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CRISIS GROUP r c o c o c o c r c c | ^ U O £ C C ll ^ o c | y ^ ^ ^ u Crisis Group Asia Briefing N°154 Brussels, 24 January 2019. Translation from English c r r c s © |^o^|ro^ron ocp C C P COCO C S C O oc c c,AA> ^ac[yg^>^6[^DTOOcs^ 3©>33O>ps s[©a^^psro ^acooo«6OTD (AA) ot o co c I ' c s c\ c © O c o OTOT9OT06|OTpC QOTOOOC op PS 6OTOTS0OTOT 3©SQOT L L JL l_J L \ C L JL L_, L L OC OC C C T PCP C C C ^aCOTCS^CS^DS^Of^l°S36Ol 3f0©f0O ^CSOTCS O ®©^C6^ s [0[ to O^^ o O o 6 ot 5 to ^,|[^0S^[^CS3DS [^©6O]6©a^^N § c c o c o c pc c pc c pc c n c OSOOT OTTO SOTO fgCOOTOTOfSCSOT^ fO>OTg6^jDOlSOTOS^> C\ c pc pc oc. o o c c pco 9OT9OTg3[OC [0>OOSCCOT ^OTC^jD 3OTOT^0j^° [OfOo6 ^ S ^DSOTOTOOj^SOTOT^S ^OT6OTS6©0g[^©OTgll & C P C s N C t a o s ^ r o i i IOO^ 6 S1 S 6 OToOT0 otC 3©OTq9CotCsqCsOTOs0]otOT 3!Cq96OTOOTOTS J J oL o o L l l L l LZ T c c I 1 c o c p c c c c c ce o e o o 63l63DC93>S © ^^00 ^9CfO^>OTOTC 3>33OTOT30IOT3©S^OT n c s f o o c o c c c c o co Co nc c o O O ^ S G O S S O roC5>>OOTOCSOTC >0 0 ^ 6 OTj^ ^9CSCC6^S69lCS6OT0COT ICC got SOT OT©06«oOTefOC 3©SQOT OTqpS©9OTOTN L L © JLLJo l L L O ° 1 —^ O O C C O C O O I ' OC. O o c c 3OTOlOTO^O^pSOT ^9COT0J[SOTo :^[OT^S &CC6^S3^ C|S> 0 S|OT^OT OT[OTg^>^63DC OT6OT6^p6^pOT9OTgll

A New Dimension of Violence in Myanmar's Rakhine State - … · 2019-02-04 · A New Dimension of Violence in Myanmar's Rakhine State Crisis Group Asia Briefing N°154, 24 January

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Page 1: A New Dimension of Violence in Myanmar's Rakhine State - … · 2019-02-04 · A New Dimension of Violence in Myanmar's Rakhine State Crisis Group Asia Briefing N°154, 24 January

C R IS IS GROUP

r c o c o c o c r c c | ^ U O £ C C € l l ^ o c | y ^ ^ ^ u

Crisis Group Asia Briefing N°154Brussels, 24 January 2019. Translation from English

c r r c s © | ^ o ^ | r o ^ r o n

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A New Dimension o f Violence in Myanmar's Rakhine StateCrisis Group Asia Briefing N°154, 24 January 2019 Page 2

O T06& C C O I- Q s

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A New Dimension o f Violence in Myanmar's Rakhine StateCrisis Group Asia Briefing N°154, 24 January 2019 Page 3

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A New Dimension o f Violence in Myanmar's Rakhine StateCrisis Group Asia Briefing N°154, 24 January 2019 Page 4

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A New Dimension o f Violence in Myanmar's Rakhine StateCrisis Group Asia Briefing N°154, 24 January 2019 Page 5

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A New Dimension o f Violence in Myanmar's Rakhine StateCrisis Group Asia Briefing N°154, 24 January 2019 Page 6

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1 “AA launches massive coordinated attacks on four border police outposts in Buthidaung township, leaves 9 injured, 13 police personnel killed”, Global New Light o f Myanmar, 5 January 2019.

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3 “AA backstabbed gov’t forces in Jan 4 attacks: Border guard officer”, The Irrawaddy, 7 January 2019.

22 Crisis Group OT [C°s9|°

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must give up goal of confederation: Myanmar military”, The Irrawaddy, 18 January 2019.D CD ra gO C I 1 cTO (O gs[rogll

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6 “Myanmar’s civilian, military leaders meet, vow to ‘crush’ Rakhine rebels”, Reuters, 7 January 2019.77 3© SQ ro roO|[S® 0 ^ 0 ®OT OTCSQCSOOSOfDS jw® ^O ^OO TjO ^raOSOgll ra®OQC?OTC

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8 “A new war rages in Myanmar”, Asia Times, 15 January 2019.9 “AA must give up goal of confederation: Myanmar military”, The Irrawaddy, 18 January 2019.

