12
15,8 16,9 20,2 13,1 8,1 3,7 16,7 6,2 3,7 2,9 2,4 5,1 Ibovespa IbrX-100 S&P 500 IFIX (REIT index) IRF-M (fixed rate sovereign index) IMA-S (floating sovereigns index) IMA-B (inflation linked sovereigns index) IHFA (mutual funds index) CDI Overnight Base Rate BRL/USD CPI CRB (commodities) 1.2. Indicators - Percentage Accumulated YTD Return - Jul/2019 Sources: Bloomberg, BCB Market Report Index 1. Market Performance stocks investment funds macroeconomic 1 1. Market Performance 2. Macroeconomic Indicators 3. Securities Offerings - Overview 3. Securities Offerings - Selected Assets 4. Secondary Market - Trade Information 5. Securities Offerings - International Comparison 6. Regulated Markets - Totals 6. Regulated Markets - Participants 6. Regulated Markets - Investment Funds 6. Regulated Markets - Registered Companies 6. Regulated Markets - Other Assets

1.2. Indicators - Percentage Accumulated YTD Return - Jul/2019 · IFIX (REIT index) IRF-M (fixed rate sovereign index) IMA-S (floating sovereigns index) IMA-B (inflation linked sovereigns

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    4

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 15,8

    16,9

    20,2

    13,1

    8,1

    3,7

    16,7

    6,2

    3,7

    2,9

    2,4

    5,1

    Ibovespa

    IbrX-100

    S&P 500

    IFIX (REIT index)

    IRF-M (fixed rate sovereign index)

    IMA-S (floating sovereigns index)

    IMA-B (inflation linked sovereignsindex)

    IHFA (mutual funds index)

    CDI Overnight Base Rate

    BRL/USD

    CPI

    CRB (commodities)

    1.2. Indicators - Percentage Accumulated YTD Return - Jul/2019

    Sources: Bloomberg, BCB

    Market Report

    Index 1. Market Performance

    sto

    cks

    inve

    stm

    ent

    fun

    ds

    mac

    roec

    on

    om

    ic

    1

    1. Market Performance

    2. Macroeconomic Indicators

    3. Securities Offerings - Overview

    3. Securities Offerings - Selected Assets

    4. Secondary Market - Trade Information

    5. Securities Offerings - International Comparison

    6. Regulated Markets - Totals

    6. Regulated Markets - Participants

    6. Regulated Markets - Investment Funds

    6. Regulated Markets - Registered Companies

    6. Regulated Markets - Other Assets

  • 2. Macroeconomic Indicators

    Gross Debt: jul/2019. Gross Debt Estimates correspond to the simple average of Itau Unibanco e Banco Bradesco most recent estimates.

    CPI: jul/19; GDP (rolling 4 quarters): jun/19; BRL/USD (PTAX ask): 08/28/19; Base Rate SELIC: 08/28/19. Estimates: Focus Report of 08/12/19. Primary and Nominal: jul/2019. Estimate: Focus Report of 08/12/19.

    FDI and Current Account: jul/2019. Estimates: Focus Report of 08/12/19.

    Sources: BCB e IBGE.

    2

    3.2

    1.0

    4.15

    6.0

    3.8

    0.8

    3.75

    5.0

    3.9

    2.1

    3.80

    5.5

    CPI (% trailing 12month accumulated)

    GDP Growth (%) FX (BRL/USD) SELIC Base Rate (%)

    2.1. Macroeconomics

    Last Value 2019 Estimate 2020 Estimate

    79.0

    77.8

    79.3

    Gross Debt (%GDP)

    2.2. Gross Debt

    Last Value 2019 Estimate 2020 Estimate

    -1.4

    -6.5

    -1.3

    -6.3

    -1.0

    -6.0

    Primary Surplus (%GDP - accumulated trailing12 months)

    Nominal Result (%GDP - accumulated trailing12 months)

    2.3. Public Finances

    Last Value 2019 Estimate 2020 Estimate

    94.9

    -24.5

    85.0

    -22.0

    85.3

    -32.5

    FDI (US$ bi - accumulated trailing 12 months) Current Account Result (US$ bi -accumulated trailing 12 months)

    2.4. Balance of Payments

    Last Value 2019 Estimate 2020 Estimate

  • 3. Securities Offerings - Overview

    (1) Values and quantities include: stocks+BDR, corporate bonds, commercial paper, Real Estate ABS, Agrobusiness ABS, CDOs, Real Estate Funds and Private Equity Funds (and corresponding FoFs)(2) Corpoate bonds – excludes lease offerings.

