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“Where America’s Climate, Weather and Ocean Services Begin”

FY16 Production Suite Plans

Rebecca CosgroveChief, Production Management Branch, NCO

August 4, 2015

WCOSS and the NCEP Production Suite

Planning Process: Quad charts with model upgrade scope, schedule and issues/risks for the

next 12 months presented to the NCEP Director and other Senior Management quarterly

Developers submit estimated compute requirements for upgrades and they are mapped into holistic NCEP Production Suite view

WCOSS System Details: Phase 1 IBM iDataPlex System:

620 compute nodes

Phase 2 IBM iDataPlex System: 1080 compute nodes

Task Order 4 Cray System: 2048 compute nodes

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High Water Mark Charts (HWM) Total system utilization by model over the day Each set of nodes (P1,P2,TO4) has a unique HWM chart

because resources are not interchangeable Operational NCEP Production Suite comes up from the

bottom, test jobs drop down from the top Limitations:

Can only assign shared node usage to one application, resulting in some underreporting

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Production Machine

HRRR

GEFS

Pha

se 2

Pha

se 1HIRESW

HWRF (6 storms)

SREF CFS

RTOFS

HWRF (5 storms)

ECMWF-based Model Output Statistics (MOS)High-Resolution Window (HIRESW)

Short Range Ensemble Forecast System (SREF)Global Ensemble Forecast System(GEFS)NHC Guidance SuiteReal-Time Ocean Forecast System (RTOFS) GlobalCPC International Grids

AWC Graphical Turbulence GuidanceCommunity Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) modelExtra-Tropical Storm Surge (ETSS)

Climate Forecast System (CFS)

GFS-based MOS (Sandy project) and NAM-based MOS

Gridded Lamp

Global Wave Model

Near-shore Wave Prediction System (NWPS)

RTOFS Atlantic

FY15 Q4 ImplementationsIndicates Sandy Supplemental Project

Node Usage at end of FY2015 Quarter 4

GEFS Legacy

GEFS Legacy GEFS

SREF

HWRF

HIRESW

RTOFS

NWPS has stripe of 4 nodes

Pha

se 2

Pha

se 1

Space Weather Prediction Center(SWPC) Geospace Model North American Mesoscale (NAM) Forecast System Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) National Blend Rapid Refresh Model (RAP) National Ocean Service (NOS) Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) Global Wave Ensemble (GWES) NEMS GFS Aerosol Component (NGAC) NCEP-FNMOC Combined Wave Ensemble (NFCENS) North American Ensemble Forecast System (NAEFS) Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) Climate Calibrated Precipitation Analysis (CCPA)

FY16 Q1 Implementations

Indicates Sandy Supplemental Project

Node Usage at end of FY2016 Quarter 1

GEFS LegacyCFSWave Ensemble

SREF

GFSNAM

HWRF

NAMRR

HRRR

GDAS

GEFS

GEFS LEG

HIRES

NWPS has stripe of 4 nodes

Geospace has stripe of 6 nodes

Pha

se 2

Pha

se 1

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Global Forecast System (GFS)**GFS-based MOS** Probabilistic Extra-tropical Storm Surge (P-ETSS) and Extra-tropical Storm Surge (ETSS)Great Lakes Wave (GLW) Great Lakes Operational Forecast System (GLOFS)North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) NAM-based MOS RTOFS Global

FY16 Q2 Implementations

Indicates Sandy Supplemental Project**Moved from previous quarter

Node Usage at end of FY2016 Quarter 2

CFS

Task

Ord

er 4

Pha

se 2

Ph

ase

1

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Weather Research and Forecasting Hydrological Modeling Extension (WRF-Hydro)

Probabilistic Storm Surge (PSURGE)

Hurricane Storm Surge Operational Forecast System (HSSOFS)

Gridded LAMP

NAEFS

Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF)

FY16 Q3 Implementations*Initial list

Indicates Sandy Supplemental Project

Node Usage at end of FY2016 Quarter 3

CFSHWRF

WRF-HYDROHSSOFS

PSURGE

Task

Ord

er 4

Pha

se 2

Ph

ase

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