3. TVM

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    1/14 1

    THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY

    Himanshu Puri

    Faculty, ABS

    Amity University, Haryana

    What is Time Value?

    We say that money has a time value because that money can

    be invested with the expectation of earning a positive rate of

    return

    In other words, a dollar received today is worth more than a

    dollar to be received tomorrow

    That is because todays dollar can be invested so that we have

    more than one dollar tomorrow

    The Interest Rate

    Obviously, $10,000 today.

    You already recognize that there is TIME

    VALUE TO MONEY!!

    Which would you prefer -- $10,000 today

    or $10,000 in 5 years?

    Why TIME?

    TIME allows you the opportunity to postponeconsumption and earn INTEREST.

    Why is TIME such an important element in

    your decision?

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    2/14 2

    The Terminology of Time Value

    Present Value - An amount of money today, or the current

    value of a future cash flow

    Future Value - An amount of money at some future time

    period

    Period - A length of time (often a year, but can be a month,

    week, day, hour, etc.)

    Interest Rate - The compensation paid to a lender (or saver)for the use of funds expressed as a percen tage for a period

    (normally expressed as an annual rate)

    Timelines

    A timeline is a graphical device used to clarify the timingof the cash flows for an investment

    Each tick represents one time period

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    PV FV

    Today

    Types of Interest

    Compound InterestInterest paid (earned) on any previous interest

    earned, as well as on the principal borrowed

    (lent).

    Simple Interest

    Interest paid (earned) on only the originalamount, or principal, borrowed (lent).

    Simple Interest Formula

    Formula SI = P0(i)(n)

    SI: Simple Interest

    P0: Deposit today (t=0)

    i: Interest Rate per Periodn: Number of Time Periods

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    3/14 3

    Simple Interest Example

    SI = P0(i)(n)

    = $1,000(.07)(2)

    = $140

    Assume that you deposit $1,000 in an account

    earning 7% simple interest for 2 years. What

    is the accumulatedinterestat the end of the 2ndyear?

    Simple Interest (FV)

    FV = P0 + SI

    = $1,000+ $140

    =$1,140

    Future Value is the value at some future time of a

    present amount of money, or a series of payments,

    evaluated at a given interest rate.

    What is the Future Value (FV) of the deposit?

    Simple Interest (PV)

    The Present Value is simply the $1,000

    you originally deposited. That is the

    value today!

    Present Value is the current value of a future

    amount of money, or a series of payments,

    evaluated at a given interest rate.

    What is the Present Value (PV) of the previous

    problem?

    Calculating the Future Value

    Suppose that you have an extra $100 today that you wish

    to invest for one year. If you can earn 10% per year on

    your investment, how much will you have in one year?

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    -100 ?

    FV1 100 1 0 10 110 .

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    4/14 4

    Calculating the Future Value (cont.)

    Suppose that at the end of year 1 you decide to extend the

    investment for a second year. How much will you have

    accumulated at the end of year 2?

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    -110 ?

    FVor

    FV

    2

    2

    2

    100 1 0 10 1 0 10 121

    100 1 0 10 121

    . .

    .

    Generalizing the Future Value

    Recognizing the pattern that is developing, wecan generalize the future value calculations asfollows:

    FV PV iNN

    1

    If you extended the investment for a thirdyear, you would have:

    FV33

    100 1 0 10 133 10 . .

    Compound Interest

    Note from the example that the future value is increasing atan increasing rate

    In other words, the amount of interest earned each year isincreasing Year 1: $10

    Year 2: $11

    Year 3: $12.10

    The reason for the increase is that each year you areearning interest on the interest that was earned in previousyears in addition to the interest on the original principleamount

    General Future Value Formula

    FV1 = P0(1+i)1

    FV2 = P0(1+i)2

    General Future Value Formula:

    FVn = P0 (1+i)n

    or FVn = P0 (FVIFi,n) -- See Table 1

    etc.

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    5/14 5

    FV2 = $1,000 (FVIF7%,2)= $1,000 (1.145)= $1,145 [Due to Rounding]

    Using Future Value Tables

    Period 6% 7% 8%1 1.060 1.070 1.080

    2 1.124 1.145 1.1663 1.191 1.225 1.260

    4 1.262 1.311 1.360

    5 1.338 1.403 1.469

    Story Problem Example

    Julie Miller wants to know how large her deposit of

    $10,000 today will become at a compound annual

    interest rate of 10% for 5 years.

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    $10,000

    FV5

    10%

    Story Problem Solution

    Calculation based on Table I:FV5 = $10,000(FVIF10%, 5)

    = $10,000(1.611)

    = $16,110 [Due to Rounding]

    Calculation based on general formula: FVn = P0 (1+i)n

    FV5 = $10,000 (1+ 0.10)5= $16,105.10

    Calculating the Present Value

    So far, we have seen how to calculate the futurevalue of an investment

    But we can turn this around to find the amountthat needs to be invested to achieve somedesired future value:

    PV

    FV

    i

    N

    N

    1

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    6/14 6

    Present Value

    Assume that you need $1,000in 2 years. Letsexamine the process to determine how much youneed to deposit today at a discount rate of 7%compounded annually.

