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A country’s balance of payments accounts keep track of both----
its payments to and its receipts from foreigners. Payment to foreigners is entered in the balance of
payments accounts as a debit and is given a negative (—) sign.
Receipt from foreigners is entered as a credit and is given a positive (+) sign.
Balance of Payments Accounting
The Balance of Payments is the statistical record of a country’s international transactions
Over a certain period of time Double-entry bookkeeping.
N.B. when we say “a country’s balance of payments” we are referring to the transactions of its citizens and government.
Balance of payment: Definition BOP: The BOP is an accounting record of all economic
transactions between the residents of a country &
residents of foreign countries
Rules of BOP Account
A transaction that leads to payments from residents of a country to rest of the world (ROW)
-----recorded as a debit(in that country’s BOP)
A transactions that leads to payment from ROW to residents -------is a credit entry
A transaction that increase the availability or reduces demand for foreign exchange is a credit entry
A transaction that uses up foreign exchange is a debit entry
Eg: Export from India to Germany,
---Leads to payment from Germany to Indian exporter
A. It should be recorded as credit The German importer pays the Indian exporter
with a euro draft drawn in a German bank The exporter sell this draft to his Indian bank ---
SBI.
SBI sends this draft to its correspondent bank in Frankfurt, ------deutsche bank.
Deutsche bank collects on it and credit the amount to SBIs account with itself
This leads to an increase in SBI s foreign assets and
debit entry which effects the credit entry Credit entry in the current account and debit entry
in the capital account
Components of BOP
A. Current account : Imports and exports of goods and services Unilateral transfers of cash , goods and services B. Capital account: Grouped transactions leading to changes in
foreign financial assets and liabilities of the country
C. Reserve account:
Same as capital accounts But in assets category only reserve assets are
included Assets which the monetary authority of the
country uses to settle the deficits and-----
------surplus that arise on the other two categories taken together
E.g. monetary gold, assets denominated foreign currencies,
special drawing rights, and reserves positions in the IMF
In short - it is the difference between
both visible and invisible items
included in export and import
If total debits and credit are equal
Then balance exceeds credit
There is un favourable BOP
If credit > debit then BOP is favourable-
demand for home currency in foreign market is greater than its supply
Three types of International Transactions are recorded in Balance of Payments: Transactions that involve the export or import of goods
or services. They enter directly into the current account.
The financial account records all international purchases or sales of financial assets.
Certain other activities resulting in transfers of wealth between countries are recorded in the capital account.
Balance Of Payments:Current Account
The balance of payments accounts divide exports and imports into three categories: Merchandise trade
Exports or imports of goods.
Services Payments for legal assistance, tourists’ expenditures, and shipping
fees.
Income International interest and dividend payments and the earnings of
domestically owned firms operating abroad.
It also includes unilateral current transfers (like gifts and foreign aids)
Balance Of Payments:Financial Account
It measures the difference between sales of assets to foreigners and purchases of assets located abroad. Financial inflow (capital inflow)
A loan from the foreigners with a promise that they will be repaid.
Financial outflow (capital outflow) A transaction involving the purchase of an asset from foreigners.
Example: When an American company buys a French factory, the
transaction enters the U.S. balance of payments as a debit in the financial account
Balance Of Payments:Capital Account
Result of nonmarket activities, or represent the acquisition or disposal of non-produced, nonfinancial, and possibly intangible assets (such as copyrights and trademarks).
Examples: If U.S. government forgives $1 billion in debt owed to
it by Pakistan, U.S. wealth declines by $1 billion, or the $1 billion is recorded as debt in U.S. capital account.
If wealthy British citizen immigrates to U.S. and brings along $5billion in British asset, result would be a $5 billion credit in U.S. capital account
Simple rule of double-entry book keeping: “Every international transaction automatically enters
the balance of payments twice, once as a credit and once as a debit.”
It holds true as every transaction has two sides: If you buy something from foreigner, you must pay
him/her in someway
Examples
A U.S. citizen buys a $1000 typewriter from an Italian company, and the Italian company deposits the $1000 in its account at Citibank in New York.