    Source: CVM

    3

    10357 47 70

    89 76 57

    669722

    637541

    800

    987

    572

    2 3

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    3.1. Number of offerings

    Registered Offerings (ICVM400) Restricted Efforts Offerings (ICVM476) Exemptions of Register (ICVM400)

    55.729.0

    43.520.8

    48.533.5

    47.6

    117.5

    142.7126.3

    120.3

    171.6

    242.7199.3

    0.1 0.1

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    R$ (bi)

  • 3. Securities Offerings - Selected Assets

    Source: CVM4

    20

    2 2 3

    11

    35

    4

    7

    14

    2

    12

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    3.2. Equity (number)

    23.9 15.4 16.7

    4.3

    21.8

    6.8

    22.8

    -

    -1.6

    6.5

    17.0

    4.4

    27.3

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    R$ (bi)

    Restricted Efforts Offerings (ICVM476)

    Registered Offerings (ICVM400)

    16 8 9 4 10 5 4

    252 277

    205166

    254

    346

    195

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    (jul)

    3.3. Corporate bonds (number)

    10.9 3.7 10.6 1.9 6.4 2.7 5.9

    57.9 68.8 52.0 61.8

    81.8

    146.4

    105.7

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    (jul)

    R$ (bi)

    Restricted Efforts Offerings (ICVM476)

    Registered Offerings (ICVM400)

    10 7 522

    10 10 5

    115136

    121 8293 90

    68

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    3.4. Real Estate ABS (number)

    2.2 0.9 0.3

    2.4 2.2 2.9 1.4

    13.8 15.7

    9.3

    15.6

    5.4 5.4 5.8

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    (jul)

    R$ (bi)

    Restricted Efforts Offerings (ICVM476)

    Registered Offerings (ICVM400)

    38 10

    19 21

    10 137

    12 6

    19

    45

    39

    12

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    3.5. Agrobusiness ABS (number)

    0.2 1.4

    3.6

    8.8 9.7

    3.6

    7.3

    0.8 0.5

    1.0

    3.6 2.6

    2.4

    0.4

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    R$ (bi)

    Restricted Efforts Offerings (ICVM476)

    Exemptions of Register (ICVM400)

    34

    16 10 1326

    4027

    27

    2040

    50

    45

    62

    48

    2

    1

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    (jul)

    3.6. Real Estate Funds (number)

    10.6

    4.7 5.8

    2.25.2

    11.28.3

    3.0

    1.7

    4.0

    3.9

    2.8

    6.3

    7.2

    0.1

    0.0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    R$ (bi)

    Exemptions of Register (ICVM400) Restricted Efforts Offerings (ICVM476)

    Registered Offerings (ICVM400)

    9 5 4 2 4 4 1

    7168

    10592

    125

    182

    77

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

    (jul)

    3.7. Private Equity Funds (number)

    4.21.1 3.6 0.4

    5.20.5

    17.918.3

    40.8

    17.521.2

    29.3

    19.2

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    R$ (bi)

    Restricted Efforts Offerings (ICVM476)

    Registered Offerings (ICVM400)

    11 11 7 7 7 4 2

    26

    53 59 53

    124

    182

    1242

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    3.8. Receivables Funds (number)

    3.51.8 2.9 0.9 2.3 1.2 1.5

    3.1 7.4 4.6

    2.7

    13.7

    19.413.9

    0.0

    0.1

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    R$ (bi)

    Exemptions of Register (ICVM400)

    Restricted Efforts Offerings (ICVM476)

    Registered Offerings (ICVM400)

    171156

    97

    72

    10084

    3620

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    3.9. Commercial Paper (number)

    20.9

    30.3

    13.08.8

    27.229.0

    19.8

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    R$ (bi)

    Restricted Efforts Offerings (ICVM476)

  • 4. Secondary Market - Trade Information

    5

    6,6 6,46,1

    6,6

    7,8

    11,0

    14,2

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (Jul)

