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Applied Vegetation Science && (2013) SPECIAL FEATURE: ECOLOGICAL RESORATION A simple test for alternative states in ecological restoration: the use of principal response curves Josu G. Alday & Rob H. Marrs Keywords Acid-grassland; Calluna-heathland; Long-term monitoring; Pteridium aquilinum; Resilience; Resistance; Species composition Abbreviations AS = Alternative state; ASS = Alternative stable state; NVC = National Vegetation Classification types; PRC = Principal response curves; RDA = Redundancy analysis Nomenclature Rodwell (1991, 1992) Received 14 February 2013 Accepted 31 May 2013 Co-ordinating Editor: Lawrence Walker Rob H. Marrs (corresponding author: [email protected]) & Josu G. Alday ([email protected]): School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 3GP, UK Abstract Aims: Ecological resistance and resilience and its link to alternative states is an important concept in ecological restoration. In many situations there is a need to flip one ecosystem state to another and then keep it there; thus there is a need to overcome the resistance/resilience of the starting community and create another one with sufficient resistance/resilience to maintain it in that state. The difficulty for ecological restoration is that these concepts are complicated to measure in practice, and hence tend to be discussed in rather abstract terms. Here, we describe the application of principal response curves (PRC) to test for the crea- tion of alternative states or alternative stable states in ecological restoration studies. Location: Six experiments on acid grassland and heathland invaded by Pteridi- um aquilinum across Great Britain. Methods: We use PRC, a multivariate approach, to measure change in ecologi- cal restoration experiments that allows a formal test of whether alternative states are created. We used PRC to test for change in plant species composition in a ser- ies of replicated experiments designed to change a late-successional ecosystem, dominated by P. aquilinum, into either heathland or acid grassland. Here, we tested three Pteridium control treatments, including two ‘one-off’ treatments (applied only at the start) and a ‘repeated’ (applied regularly) treatment, against an untreated experimental control. Results: In the heathland targets, alternative states were induced within 10 yrs using the ‘repeated’ treatment (cutting twice per year). All ‘one-off’ treatments either did not overcome the resistance of the starting community or if they did, produced a temporary displacement, but the resilience of the initial state was too high and there was a rapid reversion to the starting community. In the grass- land community, alternative states were induced by ‘repeated’ treatment (cut- ting twice per year), but the ‘one-off’ treatment suggested creation of an alternative stable state that lasted 10 yrs. Conclusions: For the first time, there is a methodology using PRC that tests for the creation of alternative states or alternative stable states in ecological restora- tion research. The drawback is that a long-term data set from replicated experi- ments with an untreated control treatment is needed. Introduction A common goal in ecological restoration is attempting to establish a specific target community, process (e.g. succes- sion) or ecosystem condition (Holzel et al. 2012). How- ever, when any restoration management approach is applied there are two important questions that need to be answered: (1) does the restoration treatment applied pro- duce the desired effect; and (2) if the desired restored com- munity is created, is it stable through time? Knowledge of the effectiveness and stability of restoration action is, therefore, of strategic importance, especially when consid- ering the limited resources available for ecological restora- tion. Accordingly, it is crucial to base restoration decisions Applied Vegetation Science Doi: 10.1111/avsc.12054 © 2013 International Association for Vegetation Science 1

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Applied Vegetation Science && (2013)

SPECIAL FEATURE: ECOLOGICAL RESORATIONA simple test for alternative states in ecologicalrestoration: the use of principal response curves

Josu G. Alday & Rob H. Marrs

Keywords

Acid-grassland; Calluna-heathland; Long-term

monitoring; Pteridium aquilinum; Resilience;

Resistance; Species composition

Abbreviations

AS = Alternative state; ASS = Alternative stable

state; NVC = National Vegetation Classification

types; PRC = Principal response curves; RDA =

Redundancy analysis

Nomenclature

Rodwell (1991, 1992)

Received 14 February 2013

Accepted 31May 2013

Co-ordinating Editor: LawrenceWalker

Rob H.Marrs (corresponding author:

[email protected]) & Josu G. Alday

([email protected]): School of

Environmental Sciences, University of

Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 3GP, UK

Abstract

Aims: Ecological resistance and resilience and its link to alternative states is an

important concept in ecological restoration. Inmany situations there is a need to

flip one ecosystem state to another and then keep it there; thus there is a need to

overcome the resistance/resilience of the starting community and create another

one with sufficient resistance/resilience tomaintain it in that state. The difficulty

for ecological restoration is that these concepts are complicated to measure in

practice, and hence tend to be discussed in rather abstract terms. Here, we

describe the application of principal response curves (PRC) to test for the crea-

tion of alternative states or alternative stable states in ecological restoration

studies.

