33
1 Note: All data is as of November 14, unless otherwise noted. Data are subject to change.

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Page 1: 20201117 Media COVID Data update (002)...DYHUDJH SRVLWLYLW\ SHU GD\ 1RWH &DVHV LQIRUPDWLRQ VRXUFHG IURP 0'++6 DQG UHIOHFWV GDWH RI RQVHW RI V\PSWRPV UHIHUV WR FRQILUPHG DQG SUREDEOH

1Note: All data is as of November 14, unless otherwise noted. Data are subject to change.

Page 2: 20201117 Media COVID Data update (002)...DYHUDJH SRVLWLYLW\ SHU GD\ 1RWH &DVHV LQIRUPDWLRQ VRXUFHG IURP 0'++6 DQG UHIOHFWV GDWH RI RQVHW RI V\PSWRPV UHIHUV WR FRQILUPHG DQG SUREDEOH

2

SARAH LYON-CALLO, PH.D., MSDirector, Bureau of Epidemiology and Population Health

Michigan Department of Healthand Human Services

2

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Executive summaryCDC COVID Data Tracker indicates that Michigan has recorded the 6th highest number of cases (↔) , 5th highest number of deaths (↑2), 20th highest case rate (↔), and 10th highest death rate (↑7) in the last 7 days

According to Becker’s Hospital Review, Michigan has the 10th highest hospitalization rate as a percent of total beds (↑3), and 6th highest number of COVID patients in the ICU (↔)

Case rates (512.9), percent positivity (12.5%), and coronavirus like illness (CLI) are all increasing for seven or more weeks

Case rates are growing exponentially throughout the state of Michigan and all MERC regions are at or above 350 cases per million

More than 15% of available inpatient beds are filled with COVID patients and state trends for hospitalizations for COVID continue to increase exponentially for the previous 5 weeks

There were 298 deaths (↑146) during the week of Nov 1-Nov 7 and the state death rate is 5.2 deaths per million people

Daily diagnostic testing (PCR) averaged 53.5K per day over the last week and daily the state rate is 6,005.3 tests/million people

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What we see today:• 50 states seeing increasing 2-week case trends (up from 47 last week)• 43 states (stable vs. 44) with significant outbreaks (high/increasing cases, increasing/high

positivity increasing/high hospitalizations over 2 weeks (>100 per M))• South Dakota, North Dakota, Nebraska, Illinois, Montana have highest per capita

hospitalized patient numbers• Most rapid 2-week case growth: VT, LA, NH, MN, ME, OK• Midwest:

– Wisconsin with continued rising hospitalizations (390/M), cases (1150/M)– Indiana now exceeding Wisconsin in hospitalizations (410/M), cases (~900/M) – exceeded spring peak– Illinois shows rapid growth in hospitalizations (440/M) and cases (>950/M)– exceeded spring peak

– Ohio with growing hospitalizations (290/M) and cases (600/M), positivity – far above spring levels – Michigan with rapid rise in hospitalizations (315/M) and cases (>600/M) - 75% of spring peak

Comparison across states: Summary

4

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5

Confirmed and probable case indicators

1. Epidemic curve classification based on two-week incidence slope. Data omits most recent week to account for lag period.

Cases Positivity

Risk levels

Low A B C D E

Table Date: 2020-11-11, 7 days from date table was produced (2020-11-7)

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COVID-19 Spread

Positivity continues to increase statewide and within all regions Testing has also increased in the state Testing has increased 89% since October 1 whereas positivity increased 290%

Cases and deaths continue to increase at an exponential pace Since October 1, the state case rate has increased 425% to the highest rates to date Cases and deaths are rising in all age groups, races, and ethnicities

Number of outbreaks continue to rise, particularly in long-term care facilities, schools and sports, in-person workplace, and restaurants/bars

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7

Average daily diagnostic tests (past week)