    Ave

    rage

    dai

    ly v

    olum

    e (R

    $ bi

    )

    4.1. Equity - Round Lot

    Source: B3

    0.70.8

    1.2 1.2

    2.3

    1.1

    0.5

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Jul/19

    Ave

    rage

    dai

    ly v

    olum

    e (R

    $ bi

    )

    4.2. Corporate bonds

    Source: SND

    394

    286

    309 303

    354371

    227

    83 82 77 71 7492

    54

    20 20 17 19 19 24 20

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    Nu

    mb

    er

    of

    con

    trac

    ts (m

    illi

    on

    s)

    4.3. Derivatives

    CDI Futures USD/BRL Futures Ibovespa FuturesSource: B3

    31.6

    20.5 21.522.5

    30.6

    45.7

    85.4

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Jul/2019

    Ave

    rage

    of t

    ota

    l dai

    ly v

    olu

    me

    (R$

    mil

    lio

    ns)

    4.4. Real Estate Funds

    Source: B3

  • 5. Securities Offerings – International Comparison

    5.1. IPOs – Stocks* 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 20182019 (jul)

    Total – Global (US$ bi) 183.1 132.4 183.4 241.2 206.2 132.9 209.0 211.0 98,9

    Total – Global (number of offerings) 1.717 1.344 1.273 1.618 1.670 1.370 1.938 1.616 712

    Brazil (US$ bi) 4,3 2,3 8,4 0,2 0,3 0,2 6,3 2.0 1.0

    Brazil (number of offerings) 11 3 11 1 1 1 10 3 2

    Mexico (US$ bi) 0,5 1,2 2,9 1 1,9 0,3 4,1 0,6 -

    Mexico (number of offerings) 2 3 5 3 5 3 6 3 -

    China (US$ bi) 41.3 15.1 - 12.5 25.6 23.9 44.7 55.1 24,8

    China (number of offerings) 278 149 - 125 219 227 487 190 153

    Indonesia (US$ bi) 2.2 1.1 1.7 0.8 0.9 1 0.7 1.3 0.7

    Indonesia (number of offerings) 25 22 30 24 16 15 36 55 32

    Australia (US$ bi) 1.3 0.4 5.7 15.5 6.5 4.2 4.3 5.6 1.3

    Australia (number of offerings) 104 44 57 73 94 89 100 86 27

    5.2. Foreign Currency-Denominated Bonds**

    2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 20182019 (jul)

    Brazil (US$ bi) 26.2 26.4 21.7 28.0 6.1 19.5 40.8 22.5 10.9

    Latin America and Caribbean(ex-Brazil) (US$ bi)

    41.1 48.7 65.1 58.9 32.5 51.9 56.0 46.8 20.8

    Mexico 20.2 31.2 33.1 25.5 20.7 36.7 33.8 31.4 5.4

    Chile 3.9 5.2 6.5 11.1 4.7 2.2 8.3 2.8 4.6

    Argentina 0.8 1.1 3.4 2.6 2.6 4.9 4.9 3.8 2.0

    * Values converted to USD considering the offering date. Excludes ADR/BDR/GDR offered abroad by Brazilian companies. Country data is aggregated by location of the exchange which hosted the offering.** Only non-financial corporate offerings, country data aggregated by “ultimate county of risk”, that is, the country in which the majority of the economic risk of the issuer is supported. Values converted to USD considering the offering date.

    Source: Bloomberg

    6

  • 6. Regulated Markets - Totals

    Note: There is some double counting due to investment funds assets.Sources: CVM, ANBIMA, B3.

