22
June 4, 2018 Update 1 Appendix D REC Pricing Model Description REC Pricing Approach The objective of the REC Pricing Model is to calculate the revenue and incentive levels required for a typical distributed solar or community solar project to meet its threshold investment requirements and the associated price in $/REC (“the REC price”). 1 The calculated REC price should be representative of a price that would be sufficient to allow a developer of a typical system to meet a project’s expenses and debt service obligations, as well as the equity investors’ minimum required after‐tax rate of return. The calculated REC price is net of (i) revenues received through net metering, (ii) any assumed incentives such as federal tax credits, and (iii) the Distributed Generation Rebate 2 value (“Smart Inverter Rebate”), if applicable. Under Section 16‐107.5(j) of the Public Utilities Act (“PUA”), net metering is a credit for energy, 3 transmission, and distribution charges for the net generation produced by distributed generation projects until net metering accounts for 5% of the total peak demand of the electricity provider’s eligible customers. For systems that receive a Smart Inverter Rebate, the net metering credit does not include distribution charge credits, pursuant to Section 16‐107.6(c)(3) of the PUA. For community solar, net metering is for energy supply charges only. (Once the 5% level is reached, net metering for all new installations, including distributed generation, will be for energy only.) As further described in the section on the REC price calculation, the REC Pricing Model is set up using the following seven capacity‐based bins for block pricing: up to 10 kW AC greater than 10 to 25 kW AC greater than 25 to 100 kW AC greater than 100 to 200 kW AC greater than 200 to 500 kW AC greater than 500 to 2,000 kW AC For co‐located community solar systems only, greater than 2,000 kW AC (in aggregate size) There is one price for all systems within a bin. The bins were chosen based on the available pricing data points as described in the section on installation cost data and stakeholder input 1 The model uses inputs from currently available information, including current utility rates and tariffs. As discussed in Section 6.4 of the Plan, inputs were updated after the Plan was approved by the Commission. 2 See, generally, 220 ILCS 5/16‐107.6. 3 For residential customers, the utility’s energy supply charge generally includes capacity charges billed by the relevant Regional Transmission Organization (“RTO”).

Appendix D REC Pricing Model Description...2018/06/04  · Appendix D June 4, 2018 Update 3 incentives (e.g., feed‐in tariffs (“FITs”)), and evaluate the impact of various state

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    2

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • June4,2018Update

    1

    AppendixD‐RECPricingModelDescription

    RECPricingApproach

    The objective of the REC Pricing Model is to calculate the revenue and incentive levelsrequired for a typical distributed solar or community solarproject tomeet its thresholdinvestment requirements and the associated price in $/REC (“the REC price”).1 ThecalculatedRECpriceshouldberepresentativeofapricethatwouldbesufficienttoallowadeveloperofatypicalsystemtomeetaproject’sexpensesanddebtserviceobligations,aswellastheequityinvestors’minimumrequiredafter‐taxrateofreturn.The calculated REC price is net of (i) revenues received through net metering, (ii) anyassumedincentivessuchasfederaltaxcredits,and(iii)theDistributedGenerationRebate2value(“SmartInverterRebate”),ifapplicable.Under Section16‐107.5(j) of thePublicUtilitiesAct (“PUA”), netmetering is a credit forenergy,3 transmission, and distribution charges for the net generation produced bydistributedgenerationprojectsuntilnetmeteringaccountsfor5%ofthetotalpeakdemandof theelectricityprovider’seligible customers.For systems that receiveaSmart InverterRebate, thenetmetering credit doesnot includedistribution charge credits, pursuant toSection16‐107.6(c)(3)ofthePUA.Forcommunitysolar,netmeteringisforenergysupplychargesonly.(Oncethe5%levelisreached,netmeteringforallnewinstallations,includingdistributedgeneration,willbeforenergyonly.)AsfurtherdescribedinthesectionontheRECpricecalculation,theRECPricingModelissetupusingthefollowingsevencapacity‐basedbinsforblockpricing:

    upto10kWAC greaterthan10to25kWAC greaterthan25to100kWAC greaterthan100to200kWAC greaterthan200to500kWAC greaterthan500to2,000kWAC Forco‐locatedcommunitysolarsystemsonly,greaterthan2,000kWAC(inaggregate

    size)Thereisonepriceforallsystemswithinabin.Thebinswerechosenbasedontheavailablepricingdatapointsasdescribedinthesectiononinstallationcostdataandstakeholderinput 1Themodelusesinputsfromcurrentlyavailableinformation,includingcurrentutilityratesandtariffs.AsdiscussedinSection6.4ofthePlan,inputswereupdatedafterthePlanwasapprovedbytheCommission.2See,generally,220ILCS5/16‐107.6.3 For residential customers, the utility’s energy supply charge generally includes capacity charges billed by the relevant RegionalTransmissionOrganization(“RTO”).

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    2

    received on the draft Long TermRenewable Resources Procurement Plan (“LTRRPP” or“Plan”).4Abaseprice iscalculated for themosteconomicblocksize(greater than500to2,000kW),andthepricesfortheotherbinsaredeterminedthroughtheuseofadjustments,asfurtherdescribedinthesectionontheRECpricingcalculation. Theadjustmentsweredeterminedusingamidpointapproachandusingthesamemodelthatwasrunforthebaseprice,asfurtherdescribedinthesectionondistributedgenerationRECmodeladjustments.CommunitySolarprojectsfaceadditionalcostsandlessrevenuethandistributedgenerationsystems.Ontherevenueside,theyareeligibleonlyforenergy‐onlynetmetering,5whileonthecostside,theremaybethecostofacquiring,maintaining,andmanagingsubscribers.Theinitialblockpriceforcommunitysolarreflectsabaselineforthoseadditionalcostsandlowerrevenue.ToensurethatthebenefitsofsolarenergyarewidelysharedbyIllinoisresidents,the Adjustable Block Program (“ABP”) and Illinois Solar for All Program will offer anadditional incentive for community solar projectswith a higher level of participation bysmall subscribers. There will, therefore, be an adder to incentivize small subscriberparticipation.Projectsmeetingasmallsubscriberparticipationrequirementof25%to50%,over50%to75%,orgreaterthan75%willreceivetheadditionaladder.ThisAppendixDreflectsthesuggestedchangesthatweremadeintheLTRRPP’sdocketedproceeding, ICC Docket No. 17‐0838, and adopted by the Final Order and AmendatoryOrder.6

    ModelSelectionandDescription

    TheRECPricingModelusesamodifiedversionofNationalRenewableEnergyLaboratory’s(“NREL”)publiclyavailableCostofRenewableEnergySpreadsheetTool(“CREST”).7CRESTiswidelyknownandrespectedintherenewableenergyindustry.ForthepurposeofsettingRECpricesfortheABP,modifications(asdescribedinthefollowingsections)tothemodelinputsandformatoftheoutputsweremadesoastorefinetheresultsforuseindeterminingRECpricesfortheblocks.8TheCRESTmodelwasdevelopedbyNRELtoaidpolicymakers,regulatorsandrenewableenergy developers with estimating renewable energy costs for various public policypurposes, such as establishing cost‐based or performance‐based incentives. The modelcalculatesthetotalincentivenecessaryforarenewableprojecttocoveritscostsandachieveanecessaryeconomicreturntotheprojectdeveloperand/orinvestors.AsdescribedintheUserManualpublishedwiththeCRESTmodel,CRESTatitscoreisaneconomic cash flow model designed to assess project economics, design cost‐based 4TheAgencyissuedthedraftLTRRPPonSeptember29,2017.ThedeadlineforthesubmissionofstakeholdercommentswasNovember13,2017.TheAgencyfiledthePlanwiththeIllinoisCommerceCommissiononDecember4,2017inDocketNo.17‐0838. 5220ILCS5/16‐107.5(l)(2).6ThesechangesaredetailedintheComplianceFilingaccompanyingthisAppendixD.TheIllinoisCommerceCommissionissueditsFinalOrderapprovingthePlanonApril3,2018,anditsAmendatoryOrderonMay2,2018.7TheCRESTmodelisavailableonNREL’swebsite:https://financere.nrel.gov/finance/content/crest‐cost‐energy‐models.8Asdescribedintheprevioussection,theCRESTmodeloutputisnotthefinalRECprice,asrevenuesreceivedfromnetmeteringmustbenettedoutfromthepresent‐valueCostofEnergy(“COE”).

