Upload
others
View
3
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
1
The Arizona Legislative Alert - A project of UUJAZ and VUU. Giving Voice to UU Values in Arizona
Election Wrapup (11/14 Update)
November 14, 2018
Prepared by Anne L. Schneider, PH.D. opinions are those of the author.
Shining a bright light for social justice! Downloadable PDF here.
To be added to the email list, or to be taken off send request to [email protected].
Some of the data may not display all that well in your email or browser.
Get the PDF here ). http://files.vuu.org/uujaz/2018/alert-111418.pdf
Only races still “out” are
• Katie Hobbs (D) is still leading and almost sure is going to win this race
with a margin of 4,000 to 8,000 votes. Still votes to be counted.
• Brophy-McGee ( R) (State Senate, District 28) leading Christine Marsh (D)
by 472 votes out of about 85000. There are no provisions for recounts
unless this gets within 50 votes.
• Only about 20,000 votes being counted each day now. Most are from Pima
county (about 19,000) and Maricopa (100,000) and both favor Democrats.
• Nationally – Democrats continue to pick up seats in the U.S. House of
Representatives and will control it; Republicans will control the Senate with
51 or more Senators compared 47, 48, 49 depending on how various races
end up.
• Sinema (D) for U.S. Senate has won by about 38,000 votes out of 2,258,722
counted so far (57% turnout). This is the seat currently held by Sen. Jeff
Flake who did not run again. There are an estimated 150,000 left to be
counted
• Kathy Hoffman (D) has won the State Superintendent of Instruction by
54,000 or more votes.
2
• Sandra Kennedy is leading for first of two positions for Corporation
Commission and leads third place person by 15,000. She has won a seat on
the Commission. Justin Olson has won the second seat.
Implications of the Secretary of State race for Arizona and the U.S. Senate. If
Katie Hobbs wins the Secretary of State race, she will then be “next in line” for
the Arizona Governor, as AZ has no Lt. Governor. The implication here is
interesting in that Jon Kyle was appointed to fill John McCain’s senate seat. Kyl
said he would only serve to the end of 2018. This means re-elected Doug Ducey
can appoint someone else to that seat. If he appoints himself, which is possible, it
would mean the Secretary of State would become Governor – and if that is Katie
Hobbs, it would turn the Governorship over to a Democrat. (This happened
when Janet Napolitano left the Governor’s office to take a position in the Obama
Administration and Jan Brewer became Governor for two years and was then re-
elected). So, the chances of Gov. Ducey appointing himself to the McCain Senate
seat are slim if Hobbs wins the Secretary of State position. He could appoint
McSally. She gave a very nice concession speech, and Sinema gave a very
gracious acceptance speech. Forward with a new politics?
With only a small number of ballots still to be counted in Arizona, most races
have been called. A final will be posted after election results are official. You
can find updates daily posted on the AZSOS site
https://results.arizona.vote/#/state/4/0
Recounts? In Arizona, for a state-wide race, the race has to be really close, like
200 votes out of the two million; and for a state legislative race, it needs to be
within 50 votes for an automatic recount. There are no legal provisions in
Arizona for a person to pay for a recount. Also, recounts would not begin until
the election results are officially validated, which is on December 3.
• Nationally - Democrats have won a majority in the U.S. House of
Representatives (226 to 197 with 13 still too close to call) but Republicans
maintain (and may extend slightly) their control of the Senate 51-45 with
four still not called. Control of the U. S. House by Democrats is
extraordinarily important, as it means there will be serious, organized
opposition to the DJT agenda, including the almost-certainly illegal
appointment of Matt Whitaker as Attorney General.
3
• U.S. Senate – Sinema has won with a margin just below 40,000!
• Congress House District 1 – O’Halleran (D)
• Congress House District 2 – Kirkpatrick (D)
• Congress House District 3 – Grijalva (D)
• Congress House District 4 – Gosar ( R)
• Congress House District 5 – Biggs ( R)
• Congress House District 6 – Sweigert ( R)
• Congress House District 7 – Gallego (D)
• Congress House District 8 – Lesko ( R) • Congress House District 9 – Stanton (D)
In Arizona
• Republicans still control all three branches of Arizona Government:
Governor, Senate, and House, but the margin of control is noticeably
smaller in the House than before, currently 31-29 and in the Senate
probably still 17-13. In Arizona, a tie in the Legislature on a vote means the
bill fails, so this might produce more bipartisan compromises especially in
the House.
