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7/29/2019 3. TVM
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THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY
Himanshu Puri
Faculty, ABS
Amity University, Haryana
What is Time Value?
We say that money has a time value because that money can
be invested with the expectation of earning a positive rate of
return
In other words, a dollar received today is worth more than a
dollar to be received tomorrow
That is because todays dollar can be invested so that we have
more than one dollar tomorrow
The Interest Rate
Obviously, $10,000 today.
You already recognize that there is TIME
VALUE TO MONEY!!
Which would you prefer -- $10,000 today
or $10,000 in 5 years?
Why TIME?
TIME allows you the opportunity to postponeconsumption and earn INTEREST.
Why is TIME such an important element in
your decision?
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The Terminology of Time Value
Present Value - An amount of money today, or the current
value of a future cash flow
Future Value - An amount of money at some future time
period
Period - A length of time (often a year, but can be a month,
week, day, hour, etc.)
Interest Rate - The compensation paid to a lender (or saver)for the use of funds expressed as a percen tage for a period
(normally expressed as an annual rate)
Timelines
A timeline is a graphical device used to clarify the timingof the cash flows for an investment
Each tick represents one time period
0 1 2 3 4 5
PV FV
Today
Types of Interest
Compound InterestInterest paid (earned) on any previous interest
earned, as well as on the principal borrowed
(lent).
Simple Interest
Interest paid (earned) on only the originalamount, or principal, borrowed (lent).
Simple Interest Formula
Formula SI = P0(i)(n)
SI: Simple Interest
P0: Deposit today (t=0)
i: Interest Rate per Periodn: Number of Time Periods
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Simple Interest Example
SI = P0(i)(n)
= $1,000(.07)(2)
= $140
Assume that you deposit $1,000 in an account
earning 7% simple interest for 2 years. What
is the accumulatedinterestat the end of the 2ndyear?
Simple Interest (FV)
FV = P0 + SI
= $1,000+ $140
=$1,140
Future Value is the value at some future time of a
present amount of money, or a series of payments,
evaluated at a given interest rate.
What is the Future Value (FV) of the deposit?
Simple Interest (PV)
The Present Value is simply the $1,000
you originally deposited. That is the
value today!
Present Value is the current value of a future
amount of money, or a series of payments,
evaluated at a given interest rate.
What is the Present Value (PV) of the previous
problem?
Calculating the Future Value
Suppose that you have an extra $100 today that you wish
to invest for one year. If you can earn 10% per year on
your investment, how much will you have in one year?
0 1 2 3 4 5
-100 ?
FV1 100 1 0 10 110 .
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Calculating the Future Value (cont.)
Suppose that at the end of year 1 you decide to extend the
investment for a second year. How much will you have
accumulated at the end of year 2?
0 1 2 3 4 5
-110 ?
FVor
FV
2
2
2
100 1 0 10 1 0 10 121
100 1 0 10 121
. .
.
Generalizing the Future Value
Recognizing the pattern that is developing, wecan generalize the future value calculations asfollows:
FV PV iNN
1
If you extended the investment for a thirdyear, you would have:
FV33
100 1 0 10 133 10 . .
Compound Interest
Note from the example that the future value is increasing atan increasing rate
In other words, the amount of interest earned each year isincreasing Year 1: $10
Year 2: $11
Year 3: $12.10
The reason for the increase is that each year you areearning interest on the interest that was earned in previousyears in addition to the interest on the original principleamount
General Future Value Formula
FV1 = P0(1+i)1
FV2 = P0(1+i)2
General Future Value Formula:
FVn = P0 (1+i)n
or FVn = P0 (FVIFi,n) -- See Table 1
etc.
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FV2 = $1,000 (FVIF7%,2)= $1,000 (1.145)= $1,145 [Due to Rounding]
Using Future Value Tables
Period 6% 7% 8%1 1.060 1.070 1.080
2 1.124 1.145 1.1663 1.191 1.225 1.260
4 1.262 1.311 1.360
5 1.338 1.403 1.469
Story Problem Example
Julie Miller wants to know how large her deposit of
$10,000 today will become at a compound annual
interest rate of 10% for 5 years.
0 1 2 3 4 5
$10,000
FV5
10%
Story Problem Solution
Calculation based on Table I:FV5 = $10,000(FVIF10%, 5)
= $10,000(1.611)
= $16,110 [Due to Rounding]
Calculation based on general formula: FVn = P0 (1+i)n
FV5 = $10,000 (1+ 0.10)5= $16,105.10
Calculating the Present Value
So far, we have seen how to calculate the futurevalue of an investment
But we can turn this around to find the amountthat needs to be invested to achieve somedesired future value:
PV
FV
i
N
N
1
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Present Value
Assume that you need $1,000in 2 years. Letsexamine the process to determine how much youneed to deposit today at a discount rate of 7%compounded annually.