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    3

    incentives(e.g.,feed‐intariffs(“FITs”)),andevaluatetheimpactofvariousstateandfederalsupportstructures.9CRESTisasuiteoffouranalytictools,oneeachforsolar(photovoltaicandsolarthermal),wind,geothermal,andanaerobicdigestiontechnologies.TheCRESTUserManualprovidesasummaryoftheprimaryandsecondarymodeloutputs:10

    Theprimaryoutputisthemodeledproject’sCOE.TheCOEistheyear‐onepriceincentsperkilowatthour(¢/kWh)necessaryfortheprojecttomeetallexpensesand debt service obligations (if applicable), aswell as the equity investors’minimumrequiredafter‐taxrateofreturn.Atthemodeluser’sdiscretion,theCOEcanbecalculatedtoassumeanescalationrate(appliedtoalloraportionoftheinitialrate)overtime.IncalculatingtheCOE,theCRESTmodelincludestheoptiontospecifybothapercentageofthetariffsubjecttoescalationandtheassociatedtariffescalationrate.Theresultscanbeused to informarangeofcost‐basedincentives,includingFITrates.

    Thesecondaryoutputisthemodeledproject’slevelizedcostofenergy(LCOE)11.TheLCOE isasingle, fixed,non‐escalatingvalueover the incentive’spaymentduration. The escalating stream of payments generated by the COE and theconstantstreamofpaymentsgeneratedbytheLCOEhavethesameNetPresentValue (NPV) when discounted at the same required rate of equity return.PolicymakerscanrefertotheLCOEoutputifpolicyobjectivesfavorasingle,fixedpriceperkWh for the lifeof thecost‐based tariff. If the tariff rateescalationfactorissettozero,thenthecalculatedCOEandLCOEvalueswillbeequal.

    CRESTprovidestheinterfacefortheinputassumptionsnecessaryforthecalculationofaREC price for a solar photovoltaic project including, but not limited to (i) capital costs(moduleandinvertercosts,balanceofplantcosts,interconnectioncosts,developmentcostsand fees, reserves and financing costs), (ii) operations andmaintenance costs, (iii) cost‐basedtariffratestructure,and(iv)federalandstateincentives/rebates/taxcredits,etc.TheRECPricingModelusesinputassumptionsmodifiedfromthedefaultCRESTvaluesthatare based on more current and granular installation cost data, input from stakeholderresponses to both the Request for Comments 12 and the draft LTRRPP, and conclusionsdrawnfromintervenorcommentsinICCDocketNo.17‐0838.

    InstallationCostData

    RegardingtheinputstotheCRESTmodel,inparticularinstallationcostdata,anumberofstakeholders suggested that the IPA issue a survey to stakeholders involved in the 9Gifford,JasonS.&Grace,RobertC.“CRESTCostofRenewableEnergySpreadsheetTool:AModelforDevelopingCost‐BasedIncentivesintheUnitedStates.”UserManualVersion4.July2013.https://financere.nrel.gov/finance/files/crest_user_manual_v‐4.pdf.10Ibid,pages3‐4. 11The“levelizedcost‐of‐energy”ispresentedeitherasaconstantpriceineachyear(nominallevelized)orasaconstantpriceadjustedforinflation(reallevelized).RealLCOEisoftenusedforcomparativestudies,whereasthenominalLCOEistypicallyusedinsetting,describing,orestablishingactualprices.TheCRESTmodelcalculatesanominalLCOE.12TheRequestforCommentswassentoutfollowingtheAgency’sMay17,2017andMay18,2017workshopsheldinChicagotodiscussthe Renewable Portfolio Standard, Adjustable Block Program, Community Renewable Generation Program, and Illinois Solar for AllProgram.TheRequestforCommentswassentouttostakeholdersonJune6,2017.StakeholderresponseswerereceivedbyJune27,2017.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    4

    developmentofsolarprojectstodeterminetheinputstothemodel.Therewasasuggestionto use the survey issued by the Massachusetts Department of Energy Resources (“MADOER”) as part of the SolarMassachusetts Renewable Target (“SMART”) program. TheAgency reviewed theMADOERTask1Report13whichhighlighteddataquality concernsarisingfromthestakeholdersurvey.Inparticular,thereportnotedthatself‐reportedsystemcostsfortwoofthelargestresidentialinstallersinthedatasetweresignificantlyabovethecosts reported by other firms.14 The report deemed the self‐reported data from theseinstallers as questionable and removed them from the dataset. Because of concernsregardingdataquality,basedontheMassachusettsexperience,theAgencydecidedagainstissuingasimilarsurvey.Asaresult,theIPAmadeadecisiontousepubliclyavailabledatafortheRECPricingModel.Todevelop theRECPricingModel, severaldata sources forpopulating theCRESTModelwerereviewedandanalyzed—includingbutnotlimitedto(i)NRELQ12017BenchmarkingReport,15 (ii) LBNL Tracking the Sun Report – September 2017,16 (iii) NREL Open PVReport,17 and (iv) SEIA/GTMResearch (US SolarMarket Insight –Q22017).18 While allreviewedreportsprovidenationalaveragedata,duetotheimmaturityoftheIllinoissolarmarket,thereportsdonotprovidedetailedIllinois‐specificinstallationcostdata.TheRECPricingModelusestheNRELQ12017BenchmarkingReport,whichprovidesthemostdetailintermsofcostcategoriesnecessaryforpopulatingtheCRESTModel.Thereportpublishesthefollowinginstallationcostcategories:

    Module Inverter BalanceofSystem(“BOS”) InstallationLabor&Equipment Permitting,InspectionandInterconnection EPC19Overhead DeveloperOverhead

    TheNRELQ12017BenchmarkingReportmodelsandprovidesnationalcostaveragesforaResidentialSolarProject,aCommercialSolarProject,andaUtility‐ScaleProject.TheaverageResidential Systemmodeled in theNREL report is 5.7 kWDC. The averageCommercialSystemmodeledis200kWDC.Thereport,however,alsomodelsandprovidesthecostsfor100kWDC,500kWDC,and1,000kWDCsystems.

    13 Task 1 Report: Evaluation of Current Solar Costs and Needed Incentive Levels Across Market Segments. Seehttp://www.mass.gov/eea/docs/doer/rps‐aps/doer‐post‐400‐task‐1.pdf.14Ibidatsection4.2.1. 15https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy17osti/68925.pdf.16https://emp.lbl.gov/publications/tracking‐sun‐10‐installed‐price.17https://openpv.nrel.gov.18Reportavailablethroughsubscription.19EPCstandsforengineering,procurement,andconstruction.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    5

    TableD‐1throughTableD‐7provideananalysisoftheinstallationcostsbasedontheNRELReport.TheprojectcostsreflectthetotalinstallationcostsofbuildingtheDCsystemequivalentofanACsystem.20ToconvertanACsystemtoaDCsystem,anAC‐DCconversionlossfactorof25%wasused.21Forexamplea2,000kWACsystemtranslatestoa2,667kWDCsystem.TheprojectcostsalsoincludetheimpactofthesolarimporttariffsthatwereimposedbyUSPresidentDonaldTrumponcrystallinesiliconphotovoltaiccellsandmodulesinJanuary2018.ThischangeisimplementedintheRECpricingmodelbyassuminganincreaseinthecostofgenerationequipmentequalto8centsperwattDC.TheAgencydeterminednottomakeanyadditionaladjustmentsatthistimetoreflecttariffsimposedearlierthisyearbytheUnitedStatesgovernmentonimportedsteelandaluminumfromcertaincountries22duetothelackofreliablecostimpactestimates.TableD‐1‐ResidentialSolarPVInstalledCosts(10kW,scaledfrom5.7kWSystem)

    TotalProjectCost($) 10kWAC $/WDC $/kWDC 13kWDC

    Module 0.43 430 $5,733Inverter 0.19 193 $2,580

    HardwareBOS‐StructuralComponents 0.11 113 $1,512HardwareBOS‐ElectricalComponents 0.24 244 $3,257

    SupplyChainCosts 0.42 419 $5,582SalesTax 0.09 89 $1,186

    InstallationLabor 0.30 304 $4,052Permitting,InspectionandInterconnection(PII) 0.10 96 $1,275

    TotalEPCCost 1.89 Sales&Marketing(CustomerAcquisition) 0.34 343 $4,570

    Overhead(General&Admin.) 0.31 308 $4,105NetProfit 0.35 346 $4,613

    TotalInstallationCost 2.88 2,885 $38,465

    NRELModelCategories GenerationEquipment $12,418

    BalanceofPlant $14,404Interconnection $1,275

    DevelopmentCostsandFee $10,369Total $38,465

    20JointSolarParties(“JSP”)Replyat23‐24.21JSPResponseat31. 22 See, e.g., https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential‐actions/presidential‐proclamation‐adjusting‐imports‐steel‐united‐states‐4 (May31,2018).