Source: MDSS/Michigan Medical Advantage Group, MDHHS, testing labs

20,000

75,000

30,000

60,000

0

15,000

55,000

5,000

35,000

10,000

25,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

65,000

70,000

80,000

Nov 1

Oct 1

Apr 1

May 1

Jun 1

Jul 1

Aug 1

Sep 1

Diagnostic samples tested

Positive diagnostic samples

Daily diagnostic tests and positive diagnostic tests, by message date

57,636

6,945 (12.1%) Average positive diagnostic tests (past week, includes MDOC)Percent positivity excluding MDOC is 12.5%

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Week ending 11/7/2020 (Michigan average uses most recent MAG data and includes all tests, including MDOC and “Region Unknown”)

SOURCE: Numerical Data – MDSS, COVID Tracking Project, U.S. Census Bureau.

Daily tests Avg. daily tests State

Weekly % of pop. tested Weekly % tested State % positive State

Percent positive

1. California 2. New York 3. Illinois 4. Texas 5. Michigan 6. Ohio 7. New Jersey 8. North Carolina 9. Alaska 10. Tennessee 11. Connecticut 12. Florida 13. South Carolina 14. Washington 15. Virginia 16. Arizona 17. Pennsylvania 18. Massachusetts 19. Georgia 20. Arkansas 21. Wisconsin 22. Minnesota 23. Kentucky 24. Colorado 25. Indiana 26. Louisiana 27. Oklahoma 28. Alabama

136.5K124.8K77.4K74.8K57.6K44.9K38.1K33.3K32.9K27.7K25.6K25.2K18.2K17.8K17.8K17.7K17.2K16.5K16.3K16.2K15.1K14.8K14.4K13.6K13.1K11.0K10.6K10.4K

1. Alaska 2. Connecticut 3. New York 4. Illinois 5. Michigan 6. District of Columbia 7. Arkansas 8. West Virginia 9. New Mexico 10. New Jersey 11. Tennessee 12. Maine 13. Ohio 14. Montana 15. South Carolina 16. California 17. Kentucky 18. North Carolina 19. Rhode Island 20. Oklahoma 21. Minnesota 22. Wisconsin 23. Texas 24. Utah 25. Arizona 26. Massachusetts 27. Louisiana 28. Colorado

5.36%5.03%4.49%4.27%4.04%3.76%3.76%3.24%3.01%3.00%2.84%2.73%2.69%2.59%2.47%2.42%2.26%2.22%1.97%1.88%1.84%1.82%1.81%1.80%1.70%1.68%1.66%1.65%

1. New York 2. Maine 3. District of Columbia 4. California 5. Connecticut 6. Louisiana 7. Vermont 8. South Carolina 9. New Jersey 10. West Virginia 11. North Carolina 12. Washington 13. Virginia 14. Alaska 15. Georgia 16. New Hampshire 17. Texas 18. Ohio 19. Massachusetts 20. Tennessee 21. New Mexico 22. Maryland 23. Kentucky 24. Michigan 25. Arkansas 26. Oregon 27. Illinois 28. Delaware

2.5%2.6%2.6%4.2%4.3%5.0%5.5%5.8%6.1%6.3%6.4%6.8%7.5%7.6%8.2%9.3%9.6%10.3%10.7%11.1%11.6%11.9%12.0%12.1%12.3%12.5%12.9%13.0%

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9

Positivity by county, 11/8-11/14

Updates since last week:

Most counties averaged 10%-20% positivity over the last week

3-7% average positivity per day

7-10% average positivity per day

15-20% average positivity per day

10-15% average positivity per day

>=20% average positivity per day

<3% average positivity per day

Note: Cases information sourced from MDHHS and reflects date of onset of symptoms (refers to confirmed and probable cases)Source: SEOC Testing Results

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10

Confirmed COVID-19 cases by report date: State of Michigan

6,940

8,516

7,072

0

3,000

9,000

1,000

7,000

4,000

2,000

5,000

6,000

8,000

11/9 10/4 10/11 10/18 10/25

6,381

11/2 11/16

Confirmed cases reported on prior day (7-day rolling average)