    7

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8ja

    n-14

    mar

    -14

    mai

    -14

    jul-1

    4

    set-

    14

    nov-

    14

    jan-

    15

    mar

    -15

    mai

    -15

    jul-1

    5

    set-

    15

    nov-

    15

    jan-

    16

    mar

    -16

    mai

    -16

    jul-1

    6

    set-

    16

    nov-

    16

    jan-

    17

    mar

    -17

    mai

    -17

    jul-1

    7

    set-

    17

    nov-

    17

    jan-

    18

    mar

    -18

    mai

    -18

    jul-1

    8

    set-

    18

    nov-

    18

    jan-

    19

    mar

    -19

    mai

    -19

    jul-1

    9

    US$ (tri) 6.1. Regulated Markets (Jul/2019)

    NAV ICVM 555 Funds (ex-FoF) NAV non-ICVM/555 Funds (ex-FoF) Derivatives Total Gross Notional

    Corporate Bonds Commercial Paper Real Estate ABS

    Agrobusiness ABS Stock Market Total Market Cap Total

  • 6. Regulated Markets - Participants

    6.2. Participants (number)2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

    2018 (dez)

    Registered companies, including foreign and subsidized, with active status

    756 767 750 725 690 672 666

    Registered Investment Funds 13.165 14.278 14.875 15.094 14.936 16.182 17.719

    Registered Asset Managers* (sum) 3.086 3.347 3535 3662 3353 3.411 3.475

    Fiduciary Administrators (exclusive) 29 36 42

    Asset Managers (exclusive) 3227 3281 3349

    Both 97 94 84

    Registered Custodians 87 88 189 153 144 145 139

    Registered Bookkeepers 36 33 35 53 59

    Registered Brokerage Firms (trading) 106 104 99 93 84 74 74

    Registered Brokerage Firms (distribution) 133 129 115 109 107 94 101

    Registered Brokers 9.969 8.218 5.393 5.123 5.980 6.596 7.745

    Registered Independent Auditors 427 419 417 406 408 391 375

    Registered Rating Agencies 5 7 7 7 7 7 7

    Registered Research Analysts 713 723 726 723 624 606 615

    Registered Investment Consultants 534 582 632 649 648 686 669

    Registered Non-Resident Investors 19.023 19.140 20.900 20.899 18.429 19.416 19.293

    Plataformas Eletrônicas Crowdfunding 14

    Total 48.004 47.802 47.674 47.676 45.445 48.333 50.411• Distinction after ICVM 558/15.

    Sources: CVM. Does not include B3 stock exchange.

    8

  • 6. Regulated Markets - Investment Funds

    6.2.1. Investment Funds- International Comparison*

    2015 (jun)

    2015(dez)

    2016 (jun)

    2016(dez)

    2017 (jun)

    2017 (dez)

    2018 (jun)

    2018 (dez)

    2019 (mar)

    Total – World (US$ bi) 39.289 38.253 39.409 40.643 44.992 49.300 49.446 46.693 49.998

    Total – World (number) 104.181 106.064 107.910 110.125 112.278 112.948 115.152 118.261 119.623

    Brazil (US$ bi) 911 744 984 1.061 1.137 1.238 1.109 1.211 1.231

    Brazil (number) 8.660 8.783 9.057 9.224 9.479 9.774 9.957 10.257 10.415

    Americas (ex-Brazil) (US$ bi) 19.466 18.885 19.373 20.127 21.784 23.660 23.889 22.428 24.505

    Americas ex-Brazil (number) 16.011 16.216 16.296 16.472 16.695 16.794 17.715 17.440 17.500

    Europe (US$ bi) 14.135 13.733 13.969 14.112 16.081 17.722 17.675 16.476 17.257

    Europe (number) 52.782 53.212 53.251 53.513 54.350 54.558 55.217 56.001 56.172

    Asia/Pacific (US$ bi) 4.630 4.770 4.950 5.198 5.830 6.498 6.609 6.421 6.836

    Asia/Pacífic (number) 25.503 26.526 27.903 29.396 30.198 30.196 31.312 32.996 33.937

    * NAV of open ended regulated mutual funds in each jurisdiction. Excludes FoF.Source: ICI

    9Note: does not include sep/15 due to technical problems.