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    6

    TableD‐2‐InstalledCosts(25kWSystem)23

    TotalProjectCost($) 25kWAC

    33kWDCNRELModelCategories GenerationEquipment $32,010

    BalanceofPlant $27,463Interconnection $4,161

    DevelopmentCostsandFee $19,573Total $83,207

    TableD‐3‐CommercialPVInstalledCosts(100kWSystem)

    TotalProjectCost($) 100kWAC

    $/WDC $/kWDC 133kWDCModule 0.43 430 $57,333Inverter 0.10 104 $13,913

    HardwareBOS‐StructuralComponents 0.15 145 $19,389HardwareBOS‐ElectricalComponents 0.19 191 $25,431

    InstallationLabor&Equipment 0.23 231 $30,851Permitting,InspectionandInterconnection(PII) 0.15 154 $20,534

    EPCOverhead 0.22 216 $28,848SalesTax 0.05 55 $7,283

    TotalEPCCost 1.53 Contingency(4%) 0.05 51 $6,841

    DeveloperOverhead 0.40 397 $52,898EPC/DeveloperNetProfit 0.13 133 $17,686TotalInstallationCost 2.11 2,108 $281,005

    NRELModelCategories GenerationEquipment $131,903

    BalanceofPlant $75,671Interconnection $20,534

    DevelopmentCostsandFee $52,898Total $281,005

    23Costs for the25kWsystemreflectanaverageof the installedcosts fora systemscaledupwards from5.7kWanda systemscaleddownwardsfrom100kW.The25kWsystemsizewasincorporatedinresponsetovariousstakeholdercommentsontheDraftLTRRPP.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    7

    TableD‐4‐CommercialPVInstalledCosts(200kWSystem)

    TotalProjectCost($) 200kWAC

    $/WDC $/kWDC 267kWDCModule 0.43 430 $114,667Inverter 0.10 104 $27,826

    HardwareBOS‐StructuralComponents 0.15 145 $38,777HardwareBOS‐ElectricalComponents 0.15 154 $41,196

    InstallationLabor&Equipment 0.17 169 $44,955Permitting,InspectionandInterconnection(PII) 0.13 127 $33,756

    EPCOverhead 0.19 187 $49,986SalesTax 0.05 50 $13,463

    TotalEPCCost 1.37 Contingency(4%) 0.05 45 $12,007

    DeveloperOverhead 0.40 397 $105,796EPC/DeveloperNetProfit 0.12 121 $32,277TotalInstallationCost 1.93 1,930 $514,706

    NRELModelCategories GenerationEquipment $250,225

    BalanceofPlant $124,928Interconnection $33,756

    DevelopmentCostsandFee $105,796Total $514,706

    TableD‐5‐CommercialPVInstalledCosts(500kWSystem)

    TotalProjectCost($) 500kWAC $/WDC $/kWDC 667kWDC

    Module 0.43 430 $286,667Inverter 0.10 104 $69,565

    HardwareBOS‐StructuralComponents 0.15 145 $96,944HardwareBOS‐ElectricalComponents 0.15 145 $96,914

    InstallationLabor&Equipment 0.14 137 $91,416Permitting,InspectionandInterconnection(PII) 0.11 110 $73,418

    EPCOverhead 0.18 176 $117,138SalesTax 0.05 49 $32,549

    TotalEPCCost 1.30 Contingency(4%) 0.04 42 $28,180

    DeveloperOverhead 0.40 397 $264,490EPC/DeveloperNetProfit 0.12 116 $77,276TotalInstallationCost 1.85 1,852 $1,234,557

    NRELModelCategories GenerationEquipment $611,374

    BalanceofPlant $285,274Interconnection $73,418

    DevelopmentCostsandFee $264,490Total $1,234,557

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    8

    TableD‐6‐CommercialPVInstalledCosts(2,000kW,scaledfrom1,000kWSystem)

    TotalProjectCost($) 2,000kWAC $/WDC $/kWDC 2,667kWDC

    Module 0.43 430 $1,146,667Inverter 0.10 104 $278,261

    HardwareBOS‐StructuralComponents 0.15 145 $387,775HardwareBOS‐ElectricalComponents 0.14 140 $373,936

    InstallationLabor&Equipment 0.13 126 $334,932Permitting,InspectionandInterconnection(PII) 0.10 105 $279,045

    EPCOverhead 0.17 171 $455,620SalesTax 0.05 48 $128,353

    TotalEPCCost 1.27 Contingency(4%) 0.04 41 $109,819

    DeveloperOverhead 0.40 397 $1,057,962EPC/DeveloperNetProfit 0.11 114 $303,732TotalInstallationCost 1.82 1,821 $4,856,101

    NRELModelCategories GenerationEquipment $2,422,452

    BalanceofPlant $1,096,642Interconnection $279,045

    DevelopmentCostsandFee $1,057,962Total $4,856,101

    TableD‐7‐CommercialPVInstalledCosts(4,000kW,scaledfrom5,000kWSystem)

    TotalProjectCost($) 4,000kWAC

    5,333kWDCNRELModelCategories GenerationEquipment $3,998,868

    BalanceofPlant $2,496,209Interconnection $470,684

    DevelopmentCostsandFee $829,031Total $7,794,792

    Because theprogramsareexpected to launch in2019, theNRELQ12017BenchmarkingReportcostswererolledforwardtwoyearsata4%reductionperyear(comparedtothe2017costfiguresshownabove),reflectingrecenthistoricaltrendsinsolarpricedeclines.24

    24BasedonstakeholderresponsestotheDraftPlan,interconnectioncostswerenotrolledforward.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    9

    OtherCostData

    The REC Pricing Model also relies on the following sources for data on the other costsrequiredtopopulatetheCRESTmodel.

    Financing and operating cost data was obtained from the following sources – (i)CRESTmodeldefaultassumptions, (ii)ElevateEnergy’sCommunitySolarmodel,25and(iii)variousstakeholdercommentsontheDraftLTRRPP.

    Inresponsetostakeholdercommentsandusingdataprovidedbystakeholders,theIntermediatecategoryofdetailwasutilizedforoperationsandmaintenancecost.

    Netmeteringandelectricitypricingdatawasobtainedfromtheutilities’filedtariffs. ThefederalInvestmentTaxCreditwasextendedin2016toprovidea30percenttax

    creditthatwouldrampdownincrementallythrough2021andremainat10percentfrom2022forward.