In the last week, 47,771 cases reported

Source: MDHHS – Michigan Disease Surveillance System

7 day rolling average

Number of cases

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COVID-19 cases and deaths by onset date: State of Michigan

2/2

3

5/1

7

7/2

6

4/1

9

8/2

3

3/8

11/1

5

4/5

3/2

2

5/3

5/3

1

200,000

0

6/1

4

6/2

8

7/1

2

10/4 8/9

9/6

9/2

0

250,000

10/1

8

11/1

50,000

100,000

150,000

300,000

3/2

2

3/8

8/9

2/2

3

1,000

4/5

5/1

7

4/1

9

7/2

6

6/2

8

5/3

5/3

1

6/1

4

4,000

7/1

2

8/2

3

9/6

9/2

0

10/4

10/1

8

11/1

11/1

5 0

2,000

3,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

5/1

7

3/2

2

11/1

9/2

0

3/8

2/2

3

6/1

4

4/5

4/1

9

11/1

5

10/4

5/3

1

5/3

6/2

8

7/1

2

8/2

3

7/2

6

8/9

9/6

10/1

8 0

20

40

60

80

100

120

160

140

180

Cumulative confirmed and probable cases, by date of onset of symptoms

New confirmed and probable cases, by date of onset of symptoms

Cumulative confirmed and probable deaths, by reported date

New confirmed and probable deaths, by reported date

Note: Cases information sourced from MDHHS and reflects date of onset of symptoms (refers to lab-confirmed cases). Case spike on 5/12 is a result of batch of test results, not all of which have onset date of symptoms completedSource: MDHHS – Michigan Disease Surveillance System

Cases data as of 11/14Deaths data as of 11/14

Updates since last week:

Exponential growth in cases continues

Current daily case rate is over 5x the rate from early October

Updates since last week:

Current deaths are a lagging indicator of cases and are continuing to climb.

The current number of deaths is over 4x the amount of deaths in October

3/2

2

11/1

2/2

3

5/3

1

4,000

3/8

5/3

4/5

3,000

4/1

9 0

9/2

0

5/1

7

6/1

4

6/2

8

7/1

2

6,000

7/2

6

8/9

8/2

3

9/6

10/4

1,000

11/1

5

10/1

8

2,000

5,000

7,000

8,000

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12

Average daily new confirmed and probable cases per million residents

Note: Cases information sourced from MDHHS and reflects date of onset of symptoms (refers to confirmed and probable cases)Note: Data as of 11/11/2020Source: MDHHS – Michigan Disease Surveillance System

7-20 average daily new cases per million

20-40 average daily new cases per million

70-150 average daily new cases per million

Insufficient sample size; county has fewer than 3 new cases during the week

40-70 average daily new cases per million

150 average daily new cases per million

Fewer than 7 average daily new cases per million

11/8-11/14 10/4-10/10 9/6-9/12

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13

Average daily new cases per million residents, by age group

Note: Cases information sourced from MDHHS and reflects date of onset of symptoms Source: MDHHS – Michigan Disease Surveillance System

70+

0-29

30-49

50-69 Daily new confirmed and probable cases per million by age group (7-day rolling average)

NOTE: Recent cases likely to increase due to incubation period and reporting delays

30-49 age group continues to have the highest cases per million, though cases per million have increased for all age groups

3/1

5

250

3/8

3/1

400

7/5

4/1

2

10/1

1

6/7

3/2

2

3/2

9

4/1

9

4/5

4/2

6

5/3

100

5/1

0

5/1

7

5/2

4

5/3

1

6/1

4

50

6/2

1 0

6/2

8

7/1

2

9/2

7

7/1

9

7/2

6

8/2

650

8/9

350

8/1

6

200

8/2

3

9/6

300

9/1

3

9/2

0

8/3

0

10/4

10/2

5

11/1

11/8

150

10/1

8

11/1

5

550

500

600

700

450

Pre-decisional, for discussion only

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Note: Cases information sourced from MDHHS and reflects date of onset of symptoms; note that Multiple Races, Other, and Unknown race/ethnicity are not included in calculations

