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David Arnaud, Senior Fund Manager | October 2020
For investment professional use only – not for use by retail investors.
A truly global approach: delivering non-correlated returns
An introduction
to Canada
Life Asset
Management
77%
4%
6%
7%6%
Fixed Income: £30.8bn
Cash: £1.6 bn
Equities: £2.3bn
Mortgages: £2.6bn
Property: £2.5bn
Long history and tenure in asset management
Financial strength & security provided by
Canadian parent company, Great-West Life Co,
who has over £987bn* consolidated assets
under administration.
Active in the UK since 1903, we have an
experienced team of 50 investment managers
and analysts – managing £40.5bn across fixed
income, cash, equities, property, mortgages &
multi-asset funds.
Source: Canada Life Asset Management, as at 31/08/20. * AUA as at 30/06/20
3
Focus on fixed income & cash
Our fixed income team manages £32.4
billion assets across government,
corporate and money market funds for
a wide variety of clients.
There is over 280 years’ industry
experience between the fund managers
& in-house credit research team, with
an average experience of 15 years
Source: Canada Life Asset Management, as at 30/06/2020. C
red
it R
ese
arch
Fun
d M
anag
ers
0 10 20 30 40
Marta MeloniIbrahim Ashworth
Jay PatelDaleep Shahi
Ryan ZengSanjay Patel
Jeff AydinAlec Chung
Rick Wisentaner
Eleni PoullidesMichael CountDavid Arnaud
Kshtij SinhaSteve Matthews
Andy HeadFiona Keogh
Roger Dawes
Years
Years in industry
Years at Canada Life Asset Management
4
LF Canlife Global Macro Bond Fund David Arnaud & Kshitij Sinha
▪ 16 years’ experience in investment management
▪ Joined Canada Life Asset Management in January 2006
▪ Manages c. £6 billion in corporate bond and government
bond portfolios
▪ MSc in Economics & Management and a Postgraduate
diploma in Financial Engineering & Corporate Finance,
both from Paris Dauphine University
▪ CFA charterholder
▪ 15 years’ investment experience
▪ Joined Canada Life Asset Management in August 2016
▪ Previously traded European investment grade and crossover
corporates as a market maker at Morgan Stanley
▪ MSc in Operational Research from the London School of
Economics
▪ CFA charterholder
5
Fixed income
investing in
the UK
Unlike in equities, there is a significant home bias apparent
in fixed income
▪ Investment Association data shows us that £601 billion is
invested in equity funds (as 30.06.20)
▪ 66% (£396 billion) is invested in markets outside of the UK
▪ In fixed income, however, just 27% of assets under
management is invested in global bond funds. The vast
majority is invested across the various £ sectors
Investors are losing out
on the benefits of
diversification (from both
a risk and return basis),
by paying less attention
to global bond funds
Risks not sufficiently
diversified
Source: Investment Association, as at 30/06/2020.
7
The domination of hedging further contributes
to reduced diversification
The sector is home to a
wide array of strategies,
covering global
government, investment
grade corporate & high
yield debt
Global Bonds
Even within global bond
vehicles, however, there
is a preference to invest
in hedged share classes
Currency hedging
For example, Vanguard’s £20 billion Global Bond Index Fund only offers hedged share classes
8
Source: Investment Association & Trustnet, as at 31/08/2020.
Unhedged fixed income delivers a truly global experience
Asset Allocation Decisions
▪ Clearly, both hedged & unhedged fixed income
play a role in client portfolios
▪ However, we believe some investors are missing
a trick, by only allocating to hedged global fixed
income products
▪ Active currency allocations can be a useful
source of return during periods where
government bond yields are rising/negative or
credit spreads are widening
▪ This can be critical in preserving capitalSource: Morningstar Direct, as at 31/08/20. Performance of Bloomberg Barclays
Japan Government Float Adjusted Index, in GBP & JPY.
10
Unhedged outperformed hedged over 10 years▪ Using the Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index, we can see that the unhedged version has
outperformed over the last 10 years
Source: Morningstar Direct, in sterling, as at 14/09/20..
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Sep/10 Sep/11 Sep/12 Sep/13 Sep/14 Sep/15 Sep/16 Sep/17 Sep/18 Sep/19 Sep/20
% r
etu
rn
Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate TR GBP
Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate TR Hedged GBP
11
And 5 years….
Source: Morningstar Direct, in sterling, as at 14/09/20.