    LocationalMarginalPrices(“LMPs”)providedbytheJSP.26 TheAC‐DCconversionfactorof25%wasprovidedbytheJSP.27 The14%DCCapacityFactorfordistributedgeneration,andthe15.5%DCcapacity

    factorforcommunitysolarsystemswereprovidedbytheJSP.28RECPriceCalculation

    DistributedGenerationModel29

    Asnotedbefore,theRECPricingModeladaptsandmodifiestheNRELCRESTmodelforthepurposesofcalculatingRECpricesforthisPlan.TheCRESTmodelisaneconomiccashflowmodelthatestimatesthecostofenergyassociatedwithspecificinputassumptionsregardingtechnologytype,location,systemcapitalandoperatingcosts,expectedproduction,projectusefullife,thedurationofthecost‐basedtariff,andvariousprojectfinancingvariables.Thedistributedgenerationmodelwasrunwithmodificationsmadetocertaininputassumptionstoreflectcurrentpubliclyavailabledataandinputfromstakeholdercommentsinresponseto the draft Plan. Modified assumptions are annotated with a source document andhighlighted in yellow in the accompanying REC Pricing Model Excel spreadsheets (seeAppendicesE‐1throughE‐5). Asnotedearlier, theapproachforRECpricing isbasedoncalculatingabaseprice for themosteconomicblocksize (500 ‐2,000kWAC),and thendeterminingthepricesoftheotherprojectsizesthroughadjustments.ThebaseRECprice 25https://www.illinois.gov/sites/ipa/Documents/Elevate‐Energy‐L‐RRPP‐Request‐Comments‐20170714‐Updated.pdf.26https://www.illinois.gov/sites/ipa/Documents/2018ProcurementPlan/2018‐LTRenewable‐Joint‐Solar‐Parties‐Comments.pdf.27JSPResponseat31.28JSPObjectionsat31‐33.29PresentedinAppendixE‐1:AdjustableBlockProgramDistributedGenerationPricingModel.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    10

    isbasedonthecostsfora2,000kWACprojectandisthepriceforthefirstAdjustableBlockProgramblock.TheRECpricedeclinesby4%foreachsuccessiveblockafterBlock1,asitisanticipatedthatnecessaryincentiveswilldeclinewiththedecliningcostofsolar.The4%isbasedontheaverageannualdropinsolar installationcostsasestimatedintheNRELQ12017BenchmarkingReport.30Theblocksandpriceshavebeenstructuredwiththegoalofmeetingtheprocurementtargetsbytheendofthedeliveryyear2020.Thepricesalsotakeinto account (i) the recent change31 in the federal corporate income tax rate, which onDecember22,2017wasreducedfrom35%to21%effectivewithtaxyear2018,and(ii)theauthorization32of100%bonusdepreciation for federal income taxpurpose forpropertyplacedinserviceafterSeptember27,2017andbeforeJanuary1,2023.Thedistributedgenerationmodelprovidesresultsundertwoscenarios.Forsystemsover10kWto2,000kWAC,themodelincludesanassumptionthatthesystemisnon‐residentialandelectstotaketheSmartInverterRebateandthus,understatelaw,doesnotreceivenetmeteringdistributioncredits.33Forsystemsupto10kWAC,themodelassumesthesystemis residential and thusdoesnot receive the Smart InverterRebate, instead receiving fullretailnetmeteringcreditsincludingdistribution.TheSmartInverterRebateof$250perkWDC,asdiscussedinSection6.8.2ofthePlan,accountsforanafter‐taxcreditof$603,333forthe2,000kWACsystem.(Itisassumedthatiftheprojectisover10kWAC,itelectstotakethe rebate under Section 16‐107.6(c)(1) of the Public Utilities Act.) The Smart InverterRebateisappliedasanadditionalstaterebateintheCRESTmodelonadollarperwattbasisat $0.25 per watt DC, applicable only to the project sizes larger than 10 kW AC in thedistributedgenerationmodelandtreatedastaxableincome.Fortheup‐to‐10kWACprojectsizeinthedistributedgenerationmodel,theIPAconsideredtheimpactofthefederaltaxlawchangesregardingbonusdepreciation.Inthisregard,itistheIPA’sviewthathavingbonusdepreciationat100%maymakethird‐partyownershipofsmallsystemsmorelikely,comparedtoownershipbyahomeowner,becausebeingabletocapture bonus depreciation will be more attractive. For this reason, the 100% bonusdepreciationisnowalsoappliedtotheup‐to‐10kWACprojectsize.The present‐value cost of energy (“PV COE”) for each project size is calculated over theprojectusefullife,25years,bytakingthepresentvalueofthefifteenyeartariffprice(i.e.thetotaldollarvalueincentivenecessaryforaprojecttocoveritscostsandachieveanecessaryeconomicreturntotheprojectdeveloperand/orsubscribers)andtenyearsofpresentvalueexpectedpost‐tariffmarketrevenues.TherawPVCOEoutputcalculatedusing thecash flows fromthemodifiedversionof theCRESTmodelforthe2,000kWACsystemsizeisnotthefinalbaseRECprice.Thepresentvalueoftheexpectedproductionvalueand/ornetmeteringrevenues(adjustedto80%of 30https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy17osti/68925.pdf.31SeePub.Law115‐97(Dec.22,2017),https://www.congress.gov/115/bills/hr1/BILLS‐115hr1enr.pdf,at§13001(modifying26U.S.C.§11(b)andotherprovisionsoftheInternalRevenueCode).32Ibid.at§13201(modifying26U.S.C.§168(k)(6)).33See220ILCS5/16‐107.6(c)(1),(3).

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    11

    themarketvaluetoaccountfor20%savingsallocatedtothecustomer/subscriber)over25yearsbyutilitymustthereforebesubtractedfromthePVCOEtogettherevenueshortfall–which,afterdividingbytheexpectedproductionoverthefirst15years,isequivalenttothenetPVCOEorthefinalbaseRECprice.Therearethreebillchargecategoriesthatmayfallunder thenetmetering tariff that areassumedcredits toABPparticipants, including theenergy supply, transmission, and distribution volumetric credits.34 For the distributedgenerationmodel pricing bins, it is assumed that eligible customerswill receive the netmeteringtariffincluding,asapplicablebycustomertype,thecreditsfortheenergysupply,transmission, anddistribution charges, as specifiedbyeachutility for the correspondingcustomerclass.Thepresentvalueofthenetmeteringcreditovertheprojectusefullifeforeach project size was calculated on a total dollar basis that accounts for the expectedproduction foreachsystemsize. For thedistributedgenerationmodel, thenetmeteringcredit applied to the pricing bins including project sizes between 10 and 2,000 kW ACassumessubscriberswillbeinthecommercialandindustrial(“C&I”)rateclasses.Thenetmeteringcreditappliedtotheup‐to‐10kWACpricingbinassumessubscriberswillbeintheresidentialrateclass.For thedistributedgenerationpricingbins thatassumeC&Isubscribers,only theenergysupply and transmission credits were applied as part of the expected net meteringrevenues.35TheenergysupplycreditforeachutilitywascalculatedbyaveragingtheannualaverageLMPs for the last five fullcalendaryears for2018,escalatedat2%toreflect theassumedinflationrate.36Transmissioncreditsforthe2018‐2019deliveryyearweretakenfrom the utility tariffs. For Ameren Illinois, the transmission credit was calculated byconvertingthetransmissionchargeasprovidedintheutilitytariffin$/kW‐daytoa$/kW‐Monthvalue,whichwasfurtheradjustedbytheestimatedpeakloadcontribution(“PLC”)andcapacityfactortoarriveata$/kWhvalue.ForComEd,thetransmissioncreditfromthetariffwassimplyconvertedfroma¢/kWhvaluetoa$/kWhvalue.For systems up to 10 kW, the energy supply credit for each utility was calculated as aweightedaverageofretailpurchasedelectricitycharges($/kWh)forthefoursummerandeightnon‐summermonthsforthe2018‐2019deliveryyear;furtheryearsareextrapolatedfromthe2018‐2019deliveryyearpriceassuminga2%annualinflationrate.TransmissioncreditswerecalculatedinthesamemannerastheywerefortheC&Iclassbutinsteadusingtheresidentialclasstariffrates.Thedistributioncredit fortheAmerenIllinoisresidential 34Itisassumedthataresidentialcustomerwithasolarsystemwillreceivefullretailnetmeteringwithallthreeofthesecredits.220ILCS5/16‐107.5(d),(d‐5).Anon‐residentialcustomerthatelectedthe$250/kWrebateunderSection16‐107.6(c)(1)ofthePublicUtilitiesActwouldnolongerbeeligibletoreceivethedistributionservicerateportionofthenetmeteringcredit,butwouldstillreceivecreditsforenergyandtransmissioncharges.220ILCS5/16‐107.6(c)(3).Moreover,itisassumedthatresidentialcustomers’existingenergysupplyrateisthetariffed,bundledrateprovidedbytheutility(RateBESforComEdorRateBGS‐1forAmerenIllinois),whilenon‐residentialcustomers’existingenergysupplyrate isanhourlyrate thatcanbeapproximatedbytheapplicableRTO’sLocationalMarginalPrices(“LMPs”)fortheapplicablegeographicareaofIllinois.