By race category

By ethnicity

Daily new confirmed and probable cases per million (7 day rolling average)

Average daily new cases per million people by race and ethnicity

Cases data as reported 11/14

Source: MDHHS – Michigan Disease Surveillance System

200

300

0

100

400

6/1 5/1 4/1 7/1 8/1 9/1 10/1 11/1

American Indian/Alaska Native Black/African American

Asian/Pacific Islander White

0

100

400

300

200

500

10/1 5/1 4/1 6/1 7/1 8/1 9/1 11/1

Hispanic or Latino Not Hispanic or Latino

Past two weeks confirmed and probable cases vs. population, % of total

By race category

By ethnicity

0.9% 1.7%

9.7%

0.9%3.6%

15.0%

87.7%

Asian/Pacific Islander American Indian/Alaska Native

Black/African American

White

80.4%

% of cases past two weeks % of population

6.6%5.3%

Hispanic or Latino

93.4%

Not Hispanic or Latino

94.7%

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15

Number of outbreak investigations by site type, week ending Nov 13

980 722 258

Pre-decisional, for discussion only Draft

Total number of active outbreaks is up ~32% from previous week

Highest number of new outbreaks since we started tracking

Following LTCs/SNFs and educational settings, greatest number of new outbreaks reported in manufacturing/ construction, restaurants/bars, retail and social gatherings

Site type Outbreaks by ongoing/new classification, #

208

151

63

56

33

29

34

31

23

13

23

28

16

9

59

55

28

10

21

17

6

9

11

19

8

4

4

SNF/LTC/Other Assisted Living

Social gathering

K-12 School

Office setting

1

Manufacturing, construction

Healthcare

Agricultural/food processing/migrant camp

College/University

Childcare/youth program

Retail

Other

2

2 Religious services

2

32

1

3

34

Personal services (e.g., salon, spa, gym)

Corrections

206

Community exposure - indoor

Community exposure - outdoor

Shelters

30

91

267

66

Bars and Restaurants

46

40

40

31

54

11

7

5

1

18

Source: LHD Weekly Sitreps

1. Based on a setting’s level of control and the extent of time patrons/residents spend in the particular setting, different settings have differing levels of ability to ascertain whether a case derived from that setting

NOTE: Many factors, including the lack of ability to conduct effective contact tracing in certain settings, may result in significant underreporting of outbreaks. This chart does not provide a complete picture of outbreaks in Michigan and the absence of identified outbreaks in a particular setting in no way provides evidence that, in fact, that setting is not having outbreaks.

Total

Ongoing

New Visibility1

Easier to identify outbreak Harder to identify outbreak

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16

K-12 school outbreaks, recent and ongoing, week ending November 13

# Ongoing - Excluding New # New

24 1-13

19 2-22

32 1-10

30 2-5

18 2-9

42 2-40

11 2-14

200 1-40

24 2-20

70 1-10

33 2-14

200 1-40

97 2-40

Range of cases per outbreak

Number of outbreaks

Range of cases per outbreak

Grade level Number of reported cases, #

Region Number of reported cases, # Number of outbreaks

60

45

83

102

68

260

87

737

14

19

12

6

59

23

144

Region 3

Region 2n

74 Region 1

1

Region 2s

Region 5

Region 6

46

10 32 Region 7

Region 8

Total

102

114

74

319

42

110

881

169

104

464

737

25

18

101

144

122

Total

Pre-school - elem 194

Jr. high/middle

High 565

881

Source: LHD Weekly Sitreps

Many factors, including the lack of ability to conduct effective contact tracing in certain settings, may result in significant underreporting of outbreaks. This chart does not provide a complete picture of outbreaks in Michigan and the absence of identified outbreaks in a particular setting in no way provides evidence that, in fact, that setting is not having outbreaks.

