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N E W S L E T T E R O F T H E I N T E R N A T I O N A L H U M A N D I M E N S I O N S P R O G R A M M E O N G L O B A L E N V I R O N M E N T A L C H A N G E
UPDATEIHD
P
01/2006
W W W . I H D P . O R GI H D P U p d a t e i s p u b l i s h e d b y t h e I n t e r n a t i o n a l H u m a n D i m e n s i o n s P r o g r a m m e o n G l o b a l E n v i r o m e n t a l C h a n g e ( I H D P ) , Wa l t e r - F l e x - S t r. 3 , 5 3 1 1 3 B o n n , G e r m a n y, V. i . S . d . P. : U l a L ö w
1 The World’s Largest Social ScienceEvent on Global EnvironmentalChange | U. Löw
10 Resilience, Vulnerability and Adap-tation | M. Janssen, E. Ostrom
12 Non-State Authority and Legitimacyin Global Environmental Gover-nance | F. Biermann
15 Progress in Industrial Transforma-tion | A. Wieczorek, F. Berkhout
17 Talk for a Change: Communicationin Support of Societal Responses toClimate Change | S. Moser, P. Luganda
21 Global Environmental Change, Gen-der and Human Security | L. Bizikova, S. Bhadwal
23 The Complex Dynamics of Trans-boundary Water Management | A. Lovecraft
25 “Handing Over” – From LUCC to GLP |G. Laumann
26 The Pre-Open Meeting TrainingSeminars
28 UNU-EHS Expert Working GroupMeeting on Measuring Vulnerability
29 IHDP National Committee Science atthe 6th Open Meeting | D. Meyer-Wefering
32 IHDP National Committees Meet inBonn | D. Meyer-Wefering
32 Transparency and Fairness are Crucial | Interview with Barbara Göbel
34 In Brief
35 New Books
36 Calendar
C O N T E N T S
➤ continued on page 2
ISSN 1727-155X
THE 6th OPEN MEETING – THE WORLD’S
LARGEST SOCIAL SCIENCE EVENT ON
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
BY ULA LÖW
➤ The beautiful rococo building of the Bonn University was the venue for the 6th Open
Meeting of the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change Research Com-
munity. With its title reflecting the global situation, “International Security, Globaliza-
tion and Global Environmental Change”, the meeting took place from 9 to 13 October
2005 in Bonn, Germany.
The conference was a great success, with more than 1,000 participants attending
from over 85 countries. This represents a nearly three-fold increase from the previous
Open Meeting in Montreal and makes it the world’s largest social science event on glob-
al environmental change to date. The 5-day event consisted of four plenary sessions and
nearly 130 parallel sessions. While the official opening featured high-level keynote
speakers from the policy arena, the daily morning plenaries included top researchers
with presentations and discussions on provocative and thought-provoking topics.
These plenary sessions addressed topics such as the policy relevance of human dimen-
sions research, how to ground this research in present global realities, the weaknesses
and benefits of interdisciplinary research, and a stock-taking of the human dimensions
research to date.
OPEN MEETING2005 SPECIAL
Phot
o by
Ula
Löw
2 | I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6
6th Open Meeting
NOTE FROM THE EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR
“Panta rei – Everything changes!” This well-known phrase by the
ancient Greek philosopher Heraklitos serves as a conceptual
backdrop to acknowledging that change in anything is a nor-
mal phenomenon. Global environmental change, however,
must be understood as a synonym for rapidly deteriorating
resources, livelihoods and biophysical parameters. Whereas
especially the natural sciences have largely contributed to the
understanding of both causes and effects of these phenomena,
IHDP particularly aims to foster their specific human, societal
and economic perspectives.
Global perspectives on the environment have gradually evolved
since the adoption of the UN Charter in 1945 and notable
milestones such as the 1968 Brundtland Commission. Scien-
tists and politicians alike are now paying more attention to
societal concerns such as economic, social and human devel-
opment, poverty reduction, health, water and sanitation, food
security, national security and statehood protection as well as
human security.
Still, there is a need to attract policy-makers’ attention to the
impressive range of IHDP research and findings from the pro-
gramme’s first decade – which I humbly consider “phase one”
of IHDP. We have consolidated a world-wide inter-disciplinary
network of outstanding scientists – bringing about a vast port-
folio of issues and results – and must now increase mutual dia-
logue with decision makers. Their interests and needs should
inspire our research in a truly cross-cutting, inter-sectoral and
inter-disciplinary way.
Often produced in developed countries, many global environ-
mental threats have significant impacts on developing ones:
Prominent are the loss of biodiversity, deforestation and deser-
tification, but we cannot overlook others such as the marginal-
ization of rural areas, economic disaster and poverty, migra-
tion, urbanization, and social conflict. As there is a clear link
between sustainable development, environmental change, and
globalization, IHDP wishes to pay particular attention to
developing countries, incorporate their science and research,
involve more researchers in our networks, and promote their
specific concerns while moving towards embracing world-
wide policy making entities.
Finally, I would like to mention the 6th Open Meeting, organized
by IHDP together with several strategic partners in October
2005 in Bonn. 1,000 participants from 85 countries gathered
to discuss issues of globalization and international security.
Ambitious fundraising helped to enable a large turnout from
younger and developing country researchers. A three-fold
increase in participants over the past Open Meeting in Mon-
treal in 2003, as well as the active involvement of high-level
policy makers, keynote speakers and researchers in the global
change field, confirmed the successful work and consolidation
of IHDP science over its first 10 years.
I am happy to be coming on board at this exciting time and look
forward to the future development and next stage of IHDP.
Dr. Andreas Rechkemmer
Executive Director
T H E C O N F E R E N C E : A G L O B A L P L A T F O R M
The 128 parallel sessions, chosen in a highly competitive
and two-tiered selection process, were centred around differ-
ent areas of human dimensions research.
In the exhibition hall, poster presentations were organized
around the same 14 themes, and up-and-coming researchers
were given a chance to showcase their posters several times
during the conference. In addition to this, a number of round-
tables and special side events took place, such as the IHDP
core science projects’ reception, the National Committees
meeting or the seminars of the United Nations University’s
Institute for Environment and Human Security (see reports in
this UPDATE).
Placing the 6th Open Meeting back-to-back with a series of
training seminars was an innovative way to focus on capacity
building and to actively involve as well as specially prepare 60
young researchers to take part and present their research at the
ensuing large international conference. Here, established and
newly rising researchers from more than 35 different countries
truly had the opportunity to mix during one of the numerous
parallel sessions, or one of the many social activities designed
expressly for the purpose of further communication and dis-
cussion of ideas in a more informal setting. A report on the
training seminars can be found in this issue of UPDATE.
At lunchtime but also in the evenings, the conference par-
ticipants benefited from the beautifully and centrally located
venue, and from a very mild and sunny October. The attractive
city centre of Bonn, the beautiful park outside of the universi-
ty main building, and the river Rhine flowing by beneath old
cannons and busy beer gardens where university students
meet – all of this added to the already very positive atmos-
THEMES OF THE 6th OPEN MEETINGPARALLEL SESSIONS
Theme 1: Adaptive Management and Resilience
Theme 2: Coastal Zones, Human Use of Oceans
Theme 3: Environmental History
Theme 4: Global Environmental Change and Human
Security
Theme 5: Globalization and Global Environmental
Change
Theme 6: Human Dimensions of Carbon and Water
Management, Food and Health
Theme 7: Industrial Transformation
Theme 8: Institutional Dimensions of Global Environ-
mental Change
Theme 9: Land-Use and Land-Cover Change
Theme 10: Methods in Human-Environment Studies
Theme 11: Regional Approaches to Human-Environment
Studies
Theme 12: Science-Policy Interface in Global Environ-
mental Change
Theme 13: Sustainable Development
Theme 14: Urbanization.
For all abstracts of the parallel sessions as wellas all paper abstracts within sessions, please seehttp://openmeeting.homelinux.org/abstract_listing.asp
I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6 | 3
6th Open MeetingO P E N I N G A N D T H E M O R N I N G P L E N A R Y S E S S I O N S
phere throughout the Open Meeting. One of the highlights
among the social events was a boat trip along the Rhine river
towards the Loreley with evening dinner and dance. The boat
that was chartered for this event, the “MS Wappen von Köln”,
is the biggest tourist boat in the area – it can seat up to 1,000
people on board.
The organization and implementation of the Open Meet-
ing has been a major task for the IHDP Secretariat under the
leadership of its Open Meeting Coordinator, Lis Mullin. About
60 student volunteers also helped to check badges and guard
electronic equipment, as well as with numerous other tasks
throughout the conference. Without their help, the conference
would have been impossible to realize, particularly consider-
ing the great number of people that had enlisted.
THE OFFICIAL OPENING
The 6th Open Meeting began with a high-level opening cer-
emony on Sunday evening, October 9th. After a welcoming
note by Barbara Göbel, the outgoing Executive Director of
IHDP, the second speaker to address the audience was Hansvan Ginkel, Director of the United Nations University in
Tokyo. He stressed the importance of human security as a
political concept and research issue. The United Nations Envi-
ronment Programme´s (UNEP) Executive Director KlausTöpfer talked about the three pillars – global environmental
change, globalization and social security. He summarized all
the alarming facts of GEC – climate change, the rapid decrease
of nature capital, the fast changes in land-use and the rise of
desertification, as well as rapid urbanization – and stated that
we are losing diversity and stability. He then went on to talk
about globalization, global markets, economies of scale and
the effort to decrease poverty, as well as about transport,
tourism and global information. Töpfer stressed the link
between environment and poverty and stated that ecosystems
are the basics for fighting poverty. He concluded that there
cannot be social stability if there is loss of diversity, and while
mono-structured regions may boom for a while, they are at a
high risk of de-stabilization.
Liu Yanhua, the Chinese Vice-Minister of Science and
Technology talked about the history of IHDP and remem-
bered the first Open Meeting in Tokyo in 1998, a small meet-
ing where people were arguing about the focus of IHDP. Since
then, the Open Meeting has evolved into a big conference, and
the idea of the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental
Change Research has been widely accepted. He then proceeded
to lay out the development of human dimensions research in
China, pointing to some of the major achievements of Chinese
research in the global change area, namely research on: 1) the
regional synthesis of the Monsoon Area; 2) historical/past
global environmental change; 3) water resources and cycles; 4)
land-use and land-cover change, and 5) the carbon cycle. Liu
went on to mention the Chinese National Committees of
IHDP and its global partner programmes, as well as the
upcoming IHDP regional conference in Beijing, to take place
in fall 2006. As important goals for GEC research in China, he
listed, among others, the opening of Chinese scientists to
research questions of global scale, their participation in inter-
national collaboration, the development of cross-project
research, and the building up of a national coordination sys-
tem for GEC research. He concluded by stating that human
dimensions have to be strengthened within Chinese GEC
research, and also become more development-oriented.
Like Klaus Töpfer before him, Alexander Schink, Secretary
of the State North-Rhine Westphalia for the Environment,
pointed out that since Bonn is the German city of internation-
al agencies and development organizations, it is a well befitting
location for a conference on global environmental change
issues. He then presented the German state North-Rhine
Westphalia, one of the more densely populated areas in the
world with a large industrial agglomeration, and still high car-
bon emissions (300 million tons per year). He gave a summary
of the environmental planning for the state, highlighting the
importance of renewable energies and the gentle use of open
space.
Finally, Mathias Winiger, the president of the Rheinische
Friedrich-Wilhems-Universität – (the University of Bonn) –
welcomed the international audience, and pointed towards
current global change events, namely the hurricanes in North
and Central America. He said that environmental issues have
become a main focus in research and technology, also within
the university. Bonn has become a big “think-tank” on global
change, with not only the university institutes such as the Cen-
tre for Development Research and the IHDP but also the UNU
and other environmental as well as development research
organizations having their main offices here.
After these keynote speeches, an official champagne recep-
tion took place at the historic Bonn town hall with a welcom-
ing speech by Bonn’s mayor Peter Finger.
THE MORNING PLENARY SESSIONS
It was notable that almost all high-level speakers at the
morning plenary sessions called for a fundamental change in
how global change research is viewed and done. In order to
better understand complex systems of interaction and in order
to influence policy decisions in a manner that leads to more
sustainability, the challenge for researchers is to include ethical
values and different viewpoints as well as to engage in eye-level
dialogue with society – “engaged research” – while keeping the
scientific standards high.
MONDAY PLENARY
Monday’s opening plenary focused on “Globalization, and
International Security: Grounding Human Dimensions
Research in Present Global Realities”. Session moderator
Diana Liverman, from the Environmental Change Institute at
the University of Oxford, opened this plenary session by pre-
senting the first speaker, Satish Kumar, editor of Resurgence
Magazine. He is the founder of a number of small, ecological-
ly-oriented schools, and the author of several books. Satish
Kumar gave an all-encompassing view of the world, and in
particular, nature. He said that the visible world of science –
mind and ratio – should also leave space for the “invisible
world”, namely intuition, experience, insight and wisdom. He
pointed out that most people – also many of the GEC research
community present – are not close to nature anymore, and
that they are not “makers”, for example, by growing their own
vegetables or baking their own bread. He criticized our con-
sumer, petroleum-driven society in which our food, clothes
4 | I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6
6th Open MeetingT H E M O R N I N G P L E N A R Y S E S S I O N S
etc. are based on globalized petroleum principles. He chal-
lenged the idea of “development” and called the West, a socie-
ty largely based on the above-mentioned unsustainable princi-
ples, “underdeveloped”.
Hallidor Thorgeirsson from the United Nations Frame-
work Convention to Combat Climate Change, gave a UN pol-
icy-oriented overview on global environmental change. He
talked about the discrepancy of individual choices as opposed
to collective choices and noted that the future implications of
climate change on human security will be significant. He said
that we have not lost the opportunity to turn this around, and
that the gravity of scientific evidence is slowly sinking in – it’s
when the findings of science start to affect people’s lives that
these findings become relevant to policy. He named the
Framework Convention on Climate Change, and the Kyoto
Protocol as the two primary actions of international policy
makers as a response to climate change. He mentioned that
certain key people and companies in the private sector are
responding to climate change, also on their own initiative. He
also called the IPCC process successful, in particular with
regard to the dedication of the scientists, as well as with regard
to the wisdom of policy makers in resisting the temptation to
manipulate or exploit the process for short-term power policy
goals.
With regard to the earth’s future, Thorgeirsson said that
true leaders have to be optimistic, as optimists have to explain
why they are optimistic, and act on this behalf. Pessimism, to
him, is “the safe way out”. He underlined that there has to be a
balance between consuming and making, and criticized our
western double standards with regard to China’s and India’s
booming societies – we have to change first in the West. While
the US government is still opposed to the Kyoto Protocol, and
also to what scientists say about climate change, there are cre-
ative options going on “underneath” the official Kyoto Proto-
col with cities and local governments working in partnerships
towards reducing their emissions.
TUESDAY PLENARY
Tuesday’s plenary session presented IHDP’s core science
and outcomes, to the theme of “Taking Stock: Contributions
of IHDP to Human Dimensions Research”. IHDP’s scientific
Chair, Coleen Vogel from the University of Witwatersrand in
Johannesburg, gave a welcome speech and talked about the
challenges within the human dimensions of global environ-
mental change research. She highlighted the importance of
multiple interactive driving forces throughout the human
dimensions on GEC research and presented a model on the
climate change-development syndrome. Further models
looked at vulnerability, and its double structures of exposure
and coping. Consequently, Vogel highlighted social
learning/knowledge as a crucial crosscutting issue of IHDP
research. Besides the ongoing IHDP research on human-envi-
ronment systems, a vision for IHDP could be an improved
understanding of the science/society/action interface. Cur-
rently, there is still a disconnection between science and the
user community. We need institutional changes and improved
dialogue to bridge this disconnect. And we have to explore
ways of how to get from fundamental research to applied
research and back.
The first core science project to present its work was the
Land-Use and Land-Cover Change project. LUCC-chair EricLambin (University of Louvain, Belgium) presented some
global historical data on changes in cropland, forest cover,
grasslands etc. Currently, there are hundreds of case studies
worldwide, as well as comparative studies and meta-analyses
of the causes of forest-cover change, dryland degradation and
agricultural intensification. Proximate causes for this are
infrastructure extension, agricultural expansion, wood extrac-
tion and others as, the underlying causes being demographic,
economic, technological, policy & institutional as well as cul-
tural factors. He talked about regional pathways of land-use
change (land-use history, interactions between agents, man-
agement decisions and policies, organization at different
scales, learning and adaptation by actors), and showed differ-
ent models (spatial statistical, system-dynamic, economic,
multi-agent simulations) and scenarios of how land-use
change will affect land cover in the next 50 to 100 years. The
challenges for the integration of natural and social science
approaches are data (“linking people to pixels”), models (the
dynamic coupling of land-use cover change and biophysical
models), and theory (how can theories from multiple disci-
plines be integrated toward an overarching theory of complex
adaptive systems?). After 10 years of successful research, LUCC
has come to its termination, and an official hand-over ceremo-
ny to the new core science project LAND (GLP) that will take
up many of LUCC’s core findings and research questions has
taken place at the Open Meeting (see this UPDATE for a brief
report).
Oran Young (University of California at Santa Barbara),
chair of the Institutional Dimensions of Global Environmen-
tal Change (IDGEC) core project of IHDP, first presented an
overview on the project. IDGEC focuses on institutions as
clusters of rights, rules, and decision-making procedures,
rooted in the “new institutionalism”, occurring at all levels of
social organization, and with an emphasis on environmental
and resource regimes. Its three principal research foci are: 1)
Causality – what role do institutions play in causing and con-
fronting global environmental change? 2) Performance – why
are some individual responses to global environmental change
more successful than others? 3) Design – what are the
prospects for (re-)designing institutions to confront global
environmental change? Within each of the research foci,
IDGEC looks particularly closely ate the analytic themes of
institutional fit, interplay, and scale. Governance is the
IDGEC-specific crosscutting issue to be explored together
with other IHDP core and joint projects. Young went on to
present some sample findings of IDGEC. In decision-making,
there should be reliance on consensus rules while at the same
time avoiding the problem of the least ambitious program.
There is a need to move beyond enforcement and manage-
ment models, and also a need to recognize interplay and
embrace multi-level arrangements. IDGEC is currently in a
synthesis process, distilling the project’s principal research
contributions, making it available to a wider public and iden-
tifying policy relevance, as well as facilitating policy applica-
tion of its work. It will also outline the next phase of research
for the project. This synthesis process will culminate in a Syn-
thesis Conference to be held in December 2006 in Bali,
I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6 | 5
6th Open MeetingT H E M O R N I N G P L E N A R Y S E S S I O N S
Indonesia. The second Call for Proposals can be found in this
UPDATE.
Frans Berkhout (IVM, University of Amsterdam), the chair
of IHDP’s core science project Industrial Transformation (IT)
presented the goal and objectives of his project. The goal of IT
is to explore pathways towards decoupling of economic
growth from the related degradation of the environment. The
project aims to understand the societal mechanisms and
human driving forces that could facilitate a transformation of
the industrial system towards sustainability, and it seeks to
integrate and stimulate cooperation among international and
interdisciplinary scientists. Key messages that can be distilled
from IT research are that change in socio-technical systems is a
long-term and multilevel process full of uncertainty, that
innovation of new technologies in niches are important but so
are changes at the societal level, and that transforming socio-
technical systems requires processes of path-creating and
path-breaking. As a socio-technical system, he described the
hamburger, a very refined and stable production system and
technology – also through tastes that have been developed and
that lock in producers (i.e. farmers) and consumers. With
regard to path creation, he stated the high priced hybrid car as
an example, where Toyota took a leading role, worked on this
car for 20 years, and created a
niche. Now, other companies
follow. In terms of path
breaking he asked, how
mature technologies such as
coal or nuclear energy can
come to be replaced.
The IHDP core science
project Global Environmen-
tal Change and Human
Security was presented by
GECHS-chair Karen O’Brien(University of Oslo). She
stated that environmental
change is first and foremost an issue of human security –
which is achieved when and where individuals and communi-
ties have the options necessary to end, mitigate or adapt to
threats to their human, environmental and social rights, have
the capacity and freedom to exercise these options, and active-
ly participate in pursuing these options. Environmental
change interacts with other processes of change, and biophysi-
cal, social, economic, institutional, and technological condi-
tions create the context for vulnerability. This dynamic context
influences outcomes, including conflict and cooperation. The
main GECHS themes are: multiple, interacting processes of
change; cooperation versus conflict; gender vulnerability;
health interactions; and water and human security. With
regard to Hurricane Katrina, the hurricane that had devastated
New Orleans about one month earlier, it can be observed that
vulnerability is not a North-South issue; but it is an issue of
class, race, gender and age. Human insecurities are high in
coastal and urban areas, and issues of governance are critical.
A challenge and important, already ongoing task for GECHS,
and for IHDP as a whole, is the work at the science-policy
interface to increase response capacity and mitigate environ-
mental change. It has to be acknowledged that environmental
changes are taking place within the dynamics of other social
changes, and we have to reframe the way we think about envi-
ronmental change and also the way we think about human
security.