    12.5 12.8 12.9 13.1 14.0 14.8 15.5

    2.21

    2.40

    2.69

    3.18

    3.78

    4.20

    4.58

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 jul/19 | Jul/19

    6.2.2. ICVM 555 Funds

    Number (IF+FoF) (x1000) NAV (ex-FoF) (R$ tri)Source: CVM

    28

    60

    32

    139

    178

    125

    114

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    6.2.3. ICVM 555 Funds: Net Issuance (ex-FoF) (R$ bi)

    Source: CVM

  • 6. Regulated Markets - Registered Companies

    10

    9 6 23 10 7 4 7

    647 640 619614 611

    614 609

    2.4

    2.2

    1.9

    2.5

    3.2

    3.6

    4.1

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (jul)

    6.3.1. Registered Companies

    Suspended Active Listed Companies Total Market Cap (R$ tri)

    Source: CVM; B3

  • 6. Regulated Markets - Registered Companies

    * CVM estimates based on latest Formulário de Referência up to this edition deadline. Information take into account first level shareholder data.** Companies in the following status: operational, pre-operational, Chapter 11 equivalents, in suspension. Listed but never traded companies were excluded.*** National control if the proportion of voting shares owned by first level controlling national shareholders is greater than the proportion held by controlling first level foreign shareholders.

    Source: B3, CVM.

    11

    6.3.2. Companhias Abertas – Controle e Acordo de Acionistas* jun/2017 dez/2017 jun/2018 dez/2018

    Companhias abertas com registro ativo e ações negociadas em bolsa de valores**

    330 338 337 333

    Companhias com controlador definido 271 275 286 282

    Controle nacional privado*** 218 221 231 227

    Controle nacional estatal 27 27 27 27

    Controle estrangeiro 26 27 28 28

    Companhias sem controlador definido 59 63 51 51

    Companhias abertas com registro ativo e ações negociadas em bolsa de valores**

    330 338 337 333

    Companhia possui acordo de acionistas 126 126 127 124

    Companhia sem controlador definido 7 7 5 5

    Companhia com controlador definido 119 119 122 119

    Companhia não possui acordo de acionistas 204 212 210 209

    Companhia sem controlador definido 52 56 46 46

    Companhia com controlador definido 152 156 164 163

  • 6. Regulated Markets - Other Assets

    Sources: CVM, ANBIMA, B3, CETIP.

    12

    3

    5

    7

    9

    11

    13

    15

    17

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    jan

    -14

    ab

    r-1

    4

    jul-

    14

    ou

    t-1

    4

    jan

    -15

    ab

    r-1

    5

    jul-

    15

    ou

    t-1

    5

    jan

    -16

    ab

    r-1

    6

    jul-

    16

    ou

    t-1

    6

    jan

    -17

    ab

    r-1

    7

    jul-

    17

    ou

    t-1

    7

    jan

    -18

    ab

    r-1

    8

    jul-

    18

    ou

    t-1

    8

    jan

    -19

    ab

    r-1

    9

    jul-

    19

    6.4. Derivatives (Jul/19)

    Exchange Based OTC Based Gross Notional - R$ Trillions (R)

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    fev-

    14

    abr-

    14

    jun

    -14

    ago

    -14

    ou

    t-14

    de

    z-1

    4

    fev-

    15

    abr-

    15

    jun

    -15

    ago

    -15

    ou

    t-15

    de

    z-1

    5

    fev-

    16

    abr-

    16

    jun

    -16

    ago

    -16

    ou

    t-16

    de

    z-1

    6

    fev-

    17

    abr-

    17

    jun

    -17

    ago

    -17

    ou

    t-17

    de

    z-1

    7

    fev-

    18

    abr-

    18

    jun

    -18

    ago

    -18

    ou

    t-18

    de

    z-1

    8

    fev-

    19

    abr-

    19

    jun

    -19

    R$ (bi) 6.5. Corporate Bonds (Jul/2019)

    33,9

    71,4

    38,5

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    jan

    -14

    mar

    -14

    mai

    -14

    jul-

    14

    set-

    14

    no

    v-1

    4

    jan

    -15

    mar

    -15

    mai

    -15

    jul-

    15

    set-

    15

    no

    v-1

    5

    jan

    -16

    mar

    -16

    mai

    -16

    jul-

    16

    set-

    16

    no

    v-1

    6

    jan

    -17

    mar

    -17

    mai

    -17

    jul-

    17

    set-

    17

    no

    v-1

    7

    jan

    -18

    mar

    -18

    mai

    -18

    jul-

    18

    set-

    18

    no

    v-1

    8

    jan

    -19

    mar

    -19

    mai

    -19

    jul-

    19

    R$ (bi) 6.6. ABS+Commercial Paper (Jul/2019)

    Commercial Paper Real Estate ABS Agrobusiness ABS