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Note: Cases information sourced from MDHHS and reflects date of report

Total new confirmed and probable deaths by age group (past 30 days, ending 11/12)

Daily new confirmed and probable deaths per million by age group (7 day rolling average)

30

25

0 5

15

20

10

35

40

45

60

50

55

65

70

11/1 10/1 07/1 08/1 09/1

0-19

20-29

30-39

40-49

50-59

60-69

70-79

80+

Average and total new deaths, by age group

Source: MDHHS – Michigan Disease Surveillance System

Cases data as reported 11/14

NOTE: Past 1 week of deaths likely to increase due to reporting delays

7 7 19

59

130

278

508

70-79 50-59 30-39 0-19 20-29 40-49 80+ 60-69

0

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18

Note: Multiple Races, Other, and Unknown race/ethnicity are not included in calculationsSource: MDHHS – Michigan Disease Surveillance System

Average daily new deaths per million people by race and ethnicity

Daily new confirmed and probable deaths per million (7 day rolling average)

By race category

By ethnicity

6

1 0

2

5

3 4

7

10/1 8/1 6/1 7/1 9/1 11/1

Asian/Pacific Islander

American Indian/Alaska Native

White

Black/African American

1.5

0

2.5

1.0

0.5

2.0

7/1 6/1 8/1 9/1 10/1 11/1

Hispanic or Latino Not Hispanic or Latino

Cases data as reported 11/14

4.1%5.3%

95.9% 94.7%

Hispanic or Latino Not Hispanic or Latino

Past two weeks confirmed and probable deaths vs. population, % of total

By race category

By ethnicity

0.6% 1.5%7.0%

0.9%3.6%

15.0%

American Indian/Alaska Native

White Asian/Pacific Islander

90.9%

Black/African American

80.4%

% of deaths past two weeks % of population

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COVID-19 and Healthcare Capacity

Since September, COVID-19-like illness has gone from < 2% to > 7% of the emergency department visits

Hospitalizations and ICU utilization are increasing Double rate of 2.5-3 weeks

Five of eight regions are over 30% of Adult ICU beds occupied with COVID+ patients

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20

Michigan Trends in Emergency Department Visits for COVID-19-Like Illness (CLI)

Source: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#ed-visits

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Statewide Hospitalization Trends: Total COVID+ Census

21

Hospitalization Trends 7/1/2020 – 11/15/2020Confirmed Positive

This week, hospital COVID+ census is 33% higher than last week.

We are now at ~75% of our spring peak levels, though now these hospitalizations are spread across the regions.

Doubling time of hospitalizations now at 2.5 to 3 weeks (vs. 2 weeks for week prior)

Confirmed Positive

PUI

Hospitalized COVID Positive Long Term Trend (beginning March)

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Statewide Hospitalization Trends: ICU COVID+ Census

22

Hospitalization Trends 8/1/2020 – 11/15/2020Confirmed Positive in ICUs

COVID+ census in ICUs increased by 30% this weekDoubling time is 2.5 to 3 weeks

Statewide 27% of Adult ICU beds are occupied with COVID+ patients

5/8 Regions are over 30% of Adult ICU beds occupied with COVID+ patients

Confirmed Positive in ICU

Region Adult COVID+ in ICU

Adult ICU Occupancy

% of Adult ICU beds COVID+

Region 1 61 89% 31%

Region 2N 109 83% 20%

Region 2S 125 83% 17%

Region 3 110 89% 31%

Region 5 41 83% 26%

Region 6 118 80% 42%

Region 7 68 75% 39%

Region 8 28 86% 48%

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Statewide Hospitalization Trends: Regional COVID+ Census

23

Hospitalization Trends 8/1/2020 – 11/15/2020Confirmed Positive by Region

Regions 2N, 3, and 7 show the most rapid growth rate for the week of 11/8-11/15

Region 2N, 3, 6 are the most pressured on a per population basis

Region 2N

Region 2S

Region 3

Region 5

Region 6

Region 1

Region 7Region 8

Region Growth from Last Week

COVID+ Hospitalizations /

MM

Region 1 28% 206/MM

Region 2N 46% 352/MM

Region 2S 26% 255/MM

Region 3 44% 431/MM

Region 5 15% 255/MM

Region 6 25% 365/MM

Region 7 49% 208/MM

Region 8 35% 260/MM

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How is public health capacity?