Richard Aspinall from the University of Arizona is one of
the transition team members of the Global Land Project
(GLP), a “follow-up” project of LUCC, and gave a presentation
on this new core science project of IHDP. Dynamics of land-
systems, consequences of land-system changes, and integrat-
ing analysis and modelling for land sustainability are the three
main components of GLP’s study of the coupled human-envi-
ronmental system. Within the theme of dynamics of land-sys-
tems, the questions are: How do globalization and population
changes affect regional and local land-use decisions? How do
changes in land management, decisions and practices affect
biogeochemistry, biodiversity, biophysical properties, and dis-
turbance regimes of terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems? And
how do the atmospheric, biogeochemical and biophysical
dimensions of global change affect ecosystem structure and
function? The consequences of land-system changes are
encompassed through questions of: What are the critical feed-
backs from changes in ecosystems to the coupled Earth sys-
tem? How do changes in ecosystem structure and functioning
affect the delivery of ecosystem service? How are ecosystem
services linked to human well-being? And, how do people
respond at various scales and in different contexts to changes
in ecosystem service provision? The main questions of the
third theme of integrating analysis and modelling for land sus-
tainability are: What are the critical pathways of change in
land-systems? How do the vulnerability and resilience of land-
systems to hazards and disturbance vary in response to
changes in human and environment interactions? And, which
institutions enhance decision-making and governance for the
sustainability of land-systems?
Hartwig Kremer, Executive Officer of the LOICZ (Land-
Ocean Interactions in the Coastal Zone) core project, stated
that coastal systems are built and interlinked like stones in a
bridge – if one or a few of them crumble the whole bridge
may crash. He offered a few “short stories “ on the coastal
zone (“society’s edge”): The sediment short story describes
the difference between pre-anthropocene and modern sedi-
ment loads, the CO2 short story asks whether climate change
and human drivers will dissolve reefs and islands, and the
nutrient short story is about exports from watersheds to
coastal systems. For example, the Danube discharge of nitro-
gen into the Black Sea is closely related to fertilizer applica-
tion in the Basin, and there has been a significant reduction of
discharge since the beginning of the 1990s which was the
starting point of the economic transition period for ex-com-
munist Black Sea countries. The objective of LOICZ’s Black
Sea project is the continued recovery of a regional sea envi-
ronment. The challenges are: future European lifestyles, the
roles of accession and globalization; the integration of envi-
ronment in education and democratization; and the promo-
tion of collaborative learning towards coastal governance ini-
tiatives across the countries and action to foster effective and
long-term stewardship. EU membership of some countries
could offer prospects but could also exacerbate divisions
between EU and non-EU states. The Black Sea example
Karen O’Brien
Phot
o by
Ula
Löw
6 | I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6
6th Open MeetingT H E M O R N I N G P L E N A R Y S E S S I O N S
reflects a general challenge for LOICZ science: how to bridge
different “reality views”.
Karen Seto (Stanford University), Scientific Chair of
IHDP’s new core project on Urbanization and Global Envi-
ronmental Change (UGEC) gave a presentation on the project
and its Science Implementation Framework that had been fin-
ished earlier in the year. The main research themes of UGEC
are: 1) Urban Processes that contribute to global environmen-
tal change (lifestyles and consumption patterns, urban land
use and land-cover change); 2) Pathways through which glob-
al environmental change affects the urban system (human
behaviour and interactions, the built environment, the
resource base upon which urban systems rely); 3) Interactions
and responses within the urban system (impacts, responses,
livelihoods in urban communities); and 4) Consequences of
interactions within urban systems on global environmental
change. As part of the implementation strategy, the project
will engage in thematic and regional networks, workshops and
roundtables, in synthesizing activities, links with other core
projects, as well as in active involvement of practitioners.
Important meetings for UGEC in 2006 are the UN-Habitat
meeting on cities in Cape Town, as well as the World Urban
Forum in Vancouver. Apart from the plenary presentation, the
UGEC Science Plan was also presented in-depth during a spe-
cial session, where it was well-received and discussed.
Finally, IHDP Scientific Committee member ElinorOstrom (University of Indiana) gave a short presentation on
the “Key Challenges for Human Dimensions Research”, and on
the Arizona Workshop that explored state-of-the-art papers
on the three concepts of vulnerability, adaptation, and
resilience (an IHDP crosscutting theme), as well as back-
ground papers on scholarly networks on this crosscutting
issue within human dimensions research, and on the history
of these three concepts. Scientific challenges are described by
the question of how globalization affects the behaviour of
coupled social-ecological systems at different spatial and tem-
poral scales, and by the question of what this means for vul-
nerability and resilience to specific disturbance regimes.
Important implications and questions for policy are: How well
do market and other indicators of “scarcity” reflect the social
opportunity cost of people’s actions at different spatial and
temporal scales, and how do people learn about trade-offs
between private production and the social loss of ecosystem
services? The challenge for IHDP research is how to determine
the right temporal and spatial scales for evaluating the effects
of environmental changes on resilience/vulnerability to par-
ticular disturbance regimes; to find the appropriate models
and methods for this; to find the appropriate indicators of
change (including threshold indicators); and to test the effec-
tiveness of existing indicators, especially social indicators, and
find out about the reasons behind their effectiveness or inef-
fectiveness. Ostrom announced the “Arizona Workshop” ses-
sion that was to take place that same day. A session summary is
included in this issue of UPDATE.
WEDNESDAY PLENARY
Sander van der Leeuw from the Department of Anthropol-
ogy at the Arizona State University led through the Wednesday
morning plenary session focusing on “The Challenges of
Interdisciplinarity in Global Change Research: Epistemologi-
cal and Organizational Aspects”.
Ronaldo Seroa da Motta, from the Institute for Applied
Economic Research in Rio de Janeiro, gave a lecture on “Eco-
nomic Criteria in Environmental Benefit Valuation”, starting
with the observation that consumptional choices are ranked
or ordered rationally (i.e. material, cultural, spiritual, environ-
mental etc.), with a restricted income against unlimited con-
sumption options. EBA is a policy issue with public budget
constraints as a background with two main questions to be
answered: 1) Which environmental aim should we give priori-
ty, and 2) what are the criteria (ecological, social, and econom-
ic) that we should use to carry this on? While the valuation of
ecological goods and services can never be the only decision
indicator (as it is, i.e. sensitive to models, and as there is uncer-
tainty on future flows of costs and benefits), there are never-
theless side advantages, and the valuation can bring about
social and economic issues which ecological criteria alone can-
not. It is possible to observe how costs and benefits are distrib-
uted across society.
He then explained Benefit Valuation Techniques (produc-
tion and demand approaches) and highlighted various aspects
of the use of monetary valuation, such as prioritization,
investment selection, pricing procedures, damage liability, and
accounting. Crucial for any exercise of monetary valuation is a
minimum set of environmental indicators. The OECD cate-
gories of pressures, state and responses could be a first step in
this effort. Also, monetary valuations need uniform proce-
dures, as these valuations are long-term and gradual processes.
Valuation should be undertaken by local experts, and the dis-
semination of valuation exercises and their results, due to their
scientific complexity and limitations, should be carefully
planned to avoid misinterpretation and misuse.
The critical point is that
the monetary value, once it
had been included, drove
out the other values. The
amount of resources, time,
and effort to convert every-
thing into a monetary value
may well be too high to
make this undertaking
worthwhile.
John Robinson from
the University of British
Columbia in Vancouver
gave a presentation “On
Being Undisciplined: Some
Transgressions and Intersections in Academia and Beyond”.
He started with the language games of inter- and trans-disci-
plinarity (multi-, cross-, inter-, pluri-, trans-, etc.) when in
practice, he suggests, there is discipline-based interdiscipli-
narity or issue-driven interdisciplinarity. He named sustain-
ability as an example for issue-driven interdisciplinarity,
with multiple knowledge domains, and inherently oriented
to societal problems. Issue-driven interdisciplinarity has to
be 1) problem-focused, 2) integrated, 3) interactive, 4)
reflexive, and 5) involves collaboration and partnerships.
John Robinson
Phot
o by
Ula
Löw
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Examples for problem orientation are scenarios of forecast-
ing and backcasting from future to present and vice versa, with
several alternative futures to be explored in the forecasting
mode. He also presented a matrix for integrating information,
knowledge, dialogue and action. With regard to the aspect of
integration, he differed between vertical and horizontal inte-
gration across fields and sectors, feedbacks and dynamics
(complexity-based approach), and qualitative and quantitative
aspects while taking the substantive definition of sustainabili-
ty into account (ecological, social, and economic imperative).
He also presented a model about the complexity of models –
while there has to be some input into a model for it to make
sense and offer additional knowledge, there is a turning point:
the bigger the model the less it will be able to tell you. How do
we communicate complex realities without losing the people?
Interface and science communication are crucial in this
regard.
Interactivity includes tools for engagement, community
engagement processes, three principles of interactive social
research, and understanding as an emergent property. There
is a challenge with models. “The real purpose of models is
not about describing the model but to change mental models
in the heads of users” (Wack) – most people are alienated
from large systems, and receive too much information
(“noise”) while at the same time lacking a mental model to
make sense of that information. Citing Postman (“informa-
tion is the garbage of the 90s”), Robinson points out that we
need less, but more tailored information. He then presented
the Georgia Basin Quest approach that has been designed by
a research team (including himself) based at the University
of British Columbia to facilitate debate about regional sus-
tainability and to explore a desirable and feasible future. It is
an interactive game that allows users to develop “what if…?”
scenarios for the future of their region. Another example is
the “Climate Change Calculator” that can be found on the
internet. He named interface-driven modelling as one
important principle of interactive social research. Other
principles are backcasting as social learning (give a set of
goals and attune the scenario until its outcome is consistent
with the goals) and the involvement of users in design and
also in research itself.
The reflexivity of issue-driven interdisciplinarity encom-
passes multiple views (biophysical systems view and actor sys-
tem view, that need a mutual interpretation), knowledge
realms of sustainability (ideational, societal, biophysical, with
cultural norms getting translated into social systems and vice
versa, and with the interaction of social systems and natural
systems, each shaping and limiting the other – how can these
realms be integrated?), discursive approaches, as well as a pro-
cedural definition of sustainability.
Robinson proceeded to talk about different partnerships
(academic, external i.e. with NGOs) and about the challenge
of institutionalizing interdisciplinarity – the resistance (“inter-
disciplinarity is the ghetto of the incompetent”), dangers,
issues of teaching and evaluation, as well as products. As the
world changes, societal demands have modified university
research (that has been curiosity-driven originally) into more
applied research and into commercialized knowledge produc-
tion. An alternative model of university research would partly
return to curiosity-driven research, but include a large portion
of engaged research, taking societal demands into account but
also producing outputs for society (other than mere commer-
cial ones).
THURSDAY PLENARY
Thursday’s final plenary provided both a wrap-up and a
look to the future with the title of “Looking Ahead: Making
Global Change Research Relevant to Society” and was moder-
ated by IHDP SC member Geoff Dabelko from the Environ-
mental Change and Security Project, Woodrow Wilson Inter-
national Center for Scholars in Washington.
The first speaker was Roger Kasperson from the George
Perkins Marsh Institute at Clark University, who has also been
a keynote speaker at the last Open Meeting (Montreal 2003).
Kasperson started with the notions of “bridge between science
and policy or practice”, as well as the “divide between them” –
terms that represent a tunnel vision. Rather, we have a spider
web with diffuse connections between science and practice.
Focusing on risk perception and communication, he pointed
out six central problems:
1) The knowledge mismatch – we have to respect different
types of knowledge; the produced knowledge may not be
the knowledge needed on a practice base. Scientific
knowledge is conceptual and formally analytic, generic
rather than specific. It is not enough to just “bundle” that
knowledge for decision makers – this is still too much of a
“one-way” flow of communication.
2) Knowledge signals and interpretation – when “bundles”
of knowledge (for example about risks and hazards) from
scientists enters the spider web, the media picks out “sig-
nals” from this knowledge that they consider important to
society. These signals then get re-formulated, amplified,
and, finally, changed. Scientific messages about risks can
also get dampened – the problem then moves out of soci-
ety and disappears from the public agenda.
3) Different understanding and use for problems – what is of
primary concern to the analyst is often not the major goal
to the decision maker who is dealing with a much broader
set of issues. Decision makers often have “preferred” solu-
tions and wait for the right event to happen to apply these
preferred solutions.
4) Speed/policy mismatch – when a problem develops rapid-
ly the decision-making process is too slow, the response of
institutions etc. are delayed. How can we break out of this
incremental decision-making process? Research findings
show that the main problem with delayed policy response
is not the knowledge but the policy mismatch.
5) Policy formulation of science may not be sufficient when
it comes to implementation
6) Communities have to be made more resilient and for
this they have to be involved, not only the decision mak-
ers.
In order to produce knowledge that is usable and does not
sit on the shelf:
1) We need a new, problem-specific kind of science. In the
Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, for example, protect-
ed areas did not receive any attention, and also energy –
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6th Open MeetingT H E M O R N I N G P L E N A R Y S E S S I O N S
one of our major economic, ecological and policy issues –
was not explored.
2) We need collaborative processes. Otherwise, the issues
that people in practice need to know will not be dealt
with.
3) We struggle with the notion of knowledge systems. Vari-
ous inputs from practice people involve very different
kinds of knowledge (“local”, “expert”, “indigenous” etc.).
How do we validate knowledge and how do we integrate
local knowledge into scientific knowledge, or also qualita-
tive and quantitative knowledge?
4) We need a more value-centred kind of knowledge while at
the same time retaining certain traditional concepts such
as high standards.
Second speaker Aromar Revi from the Taru Leading Edge,
New Delhi, started with a working definition of global change
and a short look back into history. Globalization has been
around for a long time and the anthropogenic change and co-
evolution of human systems and ecosystems has been signifi-
cant during this period. Contemporary modernization-led
change, however, has been dramatically different with its
exponential rates of change of key state variables and its pow-
erful underlying forces, some of which can rapidly degrade the
resilience and adaptive capacity of traditional social systems
and ecosystems.
Global Change Research is relevant to various societies in
different ways – to the poor it is relevant in terms of adapta-
tion and limited mitigation strategies, or even just in terms of
adaptation options for survival, while for transition countries
it is relevant in terms of their opportunity to move up leverag-
ing on risk sharing arrangement with OECD countries, and
for OECD countries, global change research is relevant in
terms of mitigation strategies and with regard to maintaining
their status quo. Revi, just like most of the speakers before
him, stated that global change research currently still is largely
top-down, and that it needs to recognize the legitimacy of plu-
ral forms of relevance at multiple scales. Further, the phenom-
enon of interacting changes in many sub-systems (on which
global change is based) requires engagement with these sub-
systems, addressing the root causes rather than symptoms.
Looking at the scale relevance of global change research, a
weakening relevance can be observed at the lower scales of the
world system. Is this because of the centrality of state patron-
age for global change research, and is this appropriate given
that much of the innovative solutions come from outside the
state system?
The increasing reflexivity of the world system and the cre-
ation of “losers” (marginal, poor, vulnerable, agrarian,
coastal and forest dwelling populations) and “winners”
(transnational corporations, faith traditions, conflict enter-
prises, and energy and information industries) by global
change implies that global change research will need to “take
position” on key issues and stakes. Global change research
(GCR) is driven by the normal sciences trying to come to
terms with an increasingly post-normal world. It therefore
requires a new integrative framework and meta-disciplinary
body of knowledge. The key (epistemological) challenge for
the GCR community is whether post-normal GCR explo-
ration will be absorbed within mainstream research or
whether a new kind of “science” that links theory and prac-
tice will be created.
Revi proceeded with presenting older and newer models of
global change, from “only one earth” and the earth as a largely
closed system to the various driver models (i.e. exponential
global population growth or exponential output growth) and
an integrated model of these drivers, coupled socio-ecological
systems constrained by finite resources and sinks of only one
Earth. Multiple scenarios including various variables such as
industrial output, population, food per person, pollution, life
expectancy, human welfare index etc. all are pointing in
broadly the same direction. Unless multiple structural changes
are made, the world-system would tend to overshoot and col-
lapse. The impact of certain factors should be looked at more
closely, such as local history and economy, prices, technology
and institutional innovation, geography and scale, culture,
power and politics. And what can be done about poverty in
this frame?
Besides a set of particular questions that GCR could help
answer for India, Revi formulated five policy questions:
1) What are the conditions under which per capita output is
adequate to universally fulfill basic human needs (the
eight Millennium Development Goals)?
2) How much economic growth and/or redistribution is
required to stay ahead of population growth, especially in
the global South?
3) What are the necessary social conditions to enable this?
4) What are the ecological constraints to this being possi-
ble?
5) Can the existing global (regional/national) political set-
tlements and institutions provide an adequate framework
to enable this in an acceptable time frame?
He observed that somewhere along the way both the natu-
ral and the social sciences seem to have abandoned the early
goal of developing a wider integrative scaffolding to examine
Earth system questions in favour of more politically correct
and pragmatic research. Maybe the time has come to change
that now?
Revi then continued with further models about 21st cen-
tury developments that show shifts (and stabilization) ofAromar Revi
Phot
o by
Ula
Löw
Official sponsor of the 6th Open Meeting:UNESCO (United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization)
Financial sponsors of the 6th Open Meeting:APN (Asia-Pacific Network for Global Change Research)
APN – CAPaBLE
BMBF (Federal Ministry of Research and Education, Germany)
DFG (Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Germany)
Ford Foundation, India
GWSP (Global Water Systems Project)
IAI (The Inter American Institute for Global Change Research)
ICSU (International Council for Science)
InWEnt (Internationale Weiterbildung und Entwicklung)
ISSC (International Social Science Council)
NSF (National Science Foundation, USA)
NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association, USA)
NRC (Norwegian Research Council)
NRF (National Research Foundation, South Africa)
RIHN (Research Institute for Humanity and Nature)
START (System for Analysis, Research and Training)
Stiftung Internationaler Begegnung, Sparkasse Köln-Bonn
UNU (United Nations University)
Co-organizers of the 6th Open Meeting:CIESIN (Center for International Earth Science Information Network)
IIASA (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis)
IGES (Institute for Global Environmental Strategies)
IHDP (International Human Dimensions Programme on Global
Environmental Change)
UNU (United Nations University)
The University of Bonn
These co-organizers not only provided funding for several sessions, but also
gave valuable scientific and logistical input in the planning process.
I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6 | 9
6th Open MeetingT H E M O R N I N G P L E N A R Y S E S S I O N S
population, shifts of social systems, as well as shifts in eco-
nomic hegemony (for example, a rapid rise of GDP in India
and China) and global material fluxes. Some relative certain-
ties that can be derived, for example, from a global landscape
report by the US National Intelligence Council are that: glob-
alization will largely be irreversible and likely to become less
westernized; the world economy will be substantially larger;
there is a rise of Asia and possible new economic middle-
weights; aging populations in established powers; energy
supplies “in the ground” sufficient to meet global demand;
environmental and ethical issues will come more to the fore;
growing power of non-state actors; an increasing number of
global firms will spread new technologies; an arc of instabili-
ty spanning Africa, the Middle East and Asia; and the US will
remain the single most powerful actor. Key uncertainties in
this report are, amongst others, whether globalization will
pull in lagging economies and the extent of gaps between
“haves” and “have-nots”, whether the rise of China and India
occurs smoothly, whether EU and Japan will be able to adapt
work forces, welfare systems and integrated migrant popula-
tions.
The dramatic change that the world will undergo by 2050
will be accentuated by heterogeneous regional behaviour
and emergent discontinuities in the world system. National
and regional dynamics are crucial to engage with to enable
better global governance, and national/regional ecological
models are returning after having been less than fashionable
in the past decades. These models need a greater under-
standing of how global projects can be implemented region-
ally (such as the eight Millennium Development Goals), of
possible shifts in global hegemony and regional political
consolidation, of the implementation of new global envi-
ronmental conventions, and of a possible emergence of a
network world. This is an important opportunity for GCR
to ground itself!
One of various further models that Revi presented was the
International Futures (Ifs) Model, a computer simulation of
global systems that is especially suitable for the analysis of sus-
tainable development and for examining the human dimen-
sions of global change, based on underlying data for 164 coun-
tries. It is a powerful tool for cross-sectional and longitudinal
analysis that provides a continuity of decision space, some-
thing policy makers look for.
Finally, Revi laid out a reference mode for Global Change
Research – it deals with simultaneous encounter with multiple
sub-systemic thresholds, many of which are degrading; with
no social or cultural memory of dealing with this class of
problems; with no proven implicit or explicit models to
address such challenges; with little clarity on the stability land-
scape; no institutional “control” structures and governance
regimes in place, and, hence, high levels of uncertainty and
risk to current trajectories of systems. One of the research
challenges is that there are cybernetic limits to the use of cur-
rent analytical tools when it comes to risk and VAR-assess-
ments. The new, integrative “sustainability science” needs a
calculus of the stability landscape of socio-ecological systems,
first around a rudimentary parameter set, i.e. population(s),
capital stock(s) and throughput densities. Then, as capacity
and confidence grows, we could engage with multi-level sys-
tems and more complex issues of distribution, power, institu-
tions and others.
