patients with a diff erence of 15 mm Hg or higher had a subclavian stenosis of more than 50% occlusion compared with none of 55 with a diff erence less than 15 mm Hg.

Only one study reported coronary angiogram fi ndings and diff erences in SBP between arms.16 Disease of at least one coronary artery was identifi ed in 12 (63%) of 19 patients with diff erences of 15 mm Hg or more, compared with 153 (58%) of 264 patients with diff erences of less than 15 mm Hg (RR 1·1, 95% CI 0·8–1·6, p=0·64).

Seven non-invasive cohorts reported an association between a diff erence between arms and history of coronary artery disease. When we compared groups with and without a diff erence of 15 mm Hg or higher, the pooled RR across six studies16,18,41,47,50,51 showed no signifi cant association (fi gure 2). Subgroup analysis showed that method of measurement of blood-pressure diff erence (simultaneous vs non-simultaneous) had no eff ect on this association (fi gure 2). When we restricted analysis to the four community-recruited cohorts,18,47,50,51 the fi ndings did not change (data not shown). Investigators of four non-invasive studies estimated the association between a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or more and coronary artery disease;41,47,50,51 when pooled, we noted little evidence for an association (fi gure 2). Other studies that could not be included in a meta-analysis did not show an association between a diff erence and ischaemic heart disease (data not shown).15,45,46 One angiographic study33 (n=228) showed an association between a diff erence in SBP between arms of 15 mm Hg or more and aortic arch disease (RR 3·7, 95% CI 2·6–11·2, p<0·0001) and carotid stenosis (occlusion of more than 80%; RR 3·0, 95% CI 1·9–4·9, p<0·0001).

Five cohorts (four non-invasive studies)18,33,50,51 reported prevalence of previous cerebrovascular accident or transient ischaemic attack (from clinical records). Pooled analysis showed a signifi cant association between cerebrovascular disease and diff erences of 15 mm Hg or more (fi gure 3). Pooled sensitivity was 8% (95% CI 2–26) and specifi city 93% (86–97). However, we noted no association when analysis was restricted to non-invasive studies using a simultaneous measurement method (fi gure 3).50,51 Data for a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or more were available from two studies (both using simultaneous

Figure 1: Study selection

691 records identifiedby database search

159 records identifiedfrom personal archivesand citation lists

850 records screened740 records excluded

on the basis of titleand abstract

82 full-text articlesexcluded

6 reports not retrieved65 no data relevant to

review5 letters or editorials3 commentaries2 case reports1 systematic review

8 reports not suitablefor meta-analysis

110 full-text articlesassessed for eligibility

28 studies included inqualitative synthesis

20 studies included inquantitative synthesis(meta-analysis)

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4 www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8

measurement methods);50,51 we identifi ed no association between a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or more and cerebrovascular disease (fi gure 3).

We identifi ed no studies showing a diff erence in SBP between arms associated with angiographically proven

peripheral vascular disease in the leg. However, nine non-invasive studies showed that a diff erence of 15 mm Hg or more was linked with peripheral vascular disease in the leg, defi ned by direct measurement of ankle-brachial pressure index of less than 0·9 (fi ve

Disease not present Disease present0·2 0·5 1 2 5

Simultaneous measurement technique

Clark 200751

Clark 200952

Orme 199947

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·32; χ²=6·24, df=2 (p=0·04); I²=68%

Test for overall effect: Z=1·49 (p=0·14)

Non-simultaneous measurement technique

Frank 199141

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: not applicable

Test for overall effect: Z=0·34 (p=0·73)

Total events

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·28; χ²=10·56, df=3 (p=0·01); I²=72%

Test for overall effect: Z=1·43 (p=0·15)

Test for subgroup differences: χ²=0·95, df=1 (p=0·33), I²=0%

3/18

4/10

19/38

26/66

6/11

6/11

32/77

19/76

16/91

79/424

114/591

32/65

32/65

146/656

17·4%

21·6%

32·9%

72·0%

28·0%

28·0%

100·0%

0·67 (0·22–2·01)

2·27 (0·94–5·48)

2·68 (1·84–3·90)

1·80 (0·83–3·93)

1·11 (0·61–2·01)

1·11 (0·61–2·01)

1·58 (0·84–2·98)

