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Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Page 1: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

Annual Results 2009

Presentation 12 February 2010

Page 2: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

2

Agenda

– Highlights 2009– Financial Results 2009– Operational & Strategic Issues– Outlook 2010– Q&A’s

Page 3: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Highlights 2009– Positive results under difficult economic conditions– Net profit EUR 4.5 million (2008: EUR -14.9 million

including impairment charge)– Sales volume decrease of 7% to 198,200 ton in

market with stronger drop in demand, i.e. increase in market share

– Selling price down by 4% on 2008 and peer group with 7-8%

– Strong growth in NBD by 40% to 49,000 ton – Good performance on strategic sustainability agenda– Dividend proposal of EUR 0.50 per depository receipt

of share

Page 4: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Key Figures 2005-2009

1) 2005 figure revised

EUR x mln 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005

Total revenue 144.7 160.8 163.2 150.8 142.2

Operating result before impairment1) 5.4 (2,1) 2.7 2.4 12.4

Operating result after impairment1) 5.4 (20,6) 2.7 2.4 12.4

Net result1) 4.5 (14,9) 2.2 2.2 9.0Depreciation 8.3 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.2Capital expenditure 6.0 6.3 3.0 4.1 21.7

Sales (ton) 198,200 212,200 218,600 208,800 200,400Production (ton) 197,800 213,300 220,500 212,500 197,000Number of employees (on average) 301 291 284 286 296

Equity ratio 74% 73% 76% 75% 78%

Page 5: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Geographical spread of sales volume CVG

15%

16%

24%11%

11%

13%

10%

Germany

Outside Europe

Other Europe

Belgium/Luxembourg

United Kingdom

France

Netherlands

Production and Sales Volume CVG2009 2008 2007 2006

Production 197,800 213,300 220,500 212,500Sales 198,200 212,200 218,600 208,800

2009 2008 2007 2006Netherlands 15 14 12 10France 16 15 15 19Germany 24 24 23 22United Kingdom 11 14 14 13Belgium/Luxembourg 11 13 15 15Other Europe 13 9 8 6Outside Europe 10 11 13 15

100% 100% 100% 100%

Page 6: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Nordea: Demand development (annual changes and YtD 2009)

Demand (November 2009)YoY YtD

EuropeSC magazine paper -4% -8%Coated mechanical -11% -22%Newsprint -10% -13%Coated mechanical -10% -16%Uncoated fine paper -8% -14%Coated fine paper -8% -17%Source: Nordea

Page 7: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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1. Intro & doelstellingen

Financial Results 2009

Page 8: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

8Source: FOEX/PIX-index

NBSK PIX Prices 2004-2009

350

375

400

425

450

475

500

525

550

575

600

625650

675

700

725

750

775

800

825

850

875

900

925

jan

-04

ap

r-0

4

jul-

04

okt-

04

jan

-05

ap

r-0

5

jul-

05

okt-

05

jan

-06

ap

r-0

6

jul-

06

okt-

06

jan

-07

ap

r-0

7

jul-

07

okt-

07

jan

-08

ap

r-0

8

jul-

08

okt-

08

jan

-09

ap

r-0

9

jul-

09

okt-

09

jan

-10

NBSK in EUR NBSK in USD

2004 2008200720062005 2009

Page 9: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Pulp market developments (1)

Page 10: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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ChinaBCP import volumes and market values (6 month moving average)

0

400

800

1200

Import volumes(000s t)

Import value ($million)

November 2009

Source: HW estimates, China Customs Data

Pulp market developments (2)

Page 11: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Pulp prices in 2010?Short term:– Temporary lower supply due to severe weather conditions;

low pulp stock levels– Continuing high demand, especially from China– Strengthening of USD reflected in higher EUR pricesRemainder of the year:– Economic developments in China– Extra pulp production capacity (esp. Hardwood)– Pace of economic recovery in Europe and N-America lower

paper usage, temporary and structural?– EUR/USD exchange rate developments not clear

Conclusion: In short term, further rise in pulp prices is expected; for the remainder of the year, developments are uncertain.