A final conclusion was a citation of Marshall McLuhan
(from Understanding Media, Sphere 1971):
In the mechanical age now receding, many actions could be
taken without too much concern. Slow movement insured that the
reactions were delayed for considerable periods of time. Today the
action and the reaction occur almost at the same time. We actually
live mythically and integrally, as it were, but we continue to think in
the old, fragmented space and time patterns of the pre-electric age.
Western man acquired from the technology of literacy the
power to act without reacting. We acquired the art of carrying out
the most dangerous social operations with complete detachment.
But our detachment was a posture of noninvolvement. In theelectric age, when our central nervous system is technologically
extended to involve us in the whole of mankind and to incorpo-
rate the whole of mankind in us, we necessarily participate, indepth, in the consequences of our every action. It is no longer
possible to adopt the aloof and dissociated role of the literate
Westerner.
ULA LÖW is Information Officer and Editor at the IHDP
Secretariat, Bonn, Germany; [email protected];http://www.ihdp.org; http://openmeeting.homelinux.org
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RESILIENCE, VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATIONBY MARCO A. JANSSEN AND ELINOR OSTROM
➤ One of the parallel sessions at the 6th Open Meeting of the
IHDP held in Bonn, Germany, reported on a series of synthe-
sis activities related to human dimensions research on
resilience, vulnerability and adaptation. In this article we
briefly summarize the content presented at this well-attended
session and place this content into the context of related activ-
ities to bring the communities of resilience, vulnerability and
adaptation together.
A little background to the panel is needed. In March 2004,
the IHDP Scientific Committee appointed one of their mem-
bers, Elinor Ostrom of Indiana University, to organize a study
group to synthesize the relevant work of the crosscutting
theme within the IHDP research community of resilience, vul-
nerability and adaptation. The goal was to gain an under-
standing of the state of the art of relevant research with rela-
tion to human dimensions of Global environmental Change.
Furthermore, the Scientific Committee wanted a better
overview of this theme within the core programs of IHDP and
the potential, future research challenges.
For each of the three core concepts an eminent scholar was
asked to write a „state of the art“ report on the use of the con-
cept in the human dimensions research. Furthermore, a for-
mal bibliometric analysis was performed on those scholarly
publications that use the concepts in the human dimensions
research. As part of this endeavor, the first synthesis results
were presented in a Workshop held in February 2005 at Ari-
zona State University, a special parallel session was organized
at the Open Meeting of IHDP in Bonn, and a publication of a
special issue of Global Environmental Change is planned for
2006. Before we discuss the findings of the synthesis, we intro-
duce the concepts by their original roots:
The concept of resilience as used in the human dimensions
of global change research was introduced by ecologist C. S.
Holling (1973). According to Holling (1973, p. 17) „resilience
determines the persistence of relationships within a system
and is a measure of the ability of these systems to absorb
change of state variable, driving variables, and parameters, and
still persist“. Originally the concept had been used by ecolo-
gists in their analysis of population ecology and in the study of
managing ecosystems. As such, it is mathematically based and
model-oriented. Since the late 1980s the concept has increas-
ingly been used in the analysis of human-environmental inter-
actions. A number of scholars working on resilience of social-
ecological systems have organized themselves in 1999, forming
the Resilience Alliance.
The concept of vulnerability has its roots in the study of
natural hazards. Vulnerability is defined as „the characteristics
of a person or group in terms of their capacity to anticipate,
cope with, resist, and recover from the impact of a natural haz-
ard. It involves a combination of factors that determine the
degree to which someone’s life and livelihood is put at risk by
a discrete and identifiable event in nature or in society“
(Blaikie et al. 1994, p.9). In the 1990s natural hazards scholars
started to focus on the vulnerability of people to impacts of
environmental change, especially climate change. Geography
provides the major disciplinary legacy. In contrast to resilience
there is no focus on mathematical models, but a focus on the
comparative analysis of case studies.
Adaptation to environmental variability has been a focus
of anthropology since the early 1900s. In the 1990s scholars
began to use the term adaptation for the study of the conse-
quences of human induced climatic change, without explicit-
ly relating this back to the conceptual origins in anthropolo-
gy. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change defines
adaptation as an „adjustment in ecological, social, or eco-
nomic systems in response to actual or expected climatic
stimuli and their effects or impacts. This term refers to
changes in processes, practices, or structures to moderate or
offset potential damages or to take advantage of opportuni-
ties associated with changes in climate. It involves adjust-
ments to reduce the vulnerability of communities, regions, or
activities to climatic change and variability“ (McCarthy et al.,
2001, p. 643).
In recent years, the separate communities of resilience, vul-
nerability and adaptation have had a major influence on the
research focused on the human dimensions of global change.
This was quite visible at the Open Meeting in Bonn where
many parallel sessions were related to vulnerability, resilience
or adaptation research. As the synthesis of the literature con-
firmed, human dimensions scholars are starting to use the
same terms, but they use the concepts sometimes differently
and do not always work together to the degree that might have
been expected given the thematic overlaps.
Encouraging more cross-disciplinary work on these themes
was a major reason for organizing the Arizona Workshop with
a small group of 25 scholars from diverse disciplines to discuss
the concepts and define future challenges for IHDP research
that embrace the different concepts. Sander van der Leeuw(Arizona State University) organized this workshop at Arizona
State University where representatives from the IHDP core
projects, the IHDP Scientific Committee, and various scholars
in resilience, vulnerability and adaptation were brought
together. The session in Bonn was organized to report on the
Arizona Workshop and on further developments growing out
of this Workshop.
Marco Janssen (Arizona State University) started with a
presentation of his paper, co-authored with Michael Schoon,
Weimao Ke and Katy Börner, all from Indiana University, on
scholarly networks on resilience, vulnerability and adaptation
within the human dimensions of Global environmental
Change. The paper presents the results of a bibliometric analysis
of the knowledge domains resilience, vulnerability and adapta-
tion within the research activities on human dimensions of
global environmental change. A database of 2,286 relevant pub-
lications during the last 30 years were collected and analysed in
terms of co-authorship relations, and citation relations.
The number of publications in the three knowledge
domains increased rapidly during the last decade. However,
the resilience knowledge domain is only weakly connected
with the other two domains in terms of co-authorships and
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citations. The resilience knowledge domain has a background
in ecology and mathematics with a focus on theoretical mod-
els, while the vulnerability and adaptation knowledge
domains have a background in geography and natural haz-
ards research with a focus on case studies and climate change
research. There is an increasing number of cross citations and
papers classified in multiple knowledge domains. This seems
to indicate a slow merging of the different knowledge
domains.
The second speaker, Barry Smit from the University of
Guelph focused on the concept of adaptation and adaptive
capacity in the context of vulnerability of human systems to
global changes. Barry discussed a number of different ways the
concept has been used in the climate change community, illus-
trated by his own research where he used the various
approaches. Earlier approaches focused on the macro level and
the monetary valuation of adaptation, while recent studies
look at ways to facilitate practical adaptations and enhance-
ment of adaptive capacity at the community level.
Carl Folke (Stockholm University) was the third speaker in
the panel, and he discussed the recent developments in the
area of resilience. Although the concept originates in ecology,
it has been used for the analysis of social-ecological systems in
recent years. Foci in recent years include the local and tradi-
tional knowledge of ecological dynamics, the importance of
system dynamics across scale and the interactions between
scales, and the difference between resilience and transforma-
bility of systems.
Neil Adger from the University of East Anglia gave a pres-
entation on vulnerability at Arizona State University, but was
not able to attend the Open Meeting in Bonn. Adger discussed
recent developments in vulnerability analysis, especially with-
in the area of climate change. Adger formulates a number of
challenges. First, a theory of adaptation is required that explic-
itly incorporates the formation, persistence and causes of vul-
nerability. A second challenge arises from the tension between
objective and subjective measures of vulnerability. The vulner-
ability research community interacts with scientific communi-
ties in geological hazards, risk research, climate change, land
use change and others. It seeks to build credibility in these
interactions by developing credible measures of vulnerability
to provide apparent rigor and comparability. In doing so, how-
ever, vulnerability measures necessarily rely on objectively
measurable or external outcomes of vulnerability where vul-
nerability may be perceived or experienced differently by those
who are the most vulnerable.
From these discussions of the three core concepts, one
learns about the different intellectual backgrounds, but that
they also are beginning to use similar terms. For example, the
term adaptive capacity is a key term used in the resilience com-
munity, and the term resilience is also used in the vulnerability
community. Due to the different intellectual histories, these
terms do not always have the same meaning. Gilberto Gallopín,from the Economic Commission for Latin America and the
Caribbean in Chile, presented his analysis of the epistemological
linkages among the concepts of resilience, vulnerability and
adaptation. These concepts are related in nontrivial ways. For
example, vulnerability is not the opposite of resilience. There-
fore, efforts should be made to develop clear (and hopefully,
shared) specifications of the concepts in the abstract, ecological,
and social senses, that are mutually compatible. This can be crit-
ical for the interactions between social and natural sciences in
the study of the coupled socio-ecological systems
The last speaker at the Bonn session, Oran Young (Uni-
versity of California), presented a paper on: „How Will Global-
ization Affect the Resilience, Vulnerability, and Adaptability of
Socio-Ecological Systems at Various Scales? An Agenda for Sci-
entific Research.“ The paper is co-authored by Frans Berk-
hout, (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam), Gilberto Gallopín,
Marco Janssen, Elinor Ostrom, and Sander van der Leeuw.
During the intense discussions at the Arizona Workshop, chal-
lenges were addressed regarding the future research agenda of
human dimensions of global environmental change from the
perspective of the concepts resilience, vulnerability and adap-
tation. A topic that emerged during the Workshop was the
implications of globalization on the resilience, vulnerability
and adaptability of social-ecological systems at scales ranging
from the local to the global.
Globalization itself is not treated as a variable, owing to the
term’s lack of precision and the absence of standard measures or
indicators of globalization. Rather, globalization refers to a col-
lection of related developments that can be disaggregated and
analyzed one at a time. The structure of the global social-ecolog-
ical system is changing because of changing connections at all
kind of scales. Sometimes developments are more rapid at high-
er levels than the lower levels can deal with, as in the case of the
changing institutions in the European Union. We get more con-
nected at a global scale leading to a faster spread of information
and infectious diseases. The diversity, whether it is biodiversity,
language diversity or institutional diversity, is decreasing. In
sum, globalization has implications for the resilience, vulnerabil-
ity and adaptability of social-ecological systems. Globalization is
not a new phenomenon, but it may be an important crosscutting
theme to address resilience, vulnerability and adaptation of
social-ecological systems at multiple scales. Therefore, Young
and his co-authors see globalization as a key research challenge
for the IHDP community in the coming years.
The papers presented during this Bonn panel will be
brought together after revision for a special issue of the journal
Global Environmental Change on the topic of „Resilience, Vul-
nerability and Adaptation“, which will be edited by Marco
Janssen and Elinor Ostrom. The special issue will appear in
2006. A number of further activities are in development for the
near future, since the general opinion of many human dimen-
sions scholars is that the crosscutting theme of „resilience, vul-
nerability and adaptation“ within the human dimensions com-
munity is a valuable one, and a theme that does bring scholars
together from various backgrounds with a similar focus.
MARCO JANSSEN is Assistant Professor at the School of
Human Evolution and Society Change, Arizona State Univer-
sity, USA; [email protected]
ELINOR OSTROM is Professor of Political Science at the Center
for the Study of Institutions, Population and Environment,
Indiana University, USA; [email protected]
References: www.ihdp.org/updateom05/references.html
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6th Open MeetingI N S T I T U T I O N A L D I M E N S I O N S
➤ The emerging system of global environmental governance is
marked by a shift from state-driven politics and inter-govern-
mental cooperation to the inclusion of non-state actors and to
new forms of public-private and private-private cooperation.
Carefully orchestrated campaigns of environmentalists have
changed foreign policy of powerful states and initiated new
global rules. International networks of scientists and experts
have emerged, in a mix of self-organization and state-sponsor-
ship, to provide complex information that is indispensable for
policy-making on issues marked by analytic and normative
uncertainty. Corporations have also taken a more prominent
role in international decision-making, for example in the
Global Compact that major firms have concluded with the
United Nations.
These activities of private actors in global environmental
governance are no longer confined to lobbying governments.
Increasingly, non-state actors participate in global institutions
and at times negotiate their own standards, such as in the For-
est Stewardship Council or the Marine Stewardship Council,
two standard-setting bodies created by major corporations
and environmental advocacy groups without any direct
involvement of governments. Public-private co-operation has
received even more impetus with the 2002 Johannesburg
World Summit on Sustainable Development and its focus on
partnerships of governments, non-governmental organiza-
tions and the private sector – the so-called Partnerships for
Sustainable Development.
This emergence of private actors and private institutional
mechanisms in global environmental governance can be
broadly explained by its problem characteristics. Analytical
and normative uncertainties require insights and value state-
ments that states no longer can gain through traditional forms
of policy-making based on formal representation by their
domestic constituencies. Functional or spatial interdependen-
cies create policy deadlocks that make space for private rule-
setting, as was the case in global policies on fisheries or forests.
Global environmental governance therefore requires the pri-
vate actor at the global and local levels. At the same time, how-
ever, this gives private actors new degrees of autonomy from
intergovernmental or single-state decision-making.
All this poses challenging research questions. Non-state
actors lack the traditional means of coercion and power that
are defining characteristics of the state. Instead, non-state
actors yield influence through softer forms of authority that
often work through persuasion, arguing, the contribution of
new knowledge and the altering of global discourses. The
exact ways in which such authority is used, however, is not yet
fully understood. Most literature still builds on single-discipli-
nary case-study research with case selection often influenced
by practical considerations or flawed through case-selection
on the dependent variable, in particular where only ‘success
stories’ are chosen. There is hence a need for research pro-
grammes on transnational institutions that is complementary
to the major effort of the 1990s on analysing intergovernmen-
tal environmental regimes. These programmes could explore
key factors that explain the emergence of public-private and
private-private governance mechanisms at global and regional
levels, as well as the political effectiveness of private gover-
nance.
Furthermore, the increasing authority of non-state actors
in global environmental governance poses new questions
regarding their accountability and legitimacy. While the
nation state can take recourse to formal means of legitimation
that include universal elections representing all interests and
stakeholders, non-state actors are forced to rely on different
forms of legitimacy, including moral claims related to a public
good, semi-democratic claims related to membership, or out-
come-oriented claims that derive their legitimacy from the
results of the activity of non-state actors. Despite a growing
body of literature, the legitimacy of non-state actors, including
whether private involvement in global decision-making fosters
or harms the ideal of global democracy, has not yet been suffi-
ciently analysed.
These questions of authority, accountability and legitimacy
of non-state actors in global environmental governance stood
at the centre of a series of presentations at the 6th Open Meet-
ing, as part of the larger framework of the IHDP core project
‘Institutional Dimensions of Global Environmental Change’
(IDGEC). None of these papers addressed the more tradition-
al research foci in the field of non-state actors, such as envi-
ronmentalist organizations like Greenpeace or the World Wide
Fund for Nature. Instead, all papers explored new actors that
have been underresearched, such as intergovernmental
bureaucracies or multinational corporations, or new, yet
unexplored mechanisms of global environmental governance,
notably transnational rule-making.
NON-STATE AUTHORITY AND LEGITIMACY IN GLOBAL
ENVIRONMENTAL GOVERNANCEBY FRANK BIERMANN
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In one paper, Steffen Bauer, a researcher at the Freie Uni-
versität Berlin and a fellow of the Global Governance Project
(glogov.org), presented the research design and first results of
the MANUS project, a 4-year research effort of a group of ten
researchers based in Germany and the Netherlands. The
MANUS project analyses a type of actors that has been rela-
tively neglected by mainstream International Relations
research: the plethora of international bureaucracies ranging
from the United Nations headquarters to the often minuscule
yet influential secretariats of international treaties. Bauer’s
presentation provided a first theoretical conceptualization for
the assessment and explanation of the influence of interna-
tional bureaucracies. He reviewed the authority of bureaucra-
cies in the light of different theories of International Relations,
notably rational institutionalism and sociological institution-
alism, and developed different criteria employed in the
MANUS project to assess the influence of international
bureaucracies. Bauer and colleagues identified their influence
in three functional areas. One domain of influences are the
knowledge and belief systems of actors, where bureaucracies
play a role through the funding and administration of
research, synthesis of scientific findings, and development of
problem frames and policy assessments. Bauer gave the inter-
national response to global warming as an example: In the late
1980s, uncertainty about global warming prevented govern-
ments from taking action. Knowledge was non-existent or dis-
puted among experts and lay-people. In this situation, it was
the bureaucrats of the World Meteorological Organisation and
the UN Environment Programme that initiated and organized
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to develop
consensus documents on the state of knowledge and on possi-
ble political response strategies.
Bauer and colleagues identified international bureaucracies
also as influencing global environmental governance through
the creation, support and shaping of norm-building processes.
Furthermore, they viewed international bureaucracies as cru-
cial in the implementation and revision of treaties, in particu-
lar through the staff of treaty secretariats, which organize
meetings, set agendas and report to the conferences of the par-
ties. International bureaucracies appear crucial in shaping
procedures, providing arenas for issue-specific negotiations
and framing inter- and transnational processes of bargaining
and arguing. Finally, international bureaucracies shape global
environmental governance through assistance to countries to
implement international agreements, which reshapes national
interests. Bauer then explored a number of hypotheses to
explain variation in the influence of these bureaucracies,
focusing as independent variables on the external institutional
setting of bureaucracies („policy“), the problem structure in
specific issue areas („problems“), and the internal factors that
could explain variation in bureaucratic authority in addition
to problem structures and external institutional settings
(„people and procedures“).
The second paper by Philipp Pattberg and KlausDingwerth from the University of Bremen and the London
School of Economics-and also both affiliated with the Global
Governance Project-focused on one specific aspect of non-
state agency-rule-making-and explored the authority and
legitimacy of transnational rules through a comparative study
of different transnational rule-making mechanisms. They
argued that as a relatively recent phenomenon, transnational
rule-making processes could be considered the most apparent
expression of the shift from state-driven politics and intergov-
ernmental cooperation to non-state-driven global governance.
In recent years, many such rule-making processes have
emerged around issues of global sustainability politics. As they
often focused on issues where intergovernmental decision-
making processes were either stalled or absent, some authors
have framed these processes as a merely complementary activ-
ity to intergovernmental negotiation. However, others have
praised these new mechanisms for being more inclusive, trans-
parent and accountable than intergovernmental decision-
making, and have hence suggested that non-state multi-stake-
holder processes could serve as a blueprint for global policy-
making in the ‘age of globalization’.
Pattberg and Dingwerth, on their part, attempted a system-
atic approach to this debate and asked three questions: (1)
Why do transnational rules emerge in global sustainability
politics? (2) How do these rules acquire authority and thus
matter in world politics? (3) What difference do certain proce-
dural and organizational features make with reference to the
democratic legitimacy of transnational rules? To answer these
questions, Dingwerth and Pattberg have researched in detail
five transnational processes: the World Commission on Dams,
the Forest Stewardship Council, the Marine Stewardship
Council, the Coalition for Environmentally Responsible
Economies, and the Global Reporting Initiative.
Pattberg and Dingwerth argued that transnational systems
of rules emerge because demand for regulation is not met by
adequate supply on the national and international level. Going
beyond a rather simplistic functional explanation, their
research indicates that two additional features seem to be deci-
sive: the ability of non-state actors to construct a problem in a
novel way, most often as a risk for business interests, and an
inclusive idea that bridges existing differences, often based on
concepts of balanced representation, openness and shared
ownership. They also found that transnational systems of rules
show three types of influences: normative influences that are
the result of the concrete rules of the institution (e.g. how to
conduct a major dam-building project or how to conduct cor-
porate sustainability reporting); cognitive and discursive
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influences that result from the transfer of knowledge and
learning processes (e.g. the framing of climate change as a risk
for institutional investors by the Coalition for Environmental-
ly Responsible Economies); and structural influences that
result from the interaction of transnational rules with existing
political or economic structures (e.g. the shift in markets and
trade flows induced by the Forest Stewardship Council). Pat-
tberg and Dingwerth finally laid out that the democratic qual-
ity of transnational rules depends on features that can be
attributed to distinct organizational forms of transnational
rule-making: Commissions (such as the World Commission
on Dams) and foundations (such as the Global Reporting Ini-
tiative) are more conducive to a deliberative mode of interac-
tion, while membership associations (such as the Forest Stew-
ardship Council) have-at least where membership criteria are
relatively relaxed-a comparative advantage in terms of inclu-
siveness and accountability.
