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1
Income Distribution and Poverty
• The Lorenz curve
• The Gini coefficient
• Distribution of income and wealth in the U.S.
• Poverty threshold (level)
Questions:
• What explains income inequality?
• What can (should) be done, if anything?
2
Income Distribution and PovertyPerson’s income related to primary source of income.
• If property income:
profits(entrepreneurship)
interest (capital)
rent (land)
tendency to be at the top of the distribution
• If labor income:
wages
tendency to be at the bottom of the distribution
3
Measuring Income Distribution
Two ways to measure an economy’s income distribution:
The Lorenz curve.
The Gini coefficient.
4
LORENZ
CURVES FOR THE
COMMUNITIES
OF WASHTENAU, SPRINGFIELD, AND HOLMES
5
Lorenz curve
Shows the percentage of total income that a specific part of the population -- typically represented by quintiles, ranging from the poorest to the richest -- receives.
The percentage of population is measured along the horizontal axis and the percentage of total income is measured along the vertical axis.
Perfect income equality (diagonal)
When each percent of the population receives an equal percent of the economy’s total income.
Perfect income inequality (2 sides of right angle)
One person receives all of the income.
6
LORENZ CURVES
SWEDEN, FRANCE, BRAZIL, AND THE UNITED STATES
7
Gini coefficient
A numerical measure of the degree of income inequality in an economy.
The ratio of the two areas produced by the Lorenz curve.
G = A/(A+B)
Area A lies between the diagonal and the economy’s Lorenz curve.
Area B lies below the economy’s Lorenz curve.
0: perfect equality
1: perfect inequality
8
THE GINI COEFFICIENT
G = A/(A+B)
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EXHIBIT 4 SHARE OF AGGREGATE INCOME RECEIVED BY HOUSEHOLDS, BY QUINTILE AND TOP 5 PERCENT, AND GINI COEFFICIENT: 1970–99
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Money Income in the United States: 1995, Current Population Reports, P60-193 (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1996); and U.S. Bureau of the Census, Money Income in the United States: 1999, Current Population Reports, P60-220 (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1999).
0: perfect equality 1: perfect inequality
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EXHIBIT 5 PERCENTAGE CHANGE IN HOUSEHOLD GINI COEFFICIENT: 1967–99
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Survey, March 1999.
11
Possible Causes of Growing Income Inequality
Decrease in minimum wage (in real value).
Decrease in union membership.
Changes in tax laws favoring the wealth.
Declining resources to public education.
“Deindustrialization” (closing down manufacturing plants)
“Globalization.”
Stock market “boom” (1980-2000) [Related to unequal distribution of wealth]
12
Wealth
Accumulated assets owned (financial and physical) by individuals, including inherited assets.
Net wealth (net worth) tends to be far more unevenly distributed than income.
13
EXHIBIT 8 DISTRIBUTION OF NET WEALTH OF U.S. FAMILIES (1774 AND 1973)
Source: Jones, A. H., Wealth of a Nation to Be—The American Colonies on the Eve of Revolution (New York: Columbia University Press, 1980); and Greenwood, D., “An Estimation of U.S. Family Wealth and Its Distribution from Macro Data, 1973,” The Review of Income and Wealth, Series 29, I, March 1983, pp. 23–44.
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Is There an Optimal Income Distribution? The Case for Equality
Good fortune and disaster--distributed randomly.
Income inequality, then, has no more justification than a lottery result.
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Is There an Optimal Income Distribution? The Case for Equality
Economist A.P. Lerner, made the case for equality based on the argument that equality produces the greatest welfare for the greatest number of people.
16
The Case for Inequality
Other economists argue for
income inequality:
productive contribution= economic reward
Without the link between reward (income) and labor, productive people would lack the incentive to work.
17
Supply-Side Economics: “Trickle-Down Theory”
Income inequality
economic growth.
Because….The rich tend to do the country’s saving + investing.