Case investigation and contact tracing is becoming overwhelmed with the influx of new cases and contacts and is at or near all-time lows

• MDHHS recently released phone proximity notification app to aid in contact tracing

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61%

Known source of infection?

47% 28%

38%

Already quarantining at

time of symptom onset?

16% 11% 7,064 7,064

17,549

7,064(29%)

Case investigation complete?

24,613

New Case Investigation Metrics

30,093

9,106(23%)

Case investigation complete?

39,199

28% 44%

14% 35% 58% 21%

Known source of infection?

Already quarantining at

time of symptom onset?

9,106 9,106

Yes No Not answered

Case report form information, 11/7-11/13

Case investigation metrics remain low since last week:• 44% of investigated cases have a known source (47% last week)• 28% of investigated cases noting that they were quarantining before symptoms (28% last week)Over the last week, number of complete case investigations increased 29%, number of cases has increased 59%

Source: MDHHS – Michigan Disease Surveillance System

Case report form information, 10/31-11/6

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Testing, case investigation, and contact tracing: Current state

Source: MDSS and OMS summary statistics. Traceforce summary statistics. LHD Sitrep survey. Testing information from MAG summary files (percent positivity excludes MDOC)

1. % of cases documented as "attempted" within one day2. % of cases documented as "successful" within one day 3. % of cases with at least one contact documented within one day4. Weighted average of % of cases documented as "attempted" within one day in OMS, LHD survey, and Traceforce5. Average of % of cases documented as "successful" within one day (Traceforce-only due to data accuracy concerns in other systems)6. Sourced from weighted average of all lab turnaround times

Performance

Goal

Trend since last week

TestingCase investigation and contact

acquisitionInitial contact

tracing

90% calls attempted in one day

75% calls completed in one day

50% with contacts in one day

90% calls attempted in one day

75% calls completed in one day

18.3%1 14.1%2 14.1%3 91.4%4 45.6%5

3% testpositivity, excluding MDOC

2K tests per million per day

Ongoing contact monitoring still occurring through texting and calls

Fast test to result turnaround time6

6.0K 12.5% 2.7 days

Favorable Unfavorable Stable Unfavorable Unfavorable Unfavorable Favorable Favorable

63% of contacts successfully complete intake within five days

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Cases vs. Attempted Case Investigations

07/1

9

06/0

7

10/0

4

08/1

6

08/0

2

09/2

0

07/1

2

06/1

4

06/2

1

06/2

8

07/0

5

07/2

6

08/0

9

09/1

3

08/2

3

08/3

0

11/1

5

09/0

6

09/2

7

10/1

1

10/1

8

10/2

5

11/0

1

11/0

8 0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

Daily new cases (7 day average)

Case investigations attempted in 1 day (7-day average)

Note: Cases visualized by onset date; Absolute number of case investigations estimated from daily case investigation success rateSource: MDHHS – Michigan Disease Surveillance System

Certain demographics prioritized in some jurisdictions since not everyone can be reached

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Iphone or Android

More than 280,000 people already signed up

Spanish and Arabic translations coming soon

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Source: MDSS/Michigan Medical Advantage Group, MDHHS, testing labs (as of 11/6). NOTE: Smaller labs do not appear on this page

Testing turnaround time – Collection to reportLabs reporting >1K results in past two weeks