Difference ≥10 mm Hg

Events/total Weight

Difference <10 mm Hg

Risk ratio (95% CI)A

Simultaneous measurement technique

Clark 200751

Clark 200952

Igarashi 200716

Orme 199947

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·00; χ²=1·11, df=3 (p=0·77); I²=0%

Test for overall effect: Z=1·00 (p=0·32)

Non-simultaneous measurement technique

Frank 199141

Shadman 2004 (clinical cohort)18

Shadman 2004 (population cohort)18

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·29; χ²=10·14, df=2 (p=0·006); I²=80%

Test for overall effect: Z=0·34 (p=0·73)

Total

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·09; χ²=11·26, df=6 (p=0·08); I²=47%

Test for overall effect: Z=0·65 (p=0·52)

Test for subgroup differences: χ²=0·02, df=1 (p=0·89); I²=0%

1/6

0/4

12/19

1/4

14/33

3/3

22/87

3/55

28/145

42/178

Difference ≥15 mm Hg

Events/total Weight

Difference <15 mm Hg

Risk ratio (95% CI)B

Disease not present Disease present0·2 0·5 1 2 5

21/88

20/99

133/264

97/361

271/812

35/73

345/1140

182/2830

562/4043

833/4855

3·7%

1·8%

28·4%

4·2%

38·1%

25·2%

28·1%

8·6%

61·9%

100·0%

0·70 (0·11–4·34)

0·49 (0·03–6·96)

1·25 (0·87–1·80)

0·93 (0·17–5·12)

1·19 (0·84–1·69)

1·82 (1·17–2·83)

0·84 (0·58–1·21)

0·85 (0·28–2·57)

1·13 (0·55–2·31)

1·13 (0·78–1·63)

Figure 2: Risk ratios for pre-existing coronary artery disease with and without diff erences in systolic blood pressure between arms of 10 mm Hg or more (A) and 15 mm Hg or more (B)

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www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8 5

studies)16–18,48,51 or by history of peripheral vascular disease (four studies; fi gure 4).33,41,50,53 We noted little evidence that pooled RRs diff ered between studies that measured ankle-brachial pressure index (RR 2·7, 95% CI 1·3–5·5),16–18,51 and those using history of peripheral vascular disease (RR 2·1, 95% CI 1·6–2·9; p=0·55).33,41,50,53 Similarly, we detected little evidence that pooled values diff ered between studies using simultaneous16,50,51,53 and sequential measurement methods17,18,33,41 (fi gure 4). Pooled RRs did not diff er signifi cantly for community-recruited (3·4, 95% CI 2·0–6·0) and hospital-recruited (2·0, 1·0–2·9) cohorts (p=0·11). Pooled sensitivity for a diff erence of 15 mm Hg or more for peripheral vascular disease was 15% (95% CI 9–23) and specifi city 96% (94–98).

Pooled data from fi ve non-invasive studies with diff erences in SBP of 10 mm Hg or more41,48,50,51,53 showed

a signifi cant association with peripheral vascular disease (fi gure 4). RRs did not diff er between community-based cohorts, which all used simultaneous measurements,50,51,53 and hospital-based cohorts, which used non-simul-taneous methods (fi gure 4).41,48 The RR was, however, higher for studies assessing peripheral vascular disease by ankle-brachial pressure index (RR 3·3, 95% CI 2·1–5·2)48,51 than for those in which the disorder was defi ned by history alone (1·7, 1·3–2.7; p=0·02).41,50,53 Pooled sensitivity of a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or higher for peripheral vascular disease was 32% (95% CI 23–41) and specifi city 91% (86–94).

One other study49 (which presented no numerical data that could be extracted) showed no signifi cant diff erence in prevalence of peripheral vascular disease between those with and those without a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or more. Another general-population study52 (n=1090; mean age

Figure 3: Relative risk ratios for cerebrovascular disease with and without diff erences in systolic blood pressure of 10 mm Hg or more (A) and 15 mm Hg or more (B) between arms

Clark 200751

Clark 200950

Total

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·00;χ²=0·42, df=1 (p=0·52); I²=0%

Test for overall effect: Z=0·16 (p=0·87)

1/18

1/10

2/28

6/76

5/90

11/166

49·8%

50·2%

100·0%

0·70 (0·09–5·49)

1·80 (0·23–13·92)

1·13 (0·26–4·80)