    ThecommunityrenewablenetmeteringtariffforComEdapprovedbytheCommissiononSeptember27,2017includescreditsforonly theenergysupplyrate(which includescapacity),butnot transmissionordistributionrates. Ameren Illinois’netmetering tariffapprovedbytheCommissiononthesamedatecreditscommunityrenewablenetgenerationattheenergysupplyrate.35See220ILCS5/16‐107.6(c)(1),(3). TheModelassumesaC&Isubscriberwillelect theSmart InverterRebateandthereby losenetmeteringcreditsfordistributioncharges.36Ibid.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    12

    classwascalculatedbytakingtheweightedaveragedistributionchargein$/kWhoffourmonthsofsummerandeightmonthsofnon‐summertariffrates(forcalendaryear2018),37while the residential class ComEd customer distribution credits were calculated bymultiplyingthevolumetricdistributionchargeforcalendaryear2018bytheIncrementalDistribution Uncollectible Cost Factor (“IDUF”) for the residential single family withoutelectricspaceheatcustomerclass.38Various stakeholders suggested that a measure of subscriber (for community solar) orpropertyowner(fordistributedsolar)savingsbeappliedtothevalueofthenetmeteringcredit and/or avoidedconsumption froma solar system; this savingswouldbeexcludedfromcontributingtotheassumedrateofreturnonthesolargenerationinvestment.Inthedistributed generation model, 20% customer savings was suggested and applied, thusreducingthenetmeteringcreditvalueto80%forthedeveloper.TableD‐8showsthe25‐yearpresentvaluenetmeteringcreditforeachprojectsizeat80%forbothAmerenIllinoisandComEdforthedistributedgenerationmodel.

    TableD‐8‐25‐yearPresentValueNetMeteringCreditat80%($)39

    SystemSize AmerenIllinois ComEd10kWAC $13,234 $16,10825kWAC $19,179 $18,474100kWAC $77,737 $74,882200kWAC $156,724 $150,968500kWAC $393,403 $378,9542,000kWAC $1,576,277 $1,518,383

    ThemodifiedCRESTmodel,includingtheSmartInverterRebateasdescribedabove,wasruntocalculatethePVCOEforthe2,000kWACsystemsizeinordertosetthebaseRECpricetowhichpricingbinadjustmentsareapplied.Fortheup‐to‐10kWACcategory,themodeldidnotincludetheSmartInverterRebate,asresidentialsystemsarenotcurrentlyeligibleforthat rebate under Section 16‐107.6(c)(1) of the PUA, but did include net meteringdistributioncredits.AmerenIllinoisandComEdRECpricesarenotderivedfromonlythePVCOEoutputfromthemodelastheRECpriceissetbysubtractinganynetmeteringcredits,whichdifferbyutility,fromthePVCOEtoarriveatthefinalbaseRECpriceasshownbelow.

    37AmerenIllinois’volumetricdistributionchargesdifferinsummervs.non‐summer.38TheAgencyupdatedthese figuresafter the IllinoisCommerceCommissionapprovednewcalendar‐year2018distributionrates forComEdandAmerenIllinoisinordersissuedinDecember2017throughFebruary2018,inDocketNos.17‐0196and18‐0034(ComEd)and17‐0197and18‐0210(AmerenIllinois),respectively.TheAgencyalsoupdatedAmerenIllinoisandComEdtransmissionandsupplyrates,basedonrecentlyfiledtariffseffectiveasofJune2018.39Referencesto“AmerenIllinois”and“ComEd”inthisTableD‐8aswellassubsequenttablesinthisAppendixD,denote“GroupA”and“GroupB”describedinChapter6ofthePlan.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    13

    BaseRECPrice($/REC)40=25‐yearPVCOEfor2,000kW($)–25‐yearPVUtilityNetMeteringCreditsat80%($)/15‐yearRECproduction(MWh)

    AftercalculatingthebaseRECpricefora2000kWACsystem,pricingbinadjustmentswerecalculatedfortheotherdistributedgenerationbins,i.e.,(i)upto10kWAC,(ii)greaterthan10to25kWAC,(iii)greaterthan25to100kWAC,(iv)greaterthan100to200kWAC,and(v)greaterthan200to500kWAC,basedonamidpointapproachusingtheIPA’smodifiedCRESTmodeloutputforthebinsizebookends.ThepricingbinadjustmentswerecalculatedusingthenetPVCOEoutputfromthemodifiedCRESTmodelforeachofthesystemsizesthatbookendapricingbinasshowninTableD‐9.ThenetPVCOEforeachsystemsizeiscalculatedbysubtractingtherelevantnetmetering credits after accounting for subscriber savings for the system size from themodeledPVCOEoutputforthatsystemsize.Tocalculatetheadjustmentforeachsize‐basedbin,themidpointbetweenthenetPVCOEforthetwobookendsystemsizeswascalculated.TheadjustmentforeachpricingbinisontopofthebaseRECprice.Eachadjustmentisthedifferencebetween(i)themidpointofthecalculatedNetPVCOEforthetwobookendsystemsizesforthatbin,and(ii)thebaseRECprice.Adjustmentsdifferbyutilitybecausethenetmeteringtariffsdifferbetweenthetwolargestutilities.TheresultingadjustmentforeachutilityandpricingbinisshowninTableD‐10.Bywayofexample,the100to200kWACadjustmentwascalculatedasshownbelow:

    [greaterthan100to200kWACAdjustment]=[averageof100kWACNetPVCOE&200kWACNetPVCOE])–[BaseRECPrice]

    The smallest system size incorporates any systemup to 10 kWAC. As noted above, fordistributedgeneration,thisisassumedtobearesidentialsystem.Theadjustmentfortheupto10kWsizeisthedifferencebetweentheNetPVCOEfora10kWACsystemandthebaseRECpricefordistributedgeneration.

    TableD‐9‐ModifiedCRESTModelResults41

    SystemSize

    AmerenIllinoisNetPVCOE($/MWh)

    ComEdNetPVCOE($/MWh)

    10kWAC $85.10 $72.9725kWAC $72.30 $73.49100kWAC $56.51 $57.72200kWAC $48.56 $49.77500kWAC $45.14 $46.362,000kWAC $43.42 $44.64

    40OneRECisequaltoonemegawatt‐hour(“MWh”)ofelectricitygeneratedsuchthat$/RECareequivalentto$/MWh.41TheresultsinthistablearethePVCOEoutputfromtheCRESTmodelpriortosubtractingthenetmeteringcreditsshowninTableD‐8fromthePVCOEanddividingbytheexpectedRECproductionover15years.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    14

    TableD‐10showsthedistributedgenerationpricingbinadjustmentsforeachutility,andTableD‐11showsthedistributedgenerationABPRECpriceforeachutilityandpricingbin.Forexample,the100to200kWbinRECpriceiscalculatedbyaddingthatbin’sadjustment($9.11)tothebaseRECpriceof$44.64forComEdor$43.42forAmerenIllinois.