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
Se
p/1
5
No
v/1
5
Jan
/1
6
Ma
r/1
6
Ma
y/1
6
Jul/
16
Se
p/1
6
No
v/1
6
Jan
/1
7
Ma
r/1
7
Ma
y/1
7
Jul/
17
Se
p/1
7
No
v/1
7
Jan
/1
8
Ma
r/1
8
Ma
y/1
8
Jul/
18
Se
p/1
8
No
v/1
8
Jan
/1
9
Ma
r/1
9
Ma
y/1
9
Jul/
19
Se
p/1
9
No
v/1
9
Jan
/2
0
Ma
r/2
0
Ma
y/2
0
Jul/
20
Se
p/2
0
% r
etu
rn
Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate TR GBP
Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate TR Hedged GBP
12
▪ Unhedged fixed income has also tended to provide greater protection during periods of market stress
Greater downside mitigation
Source: Morningstar Direct, in sterling, calendar year 2008.
45.1
7.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
% r
etu
rn
The 2008 Financial Crisis
Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate TR GBP Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate TR Hedged GBP
13
14
Greater downside mitigation
Source: Morningstar Direct, in sterling, 01/03/20 to 30/06/20.
4.4
0.6
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
Feb/20 Mar/20 Apr/20 May/20 Jun/20
% r
etu
rn
The Covid-19 pandemic (March to June 2020)
Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate TR GBP
Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate TR Hedged GBP
▪ We believe an unhedged fixed income portfolio is critical in providing increased
diversification for GBP-denominated investors
▪ This can be evidenced by the significantly lower long-term correlation offered by
unhedged global fixed income (as represented by the Bloomberg Barclays Global
Aggregate Bond Index unhedged and hedged versions) versus a weighted average of
the IA £ Corporate Bond, £ Strategic Bond and £ High Yield sectors
Source: Morningstar Direct, as at 31/08/2020. Long-term correlation measured from 1990 to 31/08/20 using monthly data points. Indices used = Bloomberg Barclays Global
Aggregated Bond Index, Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index Hedged GBP, IA £ Corporate Bond, IA £ Strategic Bond & IA £ High Yield.
Lower correlation to other GBP sectors
15
Case Study Example – 2018
▪ 2018 was a volatile year in which we saw
government bond yields rise globally
▪ In addition, corporate bond spreads widened.
In a typical environment, spreads tighten when
government bond yields rise
▪ Therefore, it was very hard to generate returns
without looking at your currency exposure and
allocating accordingly
▪ The Fund benefitted from its overweight to USD
& JPY for example, which allowed it generate a
positive return for the year
Source: Morningstar Direct, bid-to-bid, with net income reinvested and no initial charges, 31/12/17 to 31/12/18. C Acc GBP share class performance, in pound sterling. Government bond yields increased
globally (e.g. US treasuries, UK gilts, German bunds), credit spreads widened (e.g. iBoxx USD Corporates, GBP Corporate, EUR Corporates indices, trade-weighted GBP fell in value.
16
How do we
construct
portfolios? Asset
sector & stock
selection still
critical
LF Canlife Global Macro Bond Fund
▪ Invests solely in developed market currencies (USD,
EUR, GBP, CAD, JPY, AUD). Most peers are heavily USD$
biased, we aim to offer a more diversified exposure
▪ Takes views on currencies and leaves exposures
unhedged
▪ Invests in high quality, liquid government and investment
grade corporate bonds
▪ No derivatives, long-only. Simple & easy to understand
portfolio
▪ ‘Triptych’ approach to generating returns: interest rates,
corporate spreads & FX
Source: Canada Life Asset Management, as at 31/08/2020. The Distribution Yield reflects the amounts that may be expected to be distributed over the next twelve months as a percentage of the mid-
market unit price of the fund as at the date shown. It is based on a snapshot of the portfolio on that day. It does not include any preliminary charges and investors may be subject to tax on distributions.
18
How do we find opportunities?
Strong credit
Appropriate
duration
Attractivevaluation
2BUY
3
1
• Interest rates
• Inflation
• Bond yields
• Currencies
• Quarterly forecasts
• Weekly updates
Macroeconomic analysis
Stock selection: investing in credits
we understand
• Positive fundamental view
• Strong guarantee mechanism
• Cheap vs. own history
• Cheap vs. peers
TOP DOWN BOTTOM UP
19
Idea generation to execution
Weekly credit
meeting
Fund manager
ideas
DiscussionRelative value
analysis
Market monitoringOngoing
monitoring
and review
Trade
execution
20
Positioning &
Performance
Outlook
• Central banks will continue to support recovery in their respective economies through easy monetary policies
• Extension of low/negative rates
• Governments will be providing fiscal support to fuel economic recovery
• The monetisation of government and corporate debt fuelled by QE which distorts credit market
▪ Neutral / Short duration
▪ Overweight Corporates
▪ Overweight subordinate debt in high quality names
▪ Overweight EUR
22
Asset & Currency Breakdown
Source: Canada Life Asset Management, as at 31/08/2020.