    0 1 2

    $1,000

    7%

    PV1PV0

    Present Value

    PV0 = FV2 / (1+i)2 = $1,000/ (1.07)2 = FV2

    / (1+i)2 = $873.44

    0 1 2

    $1,000

    7%

    PV0

    General Present Value Formula

    PV0= FV1 / (1+i)1

    PV0 = FV2 / (1+i)2

    General Present Value Formula:PV0 = FVn / (1+i)

    n

    or PV0 = FVn (PVIFi,n) -- See Table II

    etc.

    PV2 = $1,000 (PVIF7%,2)

    = $1,000 (.873)= $873 [Due to Rounding]

    Using Present Value Tables

    Period 6% 7% 8%1 .943 .935 .926

    2 .890 .873 .857

    3 .840 .816 .7944 .792 .763 .735

    5 .747 .713 .681

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    7/14 7

    Story Problem Example

    Julie Miller wants to know how large of a deposit

    to make so that the money will grow to $10,000 in

    5 years at a discount rate of 10%.

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    $10,000

    PV0

    10%

    Story Problem Solution

    Calculation based on general formula:

    PV0 = FVn / (1+i)n

    PV0 = $10,000 / (1+ 0.10)5

    = $6,209.21

    Calculation based on Table I:

    PV0 = $10,000 (PVIF10%, 5)

    = $10,000(.621)

    = $6,210.00 [Due to Rounding]

    Present Value: An Example

    Suppose that your five-year old daughter has just

    announced her desire to attend college. After some

    research, you determine that you will need about $100,000on her 18th birthday to pay for four years of college. If

    you can earn 8% per year on your investments, how much

    do you need to invest today to achieve your goal?

    PV

    100 000

    10876979

    13

    ,

    .$36, .

    Annuities

    An annuity is a series of nominally equal payments equally

    spaced in time

    Annuities are very common: Rent

    Mortgage payments

    Car payment

    Pension income

    The timeline shows an example of a 5-year, $100 annuity

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    100 100 100 100 100

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    8/14 8

    The Principle of Value Additivity

    How do we find the value (PV or FV) of an annuity?

    First, you must understand the principle of value

    additivity:

    The value of any stream of cash flows is equal to the

    sum of the values of the components

    In other words, if we can move the cash flows to thesame time period we can simply add them all

    together to get the total value

    Present Value of an Annuity

    We can use the principle of value additivity to find the

    present value of an annuity, by simply summing the present

    values of each of the components:

    PV

    Pmt

    i

    Pmt

    i

    Pmt

    i

    Pmt

    iA

    t

    t

    t

    N

    N

    N

    1 1 1 11

    1

    1

    2

    2

    Example PVA

    PVA3 = $1,000/(1.07)1 +

    $1,000/(1.07)2 +

    $1,000/(1.07)3

    = $934.58 + $873.44 + $816.30

    = $2,624.32

    $1,000 $1,000 $1,000

    0 1 2 3 4

    $2,624.32 = PVA3

    7%

    $934.58$873.44

    $816.30

    Cash flows occur at the end of the periodPVAn = R (PVIFAi%,n)

    PVA3 = $1,000(PVIFA7%,3)

    = $1,000(2.624) =$2,624

    Using Table IV

    Period 6% 7% 8%1 0.943 0.935 0.926

    2 1.833 1.808 1.783

    3 2.673 2.624 2.5774 3.465 3.387 3.312

    5 4.212 4.100 3.993

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    9/14 9

    Present Value of an Annuity (cont.)

    Using the example, and assuming a discount rate of 10%

    per year, we find that the present value is:

    PV

    A

    100

    110

    100

    110

    100

    110

    100

    110

    100

    11037908

    1 2 3 4 5. . . . .

    .

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    100 100 100 100 100

    62.0968.3075.1382.6490.91

    379.08

    The Future Value of an Annuity

    We can also use the principle of value additivity to find the

    future value of an annuity, by simply summing the future

    values of each of the components:

    FV Pmt i Pmt i Pmt i PmtA tN t

    t

    N

    N N

    N

    1 1 11

    1

    1

    2

    2

    Example FVA

    FVA3 = $1,000(1.07)2 +

    $1,000(1.07)1 + $1,000(1.07)0

    = $1,145+$1,070+$1,000=$3,215

    $1,000 $1,000 $1,000

    0 1 2 3 4

    $3,215 = FVA3

    7%

    $1,070

    $1,145

    Cash flows occur at the end of the periodFVAn = R (FVIFAi%,n)

    FVA3 = $1,000 (FVIFA7%,3)

    = $1,000 (3.215) =$3,215

    Using Table III

    Period 6% 7% 8%1 1.000 1.000 1.000

    2 2.060 2.070 2.080

    3 3.184 3.215 3.2464 4.375 4.440 4.506

    5 5.637 5.751 5.867

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    10/14 10

    The Future Value of an Annuity (cont.)

    Using the example, and assuming a discount rate of 10%

    per year, we find that the future value is:

    FVA 100 1 10 100 1 10 100 110 100 110 100 610 514 3 2 1

    . . . . .

