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Transportation Planning Overview And

Demand Forecasting Case Study

George Mason University

[CEIE 462/562] Dr. Mohan Venigalla

Guest Speaker: Mr. Kanti Srikanth

Feb. 18, 2008

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Planning Context

Types of plans System / Corridor / Project

Plan Duration Immediate / Short / Long

Purpose of plans Implementation / Strategy or Policy

Development Plan Content

Multi or Uni Modal / Framework / Targets /Design / Mitigation

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Types of Transportation Plans

Motivator: Mandatory / Funding / Coordination / Specific Need

Planning Level: Statewide

VDOT: 2025 State Highway Plan, VTRANS 2025 Sub-Regional

NoVA: Transaction 2030 / N VTA Six Year Plan / VDOT P&R Plan / VDOT Regional Bikeway & Trail Plan

Regional / Metropolitan Area wide NCRTPB: 2007 CLRP / FY 2008-2013 TIP

Local NoVA: Comprehensive Plans, Corridor Plans

Ex: Fairfax County Comprehensive Plan – Transportation Element

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Planning Case Study: Improvements to the Capital Beltway (I 495)

Type: EIS Duration: Short and Long term Purpose: Identify roadway improvements to address

congestion and enhance mobility in the corridor Plan Content: Purpose & Need; Current Conditions;

Forecast Demand; Forecast Operating conditions; Alternative solutions; Locally preferred alternative; Mitigation elements; Conceptual design.http://www.virginiadot.org/projects/hot_495.asp http://project1.parsons.com/capitalbeltway/docs/FinalEIS.pdf

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Planning Case Study: Improvements to the Capital Beltway (I 495) (continued)

Selected EIS Contents (FEIS document page numbers):

Study area characteristics: 47,49,51,95,96,97 Need for improvements: 52 – 54, 56 Land Use 57-59,134,135,137-139,144,151,153,157 Traffic Demand: 92-102, 104-106, 107-109 Alternatives: 62,64,65,68,73-81 Some of the Environmental Considerations: 132/206

Air Quality: 169,170,172,218 Noise: 178,184,228 Water: 190,256,258

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Focus: Travel Demand Modeling Trip Generation

Rates – Auto ownership, Income levels, HH size Trip Distribution

Housing / Employment locations Modal alternatives (SOV, HOV, Bus, Rail, Water)

Mode Split Congestion levels / travel time / costs

Traffic Assignment Operational mandates/constraints

Traffic and Revenue Estimates Terms of project financing

Planning Case Study: Improvements to the Capital Beltway (I 495) (continued)

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THANKS

Kanti Srikanth

Regional Transportation & Air Quality Liaison

VDOT-NoVA District

Kanathur.Srikanth@VDOT.Virginia.Gov

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Types of Plans: Selected Resourcese Statewide

VDOT: 2025 State Highway Plan, VTRANS 2025 http://virginiadot.org/projects/resources/Virginia2025StateHighwayPlanTechReport.pdf

& NoVA Map: http://virginiadot.org/projects/resources/nova.pdf http://www.vtrans.org/

Sub-Regional NoVA: Transaction 2030 / NVTA 6 Year Plan / VDOT P&R Plan / VDOT Bike & Trail Plan http://www.thenovaauthority.org/transpublications.html http://www.thenovaauthority.org/PDFs/Press%20Releases/1%2011%2008%20six%20year%2

0plan%20approval%20and%20Mason%20appointment%20PRESS%20RELEASE.pdf

http://virginiadot.org/projects/northernvirginia/northern_virginia_park-and-ride_feasibility.asp http://www.fhiplan.com/novabike/

Regional / Metropolitan Area wide NCRTPB: 2007 CLRP / FY 2008-2013 TIP http://www.mwcog.org/clrp/default.asp http://www.mwcog.org/clrp/projects/tip/fy0813.asp

Local NoVA: Comprehensive Plans, Corridor Plans Ex: Fairfax County: Plan Document: http://www.fairfaxcounty.gov/dpz/comprehensiveplan/

and Transportation Map: http://www.fairfaxcounty.gov/fcdot/pdf/transplan/tpm2006v3.2.pdf