1 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 24 November 2016 15 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 ¢â‚¬â€œ24

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  • 1 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

  • 2 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

  • 3 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    http://deathclock.com/

  • 4 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    How I might die as I age…

    http://flowingdata.com/2016/01/19/how-you-will-die/

  • 5 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

  • 6 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    http://deathclock.com/

  • 7 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    The 25 Most Likely Ways You Will

    Die…

    1. Chuck Norris (disclaimer!)

    2. Heart disease (1 in 5)

    3. Cancer (1 in 7)

    4. Stroke (1 in 23)

    5. Accidental Injury (1 in 36)

    6. Motor Vehicle Accident (1-in-100)

    7. Intentional Self-harm (1-in-121)

    8. Falling Down (1-in-246)

    9. Assault by Firearm (1-in-325)

    10. Fire or Smoke (1-in-1,116)

    11. Natural Forces (1-in-3,357)

    12. Bicycle Accident (1-in-4,717)

    13. Electrocution (1-in-5,000)

    14. Drowning (1-in-8,942) http://list25.com/the-25-most-likely-ways-you-will-die/1/

    15. Air Travel Accident (1-in-20,000)

    16. Flood (1-in-30,000)

    17. Legal Execution (1-in-58,618)

    18. Tornado (1-in-60,000)

    19. Lightning Strike (1-in-83,930)

    20. Snake, Bee or other Venomous Bite or

    Sting (1-in-100,000)

    21. Earthquake (1 in 131,890)

    22. Dog Attack (1 in 147,717)

    23. Asteroid Impact (1 in 500,000)

    24. Tsunami (1 in 500,000)

    25. Fireworks Discharge (1 in 615,488)

    http://list25.com/the-25-most-likely-ways-you-will-die/1/

  • 8 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    Mortality from cardiovascular

    diseases has

    decreased significantly in most

    countries over the last

    20 years – further

    improvements?

    OECD (2013), “Mortality from cardiovascular diseases”, in Health at a Glance 2013: OECD

    Indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/health_glance-2013-7-en

    Ischemic heart disease

  • 9 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    Mortality from cardiovascular

    diseases has

    decreased significantly in most

    countries over the last

    20 years – further

    improvements?

    OECD (2013), “Mortality from cardiovascular diseases”, in Health at a Glance 2013: OECD

    Indicators, OECD Publishing, Paris. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/health_glance-2013-7-en

    Cerebrovascular disease

  • 10 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    I’M GONNA LIVE FOREVER

    Raymond Bennett

    No way!

  • 11 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    Why do I think I am going to live

    forever???

    http://aging.healthyfoodscience.com/life-expectancy-history/

  • 12 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    Why do I think I am going to live

    forever???

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-05-14/

  • 13 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    Why do I think I am going to live

    forever???

  • 14 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    Why do I think I am going to live

    forever???

  • 15 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    The 25 Most Likely Ways You Will

    Die…

    1. Chuck Norris (disclaimer!)

    2. Heart disease (1 in 5)

    3. Cancer (1 in 7)

    4. Stroke (1 in 23)

    5. Accidental Injury (1 in 36)

    6. Motor Vehicle Accident (1-in-100)

    7. Intentional Self-harm (1-in-121)

    8. Falling Down (1-in-246)

    9. Assault by Firearm (1-in-325)

    10. Fire or Smoke (1-in-1,116)

    11. Natural Forces (1-in-3,357)

    12. Bicycle Accident (1-in-4,717)

    13. Electrocution (1-in-5,000)

    14. Drowning (1-in-8,942) http://list25.com/the-25-most-likely-ways-you-will-die/1/

    15. Air Travel Accident (1-in-20,000)

    16. Flood (1-in-30,000)

    17. Legal Execution (1-in-58,618)

    18. Tornado (1-in-60,000)

    19. Lightning Strike (1-in-83,930)

    20. Snake, Bee or other Venomous Bite or

    Sting (1-in-100,000)

    21. Earthquake (1 in 131,890)

    22. Dog Attack (1 in 147,717)

    23. Asteroid Impact (1 in 500,000)

    24. Tsunami (1 in 500,000)

    25. Fireworks Discharge (1 in 615,488)

    http://list25.com/the-25-most-likely-ways-you-will-die/1/

  • 16 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    Cancer: curable in our lifetime

    with backing of US Government?