The third paper was presented by Phillip Stalley of George
Washington University. In his paper, Stalley analysed the role
that foreign firms play in environmental governance in devel-
oping countries, an issue that generates particular relevance
from the fact that a large portion of pollution in developing
countries stems from industry and that most developing
countries compete to attract foreign investments. Stalley laid
out that many in the activist and policy arenas suspect that
foreign firms use their economic clout to press Southern gov-
ernments to turn a blind eye to environmental protection,
while business representatives argue that corporate environ-
mentalism, ethical supply chain policies and technology trans-
fer serve to enhance environmental governance in host coun-
tries. Stalley explained that both arguments make intuitive
sense, yet that the academic literature is surprisingly devoid of
case studies-which turns the issue essentially into an empirical
question. Stalley therefore presented his work on the environ-
mental activity of foreign firms in the chemical industry of
China, based on extensive field research in Shanghai. His
analysis extended not only to the environmental behaviour of
foreign firms themselves, but also to their relationship with
environmental regulators and domestic firms. In conclusion,
Stanley sketched possible policy options for governments
seeking to use foreign investment in a manner that enhances
sustainable development.
Kyla Tienhaara of the Institute for Environmental Studies,
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, and a fellow of the Global Gov-
ernance Project, made the final presentation of the session.
Like Stalley, she focused on multinational corporations acting
as foreign investors in developing countries. However, in con-
trast to his presentation, she addressed how these actors might
have a negative impact on domestic regulation. In particular,
she explained how foreign investors could use investor-state
dispute settlement mechanisms to challenge environmental
regulation.
Tienhaara argued that while investor-state dispute mecha-
nisms have been present in bilateral investment treaties since
the 1960s, there has been a substantial increase in the number
of disputes brought before international arbitration mecha-
nisms in recent years. One way in which environmental regu-
lations have been challenged is through provisions in invest-
ment agreements on expropriation. While direct expropria-
tions and nationalizations have become quite rare, so-called
‘indirect expropriations’ have become more pertinent. One
particular type of indirect expropriation, a ‘regulatory taking’,
is particularly relevant, as it is a taking of property that arises
from state measures, such as the regulation of the environ-
ment. According to Tienhaara, the jurisprudence on the mat-
ter of regulatory takings, and the requirement to compensate
such takings, has been mixed.
Tienhaara stressed that while it is critical that researchers
assess the outcomes of investor-state disputes that involve
matters of public policy, the procedures followed in arbitra-
tion mechanisms make this difficult and in some cases even
impossible. She argued that there is a lack of transparency,
accountability and participation of third parties in investment
disputes. In particular, procedural problems are that not all
cases are registered, that proceedings are closed awards that do
not have to be published, that parties choose their own judges
and individuals may act as both counsel and as judges, that
there is no precedent and no appeals process, and that in most
cases there is no procedure for submission of amicus curiae
briefs.
Tienhaara suggested that these procedural problems are
not only relevant for researchers, but crucially, for regulators,
particularly in developing countries. She hypothesized that the
uncertainty created by the current framework, when com-
bined with the financial risk involved in proceeding to invest-
ment arbitration, could create situations in which the threat of
an investment dispute is sufficient to convince a government
to reverse or amend an offending regulation. She presented a
case study from Indonesia that involved multinational mining
corporations that had threatened the Indonesian government
with investment arbitration over a 1999 forestry law, which
banned open-pit mining methods in protected forests. After
several years of debate the Indonesian government eventually
allowed thirteen prioritized companies to operate open-pit
mines in protected forests. According to Tienhaara, there is
evidence to suggest that the government’s decision was based,
at least in part, on the desire to avoid arbitration. Tienhaara
concluded that more research needed to be conducted on how
investor-state disputes may be influencing government policy,
and also on how the current system of investor protection can
be reformed to make it more accountable, transparent and
inclusive.
All four papers presented at this session at the IHDP 2005
Open Meeting presented valuable insights into one of the
most exciting areas of current global governance research-
authority and legitimacy beyond the state. All papers made
important contributions, yet all also made clear that this area
of research is by far not sufficiently explored. Therefore, the
analysis of private agency and of transnational institutions in
global environmental governance is likely to gain salience in
the research agenda of the IHDP-IDGEC core project in the
years that follow the project’s first Synthesis Conference in
December 2006 in Bali, Indonesia.
FRANK BIERMANN is Professor of Political Science and Envi-
ronmental Policy Sciences, Institute for Environmental Stud-
ies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, The Netherlands;
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6th Open MeetingI N D U S T R I A L T R A N S F O R M A T I O N
➤ The last couple of years, two in particular – since the former
Open Meeting in Montreal in 2003 – brought some interesting
advances in the field of Industrial Transformation.
Firstly, it is now widely recognized in scientific and some
policy circles that current traditional policy approaches will
not be sufficient in our struggle with Global Environmental
Change (GEC). Given the complexity and urgency of these
problems, a transformation of the way in which human needs
are being satisfied, is seen as a promise though still necessitat-
ing a good knowledge base before informing policy on sound
alternatives.
Secondly, science in the field of IT has progressed to the
extent where we now have a good understanding of what is
meant by a „transformation towards sustainability“ – an issue
still not fully settled at the time of the Montreal discussions.
Namely, there seems to be an agreement – although language
may differ in some cases – that a transformation towards sus-
tainability denotes a long term, major or better say radical (as
opposed to incremental) change (Elzen & Wieczorek, 2005) in
the socio-ecological regime. Such a transformation encom-
passes mutually reinforcing changes in the economic, techno-
logical, institutional and socio-cultural domains. Analysts
from different backgrounds have used various concepts to
address the complexity of such change: system innovation,
regime transformation, technological transition, socio-eco-
nomic paradigm shift, industrial transformation, and others.
Despite of these rather significant developments there are
still many serious challenges in dealing with transformations
towards sustainability. A major challenge is to better under-
stand the dynamics of these processes. Their complexity
requires a combination of insights developed in various sepa-
rate disciplines. An ongoing and in-depth discussion between
these different perspectives might help to identify common
themes and potential synergies to characterize and understand
transition processes. This could eventually contribute to the
creation of policies that have the ambition to induce some-
what more radical changes than e.g. „the improvement of effi-
ciency by factor 4.“
NICHE-REGIME INTERACTIONS
System innovation studies took socio-technical systems as a
unit of analysis of sustainability transformations. From the IT
perspective, this seems not a bad idea as long as the vision is to
transform these systems towards sustainability, with environ-
ment being a part of it1. The system innovation writings in the
area of sustainability transitions emphasize this special role of
PROGRESS IN INDUSTRIAL TRANSFORMATION
THE BONN 2005 IT SESSIONS
BY ANNA WIECZOREK AND FRANS BERKHOUT
1 It is perhaps sensible to explain here that system innovation studies do notonly look at transitions that take place on environmental grounds but alsosearch for general patterns of change in socio-technical systems, such as e.g.development of a steam ship or an engine car. Despite of the recent recogni-tion of the institutional embedding of socio-technical systems, still not muchand often no attention is spared for the ecological implications of thesechanges.
technological niches, which generate radical innovations, and
are the locations for learning processes (Elzen, 2004). These
niches need to be protected against natural market selection if
they are to induce change to the existing, often locked-in
regimes. This strategic niche management as described by
Kemp, Schot and Hogema (1998) served as a basis for the tran-
sition management ideas presented at the 6th Open Meeting by
Jan Rotmans. He argued that the management of transition in
a strict steering/planning-and-control sense is not possible
though there are vital chances to modulate the ongoing
dynamics towards sustainability goals. In his speech, Jan Rot-
mans presented transition management as a new form of gov-
ernance based on adjustment and learning in the 4-steps cycle:
1) Establishment and development of a transition arena
2) Development of a sustainability visions and transition
agenda
3) Initiation and execution of transition experiments
4) Evaluation, monitoring of the process, goals, policies and
learning effects
However, as promising as this approach may seem for solv-
ing at least parts of the GEC problem, it also leaves quite a
number of open questions to be asked about the role of tech-
nological niches in sustainable development; the interaction
between niches and regimes that are supposed to undergo a
radical change; and the role of stakeholders.
A number of papers in the session presenting the Sustain-
able Technologies Programme STP of the UK Economic and
Social Research Council touched upon these issues. AdrianSmith, for instance, argued in his presentation that the idea of
niche development is not as new as it may seem. It actually
dates back to the 1970’s when green practitioners began devel-
oping niche alternatives. In order to inform current niche the-
ory, Smith analysed the history of eco-housing and organic
food in the UK. He highlighted the significance of translations
between niche and mainstream contexts, the importance of
mainstream tensions, and the roles of true believers. „Transla-
tion“ was referred to as the finding that socio-technical prac-
tices developed in the niche context would only diffuse if they
can be translated into meaningful practices in the very differ-
ent contexts that pertain in the mainstream. „Tensions“ were
referred to as the fact that niches would not be turned to as a
source of innovation for mainstream actors unless those
actors feel themselves under pressure to change. Meanwhile,
true believers were presented as vital to the initiation of green
niches, as those who have the ideals, motivation, and stamina
to try and get initiatives established, often despite being poor-
ly resourced. True believers are also concerned about co-
option of their ideal practices by the mainstream. According to
Smith, Green niches can thus be sources for mainstream inno-
vation, but not models for innovation.
Chris Hendry, in his presentation, further discussed how
niche applications spread across market and what the require-
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ments are for establishing successful niche positions. He used
case studies of fuel cell development in three market applica-
tions to illustrate specific market entry approaches, adoption
barriers and the roles of different actors in overcoming them.
He also argued that not all regime changes involve the same set
of factors.
A complementary analytical perspective on regime shifts
by investigating factors and mechanisms that weaken prevail-
ing regimes and by this create space for the emergence of alter-
native socio-technical settings has been proposed in another
session on the „Sustainable Transition of Infrastructures“ by
Bernhard Truffer and Jochen Markard. The authors used
examples of innovation in the electricity supply sector that
have the potential of inducing sustainable transformation, and
they emphasized the strong influence of institutional setting
and actor constellation in the process.
ACTORS
In fact, actors and their roles in either promoting, hinder-
ing or shaping change towards sustainability becomes a theme
that gets increasingly more attention within the IT type of
research. Whether government, consumers or NGOs – they
are all found to be crucial to the potential change. Next to the
analysis of the market incentives, such as profitability via
adding value in the food system (contribution by Ken Green),
the issue of partnerships is being investigated as a factor that
may bring either incremental or radical innovation (as
described in a case from the waste sector by Rachel Slater).
Ineke Meijer, in her presentation, investigated the influence of
perceived transition uncertainties on the stakeholders’ innova-
tion decision. She stressed that better insight in the uncertain-
ties may help us (i) understand the process of change better
and (ii) suggest possible points of policy intervention. Meijer
proposed a systematics of various uncertainties and analysed
the effects that these various types of uncertainties have on the
actor’s decisions in the case of a transition towards a micro-
cogeneration of heat and power systems in the Netherlands.
GREAT TRANSITIONS
Moving somewhat beyond the niche-regime interface and
beyond questions on the specific role of technology or actors
in initiating radical change towards sustainability, the Open
Meeting contributions again emphasized the need to investi-
gate transitions at a higher, more aggregated, macro-level of
world regimes. The open question, however, is: Are there
methods that can help us identify such processes and factors
by which societies can identify the stage of transition they cur-
rently follow? This is to compare transformations that take
place at different times and at different geographical locations.
Perhaps these insights can be helpful for identifying possible
points of intervention. Marina Fischer Kowalski, in her pres-
entation on comparing transitions in the North and South,
proposed to apply some new methods of „multidimensional
time distance analysis“. In her study on the transition from the
agrarian to an industrial mode of subsistence she focused on
(i) the biophysical dimensions of social systems such as popu-
lation dynamics, energy and material flows and land use; and
on (ii) the socio-economic factors. One of the most interesting
outcomes of her study on past transitions across time and
space in, for example, the energy sector was that Austria
reached the same level of development as the UK, but 200
years faster and with less impact on the environment. Extrap-
olation to the future in the same sector suggests that countries
that are currently developing will need between some 50 years
(Latin America) and about 250 years (South Asia) to catch up
with countries like Austria or the UK. Still, the ongoing transi-
tions are strongly influenced by multiple factors and co-evolu-
tionary developments, which may lead to very different transi-
tion pathways. The good news for policy makers is that the
pace and the direction of these processes may be influenced by
appropriate policies.
SCENARIOS
Scenarios are yet another useful tool to explore future
developments and they can also help to inform strategic deci-
sions (by policy makers as well as industry) in situations of
uncertainty. In his talk, Boelie Elzen argued that the existing
scenario methods are not well suited to explore transitions.
They pay little attention to interactions between technical and
societal developments and neglect cross-links between various
developments. Boelie proposed a new scenario method that
explicitly pays attention to the interrelation between technical
and societal factors in innovation processes (Socio-Technical
Scenarios – STSc). The method builds upon the above-men-
tioned multilevel transition theory and explores possible
developments on various levels (niche, regime, landscape). It
describes how these levels can influence each other to present a
richer picture of possible pathways towards sustainability. He
evaluated the usefulness of this STSc method for coordination
of activities of different stakeholders towards sustainability in
the mobility sector.
Four interesting transition scenarios (Firewalled Europe,
Sustainable Trade, Fossil Trade and Fenceless Europe) for
European energy transition have been presented by Jos Brug-gink. His storylines connect plausible global developments in
the world energy markets and climate change policies with
European energy regime changes and related national (EU
member states) innovation pressures. Bruggink expects that
two major events would have a grand influence on the urgency
and direction of the energy innovation in Europe:
– The arrival of a global peak in oil production; and
– The failure in global climate change policies.
(Bruggink 2005)
His conclusion was that the world economy is moving
towards a fossil trade scenario where oil production will peak
in the period of 2010-2020 and where there are no viable post-
Kyoto climate change policies. Only a strong link between cli-
mate change and poverty reduction, and between trade and
environment, could lead to a sustainable trade future where
post-Kyoto policies develop effectively. The European energy
sector then has a chance to turn to a large-scale trade in renew-
ables.
SUMMARIZING …
The discussions on these early research results reveal great
progress in the field of Industrial Transformation as well as the
emergence of an epistemic community that is interested in
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specific aspects of radical change in socio-technical systems that
would bring sustainable development. In that respect, the disci-
plinary divide between the various contributions is serving a
good purpose and is by no means counterproductive. Transi-
tions are highly complex and uncertain processes and therefore
they benefit from these different perspectives (Olsthoorn, Wiec-
zorek, 2006). We need to continue the work on analysing past
transitions but also be cautious about jumping into quick con-
clusions about general patterns of change. The future may
evolve along very different paths than expected. Societies and
their conscious actions and policies, however, do not remain
without impact on the shape of our future. Management of
change is no easy task. The complexity of transition processes
implies a warning that transition policies cannot be based on
simple steering philosophies. They will need to take into
account interaction between different stakeholders, their inter-
pretations of the concept of sustainable development, and they
need to leave room for learning and feedback.
This report is based on selected presentations in the field of
Industrial Transformation at the 6th Open Meeting in Bonn
and strongly influenced by the authors’ participation in specific
sessions. We thank all for their contributions and hope very
much to meet at the next OM and further advance this trans-
disciplinary research agenda.
ANNA WIECZOREK is Executive Officer of the Industrial
Transformation core science project of IHDP at the Institute
for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amster-
dam, The Netherlands; [email protected];http://130.37.129.100/ivm/research/ihdp-it/index.html
FRANS BERKHOUT is Chair of the IT Scientific Steering Com-
mittee, based at IVM, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam;
References: www.ihdp.org/updateom05/references.html
TALK FOR A CHANGE:
COMMUNICATION IN SUPPORT OF SOCIETAL RESPONSE
TO CLIMATE CHANGEBY SUSANNE C. MOSER AND PATRICK LUGANDA
INTRODUCTION
News about global climate change isn’t good. Scanning the
papers on a regular basis, in fact, one could argue, news is get-
ting worse. And if we are honest, we may even say that the
news isn’t the half of it. The scientific literature – not con-
strained by the economic pressures of the news business, jour-
nalistic norms of balancing viewpoints, competing political
priorities, public indifference, and the whims of „issue atten-
tion cycles“ – lays out in far greater depth and sometimes
painstaking detail where things are at. Status, trends, and out-
looks of the world’s climate, ecosystems, economic and social
vulnerabilities, and societal capacities to deal with multiple
rapid and interacting changes can easily dishearten the close
observer. Indeed, the gulf between the urgency that many sci-
entists see in global climate change and compounding global
environmental and social changes vis-à-vis the extent of socie-
tal response to date (both in terms of mitigation and adapta-
tion) is far from closing.
One session at the 6th Open Meeting of the Human Dimen-
sions of Global Change Research Community in Bonn argued
that one important reason for this persistent gap is inadequate
communication of the risks and possible solutions of climate
change to those who could enact changes. Such actors do not
only include policy-makers involved in international climate
negotiations, but ultimately every one: business executives,
local and national government officials, civic society actors in
non-governmental organizations as much as in houses of wor-
ship, educators, and individuals in their personal lives.
Communication plays a critical role in problem definition and
agenda setting, creating an informed public and policy debate,
social mobilization, helping to build political pressure necessary
for policy and social change, and in identifying, promoting and
spreading possible behavioral and policy solutions. For commu-
nication to effectively play these roles, however, there is a growing
need to better understand how the recipients of climate change
information will treat the information that they receive, given
specific personal and cultural concerns and backgrounds and
socio-economic contexts, how they will respond behaviorally,
and what opportunities and barriers exist to implementing a par-
ticular change promoted in a communication campaign.
The communication-social change continuum is here presented with afocus on individual behavior change. This does not suggest that indi-
vidual behavior is the most important locus of climate change response;however, individuals – no matter how far the reach of their decision-making powers – will go through a similar process. Important contex-tual forces (e.g., culture, power relationships, interests, capacities) will
shape this bi-directional and cyclical process in unique ways.
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The session, entitled „Climate Change Needs Social Change
– The Role of Communication“, organized by the authors,
brought together a variety of perspectives from Europe, the
U.S., and Africa1,2 to explore the communication – social
change continuum around the following questions:
• What would effective communication of climate change
look like?
• What role can such communication play in facilitating
social change and societal response to climate change?
• What does research on communication and social change
have to offer to inform improvements in our communica-
tion practice?
• What (cultural) differences and similarities are there in
communication practice across nations that can both val-
idate „good“ practice and inform future research?
Papers in this session explored the interactions, processes,
and impacts of communication at a variety of „interfaces,“ for
example, that between the media – mainly print and TV – and
public opinion in the US (Maxwell Boykoff, University of Cal-
ifornia) and in the UK (Lorraine Whitmarsh, University of
Bath); between experts and the media in northern/coastal Ger-
many (Harald Heinrichs, University of Lüneburg, and HansPeter Peters, Research Center Jülich); between the law, the
media, government, and society at large in the US (MarilynAverill, University of Colorado); and between individuals and
communities – sometimes, but not always, mediated by formal
media channels – in East, Central and Southern Africa (PatrickLuganda). An overview of the communication-social change
continuum in the context of societal response to a global
change challenge such as climate change was provided by
Susanne Moser. It offered the conceptual „glue“ for the individ-
ual papers. This summary touches on some of the common
themes and interesting differences emerging from the papers.
WHAT ROLE CAN COMMUNICATION PLAY IN SOCIETALRESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE?
The papers covered a wide variety of ways in which com-
munication can facilitate social change. Some focused on the
first and maybe most fundamental ways – such as raising
awareness of or alerting to a problem, especially global ones
that are difficult to detect with „the naked eye.“ More deeply,
communication, especially lively and interactive forms of
communication can help people create understanding and
meaning. As such communication helps in direct and indirect
ways to shape public or policy discourse, and thereby, influ-
ence public perceptions of the severity of climate change, per-
ceptions of the state of the science on it, and perceptions of
solutions. This was illustrated clearly in Boykoff ’s paper, which
investigated the impact that the journalistic norm of balancing
viewpoints has had in the US on public perception of the state
of the scientific consensus on climate change.
The public/media discourse in turn helps shape political
agenda and can garner or dissipate public support for policy-
making. Thus, the media plays a crucial role as mediator
between science and society (Whitmarsh, Heinrichs). The
media also plays a critical mediating role between issues of sci-
ence and the law by highlighting and interpreting court cases
about climate change to the listening public (Averill). Clearly,
it is litigation itself that can help clarify existing law, influence
corporate behavior, assign governmental responsibility, and
validate (or undermine as it were) the credibility, legitimacy
and salience of science. But the media, by reporting on such
cases, can extend these roles of litigation to encouraging pub-
lic debate, simply by casting the legal debates in a certain way
in the public arena.
Finally, as Luganda illustrated, communication among
individuals and communities can play an important role as a
first-order coping strategy. Talking about „strange weather“
and changes in climatic patterns simply makes climate change
less puzzling and helps integrate these changes into daily con-
versation and life. Taking a leaf from communication of
HIV/AIDS in Africa, he suggested that communication is a
cheap and powerful tool to reach deeply into people’s personal
lives, allowing for information to be shared easily among con-
cerned or affected populations.