The richer the rich
the greater the saving and investment
higher the rate of growth.
“A rising tide lifts all boats.”
• Problems in using taxes to redistribute incomes
– economic costs of redistribution
• distortionary effects of taxes
• deadweight welfare loss of taxes
• disincentives
TAXESTAXES
fig
0
To
tal t
ax
reve
nu
e
Average tax rate (%)
100
A Laffer curve
fig
0
To
tal t
ax
reve
nu
e
Average tax rate (%)
100
R max.
t1
A Laffer curveA Laffer curve
fig
Percentage shares of income before and after taxby decile group of households: 2000/1
Percentage shares of income before and after taxby decile group of households: 2000/1
% o
f in
com
e
Source: Economic Trends (ONS, April 2002)
15.712.9
11.19.0
7.66.0
4.7 3.82.5
25.8
15.212.6
10.9
7.86.3 5.2 4.2
2.8
26.8
9.1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Top 10% 11 to 20 21 to 30 31 to 40 41 to 50 51 to 60 61 to 70 71 to 80 81 to 90 Bottom10%
Income before tax
Income after tax
22
EXHIBIT 6 INCOME DISTRIBUTION IN THE MID-1980s, SELECTED COUNTRIES, BY QUINTILE
Source: European Economy: 1996 Broad Economic Policy Guidelines, no. 62 (Brussels, 1996), and World Development Report, 1996 (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 1996).
23
EXHIBIT 7 INCOME DISTRIBUTION IN LESS-DEVELOPED ECONOMIES, BY QUINTILE
Source: World Development Report, 1996 (Washington, D.C.: World Bank, 1996). The footnote to the table in the report reads: “These estimates should be treated with caution.”
fig0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Bar staff
Sales assistants
Clerks
Factory lineworkers
Nurses
Secondary teachers
Personnel managers
Medical practioners
Financial managers
Women's earnings
Men's earnings
Average gross weekly earnings ofUK full-time adult employees: 2001Average gross weekly earnings ofUK full-time adult employees: 2001
• The causes of inequality– inequality of wealth– differences in workers’
• ability; qualifications• attitudes• hours worked• economic power• qualifications
– differences in demand for goods– differences in household composition– discrimination– degree of government support– unemployment
• Government/societal attitudes towards inequality
INEQUALITY AND POVERTYINEQUALITY AND POVERTY
26
Benefits to reduce inequality/poverty
• “safety-net” temporary support
• means-tested vs universal benefitsCash assistance
Transfer payments: Government assistance in the form of direct income.
In-kind assistanceGovernment assistance in the form of goods and services, such as healthcare, education, food stamps.
fig
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000B
elg
ium
Den
mar
k
Fra
nce
Ger
man
y
Gre
ece
Irel
and
Italy
Net
her
lan
ds
Po
rtu
gal
Sp
ain
Sw
eden U
K
EU
15
1999
Social protection benefits in variousEuropean countries: (a) €per headSocial protection benefits in variousEuropean countries: (a) €per head
Source: Eurostat, 2002
Eu
ro p
er h
ead
28
CASH AND NONCASH BENEFITS FOR PERSONS WITH LIMITED INCOME: USA 1996
Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, 1999 (Washington, D.C.: Department of Commerce, 1999), p. 389.
29
EXHIBIT 15 POPULATION BELOW 50 PERCENT OF MEDIAN INCOME (LATEST OECD DATA)
Source: OECD Economic Surveys, Germany, 1996 (Paris: OECD, 1996), P. 90.
30
Exh. 15: Population Below 50 Percent of Median Income (Latest OECD Data)
Has government spending to assist the poor been effective at raising families out of poverty?
• In the U.S. the effects of low-income assistance programs seem barely perceptible.
• While some countries have seen the numbers of poor drop by half, the US number have dropped by less than 1 percent.
TAXES AND BENEFITS
• The problem of the poverty trap– an argument for universal benefits
– problems with universal benefits
• The negative income tax system