0 1 2
$1,000
7%
PV1PV0
Present Value
PV0 = FV2 / (1+i)2 = $1,000/ (1.07)2 = FV2
/ (1+i)2 = $873.44
0 1 2
$1,000
7%
PV0
General Present Value Formula
PV0= FV1 / (1+i)1
PV0 = FV2 / (1+i)2
General Present Value Formula:PV0 = FVn / (1+i)
n
or PV0 = FVn (PVIFi,n) -- See Table II
etc.
PV2 = $1,000 (PVIF7%,2)
= $1,000 (.873)= $873 [Due to Rounding]
Using Present Value Tables
Period 6% 7% 8%1 .943 .935 .926
2 .890 .873 .857
3 .840 .816 .7944 .792 .763 .735
5 .747 .713 .681
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Story Problem Example
Julie Miller wants to know how large of a deposit
to make so that the money will grow to $10,000 in
5 years at a discount rate of 10%.
0 1 2 3 4 5
$10,000
PV0
10%
Story Problem Solution
Calculation based on general formula:
PV0 = FVn / (1+i)n
PV0 = $10,000 / (1+ 0.10)5
= $6,209.21
Calculation based on Table I:
PV0 = $10,000 (PVIF10%, 5)
= $10,000(.621)
= $6,210.00 [Due to Rounding]
Present Value: An Example
Suppose that your five-year old daughter has just
announced her desire to attend college. After some
research, you determine that you will need about $100,000on her 18th birthday to pay for four years of college. If
you can earn 8% per year on your investments, how much
do you need to invest today to achieve your goal?
PV
100 000
10876979
13
,
.$36, .
Annuities
An annuity is a series of nominally equal payments equally
spaced in time
Annuities are very common: Rent
Mortgage payments
Car payment
Pension income
The timeline shows an example of a 5-year, $100 annuity
0 1 2 3 4 5
100 100 100 100 100
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The Principle of Value Additivity
How do we find the value (PV or FV) of an annuity?
First, you must understand the principle of value
additivity:
The value of any stream of cash flows is equal to the
sum of the values of the components
In other words, if we can move the cash flows to thesame time period we can simply add them all
together to get the total value
Present Value of an Annuity
We can use the principle of value additivity to find the
present value of an annuity, by simply summing the present
values of each of the components:
PV
Pmt
i
Pmt
i
Pmt
i
Pmt
iA
t
t
t
N
N
N
1 1 1 11
1
1
2
2
Example PVA
PVA3 = $1,000/(1.07)1 +
$1,000/(1.07)2 +
$1,000/(1.07)3
= $934.58 + $873.44 + $816.30
= $2,624.32
$1,000 $1,000 $1,000
0 1 2 3 4
$2,624.32 = PVA3
7%
$934.58$873.44
$816.30
Cash flows occur at the end of the periodPVAn = R (PVIFAi%,n)
PVA3 = $1,000(PVIFA7%,3)
= $1,000(2.624) =$2,624
Using Table IV
Period 6% 7% 8%1 0.943 0.935 0.926
2 1.833 1.808 1.783
3 2.673 2.624 2.5774 3.465 3.387 3.312
5 4.212 4.100 3.993
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Present Value of an Annuity (cont.)
Using the example, and assuming a discount rate of 10%
per year, we find that the present value is:
PV
A
100
110
100
110
100
110
100
110
100
11037908
1 2 3 4 5. . . . .
.
0 1 2 3 4 5
100 100 100 100 100
62.0968.3075.1382.6490.91
379.08
The Future Value of an Annuity
We can also use the principle of value additivity to find the
future value of an annuity, by simply summing the future
values of each of the components:
FV Pmt i Pmt i Pmt i PmtA tN t
t
N
N N
N
1 1 11
1
1
2
2
Example FVA
FVA3 = $1,000(1.07)2 +
$1,000(1.07)1 + $1,000(1.07)0
= $1,145+$1,070+$1,000=$3,215
$1,000 $1,000 $1,000
0 1 2 3 4
$3,215 = FVA3
7%
$1,070
$1,145
Cash flows occur at the end of the periodFVAn = R (FVIFAi%,n)
FVA3 = $1,000 (FVIFA7%,3)
= $1,000 (3.215) =$3,215
Using Table III
Period 6% 7% 8%1 1.000 1.000 1.000
2 2.060 2.070 2.080
3 3.184 3.215 3.2464 4.375 4.440 4.506
5 5.637 5.751 5.867
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The Future Value of an Annuity (cont.)
Using the example, and assuming a discount rate of 10%
per year, we find that the future value is:
FVA 100 1 10 100 1 10 100 110 100 110 100 610 514 3 2 1
. . . . .