That is, the U.S. trades assets for goods. This transaction creates the following two offsetting
entries in the U.S. balance of payments:It enters the U.S. CA with a negative sign (-$1000).It shows up as a $1000 credit in the U.S. financial account.
A U.S. citizen pays $200 for dinner at a French restaurant in France by charging his Visa credit card.
That is, the U.S. trades assets for services. This transaction creates the following two offsetting
entries in the U.S. balance of payments:It enters the U.S. CA with a negative sign (-$200).It shows up as a $200 credit in the U.S. financial account.
A U.S. bank forgives $5000 in debt owed to it by the government of Pakistan.
This transaction creates the following two offsetting entries in the U.S. balance of payments: It enters the U.S. capital account with a negative sign (-$5000). It shows up as a $5000 credit in the U.S. financial account.
Any international transaction automatically gives rise to two offsetting entries in the balance of payments resulting in a fundamental identity:
Current account + financial account + capital account = 0
Balance of Payments Example
Suppose that Maplewood Bicycle in Maplewood Missouri, USA imports $100,000 worth of bicycle frames from Mercian Bicycles in Darby England.
There will exist a $100,000 credit recorded by Mercian that offsets a $100,000 debit at Maplewood’s bank account.
This will lead to a rise in the supply of dollars and the demand for British pounds.
The balance of payments accounts are those that record all transactions between the residents of a country and residents of all foreign nations.
They are composed of the following: The Current Account The Capital Account The Official Reserves Account
Balance of Payments Accounts
The Official Reserves Account
Official reserves assets include gold, foreign currencies, SDRs, reserve positions in the IMF.
The Balance of Payments Identity
BCA + BKA + Balance reserve account= 0where
BCA = balance on current account
BKA = balance on capital account
Under a pure flexible exchange rate regime,
BCA + BKA = 0
U.S. Balance of Payments Data
Credits DebitsCurrent Account
1 Exports $1,167.61
2 Imports ($1,295.53)
3 Unilateral Transfers $6.13 ($45.01)
Balance on Current Account ($166.80)Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $107.93 ($119.44)
5 Portfolio Investment $387.62 ($79.28)
6 Other Investments $194.95 ($227.2)
Balance on Capital Account $264.58
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($96.76)
Overall Balance $1.02 Official Reserve Account ($1.02)
U.S. Balance of Payments Data
In 1997, the U.S. imported more than it exported, thus running a current account deficit of $166.8 billion.
Credits DebitsCurrent Account
1 Exports $1,167.61
2 Imports ($1,295.53)
3 Unilateral Transfers $6.13 ($45.01)
Balance on Current Account ($166.80)Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $107.93 ($119.44)
5 Portfolio Investment $387.62 ($79.28)
6 Other Investments $194.95 ($227.2)
Balance on Capital Account $264.58
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($96.76)
Overall Balance $1.02 Official Reserve Account ($1.02)
U.S. Balance of Payments Data
During the same year, the U.S. attracted net investment of $264.58 billion—clearly the rest of the world found the U.S. to be a good place to invest.
Credits DebitsCurrent Account
1 Exports $1,167.61
2 Imports ($1,295.53)
3 Unilateral Transfers $6.13 ($45.01)
Balance on Current Account ($166.80)Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $107.93 ($119.44)
5 Portfolio Investment $387.62 ($79.28)
6 Other Investments $194.95 ($227.2)
Balance on Capital Account $264.58
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($96.76)
Overall Balance $1.02 Official Reserve Account ($1.02)
U.S. Balance of Payments Data
Under a pure flexible exchange rate regime, these numbers would balance each other out.
Credits DebitsCurrent Account
1 Exports $1,167.61
2 Imports ($1,295.53)
3 Unilateral Transfers $6.13 ($45.01)
Balance on Current Account ($166.80)Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $107.93 ($119.44)
5 Portfolio Investment $387.62 ($79.28)
6 Other Investments $194.95 ($227.2)
Balance on Capital Account $264.58
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($96.76)
Overall Balance $1.02 Official Reserve Account ($1.02)
U.S. Balance of Payments Data
In the real world, there is a statistical discrepancy.