Weight

Difference ≥10 mm Hg

Events/total

Difference <10 mm Hg

Difference ≥10 mm Hg

Events/total

Difference <10 mm Hg

Risk ratio (95% CI)

A

B

Simultaneous measurement technique

Clark 200751

Clark 200950

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·00; χ²=0·08, df=1 (p=0·77); I²=0%

Test for overall effect: Z=0·90 (p=0·37)

Non-simultaneous measurement technique

Baribeau 200233

Shadman 2004 (clinical cohort)18

Shadman 2004 (population cohort)18

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·00; χ²=2·00, df=2 (p=0·37); I²=0%

Test for overall effect: Z=2·30 (p=0·02)

Total

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·00; χ²=2·18, df=4 (p=0·70); I²=0%

Test for overall effect: Z=2·45 (p=0·01)

Test for subgroup differences: χ²=0·09, df=1 (p= 0·76), I²=0%

1/6

0/4

1/10

14/53

13/150

1/52

28/255

29/265

6/88

6/96

12/184

21/175

74/1077

54/2833

149/4085

161/4296

4·0%

2·0%

6·1%

42·0%

47·9%

4·0%

93·9%

100·0%

2·44 (0·35–17·16)

1·49 (0·10–22·94)

2·07 (0·42–10·12)

2·20 (1·21–4·02)

1·26 (0·72–2·22)

1·01 (0·14–7·15)

1·60 (1·07–2·40)

1·63 (1·10–2·41)

Weight

0·1 0·2No cerebrovascular disease Cerebrovascular disease

0·5 1 2 5 10

0·1 0·2No cerebrovascular disease Cerebrovascular disease

0·5 1 2 5 10

Risk ratio (95% CI)

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6 www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8

Figure 4: Relative risk ratios for peripheral vascular disease with and without diff erences in systolic blood pressure of 10 mm Hg or more (A) and 15 mm Hg or more (B) between arms

Simultaneous measurement technique (all community cohorts)

Clark 200751

Clark 200950

Clark 201053

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·00; χ²=0·18, df=2 (p=0·92); I²=0%

Test for overall effect: Z=3·20 (p=0·001)

Non-simultaneous measurement technique (both hospital cohorts)

Frank 199141

Kawamura 200848

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·32; χ²=10·15, df=1 (p=0·001); I²=90%

Test for overall effect: Z=2·13 (p=0·03)

Total events

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·14; χ²=10·65, df=4 (p=0·03); I²=62%

Test for overall effect: Z=3·77 (p=0·0002)

Test for subgroup differences: χ²=0·00, df=1 (p=0·97), I²=0%

7/18

0/10

6/43

13/71

24/29

13/20

37/49

50/120

12/72

2/90

23/462

37/624

34/67

39/227

73/294

110/918

18·5%

2·3%

16·9%

37·7%

33·5%

28·9%

62·3%

100·0%

2·33 (1·07–5·07)

1·65 (0·08–32·29)

2·80 (1·21–6·51)

2·50 (1·43–4·38)

1·63 (1·22–2·18)

3·78 (2·46–5·82)

2·45 (1·07–5·58)

2·44 (1·53–3·87)

Weight Risk ratio (95% CI)A

B

Simultaneous measurement technique

Clark 200751

Clark 200950

Clark 201053

Igarashi 200716

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·00; χ²=2·11, df=3 (p=0·55); I²=0%

Test for overall effect: Z=3·86 (p=0·0001)

Non-simultaneous measurement technique

Aboyans 201017

Baribeau 200233

Frank 199141

Shadman 2004 (clinical cohort)18

Shadman 2004 (population cohort)18

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·30; χ²=84·77, df=4 (p<0·00001); I²=95%

Test for overall effect: Z=3·68 (p=0·0002)

Total

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·28; χ²=89·40, df=8 (p<0·00001); I²=91%

Test for overall effect: Z=4·23 (p<0·0001)

Test for subgroup differences: χ²=0·01, df=1 (p=0·90), I²=0%

2/6

0/4

0/12

10/27

12/49

35/307

36/53

16/16

69/87

21/55

177/518

189/567

17/84

2/96

29/493

43/359

91/1032

232/6436

46/175

42/80

670/1140

190/2830

1180/10 661

1271/11 693

7·0%

1·9%

2·1%

12·7%

23·5%

14·9%

15·1%

15·7%

16·2%

14·6%

76·5%

100·0%

1·65 (0·49–5·52)