• Brophy-McGee still leads by a small amount in district 28 Senate race 536
votes out of about 85,000) but this has not changed much in the past few
days. If this gets within 50 votes, there would be an automatic recount,
• Democrats “flipped” four Republican-held districts to Democratic in the
House, while not losing any.
• State Races –
o Governor – Ducey (R)
o Attorney General – Brnovich (R)
o Secretary of State – Hobbs is UP now by about 5,000 votes.
o State Treasurer – Yee (R )
o State Superintendent of Public Instruction HOFFMAN (D) up by
about 54000 and has won.
o Mine Inspecter – Hart (R )
o Corporation commissioner (elect 2). Kennedy (D) has won one seat
and Justin Olson the other.
4
• Propositions – Prop 305, the effort to expand vouchers (“empowerment
scholarships”) to all K-12 students went down to a huge defeat, 70%
saying NO to vouchers, 30% saying YES.
o Prop 125 Passed – Reform of the retirement system for some
categories of public employees – YES 52%, NO 48%
o Prop 126 – Passed – This PROHIBITS any increases or new taxes on
services. YES 65% No 35%. This is a blow to education and other
public services!
o Prop 127 – An effort to set higher standards for clean energy in the
Arizona constitution FAILED as 69% voted no and 31% voted yes.
o Prop 305 – DEFATED! This defeats the effort to expand eligibility
for vouchers that take money from public schools and permit it to
be used for tuition at private schools, religious schools, home
schooling or other expenses, with almost no accountability for the
actual use of the funds. A BIG WIN for public education. 70% NO,
30% YES.
o Prop 306 – An effort to handcuff the Arizona Clean Elections
Commission in its rule making and enforcement authority
PASSED, 56% to 44% meaning it will be even harder to keep dark
money out of politics.
• Judges – All supreme court judges were retained as were those in the two
Superior court districts.
• Central Arizona Water Board (5 slots) – Voters returned three incumbents
who were endorsed by the Sierra club, another conservation advocate
also endorsed by Sierra club, and one whose positions are not known, out
of the 14 candidates. Winning seats are incumbents – Lisa Atkins, Terry
Goddard and Heather Macre – and newcomer Jennifer Martin, a
coordinator for the Sierra Club’s Water Sentinels project who will be an
outspoken voice for water conservation. The fifth seat when to April
Pinger, whose positions on water are largely a mystery.
Get the PDF here ). http://files.vuu.org/uujaz/2018/alert-110918.pdf
Volunteer & Activism
5
• Take a rest for a few days! Then, we will get back to work.
No One Is Above the Law: Rallies in Case DJT interfers with
Mueller
Rallies were held Thursday evening throughout Arizona and the United States in
response to DJT’s removal of Jess Sessions as AG and his appointment of Matt
Whitaker, which almost certainly is a violation of the succession acts (U.S. Code 5
– 3345 and 28 U.S. Code 508 as well as a violation of the U. S. Constitution, Article
II. Whitaker was NOT in the statutorily-mandated line of succession, as he was
Session’s chief of staff, and did not hold a position at DOJ that required Senatorial
approval. In addition, his supervision of the Mueller investigation almost
certainly is a violation of the terms that established the special counsel position.
Sign up for the “instant response” to be notified of next steps by the “No One is
Above the Law” coalition. There was an impressive showing of people
throughout Arizona in response to the call for action that took place within 24
hours of DJT’s actions. https://www.trumpisnotabovethelaw.org/event/mueller-
firing-rapid-response/search/.
Or, you can text 668-366 with the word “alert.” Here’s how: click on
“messages” on your I-phone, then click on the pencil in the top right hand
corner. If there is no pencil, push the back arrow. You will get a “to” screen.
Put 668-366 in it, then in the message (down at bottom) type “alert.”
Contact information:
Sen. Jon Kyl’s Office, Washington. G12 Dirksen Senate Office Building, Washington, DC 20510
Phone: 202-224-2235. Phoenix: 2210 E. Camelback Rpoad, suite 115. Phone 602 952 2410 Tucson, 407 W.