Location: Six experiments on acid grassland and heathland invaded by Pteridi-

um aquilinum across Great Britain.

Methods:We use PRC, a multivariate approach, to measure change in ecologi-

cal restoration experiments that allows a formal test of whether alternative states

are created. We used PRC to test for change in plant species composition in a ser-

ies of replicated experiments designed to change a late-successional ecosystem,

dominated by P. aquilinum, into either heathland or acid grassland. Here, we

tested three Pteridium control treatments, including two ‘one-off’ treatments

(applied only at the start) and a ‘repeated’ (applied regularly) treatment, against

an untreated experimental control.

Results: In the heathland targets, alternative states were induced within 10 yrs

using the ‘repeated’ treatment (cutting twice per year). All ‘one-off’ treatments

either did not overcome the resistance of the starting community or if they did,

produced a temporary displacement, but the resilience of the initial state was

too high and there was a rapid reversion to the starting community. In the grass-

land community, alternative states were induced by ‘repeated’ treatment (cut-

ting twice per year), but the ‘one-off’ treatment suggested creation of an

alternative stable state that lasted 10 yrs.

Conclusions: For the first time, there is a methodology using PRC that tests for

the creation of alternative states or alternative stable states in ecological restora-

tion research. The drawback is that a long-term data set from replicated experi-

ments with an untreated control treatment is needed.

Introduction

A common goal in ecological restoration is attempting to

establish a specific target community, process (e.g. succes-

sion) or ecosystem condition (H€olzel et al. 2012). How-

ever, when any restoration management approach is

applied there are two important questions that need to be

answered: (1) does the restoration treatment applied pro-

duce the desired effect; and (2) if the desired restored com-

munity is created, is it stable through time? Knowledge of

the effectiveness and stability of restoration action is,

therefore, of strategic importance, especially when consid-

ering the limited resources available for ecological restora-

tion. Accordingly, it is crucial to base restoration decisions

Applied Vegetation ScienceDoi: 10.1111/avsc.12054© 2013 International Association for Vegetation Science 1

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and programmes on a sound understanding of ecological

mechanisms, processes and stability.

Ecological restoration can be considered as the practical

implementation of management actions based on succes-

sional concepts and processes to restore self-sustaining eco-

systems on degraded land (Walker et al. 2006; Hobbs et al.

2007). In fact, ecological restoration usually involves the

change of one ecosystem (degraded) into another

(restored), and implicit in this are the concepts of ecosys-

tem stability, which in turn depends on ecosystem resis-

tance and resilience and the potential to move to an

alternative state. In this paper, we considered ecosystem

resilience as the ability of the system to return to its origi-

nal state after a perturbation (Leps et al. 1982; Pimm

1984); others (e.g. Peterson et al. 1998) have used the

term ‘engineering resilience’ for the same process. The

higher the resilience of an ecosystem, the shorter is its

recovery or return time to equilibrium following a pertur-

bation. In contrast, resistance is the ability of the system to

avoid displacement during periods of perturbation of its

environment (Leps et al. 1982).

From a theoretical perspective, the aims of ecological

restoration should be to move the existing degraded eco-

system state to a more appropriate ‘desired’ state, with its

own ecosystem structure, function and biodiversity (SERI

2004). This effort involves overcoming the resistance of

the degraded community (i.e. ability of the degraded eco-

system to avoid displacement) and its resilience (i.e. ability

of the degraded ecosystem to return to its original state

after restoration actions), and move it towards a new,

restored state. Essentially this process creates an alternative

stable state (ASS; sensu Beisner et al. 2003). ASS theory

predicts that ecosystems can exist in multiple states under

the same external environmental conditions, moving from

one stable state to another only through a perturbation

(Beisner et al. 2003). This concept is often visualized as a

landscape plane derived from the ecosystem parameters,

with the possible states as depressions or basins of attrac-

tion within the landscape (Fig. S1). The ecosystem is usu-

ally illustrated as a sphere made up of state variables (e.g.

species composition). A stable ecosystem has sufficient

resistance and resilience to maintain itself in a stable state,

i.e. it will not flip into another state by itself. From a resto-

ration perspective, degraded communities can be viewed

as stable (quarry, mined sites, invaded communities) or

transient (early-established community, mid-successional

plagio-climax communities), therefore, in the first case

nothing will change without management intervention

through some form of perturbation, whereas in the second

although some changes may occur without intervention,

using management actions could accelerate and direct the

successional trajectory (Fig. S1a,b). However, in some sit-

uations if the resistance to perturbation of the degraded

ecosystem is high, no large movement will be produced

(Fig. S1a), whereas if the resistance to management is low,

the restoration treatment may be sufficent to allow the

successional trajectory to reach a new set of state variables

(Fig. S1c). However, where the starting community has a

high resilience, the degraded ecosystem will re-establish

itself rapidly (Marrs et al. 2000), thus wasting restoration

effort (Fig. S1b).