23
Fund Performance
Source: Source: Morningstar Direct, in sterling. C Acc GBP share class, bid to bid, with net income re-invested. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of investments
may fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount invested. Income from investments may fluctuate. Currency fluctuations can also affect performance.
24
Credit examples
Bond details as at time of purchase:
▪ Yield: 3.72%
▪ Duration: 17.9 yrs (to call)
▪ Z- Spread: 285 bps
▪ Rating: A+
Credit highlights:
▪ Leading industrial conglomerate serving manufacturing, healthcare and consumer markets
▪ Geographically diversified revenue stream spread over
70 countries
▪ Strong liquidity with $4.5bn cash & equivalent vs. $2.1bn debt maturing in 2020 & 2021
▪ Parent entity rating of A+ (S&P)
3M Company (USD) 3.7% 50
26
The views expressed in this document are those of the fund manager at the time of publication and should not be taken as advice, a forecast or a recommendation
to buy or sell securities. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount invested. Income from investments may
fluctuate. Credit ratings are internal and assigned by Canada Life Asset Management. Ratings will generally be in line with the major external rating agencies and
should not be higher than the highest of these. Canada Life Asset Management will assign ratings to bonds that do not have an external rating.
Bond details as at time of purchase:
▪ Yield: 2.96 %
▪ Duration: 8.5 yrs (to call)
▪ Z- Spread: 290 bps
▪ Rating: A
Credit highlights:
▪ Second largest airport group in Europe
▪ 50.6% ownership by the French government
▪ Lower leverage than peer European hubs
▪ Parent entity rating of A (S&P)
Aeroports de Paris (EUR) 2.75% 30
27
The views expressed in this document are those of the fund manager at the time of publication and should not be taken as advice, a forecast or a recommendation
to buy or sell securities. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount invested. Income from investments may
fluctuate. Credit ratings are internal and assigned by Canada Life Asset Management. Ratings will generally be in line with the major external rating agencies and
should not be higher than the highest of these. Canada Life Asset Management will assign ratings to bonds that do not have an external rating.
Bond details as at time of purchase:
▪ Yield: 3.66%
▪ Duration: 4.5 yrs (to call)
▪ Z- Spread: 260 bps
▪ Rating: BBB
Credit highlights:
▪ Leading global market position in hand and power tools
with strong global branding
▪ Geographically diversified revenue stream
▪ Higher margins than peers due to good pricing power
and efficient operations
▪ Parent entity rating of A (S&P)
Stanley Black & Decker (USD) 4% 25-60
The views expressed in this document are those of the fund manager at the time of publication and should not be taken as advice, a forecast or a recommendation
to buy or sell securities. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount invested. Income from investments may
fluctuate. Credit ratings are internal and assigned by Canada Life Asset Management. Ratings will generally be in line with the major external rating agencies and
should not be higher than the highest of these. Canada Life Asset Management will assign ratings to bonds that do not have an external rating.
28
Contact02074 156 488
07825 583 930
Canada Life Asset Management
1 – 6 Lombard Street
London
EC3V 9JU
Important Information
Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and investors may not get back theamount invested. Income from investments may fluctuate. Currency fluctuations can also affect performance.
The information contained in this document is provided for use by investment professionals and is not for onward distribution to, or to be reliedupon by, retail investors. No guarantee, warranty or representation (express or implied) is given as to the document’s accuracy or completeness.The views expressed in this document are those of the fund manager at the time of publication and should not be taken as advice, a forecast ora recommendation to buy or sell securities. These views are subject to change at any time without notice. This document is issued forinformation only by Canada Life Asset Management. This document does not constitute a direct offer to anyone, or a solicitation by anyone, tosubscribe for shares or buy units in funds. Subscription for shares and buying units in the fund(s) must only be made on the basis of the latestProspectus and the Key Investor Information Document (KIID) available at www.canadalifeassetmanagement.co.uk.
Data Source - © 2020 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or itscontent providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor itscontent providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.
Canada Life Asset Management is the brand for investment management activities undertaken by Canada Life Asset Management Limited,Canada Life Limited and Canada Life European Real Estate Limited. Canada Life Asset Management Limited (no. 03846821), Canada Life Limited(no.00973271) and Canada Life European Real Estate Limited (no. 03846823) are all registered in England and the registered office for all threeentities is Canada Life Place, Potters Bar, Hertfordshire EN6 5BA. Canada Life Asset Management Limited is authorised and regulated by theFinancial Conduct Authority. Canada Life Limited is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial ConductAuthority and the Prudential Regulation Authority.
CLI01706 – 31/10/2020