3·88 (0·21–70·54)

0·64 (0·04–9·98)

3·09 (1·76–5·45)

2·66 (1·62–4·37)

3·16 (2·26–4·43)

2·58 (1·90–3·52)

1·85 (1·48–2·31)

1·35 (1·20–1·52)

5·69 (3·95–8·18)

2·55 (1·55–4·18)

2·48 (1·63–3·77)

Difference ≥10 mm Hg

Events/total Weight

Difference <10 mm Hg

Difference ≥10 mm Hg

Events/total

Difference <10 mm Hg

0·1 0·2No peripheral vascular disease Peripheral vascular disease

No peripheral vascular disease Peripheral vascular disease

0·5 1 2 5 10

0·05 0·2 1 5 20

Risk ratio (95% CI)

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www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8 7

62·4 years) not included in the meta-analysis (authors were contacted but we received no reply) showed that prevalence of a diff erence of more than 10 mm Hg was 9·1% (95% CI 7·4–10·8), and that ankle-brachial pressure index and a diff erence in SBP were weakly negatively cor related (r=–0·23, p<0·001), which accords with other reports.16,51

Three studies showed associations between reduced survival and a diff erence between arms of 10 mm Hg or more,13 15 mm Hg or more,14 or both.12 In subgroup analysis, we noted weak evidence for a stronger

association of all-cause mortality with a diff erence of 15 mm Hg or more in cohorts recruited with a non-simultaneous method of measurement than in studies in which simultaneous methods were used (fi gure 5). Two studies reported all-cause mortality for a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or higher with HRs of 1·3 (95% CI 1·0–1·6; 131 deaths in 421 patients; p=0·02)13 and 3·3 (1·5–7·1; 26 deaths in 247 patients; p=0·003),12 but the pooled HR was 1·9 (95% CI 0·8–4·7, p=0·17). Both studies used a non-simultaneous measurement method.

Figure 5: Pooled hazard ratios for all-cause (A) and cardiovascular (B) mortality from prospective cohort studies with between-arm diff erence in systolic blood pressure of 15 mm Hg or more

Difference <15 mm Hg Difference ≥15 mm Hg0·2 0·5 1 2 5

Simultaneous measurement technique

Aboyans 200714

Aboyans 200714

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·00; χ²=0·41, df=1 (p=0·52); I²=0%

Test for overall effect: Z=1·12 (p=0·26)

Non-simultaneous measurement technique

Clark 200712

Aboyans 200714

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·16; χ²=2·28, df=1 (p=0·13); I²=56%

Test for overall effect: Z=2·22 (p=0·03)

Total

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·08; χ²=6·54, df=3 (p=0·09); I²=54%

Test for overall effect: Z=2·30 (p=0·02)

Test for subgroup differences: χ²=2·50, df=1 (p=0·11), I²=60·0%

0·31

0·10

1·28

0·53

Log (hazard ratio)

ASE

0·26

0·20

0·45

0·21

Weight

25·3%

31·4%

56·7%

13·0%

30·3%

43·3%

100·0%

Hazard ratio (95% CI)

1·36 (0·82–2·27)

1·11 (0·75–1·64)

1·19 (0·88–1·63)

3·60 (1·49–8·69)

1·70 (1·13–2·56)

2·22 (1·10–4·50)

1·55 (1·07–2·25)

Difference <15 mm Hg Difference ≥15 mm Hg0·2 0·5 1 2 5

Simultaneous measurement technique

Aboyans 200714

Aboyans 200714

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·00; χ²=0·64, df=1 (p=0·42); I²=0%

Test for overall effect: Z=1·76 (p=0·08)

Non-simultaneous measurement technique

Aboyans 200714

Clark 200712

Subtotal

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·12; χ²=1·38, df=1 (p=0·24); I²=28%

Test for overall effect: Z=1·55 (p=0·12)

Total

Heterogeneity: τ²=0·00; χ²=2·18, df=3 (p=0·54); I²=0%

Test for overall effect: Z=2·46 (p=0·01)

Test for subgroup differences: χ²=0·20, df=1 (p=0·65), I²=0%

0·27

0·69

0·37

1·31

Log (hazard ratio)