To effect change to a different state, a perturbation will

need to be applied to overcome both the resistance and

resilience of the degraded community and flip it into

another basin of attraction where a new state is created,

ideally with its own high resistance and resilience to

prevent a return to the starting state (Fig. S1c). Thus, an

alternative stable state (ASS) has been achieved, i.e. the

effect has been created through a single perturbation or a

group of perturbations that have stopped. In some ecologi-

cal restoration scenarios, continuous perturbations might

be used (e.g. repeated treatment application in time); here,

it is impossible to know whether an ASS has really been

produced (Fig. S1c) because the continuous treatments

may merely maintain the ecosystem in ‘limbo’. Where this

occurs, the perturbations have overcome the initial resis-

tance of the initial state (degraded ecosystem) but there is

no evidence that the resilience of the newly-created ecosys-

tem can be maintained without the continuous treatment;

hence, in this situation, the newly-created ecosystem is

better termed an alternative state (AS; Fig. S1d).

These theoretical concepts are excellent for illustrating

how ecological restoration could, and perhaps should,

work. However, they are often difficult to test under real-

life situations. Recently, many studies have attempted to

develop methods for measuring restoration success in dif-

ferent ways: using multivariate techniques (McCoy &

Mushinsky 2002), creating new indices (Jaunatre et al.

2013) or comparing restoration treatment trajectories in

multivariate ordinations techniques (Laughlin et al. 2006;

Alday et al. 2011a,b). However, there have been few

attempts to identify both the success of treatments in creat-

ing the target ecosystems and their stability (but see

Schr€oder et al. 2005; Jaunatre et al. 2013), which in turn

inform us about ecosystem resistance and resilience, and

the potential for the restoration treatment to move the

degraded community to an alternative state. Motivated by

this, we have developed a methodology based on the ordi-

nation technique principal response curves (PRC) to iden-

tify, with a simple test, not only the effectiveness of

restoration treatments applied, but also the stability of the

restored ecosystem (i.e. an easy method to search for the

possibility of alternative states, or alternative stable states,

in restoration ecology experimental data sets). PRC is a

special case of redundancy analysis (RDA) for multivariate

responses in an experimental design with repeated

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A simple test for alternative [stable] states J.G. Alday and R.H. Marrs

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observations, and can be used to quantify and visualize the

overall effects of an applied perturbation (restoration inter-

vention) relative to an untreated control. In analytical

terms and from an ecological restoration perspective, PRC

offers five advantages: (1) it reduces the treatment effects

of the many species in the community to two dimensions

(x-axis = representing time and y-axis = representing

treatment effect); this allows us to identify both the effec-

tiveness of applied treatments through time, and also the

stability of the created community; (2) PRC allows a direct

interpretation of restoration treatments from community

level down to species level (Van den Brink & Ter Braak

1998); (3) The magnitude of the effect is comparable

between different ecosystems and restoration treatments

(Alday et al. 2013a); (4) When controls are monitored

periodically, the temporal heterogeneity of the control

community is considered within the analysis; and (5)

Overall community effects can be tested statistically using

linear mixed models, even including monitoring pro-

grammes with complex hierarchical spatial structures (Al-

day et al. 2013a).

Here, we describe the application of PRC to test for the

creation of ASS and AS in an on-going ecological restora-

tion case study. The aims of this paper are to review the

PRCmethodwithin an ongoing restoration study and illus-

trate how it can be used to identify whether AS and/or

ASS have been created, and comment on the resistance

and resilience of the starting communities. Finally, we dis-

cuss the advantages and limitations of this approach in eco-

logical restoration studies.