Page 12: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Consolidated Income Statement 2009 2008(EUR x 1,000,000) (unaudited)

Total revenue 144.7 160.8 Other income - 0.2

144.7 161.0

Costs related to turnover (7.9) (8.4) Raw materials, consumables and energy (84.5) (111.7) Change in inventories of finished goods (1.7) (0.1) Employee benefits costs (21.7) (19.4) Depreciation and amortisation (8.3) (9.8) Other expenses (15.2) (13.7) Total operating expenses (139.3) (163.1) Operating result 5.4 (2.1)

Impairment on fixed assets - (18.5) Operating profit after impairment 5.4 (20.6)

Finance costs (0.4) (0.7) Share of after tax profit of associate 0.4 0.6 Result before taxation 5.4 (20.7)

Tax income/(expense) (0.9) 5.8 Result for the year from continuing operations

4.5 (14.9)

Non-controlling interests - - Net Result from continuing operations 4.5 (14.9)

Page 13: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Input costs 2009 vs 2008 (EUR mln)Bleached Pulp- Lower purchase volume (6.7)- Lower prices (18.7)

(25.4)Gas- Lower purchase volume (0.4)- Higher price level +0.8

+0.4Electricity- Purchase volume -- Higher other costs & lower MEP-subsidy +0.4

+0.4Other raw materials and consumables (2.6)Total cost decrease 2009 versus 2008 (27.2)

Page 14: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Financial Position & Cash FlowFinancial Position– Slight increase in working capital, mainly due to higher

pulp stocks– No significant change in account receivable overdues– High equity ratio of 74%– Committed credit facilities (totalling EUR 33 mln) only

partly usedCash Flow– Operating Cash Flow in line with Capex and dividend

pay-out– Dividend pay-out of 79% over the business cycle

CVG is financially well structured in chalenging economic environment

Page 15: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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1. Intro & doelstellingen

Results European Paper Companies

Page 16: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Peer group results 2009Stora Enso:- Net result down to EUR -878 mln in 2009 (2008: EUR -679 mln) - Non-recurring items EUR -933 mln (2008: EUR -1,045 mln)- Operating profit (excl. spec. items) Fine Paper division down to

EUR 33 mln (2008: EUR 80 mln)UPM:- Net result up to EUR 169 mln (2008: EUR –180 mln)- Non-recurring items EUR -135 mln (2008: EUR -489 mln)- Operating result (excl. spec. items) Paper division up to

EUR 346 mln (2008: EUR 250 mln)M-Real:- Net result up to EUR -354 mln (2008: EUR -508 mln)- Non-recurring items EUR -117 mln (2008: -26 mln)- Operating loss (excl. spec. items) Office Paper division down

to EUR -56 mln (2008: EUR -24 mln)

Page 17: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Peer Group ComparisonROCE (%) 2009 2008 2007 2006 Target over

the cycleCVG 5.7** -2.0** 2.3** 1.9* 11.0M-Real* -9.8** -3.8** 2.2** 1.0* 10.0StoraEnso* 2.8** 5.3** 9.7** 7.1* 13.0UPM 6.1** 3.8** 3.6** 5.4* n.a.