100 100 100 100 100
0 1 2 3 4 5
146.41133.10121.00110.00 } = 610.51at year 5
Uneven Cash Flows
Very often an investment offers a stream of cash
flows which are not either a lump sum or an annuity
We can find the present or future value of such astream by using the principle of value additivity
Uneven Cash Flows: An Example (1)
Assume that an investment offers the following cash flows.
If your required return is 7%, what is the maximum price
that you would pay for this investment?
0 1 2 3 4 5
100 200 300
PV
100
107
200
107
300
10751304
1 2 3. . .
.
Uneven Cash Flows: An Example (2)
Suppose that you were to deposit the following amounts in
an account paying 5% per year. What would the balance
of the account be at the end of the third year?
0 1 2 3 4 5
300 500 700
FV 300 1 05 500 1 05 700 1 555 752 1
. . , .
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Mixed Flows Example
Julie Miller will receive the set of cash flows
below. What is the Present Value at a discount
rate of 10%.
0 1 2 3 4 5
$600 $600 $400 $400 $100
PV0
10%
Piece-At-A-Time
0 1 2 3 4 5
$600 $600 $400 $400 $100
10%
$545.45$495.87$300.53$273.21$ 62.09
$1677.15 = PV0of the Mixed Flow
Non-annual Compounding
So far we have assumed that the time period is equal to a
year
However, there is no reason that a time period cant be any
other length of time
We could assume that interest is earned semi-annually,
quarterly, monthly, daily, or any other length of time
The only change that must be made is to make sure that therate of interest is adjusted to the period length
Non-annual Compounding (cont.)
Suppose that you have $1,000 available for investment.
After investigating the local banks, you have compiled the
following table for comparison. In which bank should youdeposit your funds?
Bank Interest Rate CompoundingFirst National 10% AnnualSecond National 10% MonthlyThird National 10% Daily
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Non-annual Compounding (cont.)
To solve this problem, you need to determine which bank
will pay you the most interest
In other words, at which bank will you have the highest
future value?
To find out, lets change our basic FV equation slightly:
FV PVi
m
Nm
1
In this version of the equation m is the number ofcompounding periods per year
Non-annual Compounding (cont.)
We can find the FV for each bank as follows:
FV 1 0 00 110 1 1001
, . ,
FV
1000 1
0 10
12110471
12
,.
, .
FV
1000 1
0 10
365110516
365
,.
, .
First National Bank:
Second National Bank:
Third National Bank:
Obviously, you should choose the Third National Bank
Impact of Frequency
Julie Miller has $1,000 to invest for 2 Years at an annualinterest rate of 12%.
Annual FV2 = 1,000(1+ [.12/1])(1)(2)
= 1,254.40
Semi FV2 = 1,000(1+ [.12/2])(2)(2)
= 1,262.48
Impact of Frequency
Qrtly FV2 = 1,000(1+ [.12/4])(4)(2)
= 1,266.77
Monthly FV2 = 1,000(1+ [.12/12])(12)(2)
= 1,269.73
Daily FV2= 1,000(1+[.12/365])(365)(2)
= 1,271.20
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Effective AnnualInterest Rate
Effective Annual Interest Rate
The actual rate of interest earned (paid) after
adjusting the nominal ratefor factors such asthe number of compounding periods per
year.
(1 + [ i/ m ] )m- 1
BWs EffectiveAnnual Interest Rate
Basket Wonders (BW) has a $1,000 CD at the bank.The interest rate is 6%compounded quarterly for 1
year. What is the Effective Annual Interest Rate(EAR)?
EAR = ( 1 + 6% / 4 )4 - 1= 1.0614 - 1 = .0614 or 6.14%!
Steps to Amortizing a Loan
1. Calculate the payment per period.
2. Determine the interest in Period t.
(Loan Balance at t-1) x (i% / m)
3. Compute principal payment in Period t.
(Payment- Interestfrom Step 2)
4. Determine ending balance in Period t.
(Balance - principal paymentfrom Step 3)
5. Start again at Step 2 and repeat.
Amortizing a Loan Example
Julie Miller is borrowing $10,000 at a compound
annual interest rate of 12%. Amortize the loan if
annual payments are made for 5 years.
Step 1: Payment
PV0
= R (PVIFAi%,n
)
$10,000 = R (PVIFA 12%,5)
$10,000 = R (3.605)
R = $10,000 / 3.605 = $2,774
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Amortizing a Loan Example
End ofYear
Payment Interest Principal EndingBalance
0 --- --- --- $10,000
1 $2,774 $1,200 $1,574 8,426
2 2,774 1,011 1,763 6,663
3 2 774 800 1 974 4 689
4 2,774 563 2,211 2,478
5 2,775 297 2,478 0
$13,871 $3,871 $10,000
[Last Payment Slightly Higher Due to Rounding]