BSE

0·35

0·39

0·42

0·68

Weight

36·2%

29·1%

65·3%

25·1%

9·6%

34·7%

100·0%

Hazard ratio (95% CI)

1·31 (0·66–2·60)

1·99 (0·93–4·28)

1·58 (0·95–2·63)

1·45 (0·64–3·30)

3·71 (0·98–14·05)

1·99 (0·83–4·76)

1·68 (1·11–2·53)

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8 www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8

For cardiovascular-related mortality, the pooled HR from four cohorts (two studies)12,14 showed a signifi cant association with a diff erence of 15 mm Hg or more, with little evidence of a diff erence according to method of measurement (fi gure 5). Only one12 reported an HR for cardiovascular mortality with a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or more, providing weak evidence of an association (HR 2·8, 95% CI 0·9–9·2, p=0·09; 11 deaths in 247 patients).

DiscussionA diff erence in SBP of 10 mm Hg or higher or 15 mm Hg or more between arms is associated with peripheral vascular disease with low sensitivity but high specifi city. This fi nding is consistent for diff erent methods of measurement or diagnosis for both community-recruited and hospital-recruited cohorts. A diff erence of 15 mm Hg or more is also associated with the presence of cerebrovascular disease. Data from prospective studies showed that a diff erence of 15 mm Hg or more is associated with increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Although our search was not restricted by language, no translation services were available. Data were extracted from non-English studies but some data could have been missed. We had insuffi cient studies for funnel-plot assessment of any outcome, and therefore we are unable to establish the eff ect of small study or publication bias on our fi ndings.54 Most researchers recruited patients with heightened cardiovascular risk compared with the general population—eg, those undergoing angiography for clinical reasons; only nine studies12,15,17,18,49–53 used unselected community or primary-care cohorts. These cohorts consisted of people with either diabetes or hypertension, and results should be interpreted in this context. Subgroup analyses, however, indicated little diff erence in association with diff erence in SBP between these cohorts.

One meta-analysis showed that prevalence of a diff erence in SBP of 10 mm Hg or more between arms is roughly doubled when diagnosis is based on one pair of measurements, uses a sequential approach, or uses manual rather than automated measurements.27 Only 12 of 28 studies in this review used the gold-standard method of repeated simultaneous measure ments,14,16,37,39,45–47,49–53 so accuracy of patient classifi cation in the other studies cannot be assumed. Subgroup analyses, however, indicated little diff erence between the two methods of assessment. Diastolic pressures can also diff er,22 but only three studies meeting the inclusion criteria reported data for diastolic blood pressure and so no analyses were done.41,47,51

Reduced ankle-brachial pressure indices are strongly correlated with angiographic evidence of large-vessel disease in the leg.2,55 Prevalence of large-vessel arterial disease in white Americans (mean age 66 years) is 11·7%,7 and is grossly underestimated by assessment of claudication symp toms.56,57 Several studies included in our report have shown either independent and signifi cant associations of a diff erence with reduced ankle-brachial pressure, or negative correlations of

magnitude of between-arm diff erence with ankle-brachial pressure. Our fi ndings strengthen the hypothesis that a diff erence is due to peripheral vascular disease, and thus might represent a sign of clinical importance;58 the association of a diff erence of 15 mm Hg or more with angiographic evidence of carotid or aortic arch disease further supports this notion.33

Consistency of RRs for diff erent methods of measurement of diff erences in SBP between arms is surprising in view of the eff ect of measurement on prevalence.22,27 One sequential measurement can exclude patients without a true between-arm diff erence,28 but the trend towards an increased RR in survival studies not using a simultaneous measurement method suggests that bias is possible if a gold-standard assessment technique is not used. Future epidemiological studies of between-arm diff erence should use a repeated simultaneous measurement method.27

Although asymptomatic peripheral vascular disease is common in patients with coronary artery disease,59 we did not identify an association of coronary artery disease with a diff erence in SBP. However, we did record an association between increased cardiovascular and all-cause mortality, suggesting that a diff erence does indicate a raised cardiovascular risk in a similar way to reduced ankle-brachial pressure index.1

Early identifi cation of peripheral vascular disease allows interventions to be given and might improve outcomes. Screening in primary care is feasible but not widespread.60 Overall prevalence of the disorder in our analyses was 12–15%. These fi gures are similar to published estimates of community prevalence, implying that these fi ndings could be generalised.7,61,62 The high specifi cities reported here suggest that detection of a diff erence might be useful in assessments designed to identify the disorder in patients at highest risk. Prevalences for a diff erence in community-based cohorts in our review suggest that less than 5% of patients would need such assessment if a cutoff of 15 mm Hg was adopted. The increased mortality with this cutoff would support such an intervention.