Methods

Potential use of PRC for detecting AS and ASS

Principal response curves (PRCs; Van den Brink & ter Bra-

ak 1999) are a multivariate technique and as such can

include all state variables of the ecosystem (e.g. species

composition). PRC plot the temporal changes in species

composition for each perturbation as deviations from the

experimental control, which is represented graphically as a

zero line. In terms of ecological restoration, the potential

responses of a perturbation with respect to the creation of

AS and ASS can be visualized relative to the experimental

control (Fig. 1). The basic PRC output plot (Fig. 1a) shows

the untreated control as zero line and a single treatment

that deviates away from the control through time. The ver-

tical line on the right is a list of species indicating species

weights (bk). The species weights represent the affinity of

each species to the treatments analysed: species with posi-

tive values increase with positive treatments, species with

negative values decrease, and species with values near zero

do not show any response to treatments. In this particular

example (Fig. 1), the treatment will have a higher propor-

tion of Sp1 and Sp2 relative to the control, and a lower pro-

portion of Sp4 and Sp5. This distribution of species allows

us to identify whether the restoration method applied is

favouring or reducing the species composition of the target

communities. The various potential outcomes relevant to

ecological restoration are:

1. No significant compositional effect of the perturbation

(Fig. 1b). Here the perturbation did not effect a significant

movement away from the control; hence, resistance of the

initial community is high.

2. A significant compositional effect of the perturbation,

at least initially, but a return to the initial control state in

time (Fig. 1c); here, there is either moderate resistance

and/or high resilience of the initial state. The perturbation

is not large enough to create an AS or ASS.

3. A significant compositional effect of the perturbation

that moves away from the initial state and with no return

to the original state (Fig. 1d); here, there is some evidence

that the resistance of the initial state has been overcome

and the resilience of the new state is sufficient to maintain

it there – i.e. evidence of a new AS or ASS being created.

4. The difference, from an ecological restoration point of

view, between an AS and ASS is illustrated in Fig. 1(e,f).

Figure 1(e) illustrates the effect of a one-off perturbation

that moves the ecosystem through time. The state created

is not reverting through time hence there is evidence of an

ASS being created. Figure 1(f) shows effectively the same

response, but here the perturbation is continuously

applied through time, hence this suggests that an AS has

been created. As we have no evidence that it is stable with-

out the effect of the continuously applied perturbation, we

consider it best described as an AS.

Here, we illustrate the use of PRC to test AS and ASS

within a long-term experimental study designed to reverse

succession. The aim of this restoration study was to move

from one successional state (land dominated by Pteridium

aquilinum) to a state dominated either by dwarf shrub

heathland or acid grassland species.

The case study

Pteridium aquilinum is a serious invasive weed of upland

and marginal land in many parts of the world (Marrs &

Watt 2006), including Great Britain. It is a native wood-

land species that can exist in dense stands once woodland

cover is removed. Where it occurs outside woodland, it

often invades heathland and acid grassland, producing a

reduction in conservation value. Thus, ecological restora-

tion of P. aquilinum-infested land can be viewed as a need

to shift the existing degraded state dominated by P. aquili-

num towards other states dominated either by dwarf shrub

heathlands or grass–forb mixtures. Unfortunately, this

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J.G. Alday and R.H. Marrs A simple test for alternative [stable] states

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cannot be achieved without intervention, as P. aquilinum

is a well-known weed species that is difficult to control

because of its high productivity, producing a dense frond

cover and deep litter, which combine to reduce understo-

rey vegetation (Marrs et al. 2000), and an extensive

underground rhizome system with large carbohydrate

reserves (Le Duc et al. 2003). Ecological restoration, there-

fore, requires a weed management strategy to reduce

P. aquilinum abundance and then create a new community

resembling either native heathland or acid grassland (Cox

et al. 2007, 2008; Stewart et al. 2008). Experience suggests

that this is a long-term process (Marrs et al.1998). Among

the different types of weed control that can be applied to

control P. aquilinum and restore native vegetation, tradi-

tionally they have been viewed as one-off treatments, i.e.

applied one or twice at the start of the restoration work, or

as repeated treatments, where annual treatments are

applied. Examples of the former include herbicide-based

treatments and the latter include periodically cutting or

bruising the bracken fronds (Alday et al. 2013b).

Fig. 1. Conceptual models of how Principal Response Curves (PRC) can be used to test for the creation of Alternative Stable States (ASS) and Alternative

States (AS): (a) The basic diagram that appears when one treatment is contrasted against the untreated control, here there is a positive move away from

the control and this is related to the species plotted on the vertical axis: (b–d) represent a range of potential generic outcomes; and (e,f) highlight the

differences between ‘one-off’ and ‘continuous’ treatments. The individual graphs show: (b) no significant effect – resistance of the starting community is

high, (c) an initial significant effect but a rapid recovery back to the starting state – resistance is less than (b) but resilience of the initial state is high. (d) an

increasing departure form the untreated control indicates the creation of a different state, this response is further sub-divided into (e) where a one-off

treatment creates an ASS, and (f) where repeated treatments create an AS. Significance is determined with linear mixedmodels.