    TableD‐10–DistributedGenerationPricingBinAdjustmentsforEachUtility42

    Bin

    AmerenIllinoisAdjustment($/REC)

    ComEdAdjustment($/REC)

    ≤10kWAC $41.68 $28.33>10to25kWAC $35.29 $28.59>25to100kWAC $20.99 $20.97>100to200kWAC $9.12 $9.11>200to500kWAC $3.43 $3.43>500to2,000kWAC $0.00 $0.00

    TableD‐11–DistributedGenerationABPRECPrices

    BinAmerenIllinoisRECPrice($/REC)

    ComEdRECPrice($/REC)

    ≤10kWAC $85.10 $72.97>10to25kWAC $78.70 $73.23>25to100kWAC $64.41 $65.61>100to200kWAC $52.54 $53.75>200to500kWAC $46.85 $48.07>500to2,000kWAC $43.42 $44.64

    CommunitySolarModel43

    Communitysolarprojectsweremodeledundervariousassumptionsthatdifferedfromthedistributedgenerationprojects.Asnotedabove,communitysolarprojectsreceiveapricingbinadjustmentcalculatedinthesamemannerasdescribedforthedistributedgenerationadjustment,andanaddertoincentivizesmallsubscriberparticipation.Projectsthatmeetorexceeda25%,50%,or75%requirementforsmallsubscriber44participationwillreceivetheadditionaladder (“theSmall SubscriberParticipationAdder”). Thecalculationof thecommunitysolarpricingbinadjustmentsandaddersisbasedonchangingtheassumptionstothenetmeteringcreditandchangingsomeofthemodelinputassumptions.ForComEd,as approved by the Commission on September 27, 2017 in DocketNo. 17‐0350, the net 42Pricingbinadjustmentsfortheup‐to‐10kWACsystemsizeandthe10‐25kWACsystemsize(i.e.thetwosmallestpricingbins)areunequalacrossthetwoutilitiesbecausethechangeinnetmeteringcreditsfromC&Itoresidentialdiffersacrossthetwoutilities’tariffswhilethesize‐basedvariationinthePVCOEdoesnot.43PresentedinAppendicesE‐2‐aandE‐2‐b‐AdjustableBlockProgramCommunitySolarPricingModel.44“Smallsubscriber”isusedtomeanresidentialorsmallcommercialcustomersubscribers,asreferencedinSection1‐75(c)(1)(N)oftheIPAAct.Theseareidentifiedusingtheirsubscriptionsizes:anysubscriptionbelow25kWACisassumedtobebya“smallsubscriber.”

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    15

    metering credit includes energy supply charges but does not include transmission ordistributioncharges.ForAmerenIllinois,asapprovedbytheCommissiononSeptember27,2017intariffno.ERM17‐144,thetariffcreditstheenergyservicebillsofsubscribersatthe“tariffedorcontractrateforelectricitysupplyasappropriate.”Thetariffedorcontractratedoesnot include transmissionordistribution charges. For community solarprojects, allprojectsizeswereassumedtoreceiveenergy‐onlyC&Inetmeteringcreditsbasedonthefive‐year average LMP after accounting for 20% subscriber savings. Additionally, allcommunitysolarprojectsizeswereassumedtotaketheSmartInverterRebateappliedtotheprojectinthesamemannerasitwasappliedtodistributedgenerationprojects10kWACor larger.45 TableD‐12showsthe25‐yearpresentvaluenetmeteringcredit foreachprojectsizeat80%forbothAmerenIllinoisandComEdforthecommunitysolarmodel.

    TableD‐12‐25‐yearPresentValueNetMeteringCreditat80%($)

    CustomerClass AmerenIllinois ComEd

    10kW AC $4,888 $5,99725kWAC $12,344 $15,145100kWAC $50,070 $61,430200kWAC $100,988 $123,900500kWAC $253,553 $311,0782,000kWAC $1,016,022 $1,246,532

    Input assumptions changed for community solar projects, aside from those noted aboverelatedtothenetmeteringcredit,reflectstakeholdercommentsandincludeanincreasedinternalrateofreturn,46theinclusionofMACRSbonusdepreciationinfederaltaxationforallprojectsizes(includingtheup‐to‐10kWACsize),andadditionaldataoncostsfacingacommunitysolarproject(i.e., landlease,propertytaxes).RECpricesforcommunitysolarprojectsforeachutilitywerecalculatedinthesamemannerasdistributedgenerationRECpriceswhereabasecommunitysolarRECpricewascalculatedandcalculatedpricingbinadjustmentsappliedtothesuccessivelysmallerprojectsizebins. Bywayofexample,thecommunitysolarpriceforthegreaterthan100to200kWACisthedifferencebetweenthegreaterthan100to200kWACadjustmentandthebasecommunitysolarRECprice.Theresulting community solar pricing bin adjustments are shown in Table D‐1347 andcommunitysolarRECpricesareshowninTableD‐14below.

    45Acommunitysolarproject,oritssubscribers,areentitledtoreceivetheSmartInverterRebate.220ILCS5/16‐107.6(f).46Theassumedinternalrateofreturnis14%inthecommunitysolarmodelinsteadof12%inthedistributedgenerationmodel.47Duetothesamenetmeteringcreditbeingappliedtoallsystemsizes,thecommunitysolarpricingbinadjustmentsdonotvarybyutilityinpricingbinsthatincludethe10kWprojectsize.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    16

    TableD‐13–CommunitySolarPricingBinAdjustments($)

    BinAmerenIllinoisREC

    Price($/REC)ComEdRECPrice

    ($/REC)≤10kWAC $43.84 $44.01

    >10to25kWAC $34.79 $34.94>25to100kWAC $18.67 $18.77>100to200kWAC $8.19 $8.23>200to500kWAC $3.19 $3.20>500to2,000kWAC $0.00 $0.00

    TableD‐14–CommunitySolarRECPrices($/REC)

    BinAmerenIllinoisRECPrice($/REC)

    ComEdRECPrice($/REC)

    ≤10kWAC $96.12 $91.89>10to25kW $87.07 $82.82

    >25to100kWAC $70.95 $66.65>100to200kWAC $60.47 $56.12>200to500kWAC $55.46 $51.09>500to2,000kWAC $52.28 $47.88Co‐locatedsystemsexceeding2MWinaggregatesize $47.03 $42.59

    Co‐locatedSystemsExceeding2MWinAggregateSize

    TableD‐14includesanewpricingtierforco‐locatedsystems.InitsFinalOrderapprovingtheLong‐TermRenewableResourcesProcurementPlan, theCommissionapproved a co‐locationstandardforcommunitysolarprojectsasfollows:“noApprovedVendormayapplytotheAdjustableBlockProgramformorethan4MWofCommunitySolarprojectsonthesameorcontiguousparcels.Theseprojectsmaybeco‐locatedinoneoftwoways:a)two2‐MWprojectsononeparcel,orb)one2‐MWprojectoneachoftwocontiguousparcels.”48The Agency filed aMotion for Clarification or Other Relief on April 16, 2018,which theCommissiongrantedonMay2,2018.ThatclarificationaddedthefollowingparagraphtotheCommission’sOrder:

    Additionally,consistentwiththeOrder’sconclusionpermittingco‐location forsystemsindividuallyofnomorethan2MWinsizeandinaggregateofnomorethan4MW in sizeon the sameoradjacentparcels, the IPA isauthorized toinvestigateoutsideofthisdockettheprobabilityofcostsavings(ifany)forco‐locatedprojectsthatputstheiraveragecostsbelowthosemodeledintheIPA’s

    48FinalOrderat131.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    17

    RECpricingmodel,andifwarrantedbasedontheresultsofthatinvestigation,establish a tier in its REC pricing model applicable to co‐located systemsexceeding2MWinaggregatesize.49