ELEMENTS OF EFFECTIVE COMMUNICATIONOF CLIMATE CHANGE
The question what role communication could play in soci-
etal response to climate change immediately raises a follow-on
question about actual impact or effectiveness. The presenta-
tions addressed the potential and actual impacts of communi-
cation, but did not directly answer the question what would
constitute effective communication. Obviously, the answer to
that question is highly context-dependent. It depends on the
stated goal of a communication effort, the communicator-
audience interaction, who the audience is and what they need
or want, the fit of communicated information and knowledge
with the audience’s mental models, pre-existing knowledge,
decision-making responsibilities and capacities. For example,
is the intent to simply raise awareness, to inform, to alert the
population at large or a specific subset, is it to educate in
broader and/or deeper ways, is it to mobilize people into
action, or to enable and empower them to take a specific type
of action?
In principle, communication effectiveness may be judged
by what actually has been said, how it has been said, who
and/or how many have been reached by the communication,
how that information has been received, and what the impact
of the communication was on perceptions, understanding,
decisions, and behavior. As a result, the measures of effective
communication one could envision are varied and the ones we
have are typically incomplete. All too frequently, however,
communication efforts are not followed up with attempts to
measure their impact.
We would argue that the measures that do exist can reveal
underlying assumptions about what effective communication
is believed to look like. For example, sometimes we count the
number of pamphlets distributed or the hits on a web site.
These may be the easiest ways to measure „impact“ yet they
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1 Unfortunately, the double session of papers was truncated by nearly 50% bythe fact that contributors from South America, other African countries andAsia were unable to attend the meeting due to lack of funding. There areplans underway to compile written versions of all the papers – those present-ed and those intended for presentation – in a forthcoming Special Issue of thenew e-journal Communication, Cooperation and Participation.
2 See http://openmeeting.homelinux.org/abstract_listing.asp; locate Session98; click on „details“ of the session description and for the abstracts of allpapers.
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also tend to reflect an underlying notion of communication as
one-way information delivery, where it is assumed that „the
information speaks for itself“ and will motivate appropriate
societal response. Alternatively, one may measure – and social
scientists frequently do, as reflected in several of the papers
presented – the change in perceptions or levels of understand-
ing in specified audiences over time as a result of communica-
tion (Boykoff, Whitmarsh). Sometimes these perceptions and
understandings are compared to a desired level of knowledge
(e.g., lay versus expert understanding of risks, lay versus expert
mental models of global warming). This approach is common
in contexts where the goal of communication is education,
greater preparedness for certain risks, or where researchers are
interested in understanding the impacts of different framings,
content, communication media, and channels have on public
understanding.
Another approach – represented by another one of the
papers (Heinrichs) – is to judge the subjective satisfaction with
communication interaction among those involved, for exam-
ple of reporters and scientists when they interact. Moving
toward decision or behavioral outcomes, one may also meas-
ure effectiveness by the number or types of actions taken in
response to communication (as alluded to by Averill). Typical-
ly, due to the multi-causal influences on decisions and behav-
iors, these linkages are not only difficult to measure, but also
rather weak (Moser). Finally, as another paper illustrated,
communication is also an essential ingredient in the building
of social capital (loosely understood here as informal net-
works of trustful relationships that support societal action).
Measures of social capital are elusive, but the notion reveals an
understanding of communication as a two-way exchange
(Luganda, Whitmarsh). This latter notion comes closest in
some ways to the origin of the word communication, which
shares its Latin roots with that of communion, i.e., a process of
imparting, sharing, and making common.
In short, the measures of communication effectiveness that
we have are partial, but valuable measuring sticks for how well
we are doing. What we know from these studies is that most
lay audiences in the U.S., Europe and Africa, still misunder-
stand the causes and dynamic of climate change, still know lit-
tle of possible solutions, still find it difficult to relate this glob-
al change to their lives and more immediate concerns and
hence still don’t see the relevance or urgency of the issue, and
still don’t understand why action is required now. Studies also
show that scientists and other communicators (e.g., in envi-
ronmental NGOs) frequently employ ineffective methods of
trying to reach lay or policy audiences, and that the cultural
and institutional gap between experts and the media contin-
ues to impede more effective interaction. Thus, improvement
in practice is needed, and more studies of communication
effectiveness are needed, including comparative studies across
nations, cultures, issues, and time.
THE ROLE OF SCIENCE IN CLIMATE CHANGECOMMUNICATION
Scientists were the first to detect and define climate
change; they also have dominated public discourse about the
issue. Clearly, they have and continue to play a tremendous
role in the communication of climate change. The media con-
tinues to rely on experts as the most important source of fac-
tual information (Heinrichs) – albeit typically „balanced“ by
a perspective offered by other experts with contrary (and
sometimes contrarian) perspectives. The documented result
of this journalistic practice – as Boykoff showed – has been
the wanting state of public understanding and engagement
with the issue, and the stalled political debate in governmen-
tal circles.
So while scientists will continue to play a big role in com-
municating climate change, presenters at the 6th Open Meet-
ing suggested that it may be time to broaden the circle of
communicators. They also identified the need for a broad-
ened conversation beyond the state of the science and associ-
ated uncertainties. Even though the scientific endeavor is
driven by the pursuits of knowledge about incompletely
understood arenas, the scientific consensus about the reality
of climate change, and the human contribution to it, is grow-
ing. The deeper debate about response options, the associated
trade-offs, and value choices, clearly also requires scientific
input, but can and should not remain a scientific debate (e.g.,
Schneider 2004). In that sort of debate, scientists are not the
only ones that have legitimate standing. Several presenters
and others in the audience argued that the circle of messen-
gers thus needs to be broadened beyond scientists (as mediat-
ed by the media or involved directly). This would imply also a
move toward a dialogical notion of communication (not just
„delivery“ of information). Examples where such a dialogic
notion of communication is already practiced include the vil-
lage communication and learning centers in Africa, or the
agricultural and coastal/marine extension services in the U.S.
In short, this shift would imply a move from one-way to two-
way conversation, involving fundamental shifts in how we
think about and conduct „outreach.“ Such an approach
would also enrich the communication content as it would
allow the information to be adjusted to better fit in the needs
of the recipient audience. It would also allow communicators
to deal with queries and misperceptions at an early stage in
the communication cycle.
SIMILARITIES AND DIFFERENCES BETWEENDEVELOPED AND DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
The Open Meeting offered a valuable opportunity to begin
moving beyond our typical disciplinary and institutional
enclaves and to compare notes across national experiences.
Even from the limited set of studies represented in our session,
we found interesting similarities in communication across
EU/US/African contexts. Such similarities include, for exam-
ple, the common need for creating relevance, for connecting
climate change to people’s lives and experiences and to deci-
sion-makers’ spheres of influence for the issue to gain salience.
In all countries represented by these papers, the important role
of experts in and for public discourse was emphasized. Clearly,
the challenge of communicating uncertain science, and con-
veying what science is all about, remains problematic in all
regions. At the same time, virtually all papers expressed the
need and desirability of moving beyond the sole reliance on
experts as communicators, and beyond the one-way informa-
tion-delivery model of communication so commonly still
practiced.
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Interestingly, across the national contexts represented, there
may be interesting gender issues in access to and choice of com-
munication channels, and in processing of received information
– issues that should be explored further in future research.
Among the interesting differences arising out of the pre-
sentations, we would note, for example, the degree of contro-
versy over the state of scientific consensus in Europe and the
United States, or the relative importance of various communi-
cation channels in developed versus developing countries. In
Europe and the US, for example, newspaper and television are
among the most important information sources for the pub-
lic, whereas in southern Africa, radio and informal communi-
cation channels play a far greater role. Literacy levels and the
availability and affordability of information infrastructure are
key determinants of this difference. In Africa, for example,
even where literacy levels are high, the reading culture may be
poorly developed and access to TV and the internet is limited
by low levels of development and poverty.
Another interesting difference concerns the scope and
reach of the decisions that certain information might inform.
Whereas in developed countries decisions based on the infor-
mation received may be limited to the individual and the
immediate family, in developing countries especially in Africa,
information is shared widely with individuals throughout a
community, especially with influential opinion leaders, elders,
local politicians, educated sons and daughters, thus potentially
influencing a far larger group. These differences imply differ-
ent challenges in how, with whom, and what is being commu-
nicated, and what impact such communication might have.
They also imply different politics surrounding the communi-
cation of climate change. For example, visible, „professional“
contrarianism is virtually absent in Africa.
MOVING FORWARD
Improving the communication of climate change in ways
that can truly facilitate and support societal response to a
global challenge such as climate change requires first and fore-
most specific attention to it. Continuing to talk in the same
ways, through the same channels, using the same tried and un-
true (i.e., ineffective) frames and mental models, and involv-
ing and addressing the same, but limited set of actors, virtual-
ly promises slow progress at best. There is growing evidence,
for example, that where communicators in the media are
exposed to basic science training and information from pro-
fessional scientists, there is a dramatic shift in the delivery of
effective communication (ICPAC/NECJOGHA training work-
shops in the Greater Horn of Africa & Southern Africa).
Moreover, to cross institutional, disciplinary and science-
practice boundaries requires patience, time, institutional sup-
port, willingness, training, and courage among those who would
participate in the emerging, broader conversation. While some
scientists have a natural talent as communicators, many do not
and typically do not receive training to become effective com-
municators. There is little institutional or financial support to do
so. Yet in interdisciplinary and practice-oriented settings, such
boundary-crossing opportunities exist, and valuable lessons are
being learned. Moreover, social scientists studying communica-
tion and social change dynamics can feed critical insights back to
their physical and environmental science colleagues.
Engagement around specific policy challenges, business
opportunities, or adaptation needs – in other words, around
concrete projects – may also provide arenas well enough
defined for participants to open up new channels of commu-
nication, to learn to speak and listen, negotiate visions, edu-
cate each other, and discover common languages. In short,
such opportunities will help to move from information deliv-
ery to engaged dialogue and thus help build the necessary trust
and social capital essential for embarking on social change.
The concreteness of such situations will further help make this
abstract „global change“ issue more real and local, and embed
climate change in wider sustainability challenges.
Some situations may also allow for creative broadening of
the array of communication formats to be employed. For
example, various art forms – theater, story-telling, song, poet-
ry, and dance – are beginning to address climate change,
bringing the scientific issue alive in more engaging, accessible
ways that offer meaning and facilitate emotional engagement.
Finally, the study of communication (and its effectiveness),
and its role in social change has not yet risen to great signifi-
cance in the international human dimensions research com-
munity. Including a wider set of disciplines that contribute to
the larger research endeavor and to the understanding of core
research priorities (e.g., IT, IDGEC, GECHS, and urbaniza-
tion) should be a high priority for the IHDP. Research priori-
ties may include but should not be limited to the following:
• cross-national comparative case studies of the impacts of
communication;
• studies of communication effectiveness;
• exploration of gender differences in how communication
is accessed, received, conducted, and linked to action;
• research into the causal linkages between communication
and social change;
• progress in our understanding of how to connect science
more effectively to social institutions of power and influ-
ence – such as the media, policy-makers at various levels,
businesses, NGOs, and resource managers; and
• a better understanding of the political economy that
shapes what kind of conversation about climate change is
being or can be had, who is and who isn’t heard, and why
it is so difficult to change these conditions.
We thank the presenters and the audience of our session for
lively discussion and for raising some of the important issues
raised in this summary.
SUSANNE C. MOSER is a Research Scientist with the Institute
for the Study of Society and Environment at the National Cen-
ter for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA;
[email protected]; www.ncar.ucar.edu
PATRICK LUGANDA is a Journalist and Chairman of the Net-
work of Climate Journalists in the Greater Horn of Africa
(NECJOGHA), Kampala, Uganda; and member of the ICPAC-
IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Center, Nairobi,
Kenya;
References: www.ihdp.org/updateom05/references.html
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➤Gender perspectives on global environmental change are
highly relevant to research in human security, yet few initia-
tives have been undertaken to identify gender-differentiated
contributions, impacts and responses to global environmental
change. Although it has been well documented that gender
mediates the use of environment through gender roles,
responsibilities, expectations, norms, and the division of
labour, there has been relatively little research on how vulner-
ability to environmental change, coping capacity, and adaptive
capacity are gendered (Seager and Hartmann, 2004). Drawing
together different perspectives, this panel will serve as the
foundation of a larger research project that combines the
insights of an integrated analysis of local and regional human
security and a gender analysis, to illuminate the real-world
dimensions of vulnerability to global environmental change.
Livia Bizikova and Suruchi Bhadwal were the co-organizers of
this panel session.
Joni Seager (York University, Toronto) explored the inade-
quacy of gendered data and indicators within the UN system,
in particular UNEP, and presented the results of one project to
bring gender into the work of the agency. Suruchi Bhadwal(TERI, New Delhi) highlighted the strong impacts that global-
ization and macro-scale processes of change have on the liveli-
hoods of poor communities in India, and in particular on the
women of these communities. Minu Hemmati, together with
her co-author Ulrike Roehr (both Genanet, Frankfurt)
focused on gender aspects of climate change relevant do devel-
oped countries. Livia Bizikova (AIRD, University of British
Columbia, Vancouver) gave a presentation on the gender
dimension of climate change mitigation and adaptation in
transition countries. S.H.M. Fakhruddin (CEGIS,
Bangladesh) presented a study on gender-differentiated cop-
ing mechanisms and vulnerabilities in the coastal zone of
Bangladesh.
Macro-scale physical processes influence livelihoods of
many dependent on these resources for a living. Strong link-
ages exist between the physical and the social dimension of the
earth’s system, with changes in one influencing the other criti-
cally. Although many studies have sought to explore the
impact of environmental changes on communities, the gen-
dered aspect to vulnerability of these macro-scale processes
has seldom been explored. Exposure to changes in climate,
globalization, or soil degradation induces differential impacts
on gender, posing serious concerns. Gender inequalities, both
in the North and the South, are rooted in existing gender roles
and attitudes that have strong social, economic and environ-
mental implications. These inequalities, however, tend to be
very site-specific and require a close and careful elaboration of
the local conditions. Apart from huge gender disparities in
developing countries, differences can also be observed in
industrialized countries and in countries of transition. The
issues revolve around differential decision-making abilities,
differing roles and responsibilities in terms of access to
resources and benefits, as well as institutional support and
available opportunities.
Gender disparities in industrialized countries are grouped
around lower participation of women in decision-making,
wage gaps, vertical and horizontal segregation of men and
women in the economy, gender roles in care economy, gender-
specific types of violence, feminization of poverty and so on
(Hemmati, Roehr). While in transition countries the attention
towards gender inequalities and the attempts to balance them
are becoming a part of policy development the experience of
these countries also reveals new dimensions of gender
inequalities such as access to land, re-appearance of the typical
women’s and men’s role due to the state’s withdrawal from car-
ing activities, as well as stronger gender segregation in specific
occupational types (Bizikova). In case of countries in the
South, however, the situation is more precarious. Characteris-
tic gender disparities in the South are differential allocations
of wages, physical abuse and violence, exploitation by those in
powerful positions as women are rendered helpless, outward
migration with huge consequences on health resulting in
spread of infectious diseases e.g., AIDS and other health
impacts – posing problems of malnutrition, maternal death
and spread of epidemics, stalled education and low female lit-
eracy rates, as well as reduced empowerment and decision-
making abilities. While rural-urban migration of men, in
many cases, is directly linked to environmental degradation, it
is often the women who stay behind under grim conditions
(lack of clean water, poor soil, exposure to drought and floods,
starvation, as well as lack of adequate protection and mitiga-
tion from natural hazards in general) (Bhadwal).
Underneath potential climate change related measures, the
different gender roles, incongruities and attitudes are hidden.
At the general level, the principal determinant of a society’s
capacity to adapt to change is likely to be access to resources.
This is determined by entitlements that are often the product
of external political factors and processes operating at the
super-national scale but that have consequences at the sub-
national level (Adger et al., 2004). International trade and
multilateral agreements that influence national economic
policies are good examples. Poverty, inequality, isolation and
marginalization can all undermine the entitlements of indi-
viduals and groups, but the inequality between women and
men within a given society or community often is higher than
inequalities between the specific groups or communities. For
example, the average wage differences between men and
women in developing countries as well as within the EU are
higher than differences between average wages across coun-
tries. Therefore, taking into account gender disparities makes
studied processes, trends and indicators less homogenous by
involving different societal needs and values.
H U M A N S E C U R I T Y : G E N D E R
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE, GENDER AND
HUMAN SECURITY BY LIVIA BIZIKOVA1 AND SURUCHI BHADWAL
1 Opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author and do not necessar-ily reflect the views of Environment Canada.
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The divergence
between approaches,
both top-down and
bottom-up, and their
capability to grasp
gender inequalities,
has significant
impacts. In case of
top-down approach-
es, issues such as
equal representation
of women in the
whole process of
policy preparation
could be a challenge.
Bottom-up approa-
ches on the other
hand provide signifi-
cant information on
the measures re-
quired for adapting
to and mitigating the
effects of climate change, highlighting the necessity of climate
change related measures to be tailored for local needs (Klein et al.
2003). As adaptation strategies reflect the dynamics of peoples’
livelihoods, adaptation must be seen as a process that is itself
adaptive and flexible to address locally specific and changing cir-
cumstances (IISD, 2003). This also allows challenging gender
roles and attitudes by re-assessing current livelihoods from a per-
spective of future strategies, and in this way avoid maintaining the
status quo in gender disparities or even further deepening of gen-
der inequalities. Therefore, only with multi-scale analysis involv-
ing gender sensitive approaches can the full nature of equity and
empowerment issues be exposed (cf. Beg et al., 2002), allowing
particular attention to be paid to supporting strategies that will
secure livelihoods and aid poverty reduction, in addition to
enhancing our understanding of equity issues.
Case studies provide an excellent way to peep into and capture
the micro-scale dimensions of gender-based impacts and vulner-
abilities associated with changes in the global climate. Based on
these studies carried out at the local level, the impacts on women
and their lowered capacities in responding effectively to the so-
felt consequences are increasingly realized.
One of the consequences of climate change related events is
the change in frequency and intensity of extreme weather events
including droughts and floods. The gendered aspects of vulnera-
bility to these macro-scale processes have hardly been taken into
account. Especially in developing countries, in many contexts,
men are better connected with early warning mechanisms due to
their movement in public space and access to formal and infor-
mal channels of communication; e.g. radio, TV, informal com-
munity networks and interaction with officials. Therefore, capac-
ity building to increase the potentials to cope with disasters
requires gender specific approaches. In drought-affected regions,
numerous women toil under severe conditions, in addition to
having to cater to the immediate needs of their children. Reduced
labour and cheap wages during these periods has further signifi-
cant impacts on the household income. Under acute circum-
stances, cases of malnutrition and consequent deaths are report-
ed. Death during child-birth is also common during such times.
In case of floods, women are affected more by the spread of epi-
demics, as basic hygiene precaution cannot be maintained. Dur-
ing both droughts and floods the school drop-out rates of girls is
very high. Examples are cited from case studies in India and
Bangladesh in this context (Bhadwal, Fakhruddin).
Gender-specific response measures and coping strategies to
various vulnerabilities can be observed. Cited specifically in the
context of Bangladesh, women family members in different parts
of the coastal zone were found to be involved with various kinds
of activities that can support the households in critical periods.
Growing livestock (poultry, goats etc.), homestead gardening,
cottage industries, minor financial savings and so forth are
amongst the major coping measures. Men, on the other hand,
were found to rely more on external supports (money lenders,
adjustment/negotiation of the market prices in accord with other
farmers) (Fakhruddin).
By considering impacts on gender in proposed steps to
enhance the resilience of communities to cope effectively with cli-
mate variability and change, gender disparities can be reduced.
Care must be taken to implement non-conflicting procedures that
are in alliance with the sustainable development goals. For exam-
ple, measures to increase carbon sequestration such as reforesta-
tion and afforestation could be in conflict with subsistence farm-
ing (women’s tasks) and related health impacts from changes in
diet on women and their children, no availability of off-farm work
(if the proposed measure requires less-intensive labour force) and
potential increase of women in the informal sector (Bizikova).
To be able to prevent losses during disasters, the role of women
needs to be recognized, and they have to become more actively
engaged in the risk reduction process. Gender mainstreaming can
encourage ownership of the process and thus reduce associated
risks. In order to better cope with negative impacts, increased rep-
resentation of women at decision-making level, changes in land-
ownership status, and gender-sensitive adaptation measures have
to be part of the climate change measures.
Gender-conscious approaches should be adopted in risk man-
agement efforts to cope effectively with disasters particularly at
the community level. Gender-differentiated coping mechanisms
and vulnerability assessments will increase capacity of men and
women to live more safely in hazard-prone environments,
increase women’s access to resources (including financial
resources), and foster a transition to a more sustainable society
less exposed to the vagaries of changing weather conditions. In
order to successfully introduce gender sensitive methods of prob-
lem analysis and impact assessment, women have to be empow-
ered at the decision-making level. This will also lead to better gen-
der-responsive and participatory development policies.