Credits DebitsCurrent Account
1 Exports $1,167.61
2 Imports ($1,295.53)
3 Unilateral Transfers $6.13 ($45.01)
Balance on Current Account ($166.80)Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $107.93 ($119.44)
5 Portfolio Investment $387.62 ($79.28)
6 Other Investments $194.95 ($227.2)
Balance on Capital Account $264.58
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($96.76)
Overall Balance $1.02 Official Reserve Account ($1.02)
Credits DebitsCurrent Account
1 Exports $1,167.61
2 Imports ($1,295.53)
3 Unilateral Transfers $6.13 ($45.01)
Balance on Current Account ($166.80)Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $107.93 ($119.44)
5 Portfolio Investment $387.62 ($79.28)
6 Other Investments $194.95 ($227.2)
Balance on Capital Account $264.58
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($96.76)
Overall Balance $1.02 Official Reserve Account ($1.02)
U.S. Balance of Payments Data
Including that, the balance of payments identity should hold:BCA + BKA = - Balance reserve account
($166.80) + $264.58 + ($96.76) = $1.02= –($1.02)
Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate
Q
P S
D
Exchange rate $
Credits DebitsCurrent Account
1 Exports $1,167.61
2 Imports ($1,295.53)
3 Unilateral Transfers $6.13 ($45.01)
Balance on Current Account ($166.80)Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $107.93 ($119.44)
5 Portfolio Investment $387.62 ($79.28)
6 Other Investments $194.95 ($227.2)
Balance on Capital Account $264.58
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($96.76)
Overall Balance $1.02 Official Reserve Account ($1.02)
Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate
Q
P S
D
Exchange rate $
Credits DebitsCurrent Account
1 Exports $1,167.61
2 Imports ($1,295.53)
3 Unilateral Transfers $6.13 ($45.01)
Balance on Current Account ($166.80)Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $107.93 ($119.44)
5 Portfolio Investment $387.62 ($79.28)
6 Other Investments $194.95 ($227.2)
Balance on Capital Account $264.58
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($96.76)
Overall Balance $1.02 Official Reserve Account ($1.02)
As U.S. citizens import, they are supply dollars to the FOREX market.
Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate
Q
P S
D
Exchange rate $
Credits DebitsCurrent Account
1 Exports $1,167.61
2 Imports ($1,295.53)
3 Unilateral Transfers $6.13 ($45.01)
Balance on Current Account ($166.80)Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $107.93 ($119.44)
5 Portfolio Investment $387.62 ($79.28)
6 Other Investments $194.95 ($227.2)
Balance on Capital Account $264.58
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($96.76)
Overall Balance $1.02 Official Reserve Account ($1.02)
As U.S. citizens export, others demand dollars at the FOREX market.
Balance of Payments and the Exchange Rate
Q
P S
D
Exchange rate $
Credits DebitsCurrent Account
1 Exports $1,167.61
2 Imports ($1,295.53)
3 Unilateral Transfers $6.13 ($45.01)
Balance on Current Account ($166.80)Capital Account
4 Direct Investment $107.93 ($119.44)
5 Portfolio Investment $387.62 ($79.28)
6 Other Investments $194.95 ($227.2)
Balance on Capital Account $264.58
7 Statistical Discrepancies ($96.76)
Overall Balance $1.02 Official Reserve Account ($1.02)
As the U.S. government sells dollars, the supply of dollars increases.
S1
Balance of Payments Trends
Since 1982 the U.S. has experienced continuous deficits on the current account and continuous surpluses on the capital account.
During the same period, Japan has experienced the opposite.
Balance of Payments Trends
U.S. Balance of Payments Trends
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
Year
Ba
lan
ce o
f P
aym
en
ts (
$b)
Current Account
Capital Account
Balance of Payments Trends
Japan's Balance of Payments Trend
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
Year
Ba
lan
ce o
f P
aym
en
ts (
$b)
Current Account
Capital Account
Balance of Payments Trends
Germany traditionally had current account surpluses.
Since 1991 Germany has been experiencing current account deficits.
This is largely due to German reunification and the resultant need to absorb more output domestically to rebuild the former East Germany.
What matters is the nature and causes of the disequilibrium.
Balance of Payments Trends
Germany's Balance of Payments Trend
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Year
Ba
lan
ce o
f P
aym
en
ts (
$b)
Current Account
Capital Account