Sales (ton) Selling priceCVG -4%M-Real* -8%StoraEnso* -7%UPM** -8%

Figures excluding non-recurring items

* = Fine Paper division

** = Paper division

-7%-6%

2009 vs. 2008

-7%-27%

Page 18: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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1. Intro & doelstellingen

Operational & Strategic Issues

Page 19: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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10. Improved position on the labour market

1. Higher added value to existing and new customers

2. Increase in production by efficiency measures

3. Improved services and handling of complaints

4. Expanding our customer base

5. Remaining an independent company

6. Solid return on capital employed, ample solvency, and an attractive dividend yield

7. Use of renewable energy

8. Sustainable products

9. Good employment policy

Mission Statement 2012

Page 20: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Production Volume

Output 197,800 ton in 2009, down 7% on 2008

- Lower order intake- Smaller batches - Strong growth in NBD

• 49,000 ton (+40%)• 25% of production volume

- Time spent on developingand testing of new products

- New ICT logistics system

Production Volume

197.000

212.500

220.500

213.300

197.800

150.000

170.000

190.000

210.000

230.000

250.000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Target 235,000 ton in 2012

Page 21: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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New Business Development Sales & Innovation

0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

35.000

40.000

45.000

50.000

55.000

60.000

65.000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 est.

NB

D T

on

So

ld

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Nu

mb

er o

f N

ew N

BD

Pro

du

cts

Page 22: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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New Products

Crown DI Base 175-230

Base paper for photo quality inkjet

CrownPoster Base 110-

170

Wet strength basepaper for posters

Crown Label Blue Back 100

Label base paperwith very high opacity

Crown Digital FC 90

Coated paper fordigital printing

Page 23: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Sustainably Managed Forests

Sourcing of CoC Certified Bleached PulpFSC or PEFC Chain-of-Custody certified

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Target 70% in 2012

Page 24: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Future Power Plant (DEC)

Based on renewable energy sources (RDF)

Presently no business case due to:– limited availability and higher costs of RDF– financing difficult due to credit crisis– higher investment costs– relative low price of natural gas

Page 25: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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1. Intro & doelstellingen

Outlook 2010

Page 26: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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StoraEnso: – Pickup in demand to be slow and insufficient to restore supply

and demand balance in short term– Improvement in WFU demand in current quarter– Uncoated fine paper prices seem to have bottomed out

UPM: – Paper demand in Europe is forecast to be higher– Price outlook for fine paper is more positive due to better market

balance and higher cost of pulp– Order intake better, but low capacity utilisation rate in Europe will

continue

M-Real: – Demand in WFU to continue at a good level in Q1– M-Real has announced price increases of 8% across all main

markets that will take effect at the beginning of March

Page 27: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Deutsche Bank:

Overcapacity of graphics papers in Europe2010E 2011E 2012E

Production* CapacityOver

Capacity% of totalcapacity Production* Capacity

OverCapacity

% of totalcapacity Production* Capacity

OverCapacity

% of totalcapacity

Newsprint 11.2 13.1 2.0 14.9 11.2 12.4 1.2 9.7 11.4 12.5 1.0 8.4Coacted fine 8.0 9.5 1.5 16.1 8.1 9.4 1.3 13.8 8.2 9.3 1.1 12.0Uncoated fine 9.9 12.1 2.2 18.0 10.0 11.6 1.5 13.1 10.3 11.6 1.3 11.0Coated magazine 7.8 9.8 2.0 20.3 8.0 9.7 1.6 17.0 8.1 9.7 1.5 15.9Uncoated magazine 6.2 7.4 1.2 16.4 6.6 7.4 0.8 11.1 6.7 7.4 0.7 9.0* Apparent consumption plus net exports** All numbers are in m tonnes unless otherwise statedSource: Deutsche Bank estimates, RISI

Page 28: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Outlook for 2010

1. Good order book and cautious recovery of demand, although lower than pre crisis levels

2. Fierce competition due to low capacity utilisation in WFU sector in Europe

3. Crown Van Gelder must raise prices to compensate for higher pulp costs

4. Company has a strong financial position and is well positioned to cope with head winds

The ultimate magnitude and timing of selling price increase and the developments in the pulp markets will be crucial in realising positive results in the first half of 2010. Given the uncertainties Crown Van Gelder is not in a position to give an outlook for the full year’s results.

Page 29: Annual Results 2009 Presentation 12 February 2010

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Questions