6.55.55.4

4.54.5

4.44.2

4.03.83.73.7

3.33.33.33.3

3.02.92.92.82.8

2.72.62.52.5

2.42.12.12.02.0

1.91.81.81.71.71.6

1.51.41.41.41.4

1.31.11.1

0.90.9

0.80.80.8

0.2

Garcia Laboratory

VHS University Laboratories Henry Ford Hospital Dept. of Pathology

Saint Joseph Mercy Hospital

GREAT LAKES MEDICAL LABORATORY

Henry Ford Allegiance Hospital Laboratory

MMI

GENEMARKERS LABORATORY

*BRIDGE DIAGNOSTICS

*VIKOR SCIENTIFIC

Frances Warde Medical Laboratory

*Genet Worx

*Aegis Sciences

MRM

*HONU-DASCENA LAB

Mercy Health Partners

*HELIX CA *Helix *QUEST WOOD DALE

Northwest Labs VIBRA HEALTH LABORATORY

*BIOREFERENCE LABORATORIES RHB Laboratories, Inc. ARTIC DX MEDICAL LABORATORIES NXGEN

Sparrow Main

LABCORP

Trident Laboratories SPECTRUM HEALTH ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY LAB *BIOTECH CLINICAL LAB INC

MIORD

MetroHealthLab

LAN

MGHS

Hospital Average

CHS

St John Hospital and Medical Center

Lakeland Medical Center, St Joseph

Commercial Average

*Curative San Dimas Oakwood Hospital -Dearborn Laboratory

Saint Joseph Mercy Oakland

SPECTRUM HEALTH REGIONAL LABORATORY

BEAUMONT LABORATORY, ROYAL OAK

BEAUMONT LABORATORY Saint Marys Mercy Health Care

U of M Bronson Methodist Hospital

HELIXMDX

Average turnaround time, past two weeks (days)

Lab

(Asterisk indicates out-of-state) Avg daily tests run, past two weeks (K)

29

71

29

65

Location of lab Type of lab

1 6

100 100

Public health Commercial In-state Hospital Other Out-of-state

Percent of tests (past two weeks), by type of lab and location

14-day average testing turnaround time is 2.7 days, stable since last week

1.0

2.1

2.8

0.5 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3

3.5

0.3

0.4

0.3 1.8 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.9 0.2

0.3

27.6

0.7

0.4

1.7

0.4

0.4

12.6

0.3

1.0

1.4

1.7

0.4

1.1

0.4

1.0

0.6

3.8

0.2

0.9

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.8

2.5

0.2

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Indirect Impacts of COVID-19

The pandemic has affected many public health services not directly related to COVID-19

• Childhood preventative services like lead testing and vaccinations have fallen but are rebounding

Access to emergency care services have also been impacted

• Emergency department visits are lower than years past

• EMS use for opioid overdose has increased

• Mental health impacts, directly and indirectly related to the pandemic, are visible in Michiganders

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Preventative Services1. Childhood lead testing fell 75% in April but

have since risen to 60% of pre-pandemic levels

2. Up-to-date vaccinations declined < 50% among most children ≤ 2 years

3. Childhood vaccination series remained relatively stable since 2019 Q2 although disparities exist for Black/African Americans

2. Q

uart

erly

tren

ds fo

r chi

ldho

od

vacc

inat

ion

cove

rage

1. N

umbe

r of C

hild

ren

< 6

Test

ed

for B

lood

Lea

d

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Perc

ent V

acci

nate

d

19 through 35 months quarterly child vaccine series coverage by mother's race, March 30, 2019

through September 30, 2020 as of November 1, 2020

American Indian

Asian/Pacific Islander

Black

White

Other

Missing/UnknownIncludes 4 DTaP, 3 Polio, 1 MMR, 3 Hib, 3 HepB, 1 Varicella, 4 PCV

2. C

hild

hood

Vac

cina

tion

Cove

rage

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Access to Emergent Care

3. P

ropo

rtio

n of

ED

Visi

ts fo

r M

enta

l Hea

lth

2. E

MS

Resp

onse

Cha

nges

in T

otal

&

Opi

oid

Ove

rdos

e

1. A

vera

ge W

eekl

y ED

Vis

it Pe

rcen

t Di

ffere

nce

1. Total ED visits for all complaints are approximately 13% below normal levels for most recent week

2. Total EMS responses decreased but EMS opioid responses increased 22% since 2019

3. Proportion of ED visits for mental health, appears to increase 50% at the end of March to near 3%, but is trending back to pre-pandemic levels around 2%

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QUESTIONS?

33