    100 100 100 100 100

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    146.41133.10121.00110.00 } = 610.51at year 5

    Uneven Cash Flows

    Very often an investment offers a stream of cash

    flows which are not either a lump sum or an annuity

    We can find the present or future value of such astream by using the principle of value additivity

    Uneven Cash Flows: An Example (1)

    Assume that an investment offers the following cash flows.

    If your required return is 7%, what is the maximum price

    that you would pay for this investment?

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    100 200 300

    PV

    100

    107

    200

    107

    300

    10751304

    1 2 3. . .

    .

    Uneven Cash Flows: An Example (2)

    Suppose that you were to deposit the following amounts in

    an account paying 5% per year. What would the balance

    of the account be at the end of the third year?

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    300 500 700

    FV 300 1 05 500 1 05 700 1 555 752 1

    . . , .

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    11/14 11

    Mixed Flows Example

    Julie Miller will receive the set of cash flows

    below. What is the Present Value at a discount

    rate of 10%.

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    $600 $600 $400 $400 $100

    PV0

    10%

    Piece-At-A-Time

    0 1 2 3 4 5

    $600 $600 $400 $400 $100

    10%

    $545.45$495.87$300.53$273.21$ 62.09

    $1677.15 = PV0of the Mixed Flow

    Non-annual Compounding

    So far we have assumed that the time period is equal to a

    year

    However, there is no reason that a time period cant be any

    other length of time

    We could assume that interest is earned semi-annually,

    quarterly, monthly, daily, or any other length of time

    The only change that must be made is to make sure that therate of interest is adjusted to the period length

    Non-annual Compounding (cont.)

    Suppose that you have $1,000 available for investment.

    After investigating the local banks, you have compiled the

    following table for comparison. In which bank should youdeposit your funds?

    Bank Interest Rate CompoundingFirst National 10% AnnualSecond National 10% MonthlyThird National 10% Daily

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    12/14 12

    Non-annual Compounding (cont.)

    To solve this problem, you need to determine which bank

    will pay you the most interest

    In other words, at which bank will you have the highest

    future value?

    To find out, lets change our basic FV equation slightly:

    FV PVi

    m

    Nm

    1

    In this version of the equation m is the number ofcompounding periods per year

    Non-annual Compounding (cont.)

    We can find the FV for each bank as follows:

    FV 1 0 00 110 1 1001

    , . ,

    FV

    1000 1

    0 10

    12110471

    12

    ,.

    , .

    FV

    1000 1

    0 10

    365110516

    365

    ,.

    , .

    First National Bank:

    Second National Bank:

    Third National Bank:

    Obviously, you should choose the Third National Bank

    Impact of Frequency

    Julie Miller has $1,000 to invest for 2 Years at an annualinterest rate of 12%.

    Annual FV2 = 1,000(1+ [.12/1])(1)(2)

    = 1,254.40

    Semi FV2 = 1,000(1+ [.12/2])(2)(2)

    = 1,262.48

    Impact of Frequency

    Qrtly FV2 = 1,000(1+ [.12/4])(4)(2)

    = 1,266.77

    Monthly FV2 = 1,000(1+ [.12/12])(12)(2)

    = 1,269.73

    Daily FV2= 1,000(1+[.12/365])(365)(2)

    = 1,271.20

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    13/14 13

    Effective AnnualInterest Rate

    Effective Annual Interest Rate

    The actual rate of interest earned (paid) after

    adjusting the nominal ratefor factors such asthe number of compounding periods per

    year.

    (1 + [ i/ m ] )m- 1

    BWs EffectiveAnnual Interest Rate

    Basket Wonders (BW) has a $1,000 CD at the bank.The interest rate is 6%compounded quarterly for 1

    year. What is the Effective Annual Interest Rate(EAR)?

    EAR = ( 1 + 6% / 4 )4 - 1= 1.0614 - 1 = .0614 or 6.14%!

    Steps to Amortizing a Loan

    1. Calculate the payment per period.

    2. Determine the interest in Period t.

    (Loan Balance at t-1) x (i% / m)

    3. Compute principal payment in Period t.

    (Payment- Interestfrom Step 2)

    4. Determine ending balance in Period t.

    (Balance - principal paymentfrom Step 3)

    5. Start again at Step 2 and repeat.

    Amortizing a Loan Example

    Julie Miller is borrowing $10,000 at a compound

    annual interest rate of 12%. Amortize the loan if

    annual payments are made for 5 years.

    Step 1: Payment

    PV0

    = R (PVIFAi%,n

    )

    $10,000 = R (PVIFA 12%,5)

    $10,000 = R (3.605)

    R = $10,000 / 3.605 = $2,774

  • 7/29/2019 3. TVM

    14/14

    Amortizing a Loan Example

    End ofYear

    Payment Interest Principal EndingBalance

    0 --- --- --- $10,000

    1 $2,774 $1,200 $1,574 8,426

    2 2,774 1,011 1,763 6,663

    3 2 774 800 1 974 4 689

    4 2,774 563 2,211 2,478

    5 2,775 297 2,478 0

    $13,871 $3,871 $10,000

    [Last Payment Slightly Higher Due to Rounding]