4_Explanation of M&V

  • Upload
    zorzit

  • View
    217

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    1/29

    Explanation ofM&V Options (A, B, C, D)

    Prepared byDuan Gvozdenac and Miroslav Kljaji

    Project: Regional training on planning and monitoring

    energy efficiency measures in the constructing sectorPodgorica, Tiran, Sarajevo i Banja Luka, October December, 2013.

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    2/29

    Option A and B

    M

    Option C and D

    Option A and B areretrofit-isolationmethods.

    Option C and D arewhole-facilitymethods.

    The difference iswhere the boundarylines are drawn.

    Options A&B vs Options C&D

    2OVERVIEW OF MONITORING &

    VERIFICATION3-Nov-13

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    3/29

    M&V OptionHow savings arecalculated

    Option A: Retrofit Isolation, Key ParameterBased on measured equipment performance,measured or estimated operational factors,and annual verification of potential to

    perform.

    Simple engineeringcalculations usingmeasured and estimateddata

    Option B: Retrofit Isolation, All ParametersBased on measurements(usually periodic orcontinuous ) taken of all relevant parameters.

    Engineering calculationsusing measured data

    Option C: Based on whole-building or facility-

    level utility meter data adjusted for weatherand/or other factors.

    Analysis of utility meterdata

    Option D: Based on computer simulation ofbuilding or process; simulation is calibrated

    with measured data.

    Comparing different

    models

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    4/29

    Option A

    Simple approach (and low cost)

    Performance parameter(s) is measured (before and after);

    Usage parameters may be measured or estimated.

    Used where the potential to perform needs to be verified

    but highly accurate savings estimation is simple or notnecessary.

    OptionA is NOT stipulated savings !

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    5/29

    Option B

    relevant parameters are measured, usually periodicallyor continuously.

    Measurement frequency consistent with expectedvariations.

    Applicable where accurate savings estimation isnecessary and where long-term performance needs to betracked.

    Reduces uncertainty, but requires more effort.

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    6/29

    Option C

    Option C looks at energy use and cost of entire facility, notat specific equipment.

    Considers weather, occupancy, etc. for baselineadjustments.

    Applicable where total savings need to be quantified butcomponent-level savings do not AND where savings > 15%of energy use.

    Easily implemented, commercial software is available.

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    7/29

    Option D

    Option D treats building as computer model

    Flexible, but requires significant effort

    Applications:

    New construction

    - Energy management & control systems

    - Multiple interacting measures

    - Building use changes

    - Building modifications (e.g., windows)

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    8/29

    Appropriate Use of Stipulations

    Parameter is well understood Agency willing to accept risk Agency has previous experience Probable success of ECM Small savings and/or small uncertainty Greater M&V costs not justified Stipulations dont add to uncertainty Monitoring serves no other purpose

    Stipulate

    To stipulate is to agree to a term or condition.

    To stipulate means to estimate without measurement. Only Measured values may be stipulated.

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    9/29

    Inappropriate Use of Stipulations

    Agency unwilling to assume risk Parameters not known with reasonable certainty Potential for technical problems Monitoring provides valuable information

    Stipulation significantly contributes to overalluncertainty

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    10/29

    Sources of Stipulations

    Acceptable Unacceptable

    Measurements

    Engineering analysis

    Measurement-based models Manufacturers data

    Standard tables

    National weather institution International standards

    Facility logs

    Undocumentedassumptions

    Exclusive procedures

    Unsupported handshakeagreements

    Guesses at parameters

    Models based onquestionable data

    Other buildings

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    11/29

    Examples:

    Option A: Lighting

    Option B: Variable-Speed Drive

    Option C: Heating Plant

    Option D: New Construction

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    12/29

    Example: LIGHTING PROJECT

    Consider the following lighting project:

    Upgrade 5,000 fixtures

    Existing performance: 86 Watts

    New performance: 56 Watts

    Operating hours: 3,000/year

    Electricity: $0.10 / kWh + $10 / kW-m

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    13/29

    Performance: Baseline power demand is 86 Watts.

