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A world with 9 Billion people….
Towards Building global Water, Food and Energy Resilience
Dr. Ger BergkampDirector General
World Water Council
30 March 2009, S.A.I.S. Seminar, Washington DC
Historic Historic Dramatic Dramatic
CHANGECHANGEThe changing
’human enterprise’1750 - 2000
1950+ - human activities began to increase.....
PopulationPopulation WealthWealth InvestmentsInvestments
DamsDams
City PeopleCity People
Motor CyclesMotor Cycles
Water useWater use FertiliserFertiliser
PaperPaper
TouristsTourists
MacDonaldsMacDonalds
PhonesPhones
Zarqa River Basin (Jordan)
Bullet, statement
Bullet, statement
Image, graphs etc
The main drivers of the long-term outlook
Slow-down in world population growth
0.0
3.0
6.0
9.0
12.0
1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050
To
tal p
op
ula
tio
n
(bill
ion
s)
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
An
nu
al in
cre
me
nts
(b
illio
ns)
Source: FAO & UN, World Population Assessment 2006
1950
Analysis Munich ReData:U.N. Population Division
World Cities: 5+ million
2015
Mekong Region – From rural to urban
Battling the storm and restoring water supplies and ecosystems
Bullet, statement
Energy Consumption and Income are LinkedEnergy Consumption and Income are Linked
5 billion low-income people in countries with rapid economic growth rates
Presented during 5th World Water Forum by FAO
Source: WWAP
The number of undernourished is increasingnumbers of undernourished in the world 1990-92 to 2008 (millions)
842832
848
923
963
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
1050
1100
1990
-92
1995
-97
2003
-05
2007
2008
2009
2010
years
mill
ion
s
Source: FAO Preliminary est.
Projected impacts of climate change
1°C 2°C 5°C4°C3°C
Sea level rise threatens major cities
Falling crop yields in many areas, particularly developing regions
FoodFood
WaterWater
EcosystemsEcosystems
Risk of Abrupt and Risk of Abrupt and Major Irreversible Major Irreversible ChangesChanges
Global temperature change (relative to pre-industrial)0°C
Falling yields in many developed regions
Rising number of species face extinction
Increasing risk of dangerous feedbacks and abrupt, large-scale shifts in the climate system
Significant decreases in water availability in many areas, including Mediterranean and Southern Africa
Small mountain glaciers disappear – water supplies threatened in several areas
Extensive Damage to Coral Reefs
Extreme Extreme Weather Weather EventsEvents
Rising intensity of storms, forest fires, droughts, flooding and heat waves
Possible rising yields in some high latitude regions