Applied Vegetation Science4 Doi: 10.1111/avsc.12054© 2013 International Association for Vegetation Science

A simple test for alternative [stable] states J.G. Alday and R.H. Marrs

(a) (b)

(c) (d)

(e) (f)

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Here, we describe an application of PRC analyses of

results derived from a series of six stand-alone, replicated

experiments where the starting state was vegetation domi-

nated by P. aquilinum. In three experiments, the aim was

to flip the initial state to dwarf shrub vegetation (preferably

dominated by Calluna vulgaris heathland, H12; Rodwell

1991), and in the other to flip the initial state to an acid

grassland state (U4 or U5; Rodwell 1992). The full method-

ology and a detailed analysis is available in Cox et al.

(2007) and Alday et al. (2013b); here we concentrate on

the use of PRC to test for AS and ASS and to identify resis-

tance and resilience of the newly-created ecosystems.

Briefly, within each experiment a randomized block

experimental design was used with six P. aquilinum control

treatments applied at the main plot level (10 9 40 m). At

sub-plot level, various site-specific vegetation restoration

treatments were applied.

Monitoring

In 1993, species composition was measured in selected

random sub-plots in each experiment to ensure that the

vegetation and bracken variables were similar; these data

were not used in the PRC analysis. The vegetation in all

experiments was monitored in June from 1994 to 2003,

i.e. before application of the ‘repeated’ treatments. Quad-

rats (1 m 9 1 m) were placed at two or three pre-selected

random co-ordinates on 1-m grids within each sub-(sub-)

plot, and the cover of all vascular plant, bryophyte and

lichen species recorded (Alday et al. 2013b).

Data analysis

Statistical analyses were performed in the R software envi-

ronment (v.2.12.2; R Foundation for Statistical Comput-

ing, Vienna, Austria), using the vegan package for

multivariate analyses and the nlme package for linear

mixedmodels (LMM).

For the multivariate analysis, all species that only

occurred in <5% of quadrats were removed before analy-

sis, and a log-transformation [loge(x + 1)] applied. As the

dwarf shrub and grassland target sites showed clear separa-

tion in ordination space, separate PRC analyses were per-

formed for each vegetation target (heathland or acid

grassland; Alday et al. 2013b). All six main plot P. aquili-

num control treatments were included in both PRC analy-

ses (Alday et al. 2013b), but here for simplicity we only

present illustrative examples of how this approach can be

used to test for the creation of AS and ASS. In this study,

we discuss (1) untreated (experimental control); (2) a

‘repeated’ treatment cut twice per year in both June and

August every year, and two-one-off treatments; (3) Asu-

lam herbicide in year 1 only; and (4) a single June cut in

year 1 followed by Asulam spraying in year two (acid

grassland experiments only).

In the PRC analysis, we use the plot compositional data

matrix (heathlands n = 454; grasslands n = 1269). Then,

the overall community transformed species data at plot

scale were standardized. The environmental variables were

coded as a partial redundancy analysis that allows for

time-specific treatment effects (Pteridum control treat-

ments 9 time interactions) while controlling for the

overall temporal trend using time as a covariable. In the

PRC model, Pteridum control treatment and time were

introduced as factors. The first axis of each PRC was

inspected with randomization tests using the reduced

model and 9999 permutations stratified to account for

monitoring structure (plot/block/site).

The PRC can be used with experimental data sets having

different spatial replication levels (quadrats, plot, block,

sites), so that it is possible to select the lower level as units

in the analysis (quadrats) or intermediate levels (plots or

blocks). In both cases, the PRC diagrams will plot similar

temporal changes in community composition in response

to experimental treatments, since this technique averaged

treatment values on the basis of the analysis units (plots or

blocks). However, for valid statistical interpretation of the

permutations and treatment contrasts, the replicated

design structure of the monitoring must be considered in

the later analysis (true replicates). Hence, vegetation com-

positional differences between treatments and the experi-

mental control in each sampling year were evaluated

using linear mixed models (LMM; Pinheiro & Bates 2000).

From the PRC results, plot scores for the axis of interest (in

our case axis 1) were used as the response variable, and

Pteridum control treatments (experimental control as refer-

ence) and time were treated as categorical fixed factors.