    Proposed power demand is 56 Watts.

    Difference is 30 Watts.

    Usage:

    Baseline and New: 3,000 hours / year

    Financial:

    Energy = $0.10/kWh + $10/kW-m

    Option A

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    14/29

    Lighting Savings

    Energy Savings = QTY (Before -After) HoursES = (5,000) (86 W - 56 W) (3,000 hours) (1 kW/1000 W)

    ES = 450,000 kWh / year

    Demand Savings = QTY (Before -After) DF

    DS = (5,000)*(86 W - 56 W) (1 kW/1000 W) DF

    DS = 150 kW DF

    DF: Diversity Factor.

    % of lights operating when peak demand is set.

    Assumes diversity factor of 75%.

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    15/29

    Lighting Cost Savings

    Cost Savings =(Unit Cost) (Energy Savings) +

    (Unit Cost) (Demand Savings)

    CS =

    ($0.10/kWh) (450,000 kWh) +

    ($10/kW) (150 kW) (75%) 12 m.

    Cost Savings = $45,000 + $13,500 = $58,500 / year

    Assumes diversity factor of 75%.

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    16/29

    Example VSD Project

    Variable-Speed Drive on HVAC Fan

    Baseline Fan: Operates continuously at a single speed andpower no matter what the cooling load is.

    VSD Fan: Speed and power change with cooling load(outside temperature).

    Option B

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    17/29

    Option B

    Fan Performance Baseline fan: Constant power (140 kW).

    VSD Fan: Power changes [W] / weather.

    Fan Usage

    Fan power changes hourly with cooling load (outsidetemperature and sunshine).

    Financial

    Energy = $0.10 / kWh +$10 / kW-m

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    18/29

    Monitor Fan Performance Variable Speed Drive Fan Power

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    19/29

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    20/29

    Month kW Saved Cost Savings

    July 59 $587

    August 71 $712

    September 64 $645

    October 74 $737

    November 85 $849

    Calculate Monthly Demand Savings

    Demand Savings = kW Before Max (kW After)

    Cost Savings = (Unit Cost) (Demand Savings)

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    21/29

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    22/29

    Heating System Characteristics

    Baseline Performance: Oil-fired, low-efficiency, and steam loss

    New Performance:

    Gas-fired, high efficiency, no steam loss

    Usage: Driven by weather

    Financial: Oil was $ 0.4/liter (10.84 kWh/liter) Gas is $0.0256/kWh

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    23/29

    Compare Oil Use to Temperature

    Baseline Oil Use for Heating

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    24/29

    Develop Baseline Model

    Baseline Oil Use Model

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

    Monthly[MW

    h]

    Monthly HDD

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    25/29

    Example: New Construction

    Proposed building incorporates energy-efficientdesign features selected and implemented byESCO.

    Baseline building is existing design before ESCO

    modifications.

    Option D

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    26/29

    Develop Computer Model...

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    27/29

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    28/29

    Energy Use, kWh

    Alternative Light Cooling Other Total Savings

    Base Case 1,500,298 955,263 2,447,979 4,903,540 -

    Efficient Lighting 1,125,240 860,062 2,365,638 4,350,940 552,600

    Efficient Chiller 1,500,298 788,681 2,426,812 4,715,791 187,749

    Chiller & Lighting 1,125,240 708,933 2,346,427 4,180,600 722,940

    Calculate Savings

    Evaluate energy use for each scenario. Calculate savings for each scenario relative to

    base case.

  • 8/13/2019 4_Explanation of M&V

    29/29

    Review and Discussion

    Total energy use andsavings are a functionof both usage andperformance.

    Can mix and match methods. Selection of M&V method based on need to verify

    savings cost-effectively.

    POWER REDUCTION

    CURRENT TOTAL ENERGY

    CONSUMPTIONHOURS

    REDUCTION

    Operating Hours

    Pow

    erDemand

    Post Retrifit

    Hours

    Baseline

    Hours

    Post Retrifit

    Power

    Baseline

    Power