LIVIA BIZIKOVA is Postdoctoral Research Fellow at the
Adaptation and Impact Research Division (AIRD), The
University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada;
[email protected]; www.ubc.ca
SURUCHI BHADWAL is Area Convenor and Associate Fellow
with the Centre for Global Environment Research, TERI, New
Delhi, India; [email protected]; www.teriin.org
References: www.ihdp.org/updateom05/references.html
H U M A N S E C U R I T Y : G E N D E R
Capacity Building of Rural IndianWoman
Phot
o:Co
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sy o
f Wor
ld B
ank
I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6 | 2 3
6th Open Meeting
➤Amy Lovecraft and Tun Myint co-chaired a panel entitled
„Local, Regional, and International Institutions to Reduce
Conflict and Increase Capacity for Restoration, Protection, and
Usage of Transboundary Waters.“ The session was located in
the Institutional Dimensions of Global Environmental Change
section of the conference. Both Amy Lovecraft (University of
Alaska Fairbanks) and Tun Myint (University of Indiana
Bloomington) are Research Fellows with the Institutional
Dimensions of Global Environmental Change. Their panel
sought to bring together institutional research on bodies of
water which are transnational in location. Recent estimates
note that 263 of the world’s rivers are shared by two or more
countries, and these transboundary watersheds account for at
least 60% of the world’s freshwater and some 40% of the
world’s people (Gerlak, 2004). As human understanding of the
natural world has expanded, it has become apparent that the
boundary lines of maps, while often drawn around natural for-
mations such as mountain ranges, desert edges, or rivers, have
become political artifacts when trying to manage the ecology of
most natural resources. These realizations by the public and
governing agencies have sparked growth and change in inter-
national boundary diplomacy and administration. The presen-
tations in the session achieved three goals related to analysis of
internationally shared waters. First, as a group the cases of
transboundary relationships and their current governance
mechanisms at multiple scales represented over a dozen affect-
ed countries. Second, the papers evaluated the potential of cur-
rent and proposed institutions to reduce conflict and increase
capacity for achieving resilient ecosystems and sustainable
water goals. The different cases covered a broad spectrum from
new institutions, such as those just developing in Central Asia,
to long established relationships such as those along the Rhine
in Europe. Thirdly, the papers covered several methodologies
from the development of institutional recommendations based
on mathematical models, to in-depth policy history, to Young’s
(2002) fit, interplay and scale. Due to these attributes the ses-
sion audience was able to learn about a diverse array of trans-
boundary water arrangements. The session was crowded, with
six presenters, but nonetheless a question and answer period
followed. This review of the session will now briefly recount
each paper presented and follow up with some of the major
summary lessons.
Grace Koshida (Environment Canada) made the first pres-
entation, called „Drought Risk Management in Canada-U.S.
Transboundary Watersheds: Now and in the Future.“ Her work
examined the significant hazard of drought to both Canada
and the United States. As demand for water increases in North
America so does the potential for conflict in the shared water-
sheds between the two countries. Koshida’s talk presented the
social and ecological vulnerabilities that accompany the threat
of drought in the Okanagan, Poplar, Red, and Great Lakes
Basins. Droughts have multiple effects on any given ecosystem.
For example, they can affect forest fire potential and species’
survival but also have public health aspects related to safe
drinking water. She discussed how drought risk has been man-
aged historically and her work gave an in-depth descriptive his-
tory of each of the institutions present in each basin. Through
the presentation it became clear that climate change and
increasing population pressures will play a major role in the
future availability of water for this region.
The next presentation, by Carmen Maganda (University of
California, San Diego) headed south and addressed the waters
shared between cities in the states of California, United States
and Baja Calfornia, Mexico. Her work, entitled „Competition
for the Water Resources of the Colorado River in Southern
California: The Case of San Diego vs. Imperial Valley“,
stemmed from her doctoral research exploring how trans-
boundary waters are administered (managed, planned, and
assigned) for growing cities sharing water resources. Her pres-
entation compared the regional competition between authori-
ties in the San Diego metropolitan area, and those in Imperial
Valley for the distribution of water from the Colorado River.
The impact of the recently signed Imperial Valley-San Diego
water agreement has had negative collateral effects on Mexican
users of the Colorado River, such as an inability to draw need-
ed water during dry seasons, due to the asymmetrical power
relationship between northern and southern parties. She
argued that her study demonstrates that local elites will con-
tinue to behave in self-interested ways, and create unsustain-
able policies, unless bi-national institutions are better
designed to restrain all parties which rely on a shared resource.
The third presentation, by Sabine Moellenkamp (Universi-
ty of Osnabrück) took the panel to Europe for „Sharing the
Rhine River: Transboundary Cooperation on Multiple Scales
and in a Changing Institutional Environment.“ While a multi-
tude of cooperative arrangements on several scales have
evolved among the nine countries sharing the Rhine, Moel-
lenkamp’s presentation focused on the development of the
German and French partnership. Germany has a federal sys-
tem while France has centralized water agencies and their sys-
tems communicate about the Rhine primarily through the
International Commission for the Protection of the Rhine.
Although their relationship can be constrained by differing
legal systems and attitudes towards the environment, there
have been positive ecological effects from their cooperation.
Her focus was on how these two countries have implemented
the European Water Framework Directive (WFD), which is
mandatory throughout the European Union. The new WFD,
and its eco-regional approach, has created new structures that
make the governance of the Rhine more complex as multiple
stakeholders and agencies must be included. However, she
argued, the relationship between Germany and France for
managing the Rhine has improved; so much so that salmon
have returned.
Taras Samborsky (Moscow State University) presented a
detailed mathematical model about shaping the future of
I N S T I T U T I O N A L D I M E N S I O N S : W A T E R M A N A G E M E N T
THE COMPLEX DYNAMICS OF TRANSBOUNDARY WATER
MANAGEMENTBY AMY L. LOVECRAFT
2 4 | I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6
6th Open Meeting
shared water use institutions among several countries in Central
Asia. His talk, „The Theoretical Model of Optimal Division of
Water Recourses Between Different Countries of Central Asia“,
discussed how sharing waters is complicated by the political,
economic, and social problems of Khazakhstan, Kirghizstan,
Tajhikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. He offered a theo-
retical model of optimal division of water recourses for these
Central Asian countries. The model was based on the principles
of the market economy, which are rather new for these post-
Soviet republics. The main instrument of the model was a total
economical effect of water recourse utilization as a function of
quantity and quality of water used during a calculation period.
Every country, region or district is considered to be a participant
of the market and can buy or sell some part of quote for the
water utilization and pollution. The model determines the opti-
mum strategy and gives the possibility to reach maximum prof-
it. The model can be used for the scientific substantiation of
quotes and expenses for the ecological monitoring and protec-
tion. The successful realization of Samborsky’s model may pres-
ent opportunities for the normalization of the political situation
in Central Asia as well as guiding economically effective and
ecologically safe utilization of water recourses there, as well as in
other regions of the world.
„Institutional Mechanisms for Conflict Resolution and Water
Cooperation: An Assessment of the Indo-Bangladesh Joint
Rivers Commission“ was presented fifth by Monirul Mirza(Institute for Environmental Studies, Toronto). He noted that a
large number of rivers are shared by India and Bangladesh, as
well as their neighbors, creating a complex policy environment
due to diverse interests and ecological conditions. For example,
the amount of dry season water available in these rivers is not
enough to meet demands of both countries for agriculture, river
regulation, navigation, industrial and domestic water require-
ments, etc. On the other hand, during the monsoon, Bangladesh
is often engulfed by floods generated in the upstream areas
beyond its border. Mirza’s focus in his presentation was on the
institutional relationship between India and Bangladesh
addressing the particular problems of resolving water sharing in
the Ganges River and mitigating flood hazards. In other words,
the region’s water „problems“ are of both excess and scarcity. The
Indo-Bangladesh Joint Rivers Commission (JRC) was created in
1973. The talk presented an overall assessment of the scope of the
JRC, the roles it played in fostering water cooperation and its
limitations. While the JRC has evolved as an institution and has
the potential, depending on political trends, to greatly benefit the
region, he argued that the records of the negotiations show that
because of its limitations in scope and executive power, political
interventions have been required to really jumpstart water agree-
ments. The presentation also demonstrated that the scope of the
JRC should not be limited to water sharing but should also be
expanded to include other areas of cooperation such as ecosys-
tem and water quality management and non-navigational uses
of water.
The final presenter was Louis Lebel (Chiang Mai University,
Thailand). His ongoing work analysing institutions for water
resources in Vietnam was presented as „The Politics of Scale,
Position and Place in the Management of Water Resources in the
Mekong Region.“ Lebel utilized Oran Young’s institutional
methodology of fit, interplay, and scale to evaluate the appropri-
ateness of the scales for science, management and decision-mak-
ing in the Mekong waters. He argued that these features of an
institution cannot be unambiguously derived from physical
characteristics of water resources. His talk explained how scales
are a joint product of social and biophysical processes. As such,
the politics of scale metaphor has been helpful in drawing atten-
tion to the ways in which scale choices are constrained overtly by
politics and more subtly by choices of technologies, institutional
designs and measurements. But at the same time, the scale
metaphor has been stretched to cover a lot of different spatial
relationships. Lebel argued in his presentation that there are ben-
efits for understanding and action of distinguishing issues of
scale from those of place and position. He illustrated this with
examples from the management and politics of water resources
in the Mekong region where key scientific information is often
limited to a few sources. The key effective institutional manage-
ment will be to shift water politics in the Mekong region from a
technocratic and coercive mode fearful of citizens and science
into a more integrated and deliberative mode open to greater
public participation in decision-making about individual water
resource development projects.
In summary, these excellent presentations conveyed four
important points related to transboundary water management.
First, the use of water resources shift over time as ecological con-
ditions as well as user populations change. This means that insti-
tutions must be flexible in design, or at least open to amend-
ment, so that new circumstances do not mean depletion of
resources. Koshida’s work effectively demonstrated how even
between friendly post-industrial neighbors issues of water
scarcity may drive conflict in the coming decades. Perhaps even
new institutions may need to develop when older ones are
unable to adapt their legal or technical style to a particular prob-
lem. Second, culture and power relationships cannot be ignored
as key variables contributing to the capacity of institutional suc-
cess. Each of the presentations contained this thread but Magan-
da’s and Mirza’s works showed just how important political pres-
tige and national financial resources can be to institutional cre-
ation and implementation respectively. Third, perceptions
toward the water resources themselves will play a role both in
institutional design as well as how existing national and subna-
tional structures view their relationship(s) to the water institu-
tions. Moellenkamp’s presentation of how two European Union
neighbors can still have very different cultural relationships with
the same river as well as Lebel’s stress on the need for the inclu-
sion of citizen-driven information about a resource are excellent
examples of this concept. Finally, each author’s contribution
demonstrates the importance of understanding how institu-
tions, as sets of rules and practices, change (or do not change) the
behaviors of water users from the local to the international.
AMY LOVECRAFT is an Assistant Professor of Political Science
at the University of Alaska, Fairbanks, USA; http://www.iser.uaa.alaska.edu; http://www2.bren.ucsb.edu/~idgec/about/fellows/lovecraft.html
TUN MYINT is a Research Fellow at the University of Indiana,
Bloomington, USA; http://www.research.iu.edu/centers/wptpa.html; http://www2.bren.ucsb.edu/~idgec/about/fellows/myint.html
I N S T I T U T I O N A L D I M E N S I O N S : W A T E R M A N A G E M E N T
I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6 | 2 5
6th Open Meeting
➤Among the many activities synthesizing the results of the
LUCC (Land-Use and Land-Cover Change) project during the
6th Open Meeting in Bonn in October 2005, there was also a
roundtable to hand over its very subject matter to the newly
established Global Land Project. Already in 2003, the Scientif-
ic Steering Committee of LUCC started to prepare a review of
tasks and activities to be implemented along the lines of the six
LUCC Science Questions:
1) How has land cover been changed by human use over
the last 300 years?
2) What are the major human causes of land-cover change
in different geographical and historical contexts?
3) How will changes in land use affect land cover in the
next 50-100 years?
4) How do immediate human and biophysical dynamics
affect the sustainability of specific types of land uses?
5) How might changes in climate and global biogeo-
chemistry affect both land use and land cover?
6) How do land uses and land covers affect the vulnera-
bility of land-users in the face of change and how do
land-cover changes in turn impinge upon and enhance
vulnerable and at-risk or critical regions?
In this connection, the question was raised of what remained
to be taken up by the new Global Land Project. It became obvi-
ous that the LUCC research questions 1) – 5) could be fairly well
addressed in the final synthesis (see LUCC section in this
report), though research questions 4) and 5) needed revision
and further actions in the then remaining two years lifetime of
the project. A review of LUCC research question number 6)
revealed, however, that it could not be addressed fully and to a
satisfactory degree by the LUCC synthesis. It should therefore
be considered part of the LUCC heritage to be dealt with in
more detail by the new Global Land Project.
A review of the vulnerability theme explained why the
exposure-sensitivity-coping capacity framework was still con-
sidered rewarding, but should be handed over to the Land
Project. Accepting this recommendation, the Global Land
Project rephrased it as one of its three major cornerstones of
Theme 3 in the Science Plan: „How do the vulnerability and
resilience of land systems to hazards and disturbances vary in
response to changes in the human-environment interac-
tions“. The LUCC SSC gave some main arguments for explo-
ration beyond the current state of knowledge. The current
framework (exposure-sensitivity-coping capacity) needs to
be extended to include the minimization of risk through
diversification and the risk/migration nexus. This includes,
for example, risk-taking behaviour in land use, the role of
urbanization and remittances, or the role of insurance and
credit policies. Also, the local context needs to be better inte-
grated so that, for example, household decisions can be incor-
porated in those approaches trying to understand which local
land use strategies minimize or maximize risk. Finally, quan-
tifications of vulnerability should be aimed for wherever pos-
sible, but the heterogeneity of actors and uses within a place
suggests avoiding any large-scale quantification of vulnerabil-
ity at the regional level.
These recommendations where part of the input provided
to a very well attended „handover-session“ from Eric Lambin,Chair of the LUCC SSC to Richard Aspinall and DennisOjima, the interim Co-chairs of the newly constituted GLP
SSC, on 11 October 2005 in Bonn, Germany. Richard Aspinall
and Dennis Ojima presented the GLP science framework and
subsequently faced the critical questions and constructive
input of a distinguished audience of international scholars
interested in land science. They invited all members of the
LUCC community to continue staying involved with the new
GLP and help ensuring continuity from the many scientific
achievements of LUCC, which became so obvious those days.
GREGOR LAUMANN is International Science Project Coordinator
at the IHDP Secretariat, Bonn, Germany; [email protected]
L A N D
„HANDING OVER“ – FROM LUCC TO GLPBY GEGOR LAUMANN
Phot
o by
Ulr
ike
Klop
p
2 6 | I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6
6th Open Meeting
➤IHDP, in collaboration with co-organizing partners of the 6th
Open Meeting decided to take concerted effort to use this
unique opportunity for the systematic promotion of young
scientists, particularly those from developing and emerging
economies from all regions of the world, to interact, cross-
link, and exchange information on various aspects of global
change.
Four Pre-Open Meeting Training Seminars took place from
October 6-8, 2005 in Königswinter, Germany. These capacity
building activities focused on methodological issues related to
research questions on the human dimensions of global envi-
ronmental change, with topics linked to the IHDP core science
projects and the Earth-System-Science joint projects. These
seminars were not only held to develop concrete skills and give
state-of-the-art information and knowledge about the topics
in question, but also to enhance collaboration and networking
between the young researchers and the broad Global Environ-
mental Change research community. To foster integration
with the core science projects of IHDP, key scientists linked to
the IHDP networks volunteered to take up the training man-
date for three days. The four training seminars proofed to be
an exiting and challenging interactive exercise, and enabled
young researchers from all over the world to meet with top
researchers to learn from each other and feel inspired for fur-
ther collaboration.
1) Training Seminar on Urbanization and Global Envi-ronmental Change
Trainers: Frauke Kraas, University of Cologne, Germany,
and Roberto Sánchez, University of California, Riverside,
USA
Co-Trainers: William Solecki, Hunter College, City Uni-
versity of New York, USA; Karen Seto, Stanford Universi-
ty, USA; David Simon, Centre for Developing Areas
Research (CEDAR), University of London, UK
This group aimed at a better understanding of the interac-
tions and feedbacks between global environmental change and
urbanization at the local, regional, and global scales. It fol-
lowed a multidisciplinary and interdisciplinary perspective.
The trainers introduced innovative conceptual and method-
ological approaches.
The four thematic foci of the seminar covered the array of
interaction between the urban and the global environment
components of the Earth system. It started with processes
within the urban system that contribute to global environ-
ment change. A second focus was put on the pathways through
which specific global environmental changes affect the urban
system. It also addressed the resulting interactions and
responses within the urban system. Finally, it dealt with inter-
actions within the urban system on global environmental
change, or feedback processes. These four thematic foci create
a comprehensive perspective of the dynamic, diverse, and
complex interactions between urban systems and global envi-
ronmental change processes.
The topics of this training seminar stretched from biophys-
ical processes across global socioeconomic changes to urban-
ization and health issues. Trainers and participants looked at
case studies from all over the world, discussed potential inter-
linkages for interdisciplinary research approaches and tried to
position their own research activities within the IHDP net-
works in order to benefit from already existing research activi-
ties and results.
2) Understanding Vulnerability to Global EnvironmentalChange in the Context of Globalization
Trainers: Karen O’Brien, University of Oslo, Norway;
Janos Bogardi, United Nations University – Institute for
Environment and Human Security, Bonn, Germany, and
Claudia Pahl-Wostl, University of Osnabrück, Germany
Co-Trainers: Eric Crasswell and Marcel Endejan, Global
Water System Project Office, Bonn, Germany; Michael
Bollig, University of Cologne, Germany; Jörn Birkmann,
United Nations University – Institute for Environment
and Human Security, Bonn, Germany; Sabine Möl-
lenkamp, University of Osnabrück, Germany
This training seminar was tightly focused around under-
standing and assessing human vulnerability from the perspec-
tive of various discourses, using a range of methodologies, in
light of a host of competing stresses. Particular emphasis was
placed on the themes of water (both abundance and scarcity
under global environmental change) and the context of glob-
alization. The course content was delivered through a variety
of means, including formal lectures, group activities, role play-
ing and group discussions. There was general agreement that
vulnerability is a dynamic concept related to multiple process-
es, but the precise definition of vulnerability and appropriate
methodologies for measuring it (or, indeed, the appropriate-
ness of measuring it) were extensively debated by participants.
Among other activities, Karen O’Brien asked the participants
to step outside their pre-conceived notions of how they think
about the concept and assigned them to work within various
discourses (biophysical, human-environment, critical and
transformational globalization) to both explain and propose
solutions to a large-scale human and environmental disaster,
the impact of Hurricane Katrina on New Orleans. This exam-
ple managed to illustrate many of the recurring themes of the
workshop: Multiple stresses, nested scales, the role of institu-
tions, political discourse, uneven development, the role of
technology, human security and the idea of „winners and los-
ers“. These themes were further explored in subsequent exer-
P R E - O P E N M E E T I N G T R A I N I N G S E M I N A R S
THE PRE-OPEN MEETING TRAINING SEMINARS
TRAINING SEMINARS ON METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES RELATED TO THE HUMAN
DIMENSIONS OF GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6 | 2 7
6th Open Meeting
cises led by other facilitators to give participants an apprecia-
tion of the many voices and challenges of vulnerability assess-
ment in various contexts.
As a whole, the training seminar, as well as the Open Meet-
ing that followed, provided a broad overview of recent
research findings and advances in the conceptualization of
various aspects of the interactive effects of human security and
the natural environment in the context of global environmen-
tal change and globalization. The new contextual and concep-
tual frameworks in which the otherwise much explored
research topics were situated provided a stimulus for reconsid-
ering old problems and approaches for addressing them from
a new perspective.
3) Analysis of Spatial Data for Human DimensionsResearch – User Workshop
Trainers: Alex de Sherbinin and Adam Storeygard,
CIESIN at Columbia University, USA; Günther Menz,
Matthias Braun and Hans Peter Thamm, University of
Bonn, Germany.
This training seminar provided hands-on technology tools
training for the analysis of spatial data. The seminar focused
on the use of geographic information systems (GIS), remote
sensing and statistical software with training on ArcMap,
Erdas and GeoDa respectively. It was particularly useful to use
examples from developing countries concentrating on global,
regional (Africa) and local (Benin) scales of analysis. Topics
addressed during the seminar included cartographic represen-
tation & modeling, land-use & land-cover change (LUCC),
and spatial correlation analysis.
This seminar proved to be a very useful (and quite unusu-
al) integrated training on several techniques that are usually
approached separately. Furthermore, the discussion of
research problems in a multidisciplinary audience gave the
chance to understand and solve problems with a variety of
perspectives.
The first part of the seminar focused on global data sets and
the deconstruction of those explaining the way in which these
were developed, the
way in which selected
variables answer a par-
ticular research ques-
tion, variables develop-
ment, etc. The second
part focused on region-
al and local study cases
in Africa (the whole
continent and Benin),
as well as on the need to
understand which vari-
ables from a global
dataset would answer
questions at the local
level, and which tech-
niques were more suit-
able for this type of
analysis.
This seminar was conducted through the collaboration of
several institutions, each one of them providing a particular
focus of expertise. Thus the trainers managed to cover two dif-
fering main topics in the realm of spatial data for human
dimensions research, i.e. spatial statistics, and remote sensing
and land-use/land-cover change (LUCC). The institutions
involved in this training seminar were the Center for Interna-
tional Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN) and the
Population-Environment Research Network (PERN) at
Columbia University, as well as the Center for Remote Sensing
of Land Surfaces, University of Bonn.