Random effects were defined to account for: (1) spatial cor-

relation, using a hierarchical structure of plot, block and

site; and (2) temporal correlation, including time nested

within the spatial variables (Pinheiro & Bates 2000). For

each year, the pair-wise comparisons were tested with

respect to the experimental control; thereafter Bonferroni

correction was used to assess the significance level of each

contrast (Sokal & Rohlf 1995). Here, the critical probability

level for detecting significance between contrasts was

a = 0.01.

The species weights (bk) represent the affinity of

each species to the treatments analysed, and the sign

indicates the direction of the changes in abundance.

The species weights were used to compare how these

new communities were moving towards the target

community NVC types, H12 for Calluna heathland and

U4 or U5 for acid grassland (Rodwell 1991, 1992). For

clarity only the most frequent species are shown in the

PRC plots.

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J.G. Alday and R.H. Marrs A simple test for alternative [stable] states

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Results

Differential responses to restoration treatment

perturbations

For the Calluna heathland target sites, all treatments ini-

tially moved away from the untreated control in a positive

direction until 1998, thereafter three treatment composi-

tional response types were detected (Fig. 2a):

1 No response – the ‘one-off’ cutting plus Asulam treat-

ment (SprayCut) moved a short distance in a positive

direction until 1998, but after 1998 this treatment moved

back towards the experimental control, showing no signifi-

cant compositional difference throughout the study

(t < 2.54, P > 0.01). Accordingly, here the treatment was

not sufficient to move the vegetation from its initial state,

indicating that the initial state had resistance to change.

2 A significant compositional change and then a return to

the initial state. The ‘one-off’ single Asulam treatment

(Spray) was significantly different from the untreated con-

trols in 2000 (t = 4.02, P < 0.003), afterwards there was a

movement back towards the experimental control. By

Do not overcome initial

resistance

Overcome initial resistance

AS formed

Initial resilience is high

AS formed

ASS formed

(a)

(b)

Fig. 2. PRC outputs from the ecological restoration case-study where the starting state was dominated by Pteridium aquilinum. (a) Sites where the target

community was a Calluna vulgaris-dominated heathland and (b) where the target community was an acid-grassland (see Alday et al. 2013a,b for a further

analysis). Solid lines represent ‘repeated’ treatment; Cut2pa = cut twice per year, and broken lines ‘one-off’ treatments; Spray = asulam in year one,

SprayCut = single June cut followed by asulam spraying in year two. The blue arrows (2b) indicate the type of treatments applied; light-blue ‘one-off’

treatments (i.e. applied only at the start of the restoration work), darkblue ‘repeated’ treatments (i.e. treatments applied regularly).

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2003, this ‘one-off’ treatment was not significantly differ-

ent from the experimental control (t = 2.25, P = 0.033).

Here, the treatment overcame the resistance of the initial

state for a time, but not its resilience.

3 A significant change that increased compositional differ-

ences throughout the study period. The ‘repeated’ cutting

twice per year (Cut2pa) treatment continued to increase

through time away from the experimental control, reach-

ing values of nearly 2.0 in 2003 when it were significantly

different from the experimental control (t = 6.53,

P < 0.001). Here, an AS has been produced, since the ini-

tial resistance has been overcome but the ecosystem is

maintained in this state by the repeated treatments.

Thus, where the aim is to shift vegetation from a

P. aquilinum state to one dominated by dwarf shrubs (e.g.

C. vulgaris), it is necessary to overcome the high resistance

and resilience of the initial state. This was only achieved

where continuously applied treatments were used (Alday

et al. 2013b), hence an AS has been produced.

The Calluna heathland species that increased in

abundance after Pteridium control treatments were (posi-

tive weights): Agrostis capillaris, Campylopus introflexus,

C. vulgaris, C. pyriformis, Deschampsia flexuosa, Dicranum

scoparius, Festuca ovina, F. rubra, Galium saxatile, Hypnum jut-

landicum, Potentilla erecta, Rhytidiadelphus squarrosus and

Vaccinum vitis-idaea; indicating that the managed commu-

nity is moving towards the target heathland community

(mainly Cut2pa). Species responding negatively to Pteridi-

um control treatments (negative weights) included Brachy-

thecium rutabulum, Eurhynchium praelongum, Lophocolea

bidentata and P. aquilinum.

For the acid grassland target sites, only two composi-

tional responses were detected (Fig. 2b):

1 A significant change that increased compositional differ-

ences throughout the study period. The ‘repeated’ cutting

twice per year treatment (Cut2pa) showed the same

response as the C. vulgaris target sites. It continued increas-

ing away from the experimental control, reaching values

of nearly 2.0 in 2003 (t = 7.91, P < 0.001). Again, an AS

has been produced.