    TheAgencyhas investigated those costs anddetermined that theprimary areas for costsavings due to the larger scale of co‐located projects are: (1) interconnection costs; (2)componentsofthebalanceofplantcosts;and(3)developmentcostsandfees.TheAgencythereforeisaddinganewpricetierforcommunitysolarco‐locatedsystemsexceeding2MWACinaggregatesize.ThispricingtierwillapplytosuchcommunitysolarsystemsinboththeAdjustableBlockProgramandIllinoisSolarforAllProgram.Theimpactofincreasedaggregatesystemsizefromco‐locationonprojectinterconnectioncostswasderivedbymodelingtwoadjacent2MWACcommunitysolarsystemsashavingthesametotalinterconnectioncostsasa4MWACphotovoltaicsystem.Inthedevelopmentof the REC Pricing Model, the Agency used cost data from the NREL Study, U.S. SolarPhotovoltaic System Cost Benchmark: Q1 2017.50 Using the same approach, theinterconnectioncostfora4MWACsystemisbasedonscalingthecostsreportedbyNRELfor a 5 MW utility‐scale fixed‐tilt system. This reduced interconnection costs by 15.7%($235,342foraco‐located2MWACsystemversus$279,045forastand‐alone2MWACsystem).Todeterminetheimpactsforthebalanceofplantcostsanddevelopmentcostsandfees,apercentageofthecostsforeachwasestimatedbasedonareviewofthecomponentsthatcomprisethesecostcategoriesthatwouldbeimpactedbyoperatingscale.51ThebalanceofplantcostinputsconsideredintheCRESTmodel(whichisthebasisfortheRECPricingModel)include:infrastructuresitepreparationandrelatedlaborcostsincludingthe cost of access roads; site survey and related costs; balance of facility electrical costsoutsideoftheelectricalcostsdirectlyassociatedwithsolarmodulesandinterconnection;costsfortheconstructionofmaintenancebuildingsandrelatedinfrastructure;spareparts;andplantcommissioningcosts.Notallofthesecostsbenefit fromincreasingprojectsize.Only11%ofthebalanceofplantcosts,reflectingthecostsforsitesurveyandpreparationandforconstructingaccessroads,wouldresultinco‐locationrelatedcostsavings.Thecostreductionforthesecomponentsinherentina5MWutility‐scalesystemwasappliedto11%ofthebalanceofplantcostsfora4MWsystemandsplitevenlyforeachofthe2MWco‐locatedsystems.TheotherbalanceofplantcostcomponentsoftheNREL5MWsystemwerehigherthanforthoseforastand‐alone2MWsystem.Theresultingadjustmenttobalanceofplantcostsresultedina1.5%increaseofcostfortheco‐located2MWsystem($1,024,239versus$1,008,911forastand‐alone2MWsystem).

    49AmendatoryOrderat1‐2.50See:https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy17osti/68925.pdfat29,39.Costfigures(exceptinginterconnection)inthisdiscussionofco‐locatedsystemsarereducedby2years’worthof4%annualcostreductions(i.e.,atotalof8%)fromthe2017figuresintheNRELstudy,duetoanassumptionthatprojectswillbeginconstructionin2019.51See:https://financere.nrel.gov/finance/files/NREL_CREST_Solar_version1.4.xlsx,at“ComplexInputs”worksheet.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    18

    Using a similar analysis of theNREL costs for a 5MWutility‐scale system subsequentlyscaledto4MW,itwasdeterminedthatapproximately60%ofthedevelopmentcostsandfeeswouldbesubjecttoco‐locationrelatedcostbenefits. NREL’sdevelopmentcostsandfeesincludethefollowingcomponents:siteselectionandevaluationcosts;siteacquisitioncosts; permitting costs; engineering/design costs; resource analysis costs; and otherdevelopmentcosts.Allthesecomponentsexceptengineering/designwereconsideredtobesubject to scale benefits. This adjustment would reduce development costs by 36.5%($618,142versus$973,325forastand‐alone2MWsystem52).Accounting for these cost savings fromcommunity solarproject co‐location results inanAdjustableBlockProgramRECpriceforBlock1of$47.03forGroupA,and$42.59forGroupB.Anyco‐locatedcommunitysolarprojectsexceeding2MWACinaggregatesize,upto4MWtotal,willbeclassified in thisnewprice tier, shown inAppendixE‐2‐b.Thesepricesconstituteareductionof$5.25(10%)and$5.29(11%),respectively,fromtheBlock1pricesforprojectsinthe500kWto2MWsizerange.Thesamecostsavingsassumptions informthenewco‐locatedpricingtier fortheIllinoisSolarforAllLow‐IncomeCommunitySolarProjectInitiative,foundinAppendixE‐4‐b.Here,thepricesforco‐locatedprojectsofover2MWinsizeare$64.88and$62.30inGroupAandGroupB,respectively,areductionofapproximately9%,inbothcases,fromthepricesforthe500kWto2MWsizerange.SmallSubscriberAdder

    The IPA received comments from several stakeholders related to the ResidentialParticipationAdderspublishedinthedraftPlan.Toaddressthosecomments(andnotethattheAgencyalsoupdated theAdders toreflect “small subscribers” rather thanresidentialparticipation), the IPA utilized a recommendation by the Coalition for Community SolarAccess53 touse theresultsofananalysisby theRhode IslandOfficeofEnergyResources(“RIOER”)oncostassumptionsforcommunitysolar.RIOERconductedanindustrysurveyoncommunitysolaradministrativecostsrelatedtoprojectsthatallocateatleast50%oftheircapacity to subscription sizesof25kWor less. TheRIOERsurvey resultswere that theupfront (one time) subscriber acquisition costs associated with these projects are$0.25/Watt,andthattheongoing(annual)costsassociatedwithsubscriberreplacementis$0.02/Watt/year,and theongoing (annual)costof subscribermanagementandbilling isabout$0.01/Watt/year.54InordertodeterminetheSmallSubscriberParticipationAdders,theIPAalsoreliedondataonprojectsize,andprojectenergyproductionprovidedbyElevateEnergyintheircommentsonthedraftPlan.55Intheircomments,ElevateEnergymodelleda1,250kWsystemwithan 52Ibid. 53https://www.illinois.gov/sites/ipa/Documents/2018ProcurementPlan/2018‐LTRenewable‐Coalition‐for‐Community‐Solar‐Access‐Comments.pdf.54SEA.(2016)RhodeIslandRenewableEnergyGrowthProgram:20172ndDraftCeilingPriceRecommendations.Availableat:http://sos.ri.gov/documents/publicinfo/omdocs/minutes/6154/2016/49211.pdf. 55https://www.illinois.gov/sites/ipa/Documents/2018ProcurementPlan/2018‐LTRenewable‐Elevate‐Energy‐Comments.pdf.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    19

    energyproductionof33,794MWhover25years.First,todeterminetheincrementallifetimesubscribercostsfor50%SmallSubscriberParticipation,theIPAcalculatedthetotal$/Wattcostsfor50%smallsubscriberparticipationasdeterminedbyRIOER,byaddingtheupfrontcoststothepresentvalueoftheongoingcosts,discountedovera25‐yearperiodusinga6%discountrate.Thetotalcostis$0.76/Watt.Second,theIPAcalculatedthetotalprojectcostsbymultiplyingthetotalcostin$/Wattandtheprojectsizeof1,250kW.Thetotalprojectcost is$944,898. Third, the IPAcalculated theGross50%SmallSubscriberParticipationAdderbydividingthetotalprojectcostbytheproject’senergyproductionover25years.Theresultantadderis$27.96/REC.Fourth,theIPAadjustedtheaddertoaccountforthenetmeteringrevenueasubscriberwouldreceive.Inthisregard,usingtheRECPricingModel,theIPAdeterminedthedifferencebetweentheresidentialandC&InetmeteringvaluesforbothComEdandAmeren,totakeintoaccountthedifferencebetweenthebundledenergysupplyrateandtheLMPforeachofthetwoutilities.TheIPAthenapplieda2%escalationfactortothenetmeteringcreditvaluesforthetwoutilitiesfor25years,andsubsequentlycalculatedthenetpresentvalueofalltheannualdifferencesusingthe6%discountrate.Through extrapolation, the values were scaled down accordingly tomatch a 50% smallsubscriberparticipationlevel.TheIPAthendividedthepresentvaluesby25todetermineannualvaluesof$6.19/RECforComEdand$5.62/RECforAmeren(“theAnnualNetMeteringValues”).Next,theIPAsubtractedtheAnnualNetMeteringValuesfromtheGross50%SmallSubscriber Participation Adder to determine the net adders (“the 50% Small SubscriberParticipation Adders”). The 50% Small Subscriber Participation Adder for ComEd is$21.77/RECandforAmerenis$22.34/REC.Finally,theIPAdeterminedtheaddersforsmallsubscriberparticipation levelsof25%and75%, throughextrapolation. TheCommunitySolarSmallSubscriberParticipationAddersarepresented inTableD‐15. Theseapplytocommunity solar projectRECprices in both theAdjustableBlockProgramand the Low‐IncomeCommunitySolarProjectInitiativesub‐programofIllinoisSolarforAll.56

    TableD‐15–CommunitySolarSmallSubscriberParticipationAdders

    SmallSubscriberParticipation(%)

    AmerenIllinoisAdder($/REC)

    ComEdAdder($/REC)