4) Training Seminar on Economic Methods for GlobalEnvironmental Change Research
Trainer: Gernot Klepper, Institute for World Economics,
Kiel, Germany
Co-Trainers: Sonja Peterson and Manfred Wiebelt,
Institute for World Economics, Kiel, Germany.
In this training seminar the students were introduced to
the most common methods for modeling economic aspects
from a regional to the worldwide scale. Particular lectures
were about different approaches to modeling economic
processes in relation to environmental change and political
scenarios. Different methods were shown in theory and
examples, including the general equilibrium model (GEM)
to evaluate different scenarios to deforestation and political
decisions (in the case of Cameroon), as well as partial mod-
els. In addition, data requirements to build economic models
were discussed, and the social accounting matrix (SAM)
method was presented. Each student talked about personal
experiences and research problems, and all participants eval-
uated alternative approaches for specifics problems in an
interactive session. Problems presented for the students
included deforestation by soybean expansion, fishery and
fish population fluctuation in relationship to climate change,
individual decisions in different economic contexts, as well
as sector impacts in relationship to climate change or poli-
cies.
ACTIVE INVOLVE-MENT OF YOUNGSCHOLARS FROMALL OVER THEWORLD
IHDP managed to
invite 60 young schol-
ars to join into this
capacity building event
and to also stay on
for the 6th Open
Meeting in Bonn due
to the generous sup-
port of the Asia-Paci-
fic Network for Glo-
bal Change Research
(APN) and its CAPa-
BLE Programme, the
P R E - O P E N M E E T I N G T R A I N I N G S E M I N A R S
Central Europe
Eastern EuropeLatin Americas
South East Asia
USA/Canada
Africa
Diagramme 1: Distribution of the training seminar participants’ areaof residence
2 8 | I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6
6th Open Meeting
Inter-American Insti-
tute for Global Change
Research (IAI), the
Center for Internation-
al Earth Science Infor-
mation Network
(CIESIN), the SysTem
for Analysis, Research,
and Training (START),
the United Nations
University (UNU), the
Norwegian Research
Council, the University
of Cologne, the Kiel
Institute for World
Economics and the
Foundation „Interna-
tional Encounters“ of
the savings bank
Cologne/Bonn.
The distribution of
participant’s area of
residence demon-
strates the truly international character of this exercise (see
diagramme 1). Organizing this capacity building event back-
to-back with the 6th Open Meeting proofed to be a successful
strategy for fostering
young human dimen-
sions researchers from
all over the world to
actively participate in
the world largest social
science conference on
global environmental
change issues. This
consolidated active
involvement of young
scientists has been
generally acknowl-
edged by all confer-
ence participants and
was a crucial factor for
the spirit of a truly
international, interdis-
ciplinary science con-
ference grasping on
the human dimensions
of global environmen-
tal change.
Organizer of the Training Seminars:
Ike Holtmann, IHDP Secretariat, Bonn, Germany
T R A I N I N G S E M I N A R S / U N U - E H S
MEASURING THE UNMEASURABLE2nd UNU-EHS EXPERT WORKING GROUP MEETING ON MEASURING VULNERABILITY
➤The UNU-EHS Expert Working Group (EWG) met for a
second time during the 6th Open Meeting, following up on its
inaugural meeting in Kobe, Japan in January 2005. The sec-
ond meeting was larger, welcoming representatives from a
variety of German planning and development assistance
institutions, partners from on-going field research in Russia
and Sri Lanka, as well as a number of young scientists.
The title of the meeting „Measuring the Unmeasurable“
was provocative and stimulating. Dealing with the concept of
„vulnerability“ across a range of disciplines concerned with
sustainable human development, risk reduction, and human
security in operational terms is a challenge. At one extreme,
vulnerability is a fundamental characteristic of human exis-
tence, where intersubjectivity reveals the dependence of each
individual on others and the individual’s proneness to loss,
injury, and abandonment. At this pole of reflection on the
phenomenon of vulnerability, the social sciences come close
to their philosophical limits, and the „data“ are qualitative.
At the other extreme, vulnerability may be defined by climate
science, engineering, or economics as the propensity to spe-
cific, measurable negative effects or impacts. The quanta may
be narrowly defined (as soil moisture and crop yields, a
building’s behavior under seismic stress, or money). One way
of representing this continuum of ways to comprehend vul-
nerability is provided in a background document used in the
Working Group meeting (see www.ehs.unu.edu)
The disciplinary breadth of the participants was very
large, a fact that enriched the discussions. Integration of
reports of ongoing research work in Sri Lanka following the
December 2004 tsunami, flooding in Russia, and pre-disaster
planning in Tanzania, Central America, and South Africa
helped to center and focus so many wide ranging points of
view.
An enormous number of fresh insights came out of the
deliberations. These ran the full gamut from the use of qual-
itative methods such as story telling to capture perceptions of
risk and vulnerability to fully quantitative methods involving
remote sensing and econometrics.
In the end, however, everyone seemed to agree that the
way forward in making the concept of vulnerability useful in
development, risk reduction, and human security lies in
answering some fundamental questions: Measurement of
vulnerability to what? Through what? By whom? For whom?
To achieve what?
A report of the second meeting of the UNU-EHS’ Expert
Working Group „Measuring Vulnerability“ is in preparation
and will be published early 2006. For orders please contact
Ilona Roberts, UNU-EHS, Goerresstrasse 15, 53113 Bonn.
Training Seminar on Spatial Data
I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6 | 2 9
6th Open Meeting
IHDP NC Mexico/IHDP NC USA, “Urbanization: A Two-Way Lane – Cities as Drivers and Targets of Climate Change”:Cities are contradictory drivers of development. On the one
hand they are centers of key activities inducing transforma-
tions of the carbon cycle and the climate system (e.g. trans-
portation). They have an ecological footprint extending to dis-
tant and remote places. Furthermore they are targets of the
impacts of climate change. It is therefore difficult for city man-
agers and stakeholders to even comprehend both cities’
impacts on the carbon cycle, and cities´ vulnerabilities to cli-
mate change. On the other hand, cities are centers of cultural
opportunities, and changing lifestyles capable to induce trans-
formations in development that can contribute both to decar-
bonization of our societies, and to enhance our adaptive
capacities.
The IHDP Mexican National Committee, the US Commit-
tee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, the IPCC
and the Global Carbon Project, supported this session, on
cities as drivers and targets of climate change. The paper from
IHDP NC Mexico, “How do Local Governments Manage Glob-al Issues? Governance of GHG Emissions in Mexico City”,
Patricia Romero Lankao (Chair) explored some factors
explaining accomplishments, difficulties and challenges facing
authorities and other actors managing carbon emissions in
Mexico City. She found that local regimes have worked as
learning facilitators. City actors recognize linkages among
emissions, urbanization and transportation, and include more
scales (global and local) in their framing. This and other posi-
tive results do not warranty an effective management of emis-
sions. For authorities face institutional constraints, e.g. lack of
coordination among three tiers of government. Cities’ emis-
sions trajectories are driven by other factors operating at glob-
al scales in space and through time. For example, reduced gov-
ernmental investment in public transportation has con-
tributed to a shift in mode share from metro and buses to
minibuses and low capacity modes, leading to increased emis-
sions. (For further information on this session and papers pre-
sented, contact Patricia Romero-Lankao, Chair IHDP NC
Mexico,
[email protected], and Thomas Wilbanks, Chair
USHDGC, [email protected])
IHDP NC Nepal, “Institutional Interplay on the Environ-ment and Resource Regime of Central Himalayan Mountains:Study on Nepal”: After the end of World War II many nations
underwent political transformation and a new world order
began to emerge. Rapid economic and technological develop-
ment was the main theme for these underdeveloped countries
left behind by the industrialized world. The central Himalayan
mountain region also got the message to move along with the
new world order. As a result a new paradigm for environmen-
tal and resource regime began to emerge. A multiplicity of
institutions began to operate at the local, regional and nation-
al levels. Traditional institutions got diluted by the externally
implanted institutions and often worked at cross-purposes.
Furthermore, each institution tried to emerge as a complete
self, causing lack of coordination among the sectoral institu-
tions as well as the traditional village councils.
This region is characterized with complex environmental
and resource regimes in fragmented and diverse socio-eco-
nomic units. With the degree of development the degree of
vulnerability also has been increased many fold. However,
there are some success stories too. A historical review on the
institutional dimension of development efforts in Nepal of the
past six decades has been carried out. The driving force behind
the growth and transformation of institutions, the role and
effectiveness thereof and the impact to the environment and
resource regime of this central Himalayan Mountain Region,
Nepal, was critically analyzed.
Observations from Sharad Adhikary (Member, IHDP NC
Nepal) concluded that the centralized political and economical
establishment of the country neglected the role of local com-
munities and their traditional practices and thus gave birth to
numerous conflict situations such as: a) resource use (opti-
mization problem), b) external encroachment to the natural
resources local communities being exploited economically, c)
cultural invasion – disruption of cultural and age-old transi-
tions, d) feeling of incompetence or incapable among the local
people, and e) disruption of localized economic structures and
thus deepening of economic crises including recession of prod-
ucts. Furthermore multiple donors gave rise to multiple insti-
tutions often working on cross-purposes including disruption
and continuity. (For further information on this paper present-
ed, contact Sharad Adhikary, Member IHDP NC Nepal,
[email protected], [email protected])
IHDP NC Nigeria/IHDP NC Cameroon, “Urbanization inWest Africa: Patterns, Processes, and Implications for Land Useand Land Cover”: Urbanization, as a complex process of social
change and is progressing unabated in most of the developing
countries. It is characterized by the creation of large urban
centers - either by migration, temporary and/or permanent
settlements of workers, or workers-to-be in towns. These are
particularly visible in the seventeen countries that constitute
the West African subregion. For example, a cursory look at the
various statistical details for these countries attests to the stu-
pendous growth in population over the past 20 years, with
devastating consequences in the face of bad governance, inept
administration and large-scale corruption. This has led to the
large-scale abandonment of rural areas, the transposition of
rural for urban poverty and the deleterious affects of these for
food security in the region.
As if this were not enough and as a result of demand for
land for various purposes resulting from urbanization, there
has been serious pressure on the existing facilities and infra-
structure within cities. Most of the agricultural land within
and at the fringe of the city has been converted to either resi-
dential plots or commercial centers legally and illegally. These
N A T I O N A L C O M M I T T E E S
IHDP NATIONAL COMMITTEE SCIENCE
AT THE 6th OPEN MEETINGBY DEBRA MEYER-WEFERING
3 0 | I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6
6th Open Meeting
have reduced the food supply to the city, especially vegetables
and staple foods. It is thus apparent that the social, economic
and environmental consequences of land-use change present
significant challenges to rural and urban populations in many
parts of West Africa. It is recognized that land-use change
impacts in very different ways on different countries and com-
munities in the region, but that there are some common prin-
ciples for effectively managing change, which this session
sought to address.
A case study for Nigeria was presented by IHDP NC Nige-ria, “Globalization and the Role of Multinational Corpora-tions in Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes in the Niger Deltaof Nigeria”, which argued that since Nigeria derives the bulk of
its revenue from crude oil, the oil multinationals act as a gov-
ernment on their own, operating with minimum safety rules
and thus despoiling both land and water resources. The effect
is that people can no longer partake in traditional occupations
such as fishing or farming. Yet, because of the general poverty
level of people and because of the perceived wealth of oil com-
panies, the area continues to get steady streams of people for
all categories of jobs. The result is the increasing of desertifica-
tion in the area and continued loss of forested land and pollut-
ed rivers. The paper suggests more pro-active actions and
greater vigilance from government and its agencies and, most
importantly, the economic empowerment of the people of the
Niger Delta. (For further information on this session and
papers presented, contact Samuel Babatunde Agbola, Chair,
IHDP NC Nigeria, [email protected], and JohnForje, Chair, IHDP NC Cameroon, [email protected])
IHDP NCP Zimbabwe/IHDP NCP South Africa,“Droughts, Poverty, and Livelihoods: Key Issues from SouthernAfrica”: Global Environmental Change (GEC) is a key issue
that impacts on Southern Africa. One area, but not the only
area of concern, is climate change (e.g. droughts and floods).
The recurrence of droughts has impacted heavily on rain-fed
agriculture and food provision with increased poverty in the
region. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for national
economies of Southern Africa has shown to be significantly
affected by consecutive droughts causing need for food aid
nearly every year. Tropical cyclone induced floods in the late
summer have only worsened the food situation, often increas-
ing disease and malaria epidemics among human communi-
ties. The effects of a harsh climate have been exacerbated by
HIV/AIDS, high unemployment, unstable macro-economies
and governance issues.
This session was organized by IHDP NCP Zimbabwe to
raise key human dimensions issues grappling Southern Africa
including climate and society interactions; poverty and liveli-
hoods; agriculture, food systems and food security in the con-
text of droughts. A recent regional workshop, organized by
IHDP NC South Africa, for ‘young’ scientists on HDGEC in
Southern Africa (held in Richards Bay, South Africa, 13-15
September 2004) demonstrated excellent research output with
high quality and in-depth data analysis from the region, a few
of which presented their findings in this session. The issues
were discussed in terms of complex human-environment
feedback interactions; social policy responses to environmen-
tal change; vulnerability and adaptive capacity; methodologi-
cal debates in HD research; interdisciplinary research and
common agendas.
A case study was presented by IHDP NC Botswana “Limitsto Livelihood and Environmental Sustainability in KgalagadiEnvironment of Southwestern Botswana: The Case of the Mat-sheng Village”, which addressed the extent to which water still
remains the principal limiting factor to socio-economic devel-
opment and sustainable rangeland management in southwest-
ern Botswana. (For further information on this session and
papers presented, contact Hector Chikoore, Member, IHDP
NCP Zimbabwe, [email protected])
IHDP NCP Argentina/NCP Chile, “Regional Approaches toHuman-Environment Studies: Environmental Ethics”: Ethics
is the philosophical discipline that reflects critically upon the
moral questions of human beings. This is a complex and prob-
lematic field due to its special relationships with all the areas
that have to do with human action, motivations, sense, norms
and values. Since Rio Summit, 1992, issues such as sustainable
environmental development, quality of life, rights of future
generations, rights and/or duties towards nature, etc., have
reached such a high level of discussion that they have made
their way into common conscience as concepts, which are
ambiguous and dilemmatic enough to encourage theoretical
discussion. Thus, social as well as natural sciences have been
invited to the debate where modern notions of nature and
human practices in relation to the environment are ques-
tioned. This forced a revision of the bases of our modern sci-
ence and civilization process and a re-examination of the
social representation of the relation society-nature. This
reflection brings about the need to build dialogue spaces for
analysis of representations (or visions of the world), which
provide the models from which the building of values is based
and the variety of ethical systems is explained.
N A T I O N A L C O M M I T T E E SPh
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I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6 | 3 1
6th Open Meeting
The aim of this session was to share different conceptions
of the relationship society-nature, which have built different
environmental ethics. The possibility of finding ways to build
consensus strategies appears from knowledge and mutual
respect towards antagonistic approaches, based on the articu-
lation of legitimate differences towards a sustainable and less
conflictive common future with the generation of norms and
values which enable and optimize co-existence by and for all.
In her paper, “Ethics, Science and Global Environment:
Thoughts Upon Human Action, Science, Power and Nature –
Society Vulnerability”, IHDP NCP Argentina, Elda Tancredi,
analyzed components of contemporary debate on ‘ethical
turn’ and the relationship with global environmental issues.
Some critical points on the history of moral considerations
upon nature-society relationship in western thoughts were
described. (For further information on this session and paper
presented, contact Elda Tancredi, Chair, IHDP NCP Argenti-
na, [email protected] and Alejandro Leon,
Chair, IHDP NCP Chile, [email protected])IHDP NCP Belarus, “The Capacity Assessment for Public
Participation in SEA: Case of Belarus”: The path Belarus fol-
lows after it gained independence in 1991 is very similar to
those adopted by most formerly Soviet Republics. It includes
top-down governance and heavy dominance of the state in all
spheres of public life, which worked fairly well for the enforce-
ment of environmental of administrative mechanisms, such as
taxation and pollution abatement control. However, some
international obligations taken by Belarus imply the develop-
ment of mechanisms based on public participation and stake-
holder dialogue. Furthermore, the UNECE SEA (Strategic
Environmental Assessment) Protocol with its core require-
ments for transparency and bringing broader public on every
step of the process will be signed in the near future. The Proto-
col does not describe the way of interactions with public; pub-
lic participation is compulsory, but the Parties of the protocol
are free to design their own procedures for consultations. If
legal and institutional practices of open societies fit easily the
principles of the SEA, in Belarus, like in many other countries
with weak traditions of cooperation with non-governmental
sector, such mechanisms are still to be developed.
Though not really strong, environmental NGOs in Belarus
are well-established institutional structures; they rely on sub-
stantial expertise of their members in environmental issues,
they are relatively open to new ideas, flexible in decision-mak-
ing and, as often demonstrated, have strong environmental
and social commitment. It was therefore recognized that the
NGOs could play a significant role in the SEA implementation
as dynamic, proactive players.
The central question of the study was: whether Belarusian
environmental NGOs are capable of participation in the SEA
procedures and whether they can mobilize broader public for
this. Specific research objectives were 1) to review compulsory
and non-binding requirements for participation embedded in
the Protocol against the provisions of the Belarusian legisla-
tion and existing institutional settings, 2) to analyse the capac-
ity and readiness of environmental NGOs to contribute to the
SEA procedures and to benefit from them; and 3) to develop
policy recommendations. The study included survey of the
SEA stakeholder groups with emphasis on environmental
NGOs (through interviews and questionnaires), analysis of
the national, international and EU legislation, and SWOT
analysis of the NGO’s participation in the SEA.
The survey showed that NGOs fully realize their role and
responsibilities in the SEA; all of them have expressed their
will to be a part of it. Main reasons for participation were “to
influence the incorporation of environmental matters in
decision-making” and “to increase NGOs authority and
political weight”; all organizations believed their future role
in the SEA significant. It was found that NGOs staff mem-
bers had sufficient expertise in possible areas of the SEA,
though they were not well aware of the SEA itself. Therefore,
further training events are needed, particularly in the light of
the NGOs mission to communicate the information on the
SEA to the broader public. The NGOs do not report any
problems with the access to information on the SEA: all of
them have access to the Internet and printed materials, and it
is noteworthy that language barrier (most published materi-
als are in English) was not a major problem. Representatives
of NGOs also had an opportunity to attend workshops on
the SEA arranged by the UNDP office in Minsk. These were
reported as very well prepared and the most helpful, espe-
cially if compared to others. However, it is the lack of finance
that was identified by most as the major barrier for participa-
tion in the SEA and involvement of broader public into it;
financial help was expected rather from abroad than from
the national agencies.
The closest reference to the SEA principles of public partic-
ipation in the Belarusian legislation is Public Environmental
Review (PER), which is an optional part of the compulsory
environmental expertise. Respondents from the environmen-
tal NGOs have indicated their mistrust in the PER as a work-
ing participatory mechanism, and its former participants have
expressed their deep dissatisfaction about it. If extended over
the SEA, this tendency can lead to what might be called “false
participation”, i.e. formal involvement of public without tak-
ing seriously their concerns. As such, the PER still can be con-
sidered an opportunity for the development of public partici-
pation. Another alarming trend is that neither governmental
officials nor NGOs fully realize the importance of the SEA
steps; both are inclined to prefer expert judgments to the opin-
ions of broader public. Other threats are peoples’ suspicious
attitude towards any kinds of non-governmental activities,
and the increasing indifference about environmental prob-
lems.
It can be concluded from the study that Belarusian envi-
ronmental NGOs have sufficient potential for participation in
the SEA implementation, serious threats notwithstanding.
Meanwhile, capacity-building actions should be taken: distri-
bution of promotional materials, trainings and workshops,
establishment of NGO networks (those existing do not really
work). Discussion of the SEA legislation should be open and
interactive; a pilot project demonstrating working mecha-
nisms of public participation should precede the final hearings
and approval of the SEA legislation. (For further information
on this paper presented, contact Maria Falaleeva, Co-Chair
IHDP NCP Belarus, [email protected] and AntonShkaruba, Co-Chair, IHDP NCP Belarus, [email protected])
N A T I O N A L C O M M I T T E E S
3 2 | I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6
6th Open MeetingN A T I O N A L C O M M I T T E E S / B A R B A R A G Ö B E L
IHDP NATIONAL COMMITTEES MEET IN BONNBY DEBRA MEYER-WEFERING
To-date, 62 nations are actively linked to the IHDP research
community (compared to half this number at the time of the Rio
Open Meeting in 2001), with 31 National Committees (thirteen
of which are categorized as Global Change Committees within
the context of the ESSP) and 31 National Contact Points. Of
these nations, more than half are located in developing countries
and transition economies. IHDP takes a ‘bottom-up’ approach,
drawing upon voluntary participation and commitment of
researchers from different disciplines representing all regions of
the world.