Three prospective studies reported increased mortality with a diff erence in SBP. The cohorts in these studies were recruited from vascular and renal clinics13,14 or were primary-care patients with hypertension.12 Only one cohort could be regarded as representative of a wider population.14 Therefore this review suggests that a diff erence is an independent predictor of cardiovascular events and death in populations at high baseline cardiovascular risk, but this cannot be generalised to patients without cardiovascular risk factors.

Subclavian steal syndrome due to subclavian stenosis is usually associated with a diff erence in SBP of 10 mm Hg or higher between arms.63 Detection is important when patients are assessed for coronary artery bypass graft to avoid angina due to coronary-subclavian steal phenomenon when the internal mammary artery is used. Minor

Articles

www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8 9

Practitioners (grant No SFB-2009-06) and the South West GP Trust. CEC

and OCU are supported by The Peninsula Collaboration for Leadership in

Applied Health Research and Care, a collaboration between the Peninsula

College of Medicine and Dentistry, University of Exeter, University of

Plymouth, and National Health Service South West, funded by the

National Institute for Health Research. The University of Exeter is the

research sponsor for this study. The views and opinions expressed in this

report are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the National

Health Service, the National Institute for Health Research, or the

Department of Health.

References1 Ankle Brachial Index Collaboration, Fowkes FG, Murray GD, et al.

Ankle brachial index combined with Framingham Risk Score to predict cardiovascular events and mortality: a meta-analysis. JAMA 2008; 300: 197–208.

2 Zheng ZJ, Sharrett AR, Chambless LE, et al. Associations of ankle-brachial index with clinical coronary heart disease, stroke and preclinical carotid and popliteal atherosclerosis: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. Atherosclerosis 1997; 131: 115–25.

3 Cui R, Kitamura A, Yamagishi K, et al. Ankle-arm blood pressure index as a correlate of preclinical carotid atherosclerosis in elderly Japanese men. Atherosclerosis 2006; 184: 420–24.

4 Donnelly R, Yeung JMC. Management of intermittent claudication: the importance of secondary prevention. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2002; 23: 100–07.

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6 Aung PP, Maxwell H, Jepson RG, Price J, Leng GC. Lipid-lowering for peripheral arterial disease of the lower limb. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2007; 4: CD000123.

7 Criqui MH, Fronek A, Barrett-Connor E, Klauber MR, Gabriel S, Goodman D. The prevalence of peripheral arterial disease in a defi ned population. Circulation 1985; 71: 510–15.

8 Donnelly R, Hinwood D, London NJM. ABC of arterial and venous disease: non-invasive methods of arterial and venous assessment. BMJ 2000; 320: 698–701.

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10 Department of Health. Putting prevention fi rst—vascular checks: risk assessment and management. London: Department of Health, 2008.

11 University of Leicester. The handbook for vascular risk assessment, risk reduction and risk management. London: UK National Screening Committee, 2008.

12 Clark CE, Powell RJ, Campbell JL. The interarm blood pressure diff erence as predictor of cardiovascular events in patients with hypertension in primary care: cohort study. J Hum Hypertens 2007; 21: 633–36.

13 Agarwal R, Bunaye Z, Bekele DM. Prognostic signifi cance of between-arm blood pressure diff erences. Hypertension 2008; 51: 657–62.

14 Aboyans V, Criqui MH, McDermott MM, et al. The vital prognosis of subclavian stenosis. J Am Coll Cardiol 2007; 49: 1540–45.