    “For the loved ones we’ve all lost, for the family

    we can still save, let’s make America the

    country that cures cancer once and for all.”

    President Obama, State of the Union address

    on January 12th, 2016

  • 17 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    http://www.rosalindonline.com/

    Cancer: analytic techniques used to customise

    treatments to genetic profile of patients?

  • 18 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    Cancer: genetic treatments

    “A man in China was injected with modified immune

    cells which had been engineered to fight his lung cancer. Larger trials are scheduled to take place next

    year in the US and Beijing, which scientists say could open up a new era of genetic medicine.”

    “The technique used is called Crispr, which works like tiny molecular scissors snipping away genetic code and

    replacing it with new instructions to build better cells.”

    “Treating cancer is one of the uses but also potentially combating auto-immune type diseases including things like arthritis although a lot more work will be needed to

    bring that to fruition.”

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/2016/11/20/new-era-of-cut-and-paste-humans-close-as-man- injected-with-genet/

  • 19 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    The Berlin patient… cured of HIV?

    “To this date, Brown, no longer

    on antiretroviral drugs, remains

    the only person on Earth to have

    been functionally cured of an

    otherwise incurable disease.”

    http://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2014/09/the-berlin-patient-and-the-mysterious-cure-for-hiv/380895/

  • 20 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    Virus killer?

    http://www-03.ibm.com/press/us/en/pressrelease/49706.wss

    “The short-term potential could be for applications such as an anti-viral wipe or detergent, which would require a small amount of the macromolecule dispersed in water to potentially neutralize an entire room infected with Ebola, for example. Potential longer-term

    applications may include the development of a new mode of vaccination that could help prevent a whole category of viral infections.”

    http://secondnexus.com/technology-and-innovation/molecule-could-destroy-all- viruses/?utm_content=inf_10_1164_2&tse_id=INF_23ef952f02c54a1ab7cfb2676f185388

  • 21 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    Spinal cord repair

    http://www.timeslive.co.za/scitech/2016/11/04/Zebrafish-offers-hope-for-spinal-cord- repair-US-study

    "This is one of nature's most remarkable feats of regeneration," said the study's senior investigator Kenneth Poss, a professor of cell biology at Duke University.”

    “When the severed spinal cord of the zebrafish undergoes regeneration, a bridge forms. Nerve cells follow and within eight weeks new nerve tissue has plugged the gap, allowing the fish to reverse their

    paralysis completely, the Poss team reported.”

  • 22 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    Anti-aging research

    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/12/04/the- year-we-decided-to-live-forever.html

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/lifestyle/news/article.cfm?c_ id=6&objectid=11553026

    http://www.sciencealert.com/scientists-claim-they-ve- completed-the-first-successful-gene-therapy-against- human-ageing

    “Telomeres are the clock of aging, so the ability to add them

    through activation of the telomerase gene could theoretically

    push health spans beyond the maximum – or Hayflick limit –

    which is about 120 years.”

    Patrick Cox, Tech Digest, 25 April 2016

  • 23 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    “Ira Pastor, chief executive of Bioquark Inc said: ‘This represents the first trial of its kind and another step towards the eventual reversal of death in our lifetime. We hope to see results within the first two to three months.’” http://www.timeslive.co.za/thetimes/2016/05/04/Scientists-get-green-light-

    to-raise-the-dead

    http://www.timeslive.co.za/thetimes/2016/05/04/Scientists-get-green-light-to-raise-the-dead

  • 24 Actuarial Society 2016 Convention 23 – 24 November 2016

    http://coolmaterial.com/roundup/the-10-