The steady increase is the result of more clearly defined roles
and functions of the National Committees, as well as a noticeable
rise in the profiles of our National Committees within the Pro-
gramme. This is being achieved via the coordination of the
IHDP Secretariat by increasing exposure of national/regional
activities in the UPDATE newsletter and the website, through
facilitating cooperation between researchers in different Nation-
al Committees and between the National Committees and IHDP
projects. IHDP has also funded National Committee Chairs to
represent its Programme often in HDGEC-related meetings,
namely those regionally relevant to the Committees and to
IHDP projects.
IHDP National Committees serve as a platform to create and
raise awareness and capacity of national science communities on
the importance of IHDP research and development. All strive to
increase the visibility and understanding of IHDP research pri-
orities, promoting and raising the profile of HDGEC research in
a national context. In recent years, the National Committees have
been taking a more proactive role in participating in the shaping
of future plans for the Programme and in helping to strengthen
the interactions between the science community and policy
makers.
The meeting of IHDP National Committee Chairs was
organized to provide a forum for the exchange of information
between National Committees on their operational aspects,
national research agendas, and to explore the possibilities of fur-
ther strengthening their role with regards to defining IHDP proj-
ects. The meeting served to compare approaches and research
methodologies on interdisciplinary HDGEC research at the
national/regional levels. It assessed organization, coordination,
gaps, needs for improvement, and served to promote collabora-
tion, partnerships and communication of IHDP-related research
and direct linkages to the Programme.
Just over 60 national representatives from 45 National Com-
mittees and National Contact Points, actively took part in this
meeting. Of these, more than half came from developing coun-
tries or transition economies. The meeting also attracted an
additional 50 Open Meeting participants to listen and learn
about our national and regional networks. The scientific leader-
ship of the meeting was shared amongst select NC Chairs and
the discussions were steered by the lead figures in IHDP gover-
nance, namely the outgoing and incoming Chairs of the IHDP
Scientific Committee, as well as the outgoing and incoming
Executive Directors of the IHDP.
We would like to thank all of the National Committee
Chairs for their intellectual input during the preparations for,
presentations and discussion during the meeting, but also for
their openness, enthusiasm and above all commitment to the
future success of the IHDP. The IHDP will continue to work
together with you to ensure you have a clear voice within our
Programme.
The meeting could not have been realized without the gener-
ous financial support of the United Nations Environment, Scien-
tific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) and the Internation-
al Social Science Council (ISSC). Their contribution to the IHDP
Seed Grant Initiative made it possible for twelve National Com-
mittee representatives to take active part in this meeting as well
as present papers during the Open Meeting.
➤ Debra Meyer-Wefering is International Science Project
Coordinator at the IHDP Secretariat, Bonn, Germany;
TRANSPARENCY AND FAIRNESS ARE CRUCIAL
INTERVIEW WITH FORMER IHDP EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR BARBARA GÖBEL
Q: When you chose the position of IHDP Executive Director,
what were your assets, and what were the new challenges?
When taking this position three years ago, I was the first
Director of IHDP with a strong background in the humanities.
I also integrated three areas of experience that are, in my opin-
ion, of relevance for strengthening the social science compo-
nents of global change research, as well as to develop an inter-
disciplinary and international programme, that takes the diver-
sity of scientific paradigms and the different regional perspec-
tives on global environmental change (in particular the voices of
the South) into account. First, I have long-term experience in
interdisciplinary research, teaching and project management in
the area of human-environmental relations. Second, I have a
strong inter-cultural background. This is related to my biogra-
phy (I grew up in Spain and in Argentina), my professional
training as a social anthropologist with more than 3 years of
fieldwork in the Andes, and my working experience in universi-
ties and research institutions of different countries (Germany,
Argentina, Bolivia, Chile and France), which sharpened my
sense of how different cultural and institutional settings influ-
ence scientific practices. And third, in my research I have always
been interested in social science theories and methods, and in
how to link, for example, economic and cultural approaches.
I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6 | 3 3
Interview
New challenges were repre-
sented to me by the manage-
ment of an international,
interdisciplinary staff of about
12 people and of a complex
structure (of a network of net-
works) with a broad range of
thematic foci and a great vari-
ety of activities. What was also
new for me was that I often
found myself in situations
where I was assigned the role
of representing “the” social
sciences (including humani-
ties and economics).
Q: What were the main achievements of the last three years?
The visibility of IHDP increased, not only in the context of
global change research but also within the social sciences. New
project developments, an internal and external assessment
process of what IHDP has achieved so far, the organization of
the 6th Open Meeting with a series of preparatory synthesis
workshops, and a stronger outreach strategy are some of the
crucial steps in this process. In the interface between natural and
social sciences, new joint projects were developed together with
IGBP (e.g. LOICZ and GLP), and IHDP played a central role in
the development of the Earth System Science Partnership. But
we have also been able to attract more core social science com-
munities by linking research on global environmental change to
a greater extent to globalization studies. In the last three years,
IHDP also started to work more focused on the science-practice
interface, an area that my successor, Andreas Rechkemmer, will
certainly develop much further. We also developed a capacity
building strategy that is embedded into the development of
IHDP’s core research projects and takes regional needs into
account. And last but not least, I should also mention that the
operational basis of the programme and its whole governance
structure were strengthened. All this would not have been possi-
ble without the support of the staff of the IHDP Secretariat, the
Scientific Committee and the Scientific Steering Committees of
the core research projects, and my colleagues in the partner pro-
grammes.
Q: Could you summarize some of the most important experi-
ences/lessons you learned in the last three years?
The last three years in IHDP have been an intellectually
inspiring and personally very enriching experience, one that
I would not like to miss. I had the opportunity to work
together with outstanding personalities and intellectuals,
and I gained new friends. These have been also very intensive
years, demanding much support and understanding from my
husband and my little daughter because of my frequent
absences. My work at IHDP (re-)emphasized for me the
importance of fairness, of transparency in the process, and
the respect of difference. These key attributes are fundamen-
tal for the trust building required for the work in these types
of interdisciplinary and international settings. It also showed
me the relevance of the dynamic combination of subjective
and practical engagement, and analytical distance in order to
allow creative diversity but, at the same time, keep focused
and pragmatic.
Q: What are the future challenges for IHDP?
IHDP needs to further extend its international presence
and broaden its interdisciplinary basis. It will have to be able
to attract funding from more countries in order to assure the
sustainability of the programme. Another important and
ongoing challenge for IHDP is to organize a strong input of
the social sciences into the global change arena in epistemo-
logical coherent ways. An additional challenge is to establish
a stronger nexus between science and practice. This requires
the production of knowledge not only for understanding but
also knowledge for action and actionable knowledge. And
finally it is also a future challenge to include, to a greater
extent, multiple cultural perspectives (ontologies and knowl-
edge systems) on global environmental change (definition,
context, causes, impacts, etc.) into one explanatory frame.
Q: Tell us a little bit about your new job in Berlin
I left IHDP in October 2005 in order to take the directorship
of the Ibero-American Institute in Berlin, an institution pro-
moting scientific and cultural exchange of Germany with Latin
America, the Caribbean, Spain and Portugal. It is not only an
interdisciplinary research centre for the social sciences and
humanities which hosts the largest library in Europe on the
Ibero-American region, but also develops a broad range of cul-
tural activities, thus acting as a widely recognized coordination
platform for the relations between these countries. Similar to
my position in the IHDP one of my main tasks is to bring
together different actors and institutions and organize common
activities and projects. New aspects are the strong inclusion of
the cultural dimension in the science policy interfaces and the
much larger infrastructure I have to manage.
In spite of these new challenges it was not an easy decision
for me to leave IHDP. At the moment, the programme is in a
very interesting phase as its role in the global change arena and
its visibility has increased considerably. Coleen Vogel, Roberto
Sánchez Rodríguez and I invested a lot of intellectual energy,
emotional commitment and personal time to strenghten
IHDP’s operational basis and to develop its scientific frame fur-
ther. I was looking forward to harvesting from these invest-
ments and being able to devote more time to the science related
to the programme. However, the formal conditions of the offer
in Berlin and the high reputation of the Ibero-American Insti-
tute in the social sciences and humanities as well as the cultural
and political worlds related to Latin America, Spain and Portu-
gal led me to accept my new position. Even though this means
“Goodbye” to the IHDP Secretariat it does not mean “Farewell”
to IHDP as a whole. I will keep the connection to the IHDP and
hope to be able to contribute further to the development of
global environmental change research through my new posi-
tion’s focus on culture and globalization.
INTERVIEW BY ULA LÖW
B A R B A R A G Ö B E L
Barbara Göbel
another new team member. As a scientific consultant he will
be leading the effort to synthesize the major scientific achieve-
ments of IHDP over the past 10 years. Falk holds a M.A. in
Philosophy, Business Administration and Law and is currently
a Ph.D. student in Political Science at the Free University,
Berlin. His research focus is on global environmental gover-
nance with a strong emphasis on regime building, especially in
the field of freshwater. Falk Schmidt is co-author of a book
and published several scientific articles about the institutional
dimensions of global environmental governance, but also eth-
ical questions and challenges.
Also in our core projects, life changes. Maureen Woodrow,
who rendered outstanding services in her many years as Exec-
utive Officer of GECHS, has
left the project. She will con-
tinue – all the more intensely
– with her research on cli-
mate change and human
security. The new GECHS
Executive Officer is LynnRosentrater. She is a geogra-
pher who has worked in cli-
mate change research, includ-
ing developing a better
understanding the carbon
cycle, impacts to biodiversity,
and adaptation opportuni-
ties. She has been affiliated
with the Long-Term Ecological Research Network, the Inter-
national Geosphere-Biosphere Programme, and WWF the
conservation organization. She has extensive experience as a
project manager, working in the fields of education and
research, as well as in the computer industry. Her research
interests focus on the human dimensions of global change,
especially with regard to the social drivers of change — cultur-
al, economic, demographic and political forces — and how
these in turn are influenced by the environment. Welcome on
board, Lynn!
N E W S
3 4 | I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6
In Brief
IN BRIEF
➤➤➤ We are in a period of change at the IHDP Secretariat.
First of all, IHDP has a new Executive Director since Novem-
ber last year. We would like to
welcome Dr. AndreasRechkemmer who comes in
from the United Nations Uni-
versity, and we would like to
say ‘goodbye’ to our Executive
Director of the past years, Dr.
Barbara Göbel, and wish her
good luck in her new position
as Director of the Ibero-
American Institute, Prussian
Cultural Heritage Founda-
tion in Berlin. During her
time at the Secretariat she has
been working tirelessly and has been dedicated to promoting
IHDP, making it more visible and successful worldwide.
Andreas has been working as a Senior Academic Advisor to
the Director of UNU’s Institute for Environment and Human
Security (EHS) in Bonn, Germany. Prior to that he served the
United Nations as a Programme Officer at the Secretariat of
the Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD), and
worked at the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) – Ger-
man Institute for International and Security Affairs, Europe’s
largest foreign affairs think-tank. Andreas is a guest researcher
at the Social Science Centre Berlin (WZB), and lectures at Free
University of Berlin and the European School of Governance
(EUSG). He holds a Master in Political Science and a PhD in
International Relations. His research focus is on global envi-
ronmental governance, with particular views to human securi-
ty and the reform of the United Nations system. Andreas is
author, co-author and editor of several books, scientific papers
and press articles.
But there are more people coming and going. MaaritThiem is on parental leave since the beginning of this year. We
wish her all the best and look forward to working with her
again soon. With Falk Schmidt, we are happy to welcome
Andreas Rechkemmer
Lynn Rosentrater
IDGEC Synthesis Conference6-9 December 2006, Bali, Indonesia
The Second Call for Papers is now open. The deadline for paper
and poster submissions has been extended to 1 March 2006.
For more information, please use the following link to access
the IDGEC Synthesis Conference Second Announcement:
http://fiesta.bren.ucsb.edu/~idgec/science/IDGEC2nd
Announcement_FINAL.pdf
We look forward to hearing from all
interested GEC research community
members and look forward to con-
tinuing the synthesis process with
your input.
The 2006 ConAccount meeting
„Dematerialization Across Scales: Measurement, Empirical Evidence,Future Options“September 13-14, 2006, Vienna AustriaBack to back with a policy dialogue „dematerialization whyand how?“ September 15, 2006
Timeline:Deadline for submission of abstracts: May 2006
Notice of acceptance and final programme: June 2006
Conference ChairsHelga Weisz, Heinz Schandl, Paul Brunner
http://www.iff.ac.at/socec/conaccount2006
Global Change and Mountain RegionsAn Overview of Current Knowledge
Edited by Uli Huber, Harald Bugmann and Mel Reasoner
Mountain regions occupy
about a quarter of the global ter-
restrial land surface and provide
goods and services to more than
half the humanity. Global envi-
ronmental change threatens the
integrity of these systems and
their ability to provide the goods
and services upon which
humanity has come to depend.
This book gives an overview of
the state of research in fields
pertaining to the detection, understanding and prediction of
global change impacts in mountain regions. More than 60 con-
tributions from paleoclimatology, cryospheric research,
hydrology, ecology, and development studies are compiled in
this volume, each with an outlook on future research direc-
tions.
Springer2005, 650 p., Hardcover, US$199.00
ISBN: 1-4020-3506-3
Industrial TransformationEnvironmental Policy Innovation in theUnited States and Europe
Edited by Theo de Bruijn and Vicki Norberg-Bohm
The MIT Press, July 2005, ISBN 0-262-54181-5
The United States and European countries are experimenting
with a new generation of policy approaches for combating
environmental degradation. Industrial Transformation evalu-
ates the effectiveness of twelve innovative voluntary, collabora-
tive, and information-based programs, focusing particularly
on the effectiveness of these programs in bringing about
industrial transformation — changes in production and con-
sumption structures that will help move their societies toward
environmental sustainability.
The twelve programs analyzed have the potential to create
incentives for industry leadership, stimulate beyond-compli-
ance behavior, address environmental degradation not current-
ly regulated, and encourage innovative solutions by involving a
wide range of stakeholders. The programs — six in the United
States and six in Europe — include Energy Star product label-
ing in the United States, R&D collaboration in US Department
of Energy programs, the US Toxic Release Inventories, the EU’s
Eco-Audit Regulation as implemented in the UK, the Dutch
Target Group Policy, and the German End-of-Life Vehicles Pro-
gram. The comparative analysis of the twelve programs proves
that these new approaches are not a panacea for industrial
transformation. Taken together, the cases provide a range of
experiences from which to draw lessons for future policy
design.
I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6 | 3 5
PublicationsN E W B O O K S
NEW BOOKS Industrial Transformation in the DevelopingWorld
By Michael T. Rock and David P. Angel
An important and timely book by leading experts
‘Grow first, clean up later’ environmental strategies in the
developing economies of East Asia - China, Korea, and Taiwan
in Northeast Asia and Indonesia, Malaysia, the Phillippines,
Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam in Southeast Asia - pose a
critical regional and global sustainability challenge in this area
of continuing rapid urban-based industrial growth. It is the
most polluted region in the world.
Whilst being at the leading edge of the processes of urban-
ization, industrialization, and globalization these economies
are in the midst, not at the end, of their urban-industrial trans-
formations. During the next 25 years urban populations in the
region are expected roughly to double, and most of the indus-
trial capital stock that will be on the ground by 2030 has not yet
been built. Given East Asia’s growing size in the world’s econo-
my and ecology, and its increasingly polluted environment, this
looming urban-industrial transformation is both a challenge
and an opportunity. Unless steps are taken now to make this
transformation more sustainable, East Asia’s, and the world’s,
environmental future is likely to deteriorate seriously.
Oxford University Press, October 2005, 272 pages, numerous
tables and line drawings, ISBN-10: 0-19-927004-X, Price: £50.00
(Hardback)
Improving Impacts of Research Partnershipshttp://www.kfpe.ch/key_activities/impact_study/index.html
This new KFPE-publication is based on analyses of a
number of case studies encompassing a wide variety of
research partnerships between the North and the South,
discussions held during the various workshops of the
«Impact Assessment Working Group»[1], and the con-
clusions derived. The book focuses on potential impacts
of such research partnerships – impacts beyond the sci-
entific advance, namely ‘attitudinal changes’, impacts on
capacity strengthening, and impacts on society or on
decision-makers.
Choosing the Right ProjectsDesigning Selection Processes for North-South Research Partnership Programmes http://www.kfpe.ch/key_activities/selection_process/index.html
By Priska Sieber und Thomas Braunschweig
The aim of present publication is to help design,
revise, and implement project selection processes in
North-South research partnership (NSRP) pro-
grammes. In particular, it addresses the complex chal-
lenge of dealing with the multiple objectives of NSRP
programmes: scientific quality, development relevance,
and adherence to partnership principles.
3 6 | I H D P N E W S L E T T E R 1 / 2 0 0 6
N E W B O O K / E V E N T SPublicatons/Calendar
Printed on 100% recycled paper
Sustainable ConsumptionThe Implications of Changing Infrastructuresof ProvisionEdited by Dale Southerton, Heather Chappells, and Bas Van Vliet
Sustainable Consumption is unique, not just in its inter-disci-
plinary and substantive subject matter (changing networks of
utility consumption and production), but because it examines
empirically the key theoretical debates underpinning the social
sciences at the beginning of the 21st century. This book shifts the
focus of sustainable consumption away from the individual
consumer and their lifestyles, and examines how existing sys-
tems of provision constrain how people consume and how sus-
tainability is conceived in popular and policy-related discourses.
2004 192pp Hardback 1 84376 330 3 £45.00
The Journal of Environmental Policy and Planning is an
international Journal that provides a forum for the critical
analysis of environmental policy and planning. It explores the
environmental dimensions of common policies such as trans-
port, agriculture and fisheries, urban and rural policy, all stages
in the policy and planning processes from formulation to
implementation, and the interactions between governments
and markets, the strategies of non-governmental organizations
and business in relation to the environment, and land-use deci-
sion-making.
Discounted subscription rate to IHDP members: £40 and
US$66 (reduced from £71 and US$113)
➤ The IHDP UPDATE newsletter features the activities ofthe International Human Dimensions Programme on GlobalEnvironmental Change and its research community.ISSN 1727-155XUPDATE is published by the IHDP Secretariat Walter-Flex-Strasse 3 53113 Bonn, Germany.EDITOR: Ula Löw, IHDP; [email protected] AND PRINT: Köllen Druck+Verlag GmbH, Bonn+Berlin,GermanyUPDATE is published four times per year. Sections of UPDATE maybe reproduced with acknowledgement to IHDP. Please send acopy of any reproduced material to the IHDP Secretariat.This newsletter is produced using funds by the German FederalMinistry of Education and Research (BMBF) and the UnitedStates National Science Foundation (NSF).The views and opinions expressed herein do not necessarilyrepresent the position of IHDP or its sponsoring organizations
Executive Officer PositionURBANIZATION AND GLOBAL
ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE PROJECT
A Core Project of the International Human Dimensions
Programme on Global Environmental Change (IHDP)
The Urbanization and Global Environmental Change (UGEC)
Project is seeking a highly motivated person to serve as its full-
time Executive Officer for the period June 2006 through June
2009. The position will be located in the UGEC International
Project Office at the Arizona State University in Tempe,
Arizona, USA.
For more information, please see www.ihdp.org
MEETING CALENDAR➤➤➤ 27 - 29 March - Bonn, Germany
3rd International Conference on Early Warning (EWC III)http://www.ewc3.org➤➤➤ 20 - 21 April - Miami, USA
17th Global Warming International Conference and Expo(GW17)
http://globalwarming.net
➤➤➤ 18 - 20 May - Paris, France
Energy, Material and Urban Environment (EMUE)
http://www.univ-mlv.fr/~www-ltmu/EMUE/
➤➤➤ 31 May - 3 June - Honolulu, Hawaii, USA
5th Annual Hawaii International Conference on Social Sciences
http://www.hicsocial.org
➤➤➤ 11 - 14 June - De Spreeuwel, The Netherlands
Tourism and Climate Change Mitigation
➤➤➤ 12 - 15 June - London, UK
HOLIVAR 2006 Open Science Meeting
The ESF Programme on Holocene Climate Variability isorganizing its Final Open Meeting
➤➤➤ 19 – 23 June – Bali, Indonesia
Survival of the Commons: Mounting Challenges and NewRealities
11th IASCP Global Conference -http://www.iascp.org/bali/iascp06.html
➤➤➤ 20 – 23 June – Bonn, Germany
Governance and the Global Water System Institutions
http://www.gwsp.org
Global EnvironmentalChange: Regional ChallengesAn Earth System Science PartnershipGlobal Environmental ChangeOpen Science Conference
Call for Contributions (February - April). The Earth System Science Partner-
ship (ESSP) invites scientists, policy makers, practitioners, scholars, members
of the private sector and journalists to participate in this Conference and to
submit abstracts (oral or poster presentations) relating to parallel session
themes. Please note that this call will mostly be for poster presentations, and
that poster sessions will be an integral part of the Conference.
www.essp.org/ESSP2006
Abstracts for presentations and posters may be submitted online
February - May 2006