Antifragility Distilled: Beyond Agility · Antifragility! Antifragility, coined by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his book “Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder”, is fueling

Sinan Si Alhir.Copyright © 2014. All rights reserved.

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Antifragility Distilled: Beyond Agility

Si Alhir

[email protected]

202.596.8202

mailto:[email protected]


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Si Alhir

Si Alhir (http://about.me/salhir) is a Coach, Trainer, Consultant, and Practitioner working with Individuals, Collectives/Communities/Teams, and Enterprises/Organizations.

He is a catalyst with over three decades of proven experience in appreciating and leveraging all aspects of human dynamics/nature to catalyze individuals, teams, and the whole enterprise to sustainably achieve impactful results towards meaningful intentions ---bridging the chasm between strategy, leadership, & culture -and- business agility and

antifragility -through- humanization/transformation/change-management. His clients have ranged from start-ups to the Fortune 500.

He is also affiliated with numerous prestigious professional organizations, holds various professional certifications (Associate & Member with the Creating WE Institute, Certified

Scaled Agile Framework (SAFe) Program Consultant (SPC), Certified CQ/Change Intelligence Professional, CultureSync Approved Tribal Leader, PMP, CSM, IT Project+, e-Biz+), has

authored various books, and contributes to and speaks at professional events.

He blogs at http://salhir.wordpress.com.


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Antifragility Distilled: Beyond Agility

A recent PricewaterhouseCoopers CEO survey emphasized that "during the past decade, we've seen economic volatility and disruption escalate to arguably unprecedented levels" and that "'expect the unexpected' has become the

mantra"!

With this mantra, we are int eh midst of a paradigm shift --- from Agility to Antifragility! Antifragility, coined by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his book “Antifragile:

Things That Gain from Disorder”, is fueling the DevOps and Continuous Delivery movement in technology among many other movements in business and beyond.

Agility involves responding to change while Antifragility involves gaining from disorder! Agility emphasizes embracing change while inspecting and adapting.

Antifragility emphasizes embracing chaos while adapting and evolving.

This session introduces Antifragility, and explores how individuals, teams, and organizations can immediately put the concept into practice.


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Manifesto for Agile Software Development

Manifesto for Agile Software Development

We are uncovering better ways of developingsoftware by doing it and helping others do it.

Through this work we have come to value:

Individuals and interactions over processes and tools

Working software over comprehensive documentation

Customer collaboration over contract negotiation

Responding to change over following a plan

That is, while there is value in the items onthe right, we value the items on the left more.

Source: http://agilemanifesto.org


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Manifesto for Agility

Manifesto for Agility Agile Software Development

We are uncovering better ways of achieving results developingsoftware by doing it and helping others do it.

Through this work we have come to value:

People Individuals and interactions over processes and tools

Results Working software over comprehensive documentation

Collaboration Customer collaboration over contract negotiation

Responsiveness Responding to change over following a plan

That is, while there is value in other items the items onthe right, we value these items the items on the left more.

Source: http://salhir.wordpress.com


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Antifragility

• Wind extinguishes a candle and energizes fire.

• Likewise with randomness, uncertainty, chaos: you want to use them,not hide from them. You want to be the fire and wish for the wind.

• Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure, risk, and uncertainty. Yet, in spite of the ubiquity of the phenomenon, there is no word for the exact opposite of fragile. Let us call it antifragile.

• Antifragility is beyond resilience or robustness. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better.

Source: “Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder” (Nassim Nicholas Taleb, 2012)


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Antifragility

• Fragility and antifragility mean potential gain or harm from exposure to something related to volatility. What is that something? Simply, membership in the extended disorder family.

• The Extended Disorder Family (or Cluster): (i) uncertainty, (ii) variability, (iii) imperfect, incomplete knowledge, (iv) chance, (v) chaos, (vi) volatility, (vii) disorder, (viii) entropy, (ix) time, (x) the unknown, (xi) randomness, (xii) turmoil, (xiii) stressor, (xiv) error, (xv) dispersion of outcomes, (xvi) unknowledge.

• It happens that uncertainty, disorder, and the unknown are completely equivalent in their effect: antifragile systems benefit (to some degree) from, and the fragile is penalized by, almost all of them.



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The Central Triad



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The Central Triad



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The Central Triad



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Thank You

Si Alhir

[email protected]

202.596.8202

mailto:[email protected]

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Antifragility Distilled: Beyond Agility · Antifragility! Antifragility, coined by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his book “Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder”, is fueling