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subclavian stenoses are common,64,65 but our data suggest that mean diff erence exceeds 35 mm Hg for angiographically proven subclavian stenosis of more than 50%. Smaller diff erences of more than 10 mm Hg or 20 mm Hg have high specifi city for angiograph-ically proven subclavian stenosis, and diff erences of 10–16 mm Hg have been proposed as cutoff values to select patients for subclavian angiography to exclude stenosis preoperatively.34,38,66,67 The sensitivities reported do not mean that a diff erence in SBP of less than 10 mm Hg, or of less than 15 mm Hg (ie, a negative result), can reliably rule out subclavian stenosis. These data are derived from patients referred for coronary angiography; no investigators have yet examined the pathological basis of a diff erence in unselected populations, and so the defi nition of subclavian stenosis should not be used in studies according to measurement of the diff erence alone.14,17,18

What constitutes a clinically important diff erence in SBP between arms is unclear. However, we have associated a diff erence with an increased likelihood of peripheral vascular disease and with prospective diff erences in survival. Further research is needed to establish the upper limit of normal between-arm diff erences, particularly for diastolic measurements. Further survival studies in populations recruited from community settings are needed to establish whether these fi ndings can be generalised. Guidelines continue to describe a diff erence of 10 mm Hg or more as rare,68 yet our own studies have suggested that prevalence ranges from 10% in diabetic patients to 20% in general and hypertensive populations.12,22,50

In conclusion, our fi ndings suggest that a diff erence in SBP of 10 mm Hg or more or 15 mm Hg or more between arms could identify patients at high risk of asymptomatic peripheral vascular disease and mortality who might benefi t from further assessment. Findings from our study should be incorporated into future guidelines for hypertension and blood-pressure measure ment to justify bilateral brachial measurement in the assessment of individuals, and to promote targeted screening for peripheral vascular disease and aggressive risk factor management in subjects with a demonstrable systolic between-arm diff erence.

ContributorsCEC conceived the study and all authors were involved in study design.

CEC developed the search strategy and acts as guarantor for the study.

CEC, ACS, and RST selected studies. CEC, OCU, and RST extracted data

and did analyses. CEC wrote the fi rst draft and all co-authors contributed

to various drafts. All authors agreed on the fi nal manuscript, and CEC

takes fi nal responsibility.

Confl icts of interestWe declare that we have no confl icts of interest.

AcknowledgmentsWe thank Joy Choules and the staff of Exeter Medical Library for their

assistance in obtaining the full text papers for this Article; Victor Aboyans

(Centre hospitalier universitaire Limoges) for responding to author

enquiries; and Chris Hyde and Willie Hamilton (Peninsual College of

Medicine and Dentistry) for constructive comments. This research was

funded by the Scientifi c Foundation Board of the Royal College of General

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10 www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8

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Comment

www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61926-0 1

Do diff erences in blood pressure between arms matter?In The Lancet, Christopher Clark and colleagues1 present data from a systematic review and meta-analysis assessing the available evidence linking diff erences in blood pressure between arms with both central and peripheral vascular disease. They establish that systolic diff erences of at least 15 mm Hg are associated with an increased risk of peripheral vascular disease (relative risk 2·5, 95% CI 1·6–3·8) and report weaker but signifi cant associations with cerebrovascular disease and mortality. When subclavian stenoses are angiographically proven, Clark and co-workers estimate that the mean diff erence in blood pressure between arms is 36·9 mm Hg (95% CI 35·4–38·4), and rates of subclavian stenosis are high when diff erences are present.

National and international hypertension guidelines have recommended measurement of blood pressure in both arms for some years, but the justifi cation has been poor and subsequent adoption in primary care negligible.2–4 The main reason for these recom-mendations has been reduction of measurement error, although the European Society of Hypertension and European Society of Cardiology guidelines5 refer to diff erences between arms as a sign of peripheral vascular disease. Key issues are how to measure such diff erences, which measurement of blood pressure to use, and what to do when a diff erence is detected.

Method of measurement is important because the prevalence of a diff erence more than doubles with sequential measurement (one arm then the other) compared with simultaneous measurement of both arms with two sphygmomanometers or specialised machines.6 Preliminary data suggest that the signifi cant diff erences recorded with sequential measurement are due to the so-called white-coat eff ect.7 Few family doctors will have two sphygmomanometers in their clinic rooms, but a spare model of the accurate digital monitors now in common use could easily be available.8 The alternative, historically, has been for measurement to depend on the side of the desk a patient sits and hence which arm is nearer to the physician. Clark and co-workers1 suggest that variation caused by method of measurement is no longer acceptable.

