Alaska Native Population BasicsAlaska Native Population Basics

by

Scott Goldsmith

Institute of Social and Economic Research

University of Alaska Anchorage

The Present …The Present …

2000 Population Overview

Alaska Native Population Basics

59910 59331

119241

0

50000

100000

150000

MALE FEMALE TOTAL

Alaska Native and American Indian Population Living in Alaska, 2000

ANAI reporting one or more ethnic backgroundsSource: US Census, 2000

The Present …The Present …

2000 Population Overview

Alaska Native Population Basics

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

0-4 5-9 10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

ANAI Population by 5 Year Cohorts, 2000

ANAI reporting more than one ethnic background

ANAI reporting a single ethnic backgroundSource: US Census, 2000

The Present…The Present…

2000 Population Overview: by region

Alaska Native Population Basics

1890814283

28400

41387

16353

05000

1000015000200002500030000350004000045000

NORTH INTERIOR SOUTHWEST

SOUTH SOUTH EAST

ANAI Population by Region, 2000

ANAI reporting one or more ethnic backgroundsSource: US Census , 2000

The Present …The Present …

2000 Population Overview: by age

Alaska Native Population Basics

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

North Interior SW South SE State

Share of Regional ANAI Population by Young, Middle-Aged, and Elders, 2000

0-14 15-64 65+S o urce: US Cens us , 2000

The Present …The Present …

Alaska Natives Living Inside and Outside Alaska

Alaska Native Population Basics

Alaska Native (only) Single Ethnic Background, 2000

80%

20%

Living in AK Living outside AK

Source: US Census, 2000

How things have changed …How things have changed …

Changes in Mortality and Fertility: General Fertility Rate

Alaska Native Population Basics

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

live

birt

hs p

er 1

000

fem

ales

bet

wee

n ag

es 1

5-44

Alaska Native General Fertility Rate by Region, 1990-1999

138.5 87.5 142.3 91.7 81.4 108.3 58.9

North Interior SW South SEAlaska Native

Non Native

S o urce: IS ER Preliminary Es timates ; US Cens us ; A las kaVital S tatis tics

How things have changed …How things have changed …

Changes in Mortality and Fertility: Infant Mortality

Alaska Native Population Basics

Statewide Trend in Infant Mortality, Alaska Native and Non-Native

0.0

4.0

8.0

12.0

16.0

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Dea

ths

per

1,00

0 Li

ve B

irths

Native Non-Native

Source: ISER preliminary estimates; AK Vital Statistics

How things have changed …How things have changed …

Changes in Mortality and Fertility: Life Expectancy

Alaska Native Population Basics

62.0

64.0

66.0

68.0

70.0

72.0

74.0

76.0

Age

Alaska Native Life Expectancy at Birth, (1990-1999)

67.9 69.1 70.1 71.0 74.1 70.4 74.3 66.5 74.9

No rth Interio r SW S o uth SE NativeNative

Fem aleNative Male

All Alas kans

S o urce: ISER p re liminary es timate: US Census : A laska V ital S tatits it cs

How things have changed …How things have changed …

Statewide Population Growth

Alaska Native Population Basics

Non-Native (1980-1990)

Non-Native (1990-2000)

Alaska Native (1980-1990)

Alaska Native (1990-2000)

0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0%

Estimated Average Annual Growth Rates

Source: US Census - ISER preliminary estimates

How things have changed …How things have changed …

Population Change by Age: 5 year cohorts

Alaska Native Population Basics

ANAI Estimated Annual Growth Rates by Five Year Cohorts, 1990-2000

-3.0%

-2.0%

-1.0%

.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+

age cohortSource: US Census - ISER preliminary estimates

How things have changed …How things have changed …

Regional Population Growth

Alaska Native Population Basics

Estimated Annual Regional Growth of ANAI Population,

1990 - 2000

1.7%1.5%

1.7%

.9%

4.2%

NORTH INTERIOR SW SOUTH SE

Statewide Growth of ANAI Population: 2.25%

S o urce: US Cens us - IS ER prelim inary es tim ates

How thingsHow things have changed …have changed …

Migration

-4000

-3000

-2000

-1000

0

1000

2000

3000

NORTH INTERIOR SW SOUTH SE

Estimated ANAI Regional Net-Migration, 1990-2000

Source: ISER preliminary estimate

Alaska Native Population Basics

How things have changed …How things have changed …

Population Change by Age: young, old, and elders

Alaska Native Population Basics

-1%

1%

3%

5%

7%

9%

11%

pe

rce

nt

North Interior SW South SE State

Estimated Annual Regional Growth Rates by Age, Alaska Natives, 1990-2000

0-14 15-64 65+Source: US Census - ISER preliminary estimates

2000 Population Overview

Alaska Native Population Basics

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

0-4 5-9 10-14

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85+

ANAI Population by 5 Year Cohorts, 2000

ANAI reporting more than one ethnic background

ANAI reporting a single ethnic backgroundSource: US Census, 2000

The Future…The Future…

2000-2010 Population Change (when ignoring migration, mortality, and births)

Alaska Native Population Basics

Proforma Alaska Native Population Change, 2000-2010

-3000

-2000

-1000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+

ag e co ho rt

S o urce: 2000 C ensus (AN AI with o ne o r m o re racial backgro unds ); IS ER preliminary es timates

Further Information aboutFurther Information about

Alaska Native PopulationAlaska Native Population

www.iser.uaa.alaska.edu

www.alaskaneconomy.uaa.alaska.eduwww.alaskaneconomy.uaa.alaska.edu

Alaska Native Population Basics