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12 “Fresh ARSA attack injured six police officers”, The Irrawaddy, 20 January 2019.

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15 “Local EU Statement on the Escalation of Violence in Rakhine State”, Delegation of the European Union to Myanmar, Yangon, 10 January 2019.

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16 “Chinese Embassy’s Statement on the Violence in Rakhine State”, Embassy of the People’s Republic of China in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar, 5 January 2019.17 “Asia and the Pacific: Weekly Regional Humanitarian Snapshot (1-7 Jan 2019)”, UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, 7 January 2019.18 “Aid groups barred from Rakhine conflict zones”, The M yanmar Times, 14 January 2019.19 “Concern mounts for IDPs in northern Rakhine as army blocks aid shipments”, The Irrawaddy,9 January 2019.

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20 See Crisis Group Asia Briefing N°140, A Tentative Peace in M yanmar’s Kachin Conflict, 12 June 2013, Section III.C.2121 JOOO ©>roOTC 3 O ® 3 S O T QO®GQS

o c o o c x p c a 9 3 9 j> 3 3 < 8 OTroo[W® G>

22 “Analysis: Arakan Army - A powerful new threat to the Tatmadaw”, The Irrawaddy, 8 January 2019.

OJro[yDSo^s[ysG>oro KIA o g otoogotd^c

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23 c c o coo c c nr c c o c o c c c^ O G O T D ra o so g T O S | a o 3 a :o o c 3 o f G o l a c o g i i ^ s c o n i O GTO|agogps^i

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3G O S® O TO Crisis Group Asia Report N°261, The Politics o f Rakhine State, 22 October 2014

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24 “Myanmar’s Rakhine torched anew by insurgent fire”, Asia Times, 3 January 2019.25 poOD3G>[SC “Welcome to the 9th anniversary of Arakan Army Day”, video, YouTube, 6 April

2018. OT g g o l l l

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fCCsro>f9csoS^06OH gOOO “AA issues threatening letters to Rakhine police, village head”, The

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30 “How to fund a war - Arakan Army officer arrested with guns, drugs in Yangon”, Global New Light o f Myanmar, 28 February 2016.31 “Police searching for six suspects over record US$106 million drug haul”, The M yanmar Times,19 August 2015.3232 GTO>s[yDS<O>©[yDSTO [gfODTOJOGC 9 ° ° ° TOJOCSp G3lOD J .g ° OfSTOjCOD0 ® O g ll

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A New Dimension o f Violence in Myanmar's Rakhine StateCrisis Group Asia Briefing N°154, 24 January 2019 Page 19

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36 3GOS®OTGOTSGSSOef^S3OTTO Crisis Group Asia Report N°287, Building Critical Mass fo r

Peace in Myanmar, 29 June 2017 TO[TOgSll

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37 “Confederation the only option for Arakanese people, AA chief says”, The Irrawaddy , 11 January2019.38 Crisis Group Asia Briefing N°153, Bangladesh-M yanmar: The Danger o f Forced Repatriation,

12 November 2018. TO (TOgolll

39 “AA leader dismisses ‘ridiculous’ claim that his group has ties to ARSA”, The Irrawaddy, 11 April O C O ( ' c o c o

2018. 0g© J <§CC3COSpOG33G[ropCS3GOS©OTTO Crisis Group Report, The Politics o f

Rakhine State, op. cit., pp. 10-11. TO [TOgOlll

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40 Crisis Group Report, The Politics o f Rakhine State, op. cit., pp. 14-18. TO [TOQOIn

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41 “Repatriation plan stalls as Rohingya refuse to return to Myanmar”, Catholic News Service, 15 November 2018.

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A New Dimension o f Violence in Myanmar's Rakhine StateCrisis Group Asia Briefing N°154, 24 January 2019 Page 25

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Appendix A: Map of Myanma

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I N T E R N A T I O N A L

CRISIS GROUP

International Crisis Group Headquarters

Avenue Louise 149, 1050 Brussels, Belgium Tel: +32 2 502 90 38. Fax: +32 2 502 50 38

[email protected]

New York [email protected]

Washington [email protected]

London [email protected]

Regional Offices and Field RepresentationCrisis Group also operates out o f over 25 locations in Africa,

Asia, Europe, the Middle East and Latin America.

See www.crisisgroup.org for details

PREVE NTIN G WAR. SHAPING PEACE.