2 A significant effect was maintained throughout the

study period. The ‘one-off’ single Asulam treatment

(Spray) produced an immediate and significant strong

compositional response during the first 4 yrs (1994–97;

t1997 = 5.17, P < 0.001). Thereafter, the compositional dif-

ferences were maintained stable at values of 1.5–2.0 until

2003, when they were still significantly different from the

experimental control (t = 5.13, P < 0.001). Here, there is

evidence that the initial ‘one-off’ treatment has overcome

the resistance and the resilience of the initial state, and

suggests an ASS.

The acid grassland species that increased in abundance

after Pteridium control treatments were (positive weights;):

Aira praecox, Carex caryophyllea, F. ovina, F. rubra, Luzula

campestris, G. saxatile, P. erecta and Vaccinium myrtillus; indi-

cating that the managed community was moving towards

the target acid grassland community (both treatments).

Species that showed a reduced abundance with Pteridium

control treatments (negative weights) were Cirsium palus-

tre, Lathyrus linifolius, Poa trivialis, P. aquilinum and Veronica

chamaedrys.

Discussion

One of the major goals of ecological restoration research is

to test the effectiveness of restoration actions (perturba-

tions) to move from a degraded state towards a new

restored and stable state that resembles the desired target

community and ecosystem (H€olzel et al. 2012). Here we

have described the application of PRC to test for the effec-

tiveness and the creation of AS and ASS after application

of selected restoration treatments. The results obtained

using these approaches are robust, statistically defensible

and repeatable, with different restoration targets. Finally,

this approach can also be used to infer the resistance and

resilience of the degraded ecosystems to restoration action.

Advantages and limitations of this approach

The use of PRC on ecological restoration experiments

offers several benefits in terms of data interpretation. Using

this approach, we were able to answer the two important

questions that are fundamental to ecological restoration

research, as outlined in the Introduction. First, the direc-

tion of change within the managed ecosystems give us

information on the success of the restoration measures

with respect to characteristic species of the desired target

community (vertical line of right side of biplots; Fig. 1), i.e.

whether the perturbation worked or not. Second, the com-

positional movements within the PRC analysis for each

applied treatment gave a formal assessment of whether the

created communities were stable, and hence the ability to

create AS or ASS during restoration actions was tested at

least over the time period studied (Fig. 1).

These restoration action outcomes are clearly demon-

strated in this study. Where Calluna heathland was the tar-

get community, the ‘repeated’ treatment (Cut2pa) was

most effective in shifting community composition towards

the target community and inducing an AS. Because the

‘repeated’ treatment was applied annually, there is no evi-

dence that the state will not revert to the Pteridium-invaded

state if this treatment were to be removed, i.e. the AS may

be treatment-dependent and could be transient if the inter-

vention ceased (Schr€oder et al. 2005). In contrast, the

‘one-off’ treatments produced a community displacement,

overcoming the resistance of the invaded community in

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J.G. Alday and R.H. Marrs A simple test for alternative [stable] states

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the case of the Spray treatment (Fig. 2a), but its high resil-

ience induced a convergence with the experimental con-

trol within 10 yrs. Hence, these treatments are not

appropriate for restoring the target vegetation. On acid

grassland target sites, both ‘one-off’ and ‘repeated’ treat-

ments (Spray and Cut2pa, respectively) were effective in

overcoming resistance, and the ‘one-off’ treatments also

overcame the resilience of the invaded community, sug-

gesting the creation of an ASS sensu Schr€oder et al. (2005),

whereas the ‘repeated’ treatments produced an AS. As in

the Calluna heathland target vegetation, the AS may be

transient if the intervention ceases.

Irrespective of the community considered, our results

show some evidence for the creation of ASS on ‘one-off’

treatments in the time period studied. However, for suffi-

cient evidence of ASS creation, a test for the hysteresis of

the systems would be needed (Schr€oder et al. 2005; i.e.

dependence of the systems not only on current perturba-

tion but also on the history of past perturbations). This

could be done with reverse manipulation attempts using

the PRC methodology to identify the multiple possible

equilibrium points in the return trajectory to the invaded

state. However, this will necessitate careful preliminary

thought and development of very long-term monitoring

programmes, which are uncommon in restoration ecology

because of the limited resources available. In any case, as

Beisner et al. (2003) suggest, it is entirely possible that an

equilibrium point returns along exactly the same trajectory

throughwhich it left, so hysteresis is not a necessary condi-

tion for the existence of alternative stable states.