    Lessthan25% NoAdder NoAdder≥25‐50% $11.17 $10.88≥50‐75% $22.34 $21.77≥75% $33.51 $32.65

    IllinoisSolarforAllModels57

    Therearethreesub‐programsundertheIllinoisSolarforAllProgramthatreceiveincentivesasdescribedinChapter8ofthePlan:Low‐IncomeDistributedGenerationInitiative,Low‐Income Community Solar Project Initiative, and Incentives for Non‐Profits and Public 56FinalOrderat155.57PresentedinAppendicesE‐3‐aandE‐3‐b:IllinoisSolarforAllDistributedGenerationIncentivePricingModel,E‐4‐aandE‐4‐b:IllinoisSolarforAllCommunitySolarPricingModel,andE‐5:IllinoisSolarforAllNon‐profitandPublicFacilityPricingModel.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    20

    Facilities. There isaseparateapproachused forsettingRECprices foreachof the threeIllinoisSolarforAllsub‐programs.TheIncentivesforIllinoisSolarforAllbuildonthemodelsusedfortheAdjustableBlockProgram.Forallthreesub‐programs,it isassumedthatthecustomersavingsvalueallocatedfromthenetmeteringcreditand/orproductionvalueisincreasedfrom20%to50%(but100%in1‐4unitbuildingsintheLow‐IncomeDistributedGenerationInitiativesub‐program,discussedbelow).Section1‐56(b)(2)oftheActrequiresthattheIllinoisSolarForAllincentivesdelivertangibleeconomicbenefitsforeligiblelow‐incomesubscribers.Theincentivepaymentsforthelow‐incomesubscribersare intendedtobesufficienttoprovidetangibleeconomicbenefitstoparticipants through enabling project developers to eliminate upfront costs to theparticipants for the installationofphotovoltaicprojects.The incentivewillbea standardincentiveandnotcustomizedforeachproject.TheCRESTmodelwasusedtodeterminethePVCOEforlow‐incomedistributedgenerationparticipantsbysettingthedebtfinancingparametertozeropercent,assumingtheywouldhavedifficultyaccessingcreditmarkets,andusingtheotherinputassumptionsmirroringthose used to calculate non‐low income distributed generation prices. Pricing binadjustments were calculated in the same manner as for non‐low income distributedgeneration.TableD‐16providestheRECpricesforthelow‐incomedistributedgenerationparticipantsinlargerbuildings,whoareassumedtoreceive50%ofthenetmeteringvalue.TableD‐17providestheRECpricesforthelow‐incomedistributedgenerationparticipantsinsmaller(1‐4unit)buildings,whoareassumedtoreceive100%ofthenetmeteringvalue.58

    TableD‐16–Low‐IncomeDistributedGenerationInitiativeRECPrices(Multi‐FamilyBuildings)

    Bin

    AmerenIllinoisRECPrice($/REC)

    ComEdRECPrice($/REC)

    ≤10kWAC $117.62 $118.20>10to25kWAC $107.08 $107.65>25to100kWAC $87.70 $88.28>100to200kWAC $74.67 $75.26>200to500kWAC $68.59 $69.19>500to2,000kWAC $65.32 $65.92

    58Forthe1‐4unitmodel,systemsofupto10kWareassumedtobeonasingle‐familyorduplexhomeandthusineligiblefortheSmartInverterRebateunderstatelaw,whilesystemsof10kWandaboveareassumedtobeonlarger,multi‐familyresidentialbuildingswherethephotovoltaicgeneratingsystemislinkedtothebuilding’scentralelectricaccount,whichisnon‐residentialfromtheutility’sperspectiveandthuseligiblefortheSmartInverterRebate.Forthe5+unitmodel,anyPVsystemofanysizeisassumedtobelinkedtothebuilding’scentralelectricaccount,whichiseligiblefortheSmartInverterRebate.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    21

    TableD‐17–Low‐IncomeDistributedGenerationInitiativeRECPrices(1‐4UnitPropertyOwner)

    Bin

    AmerenIllinoisRECPrice($/REC)

    ComEdRECPrice($/REC)

    ≤10kWAC $143.09 $143.09>10to25kW $127.55 $127.55

    >25to100kWAC $103.28 $103.28>100to200kWAC $90.40 $90.40>200to500kWAC $84.41 $84.41>500to2,000kWAC $80.69 $80.69

    AsdescribedinChapter8ofthePlan,theLow‐IncomeCommunitySolarProjectInitiativeisintendedtosupportparticipationincommunitysolarbylow‐incomesubscribers.ForLow‐IncomeCommunitySolarProjectInitiativeparticipants,adifferentapproachwasusedthanthezeropercentdebtfinancingusedfortheLow‐IncomeDistributedGenerationInitiative.Whilethenon‐lowincomecommunitysolarRECpricewascalculatedusingtheassumptionofa15‐yearpaybackperiod,theRECpricesforthisgroupwascalculatedusingashortened,5‐yearpaybackperiodandalowerassumed35%debtfinancing.RECpricesforparticipantsofLow‐IncomeCommunitySolarProjectInitiativeareshowninTableD‐18. Low‐IncomeCommunitySolarvaluesinTableD‐18builduponthenon‐lowincomecommunitysolarRECpricesinTableD‐14underalteredassumptionsdiscussedabove.Asdiscussedabove,SmallSubscriber Participation Adders (Table D‐15) also apply to the Low‐Income CommunitySolarProjectInitiative.

    TableD‐18–Low‐IncomeCommunitySolarProjectInitiativeRECPrices

    BinAmerenIllinoisREC

    Price($/REC)ComEdRECPrice

    ($/REC)≤10kWAC $121.99 $119.55

    >10to25kWAC $111.98 $109.52>25to100kWAC $93.32 $90.82>100to200kWAC $80.72 $78.20>200to500kWAC $74.78 $72.23>500to2,000kWAC $71.29 $68.74

    Co‐locatedsystemsexceeding2MWinaggregatesize59 $64.88 $62.30

    59Section1‐56oftheIPAAct(20ILCS3855/1‐56(b)(2)(B))doesnotexpresslycreateasizelimitforcommunitysolarprojectsparticipatingintheIllinoisSolarforAllLow‐IncomeCommunitySolarProjectInitiativesub‐program,buttheproposednewRECpricingtierforco‐locatedcommunitysolarprojectseachof2MWwillalsoapply to IllinoisSolar forAllProgramlow‐incomecommunitysolarprojectsexceeding2MWeitherasasingleprojectorthroughco‐location.

  • AppendixD June4,2018Update

    22

    Section1‐56(b)(2)(C)oftheActalsospecifiesthat“non‐profitsandpublicfacilities”willbeeligible to receive incentives for on‐site photovoltaic generation. These incentives aredesignedto“supporton‐sitephotovoltaicdistributedrenewableenergygenerationdevicesto serve the load associatedwith not‐for‐profit subscribers and to support photovoltaicdistributedrenewableenergygenerationthatusesphotovoltaictechnologytoservetheloadassociatedwithpublicsectorsubscriberstakingserviceatpublicbuildings.”60Tocalculatethe Incentives for Non‐Profits and Public Facilities participants, the input assumptionsremained the same as those used for low‐income distributed generation in all but twocategories. The owner was not considered to be a taxable entity for the purposes ofcalculating the Incentives for Non‐Profits and Public Facilities, and the up‐to‐10 kW ACproject sizewas considered to be a C&I subscriber, reflected in the netmetering creditappliedaswellastheinclusionoftheSmartInverterRebateforallprojectsizes.RECpricesfortheIncentivesforNon‐ProfitsandPublicFacilitiesareprovidedinTableD‐19.

    TableD‐19–IncentivesforNon‐ProfitsandPublicFacilitiesRECPrices

    BinAmerenIllinoisREC

    Price($/REC)ComEdRECPrice

    ($/REC)≤10kWAC $155.87 $156.57

    >10to25kWAC $142.55 $143.26>25to100kWAC $118.57 $119.28>100to200kWAC $102.83 $103.55>200to500kWAC $95.61 $96.34>500to2,000kWAC $91.31 $92.04

    6020ILCS3855/1‐56(b)(2)(C).