In view of the association with vascular disease, guideline recommendations to use the highest blood pressure seem appropriate.2,3 No studies of peripheral

vascular disease included a reference standard that used defi nitive diagnosis rather than reduced ankle-brachial pressure index. Therefore, although an asymptomatic diff erence might prompt checking of this index, no fi ndings suggest what to do afterwards. Clark and colleagues’ data1 for increased cardiovascular mortality in the presence of a diff erence suggest that treatment with lipid-lowering and antiplatelet drugs could be indicated after detection of a diff erence, but such an approach has not been tested in randomised trials.

However, not all studies in Clark and colleagues’ review1 used the simultaneous measurement method and most included patients known or thought to be at increased cardiovascular risk. Therefore, how useful bilateral measurements of blood pressure are in people with essential hypertension and no additional risk factors is unclear. Many studies in the review were cross-sectional, so whether diff erences in systolic blood pressure are predictive of future disease or a marker of existing disease is impossible to establish. Although the three cohort studies included in the review did show that diff erences in systolic blood pressure were associated with increased cardiovascular mortality, the eff ect size (hazard ratio 1·7, 95% CI 1·1–2·5) is of a magnitude that does not exclude the possibility of residual confounding.1

This report has several implications. First, the high specifi city (96%) of the association between a diff erence in systolic blood pressure between arms of more than

Published OnlineJanuary 30, 2012DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61926-0

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Comment

2 www.thelancet.com Published online January 30, 2012 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61926-0

15 mm Hg and peripheral vascular disease justifi es use of this measure as a sign of disease. Second, the low sensitivity (15%) shows that measurement of diff erences is of little value as a screening test for peripheral vascular disease, and ankle-brachial pressure indices will still be necessary for diagnosis. Third, the high prevalence of diff erences in some of the studies (eg, 7% of participants had an inter-arm diff erence of 15 mm Hg or higher in one community-dwelling cohort)9 suggests that many people with hypertension will be missed when blood pressure is measured in only one arm. Further research is needed to clarify whether substantial diff erences between arms should prompt aggressive management of cardiovascular risk factors. Overall, Clark and colleagues’ systematic review and meta-analysis1 supports existing guidelines stating that blood pressure should be measured in both arms. Ascertainment of diff erences should become part of routine care, as opposed to a guideline recommendation that is mostly ignored.

*Richard J McManus, Jonathan MantDepartment of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 2ET, UK (RJM); and Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK (JM)[email protected]

We declare that we have no confl icts of interest.

1 Clark CE, Taylor RS, Shore AC, Ukoumunne OC, Campbell JL. Association of a diff erence in systolic blood pressure between arms with vascular disease and mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet 2012; published online Jan 30. DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61710-8.

2 Krause T, Lovibond K, Caulfi eld M, McCormack T, Williams B. Management of hypertension: summary of NICE guidance. BMJ 2011; published online Aug 25. DOI:10.1136/bmj.d4891.

3 Chobanian AV, Bakris GL, Black HR, et al. The seventh report of the joint national committee on prevention, detection, evaluation, and treatment of high blood pressure: the JNC 7 report. JAMA 2003; 289: 2560–72.

4 Heneghan C, Perera R, Mant D, Glasziou P. Hypertension guideline recommendations in general practice: awareness, agreement, adoption, and adherence. Br J Gen Pract 2007; 57: 948–52.

5 Mancia G, De Backer G, Dominiczak A, et al. 2007 ESH-ESC guidelines for the management of arterial hypertension: the task force for the management of arterial hypertension of the European Society of Hypertension (ESH) and of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). Blood Press 2007; 16: 135–232.

6 Verberk WJ, Kessels AG, Thien T. Blood pressure measurement method and inter-arm diff erences: a meta-analysis. Am J Hypertens 2011; 24: 1201–08.

7 Martin U, Holder R, McManus RJ. Right and left arm blood pressure variability: a manifestation of “white coat” eff ect? British Hypertension Society Annual Scientifi c meeting; Cambridge, UK; Sept 14–16, 2009: S15.

8 A’Court C, Stevens R, Sanders S, Ward A, McManus R, Heneghan C. Type and accuracy of sphygmomanometers in primary care: a cross-sectional observational study. Br J Gen Pract 2011; 61: e598–e603.

9 Aboyans V, Criqui MH, McDermott MM, et al. The vital prognosis of subclavian stenosis. J Am Coll Cardiol 2007; 49: 1540–45.