Another important advantage of this approach is that

most ecological restoration studies start from the premise

of assuming that the degraded ecosystem can be changed

into the target ecosystem after restoration treatment. Using

PRC, we are able to test this assumption by focusing on the

resistance and resilience of the degraded ecosystem with

respect to the restoration measures. At the same time, this

approach allowed us to identify whether we need to

increase the level of perturbation (restoration action) to

overcome the ecosystem stability variables (resistance and

resilience) for effective restoration. The application of PRC

can be used not only to test the overall species composition

or individual species responses to restoration measures,

but also to identify if the responses of different plant groups

(e.g. vascular plants, bryophytes, lichens) are similar to

overall community responses (Alday et al. 2013b).

In this study, we have used the experimental control

(i.e. Pteridium aquilinum-invaded community) as a refer-

ence zero line to evaluate success of the restoration treat-

ments, using the species weights to compare how these

new communities were moving towards the target com-

munities. This was based on our main aim – to understand

how different invaded plant communities respond to

Pteridium control treatments – i.e. if there was a movement

in the community from a Pteridium-dominated state to a

new one using only Pteridium control treatments. This

approach illustrates the effectiveness of restoration actions

in moving the community from an invaded state to differ-

ent one; nevertheless, it is possible to use as control treat-

ment the reference target community if our main aim is to

evaluate the success of restoration treatments moving

towards it. In this case, the most effective treatments will

be those that produce a movement of the restored commu-

nity towards the control zero line (i.e. target community).

Using this method, it is possible to use as control (refer-

ence zero line) different vegetation communities (e.g. ref-

erence target community, originally invaded community

or both in separate analysis) that have been monitored

only once (static view), i.e. comparing the treatment effect

always against the same community monitored at one

time point. However, it is recommended that reference

controls should be monitored periodically (repeated moni-

toring in time). In these cases the temporal heterogeneity

of the control community is included within the analysis,

reducing the amounts of variation in the data produced by

temporal process (e.g. punctual droughts). At the same

time, since the treatment effects are on the same scale, we

can compare the magnitude of the effect between restora-

tion treatments within and between ecosystems, testing

the differences with LMM (Alday et al. 2013a).

One of the main drawbacks in the use of PRC in restora-

tion ecology, however, is that to use it effectively may

require long-term, properly designed experiments (true

replicates) where applied perturbations (restoration inter-

ventions) are tested against untreated controls. Such stud-

ies are rare in restoration ecology. Nevertheless, they can

be applied in long-term monitoring programmes using, as

a control treatment (reference zero line), the least-per-

turbed restoration method or least degraded site (see

Gonz�alez-Alday et al. 2010), and even the reference target

community (see Poulin et al. 2013). These alternatives

help us to identify the compositional movement produced

in particular monitoring programmes that were not

designed as experiments. In any case, although PRC can be

used in unreplicated experiments and observational stud-

ies, testing for statistical significance of the compositional

differences between treatments and the control is best

achieved using properly replicated experiments.

Finally, this article represents a way in which PRC can

be applied in restoration ecology to search for the possibil-

ity of ASS or AS and to assess both resistance and resilience

of the degraded community to restoration action. How-

ever, the general philosophy of this method is not limited

to ecological restoration research. The use of PRC to test for

evidence of alternative states is applicable to a wide variety

of ecological questions and experiments that have been

Applied Vegetation Science8 Doi: 10.1111/avsc.12054© 2013 International Association for Vegetation Science

A simple test for alternative [stable] states J.G. Alday and R.H. Marrs

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designed as long-term monitoring programmes; thus they

could prove valuable for testing interventions in conserva-

tion biology were information on both ecosystems and

organisms of conservation interest could be derived.

Acknowledgements

We thank the DEFRA (Project BD1226) and the Basque

Country Government (Programa Posdoctoral de perfeccio-

namiento de doctores del DEUI to J.G.A. BFI-2010-245)

for financial support. Also, we thank the two reviewers,

Beatrix Beisner and Jordi Cortina who provided useful

comments on earlier version of the manuscript. Ms S. Yee

prepared the figures.

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Supporting Information

Additional Supporting information may be found in the

online version of this article:

Figure S1. Conceptual models of alternative stable states

(ASS) and alternative states (AS).

Applied Vegetation Science10 Doi: 10.1111/avsc.12054© 2013 International Association for Vegetation Science

A simple test for alternative [stable] states J.G. Alday and R.H. Marrs