Congress St., Suite 103. Phone 520 670 6334.
• Sen. Jeff Flake • Washington D.C. Sen. Jeff Flake - 202 224 4521. 413 Russell Senate Office Building Washington DC 20510
e-mail: https://www.flake.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/contact-jeff
Find your district here if you don’t know it
https://azredistricting.org/districtlocator/
6
Scroll down to get the names of Democratic and Republican candidates in
YOUR district and the winner of each race.
Resistbot.io - How to use it. Click on the “messages” icon on your i-phone, then
click on the pencil in the top right-hand corner. You will get a “To: “ screen. Put
in 504-09 and then in the message type “resist.” They will respond and ask for
your zip code or address and what you want to do. This is a free service,
reportedly developed by volunteers. It will ask for your zip code or address, and
then you can send a fax, letter, make a phone call, send an e-mail to Sen. Flake
and Kyl and the House member as well or even to Governor Ducey.
After you have sent several, it will ask you which of the various people you want
it sent to. At first, it just sends to all three, later it will add state-level elected
officials, too. You get more services after you’ve used it awhile!
Election Wrapup (not final) for 2018 Election
If this is not displaying properly, get the pdf at
this link http://files.vuu.org/uujaz/2018/alert-111418.pdf
Arizona 2018 State-Wide Races (Governor, etc.)
STATE WIDE RACES (I – Incumbent) GOVERNOR Republicans Democrats Vote Margin Doug Ducey (I) David Garcia 56% - 41%
ATTORNEY GENERAL Mark Brnovich (I) January Contreras 52 - 48
SECRETARY OF STATE
Steve Gaynor 1,037,122 Katie Hobbs 1,035,114 She gained another 7,000 votes in the last update and now leads by 5,667.
7
There’ss still more to be counted. She might pull it off.
STATE TREASURER
Kimberly Yee Mark Manoil 55 - 45
STATE SUPERINTENDENT OF PUBLIC INSTRUCTION
Frank Riggs 999,460 Kathy Hoffman 1,043,023 Hoffman now has a commanding lead.
MINE INSPECTOR Joe Hart William Pierce 52 - 48
CORPORATION COMMISSION (two slots) Justin Olson 945240 Sandra Kennedy 949882 Kennedy has now pulled
ahead and she and Olson probably will win.
Rodney Glassman 941365 Kiana Sears
SENATE Arizona State Senate election candidates
Vote for just ONE Find your district here https://azredistricting.org/districtlocator/
Republicans 16 Democrats 13. District 28 not settled yet.
Distric
t
Democrat
Republican
1 Jo Craycroft Karen Fann (I) 70 -30
2
Andrea Dalessandro (I) Shelley Kais 57 – 43
3 Sally Ann Gonzales No candidate 100
4 Lisa Otondo (I) No candidate 100
5 J'Amie Morgaine Sonny Borrelli (I) 75-25
6 Wade Carlisle Sylvia Tenney Allen (I) 52-48
8
7 Jamescita Peshlakai (I) JL Mealer 67-33
8 Sharon Girard Frank Pratt (I) 57-43
9 Victoria Steele No candidate 100
10 David Bradley (I) Marilyn Wiles 57-33
11 Ralph Atchue Venden Leach 55-45
12 Elizabeth Brown Eddie Farnsworth 58-42
13 Michelle Harris Sine Kerr (I) 63-37
14 Jamie Alvarez David Gowan 61-39
15 Kristin Dybvig-Pawelko Heather Carter 61-39
16 Benjamin Carmitchel David Farnsworth (I) 63-37
17 Steve Weichert J.D. Mesnard 51-48
18 Sean Bowie (I) Frank Schmuck 55-45
19 Lupe Contreras (I) No candidate 100
20 Douglas Ervin Paul Boyer 49-44
21 No candidate Rick Gray (I) 100
22 Wendy Garcia David Livingston 64-36
23 Daria Lohman Michelle Ugenti-Rita 58-42
24 Lela Alston Vicki Alger 70-30
25 Kathy Mohr-Almeida Tyler Pace 62-38
26 Juan Mendez (I) Rebecca Speakman 64-36
27 Rebecca Rios No candidate 100
28 Christine Marsh Kate Brophy McGee (I) McGee up by 617.
29 Martin Quezada (I) No candidate 100
30 Otoniel Navarrete No candidate 100
Notes • An (I) denotes an incumbent.
