5G: Not just mobile carriers - Dynamic Spectrum Alliancedynamicspectrumalliance.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/...Private LTE / 5G Private MVNO Satellite Vertical-specific (eg auto)

5G: Not just mobile carriers

Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis, May 3

5G is More than Just Mobile CarriersDean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis

For Dynamic Spectrum Alliance, May 2018

[email protected] @disruptivedean

Image credits: Pixabay.com / Dean Bubley

mailto:[email protected]

Dean Bubley & Disruptive Analysis

◼ Tech/telecom analyst & strategic consulting since 1991

◼ Futurism, Forecasting, Anti-Forecasting, Policy

◼ Cross-silo, contrarian, independent

◼ Often provocative. Sometimes obscure. Occasionally wrong.

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2018May 2018

Network Tech, Policy

& Business Models

Communications

Apps & ServicesTelecom-Futurism

Nuanced demand: Multiple delivery models for “capabilities”


Service(Subscribers)

Owned /

PrivateAmenity

Comm-

unity

Embed

Public

(Govt)

service

Service(Free /

fremium

users)

Multiple dimensions for future wireless networks


bpd

bps

Gbps

10m

Non-

critical

Function-

critical

90%99%

99.9%

99.99%Long-life

battery

Rechargeable

battery

Mains

electricity

Generator

Harvested

Power

3DCoverage

Bandwidth

Kbps

ImportanceBusiness-

critical

Safety-

critical

Range

<1m

Mbps

And also:

Security model

Mobility

Integration

Bi-directional

Protocols etc

1km

>10km

100m

4G / 5G / LPWA /

Satellite

Managed spectrumWi-Fi

Every vertical sector has unique wireless requirements


Not just industrial interest in enterprise cellular


In-room coverage,

“unroaming” for guests

& “Free 5G” for

conference guests

All-operator coverage,

UC/meeting integration,

workgroup/team billing

Capacity density, Instant

replays via MEC nodes,

Content rights

protection, VIPs

Ultra-low latency,

compliance/recording, data

sovereignty, private

number/addresses

Critical comms, 100%

coverage in buildings /

underground, secure,

pre-emption, new IoT

Communities,

challenging economics,

neutral hosts,

Government priorities

Dedicated spectrum enables limited business models


National MNO licences

B2C Prepay &

Post-Paid

Subscriptions

IoT EmbeddedWholesale, eg

MVNO

Non-MNO licences

Government eg

Public Safety

Few corps, eg

utilities, rail

Alternative approaches needed: Shared, Dynamic,

Sub-licenced, Secondary Re-use etc

Traditional MNOs address some verticals/sites, but not all

◼ Limited domain expertise

◼ Coverage challenges

◼ Site access difficulties

◼ Safety / other certification

◼ Data security / ownership

◼ IoT platform integration

◼ Liability issues

◼ Regulatory limits

◼ Commercial model


Also: Network-slicing in 5G solves different (wide-area) problems

Many possible stakeholders / models with shared spectrum


Government

Public safety,

shared national

wholesale

network, city

authorities

Industrial

companies

Owned &

controlled IoT

connections

(cost/risk

calculation)

Utilities &

infrastructure

Energy,

transport, utility,

rail etc. with

unique needs &

coverage rqts

Venue Owners

Higher rent /

happy visitors &

Neutral Host $$

Rural

providers

Connecting

unconnected.

neutral host,

govt subsidy

etc

Niche MNO

entrants

Geo-specific

license for new

service / rev

types eg

enterprise

IoT solution

integrator

Embedded

WAN ability in

similar fashion

to WiFi / LoRa

Community /

decentralised

Improve off-grid

locations, offer

neutral-host or

mesh /

micropayment

Many “moving parts” to create private 4G/5G networks


Shared &

Unlicensed

SpectrumIoT / MVNO

/ MVNE /

Slicing

platformsSmall

Cells,

WiFi,MEC,

DAS,

cabling

eSIM &

RSP

Virtualised

Core /

Transport

Network

Cloud OSS

/ BSS

Number

ranges &

MNCs

Roaming &

Inter-

connect

hubs

Devices &

chipsets

Voice, PTT,

video,

messaging

Physical

design,

integrate &

build

Conclusions, 2018-2022


High

Mobility

Low

Mobility

Traditional

MNOsNon-MNO

SPs

Private &

Government

Wi-Fi

Bluetooth, ZigBee etc

LoRa / LoRaWAN

CBRS / MulteFire

NB-IoT unlicensed?

Other LPWA & Industrial

PMR / TETRA

Private LTE / 5G

Private MVNO

Satellite

Vertical-specific (eg auto)

4G / 5G for MBB

LTE-Cat M1+

Legacy 2G/3G

Hybrids / Multi-Network

NB-IoT (esp. China)

4G / 5G MBB + M1

Legacy 2G/3G M2M

Wi-Fi

Some LoRa, SigFox

Wi-Fi

SigFox, LoRa, other LPWA

NB-IoT unlicensed

MVNOs

Multi-Network

MVNOs

LTE/5G & shared spectrum

“Slice operators” (maybe)

Satellite & HAPs

www.disruptive-analysis.com

disruptivewireless.blogspot.com

@disruptivedean

[email protected]

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Documents

5G: Not just mobile carriers - Dynamic Spectrum Alliancedynamicspectrumalliance.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/...Private LTE / 5G Private MVNO Satellite Vertical-specific (eg auto)