9
Arizona House of Representatives Election Candidates, Vote for 2
Find your district here if you don’t know it https://azredistricting.org/districtlocator/
Three seats changed from Republican to Democrat. Republicans 32 – Democrats 28
District
Democrat
Republican
1
Ed Gogek
Jan Manolis
Noel Campbell (I)
David Stringer (I)
2
Rosanna Gabaldon (I)
Daniel Hernandez Jr. (I)
John Ackerley
Anthony Sizer
3
Andres Cano
Alma Hernandez
Beryl Baker (GRN)
Rep: No candidate
4
Charlene Fernandez (I)
Geraldine Peten (I)
Rep: No candidate
GRN: Sara Mae Williams
5 Mary Robinson Regina Cobb (I)
Leo Biasiucci
6
Felicia French
Bobby Tyler
Bob Thorpe (I)
Walter Blackman
7
Arlando Teller
Myron Tsosie Doyel Shamley
8
Carmen Casillas
Linda Gross
David Cook (I)
T.J. Shope (I)
9
Randall Friese (I)
Pamela Powers Hannley (I) Ana Henderson
10
Kirsten Engel (I)
Domingo Degrazia (flipped) Todd Clodfelter (I)
11
Hollace Lyon
Marcela Quiroz
Mark Finchem (I)
Bret Roberts
12
Joe Bisaccia
Lynsey Robinson
Travis Grantham (I)
Warren Petersen
10
13 Thomas Tzitzura Tim Dunn (I)
Joanne Osborne
14
Bob Karp
Shelley Renne-Leon
Becky Nutt (I)
Gail Griffin
15
Julie Gunnigle
Jennifer Samuels
John Allen (I)
Nancy Barto
16 Sharon Stinard
Kelly Townsend (I)
John Fillmore
GRN: Richard Grayson
17
Jennifer Pawlik Jeff Weninger (I)
flipped Nora Ellen
18
Denise Epstein (I)
Jennifer Jermaine
Flipped - Jill Norgaard (I)
Greg Patterson
19
Diego Espinoza (I)
Lorenzo Sierra No candidate
20
Hazel Chandler
Christopher Gilfillan
Anthony Kern (I)
Shawnna Bolick
21
Bradley Hughes
Gilbert Romero
Kevin Payne (I)
Tony Rivero (I)
22
Valerie Harris
Teri Sarmiento
Ben Toma (I)
Frank Carroll
23 Eric Kurland Jay Lawrence (I)
John Kavanagh
24
Jennifer Longdon
Amish Shah David Alger Sr.
25 Johnny Martin Russell Bowers (I)
Michelle Udall (I)
26
Isela Blanc (I)
Athena Salman (I) Raymond Speakman
27
Reginald Bolding (I)
Diego Rodriguez No candidate
28
Kelli Butler (I)
Aaron Lieberman
Flipped Maria Syms (I)
Kathy Petsas
11
29
Richard Andrade (I)
Cesar Chavez (I) No candidate
30
Robert Meza
Raquel Teran Gary Spears
Notes • An (I) denotes an incumbent.
Valley Unitarian Universalist Congregation – Senior Minister, Rev. Dr. Andy Burnette; Music Minister, Rev. Kellie Walker; Director of Faith Formation, Marci
Beaudoin; Administrator, Sue Ringler. Located: 6400 W. Del Rio Drive, Chandler, AZ 480 899 4249
www.vuu.org For previous copies of the Arizona Legislative Alert go to http://www.vuu.org/legislative-
advocacy/ VUU holds services each Sunday at 10:30. On October 14, VUU will go to TWO Services, one at 9:15 and one at 11:30.
Both will be the same service, same format, sermon, music etc. You are welcome here.
Unitarian Universalist Justice Arizona Network -- Executive Director Rev. Lisa
McDaniel-Hutchings; Policy Coordinator, Anne L. Schneider. Board Members, UUJAZ: Sharon Travis, Liz Swan
(Chair),Rev. Matthew Crary, Bobbi Bollinger. www.uujaz.org.