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Total Pages: 26 Copyright © 2001-2016 FactSet CallStreet, LLC
01-Nov-2016
Molson Coors Brewing Co. (TAP)
Q3 2016 Earnings Call
Molson Coors Brewing Co. (TAP) Q3 2016 Earnings Call
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CORPORATE PARTICIPANTS
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co.
Mauricio Restrepo Pinto Chief Financial Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Co.
Stewart F. Glendinning President & Chief Executive Officer, Molson Coors International LP
David Dunnewald Vice President-Investor Relations, Molson Coors Brewing Co.
Gavin Hattersley Chief Executive Officer, MillerCoors LLC
Kandy Anand Chief Growth Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Company
................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
OTHER PARTICIPANTS
Wendy C. Nicholson Analyst, Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker)
Vivien Azer Analyst, Cowen & Co. LLC
Judy E. Hong Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co.
Pablo Zuanic Analyst, Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP
Mark Swartzberg Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
Bryan D. Spillane Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Robert Ottenstein Analyst, Evercore ISI
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MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION SECTION
Operator: Good day and welcome to the Molson Coors Brewing Company Third Quarter 2016 Earnings
Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today's presentation,
there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions]
Before we begin, I would like to paraphrase the company's Safe Harbor language. Some of the discussion today
may include forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from what the company projects
today, so please refer to its most recent 10-K and 10-Q filings for a more complete description of factors that
could affect these projections.
The company does not undertake to publicly update forward-looking statements whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements,
which speak only as of the date they are made.
Regarding any non-U.S. GAAP measures that may be discussed during the call and from time-to-time by the
company's executives in discussing the company's performance, please visit the company's website,
www.molsoncoors.com and click on the Financial Reporting tab of the Investor Relations page for a reconciliation
of these measures to the nearest U.S. GAAP results.
Also, unless otherwise indicated, all financial results the company discusses are versus the comparable prior-year
period and in U.S. dollars.
Now, I would like to turn the call over to Mark Hunter, President and CEO of Molson Coors. You may begin, sir. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co.
Thank you, Chad, and hello and welcome everybody to the Molson Coors earnings call and many thanks for
joining us today. With me on the call this morning from Molson Coors we have Mauricio Restrepo, our Global
CFO; Gavin Hattersley, our CEO of our U.S. business; Fred Landtmeters, the CEO of our Canada business;
Simon Cox, the CEO of our Europe business; and Stewart Glendinning, the CEO of our International business;
along with Sam Walker, our Global Chief Legal Officer; and Dave Dunnewald, our VP of Investor Relations.
Today, Mauricio and I will split our call into two parts. First, we will take you through our third quarter 2016 results
to, in essence, close out Molson Coors Brewing Company as it has been structured for the past several years.
Then, we'll turn our attention to our recently completed MillerCoors transaction and three new or updated financial
reporting metrics, along with some perspective for the fourth quarter of this year.
In the third quarter, we continued to focus on our First Choice ambition and on building a stronger, broader and
more premium brand portfolio, underpinned by incremental sales and marketing investment, as we have
discussed all year. Business highlights for the quarter and year-to-date included increased net sales revenue per
hectoliter on a constant-currency basis in all of our businesses for the quarter and year-to-date.
We increased investments in our brands globally. Coors Light and Miller Lite again gained share in the U.S.
premium light segment for the quarter, including the highest segment share gain in three years for Coors Light.
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We saw 1.2% global volume growth for Coors Light on a year-to-date basis, with growth of more than 14%
outside of North America.
We had fast-growing innovations in key markets, including Henry's Hard Soda in the U.S. and Mad Jack in
Canada. And we saw global growth year-to-date in our Above Premium portfolio through, for example, Doom Bar
and other Sharp's craft brands in the UK, Creemore Springs and Belgian Moon in Canada, and our four newly-
acquired brewers in the U.S. We also saw strong growth by Staropramen across Europe outside of its home
market, and we also additionally saw Cider volume increases with Rekorderlig in Europe and S trongbow in
Canada.
Overall, we continued to strengthen our business through improvements to our sales execution and revenue
management capabilities, increased efficiency of our operations, and implementation of common global systems.
Regional highlights for the third quarter and year-to-date are as follows. In U.S., overall sales-to-retail volume
decreased 4% for the quarter and 2.5% year-to-date on a trading-day-adjusted basis, driven primarily by our
below premium and premium light brands.
Coors Light and Miller Lite again gained segment market share, but STRs declined, reflecting industry trends.
Coors Banquet continues to grow STR volume on segment share. And in the higher margin Above Premium
segment, Henry's continues to be the number one Hard Soda franchise.
Also, our Saint Archer, Terrapin, Hop Valley and Revolver businesses have significantly expanded our craft
offering for consumers and customers. Domestic net sales revenue per hectoliter grew 1.6% for the quarter and
1.2% year-to-date, as a result of favorable net pricing and positive sales mix.
On the bottom line, U.S. segment underlying equity income increased 9% in the third quarter, driven primarily by
lower cost of goods sold, higher net pricing and positive sales mix. Year-to-date, underlying equity income
increased 9.3%, primarily due to the factors mentioned above, as well as a $12.3 million anticipated refund of
federal excise tax paid on imports, which we discussed on our last earnings call.
In Canada, net sales per hectoliter in local currency increased 0.6%, driven by growth in our Above Premium
brands. This NSR increase reflected headline price increases and positive brand mix, but with higher levels of
spend back as we ensured our brands were competitive on a market-by-market basis.
Our performance in the Above Premium segment continued to be strong, as we saw growth in both our owned
brands and our partner brands. Coors Banquet, Mad Jack and Belgian Moon all continued to deliver strong
growth and our craft brands continued to grow share of the total beer category. The mainstream segment
continued to face market pressure, but our brand health scores for Coors Light and Molson Canadian have
continued to improve month-over-month, and our sales execution input measures are similarly improving.
Our COGS per hectoliter increased 3.5% in local currency with most of the increase being driven by volume
deleverage and mix shift to higher-cost products. Our cost savings program continued to be strong and fully offset
the impact of inflation and other cost increases in the quarter. On the bottom-line, underlying pre-tax income
declined by $15.9 million in the third quarter, driven by lower volume, increased COGS, higher marketing
investments, and foreign exchange impacts of U.S. dollar based supplier contracts.
Europe net sales decreased 0.6% in local currency for the third quarter, driven by 1.4% lower volume due to
weaker demand versus strong sales last year across much of the region, along with some trade inventory
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overhang from the Euro 2016 Football or Soccer Championships in the second quarter this year. Nonetheless, we
held our share position in the region and our continued portfolio premiumization and mix management drove a
1.2% increase in net sales revenue per hectoliter in local currency.
In the quarter, we achieved strong growth by Coors Light, Staropramen outside of the Czech Republic and the
craft portfolios, including Blue Moon, Doom Bar and the other Sharp's brands, as well as Rekorderlig Cider.
Underlying pre-tax income was lower in the quarter due to higher brand amortization expenses, lower net pension
benefit and unfavorable foreign currency movements, especially related to the depreciation of the British pound.
Year-to-date, the benefit of higher net sales and NSR per hectoliter in local currency, volume and market share in
Europe were more than offset by unfavorable foreign currency movements, higher brand amortization expense,
lower pension benefit and the termination of the Heineken contract brewing arrangements in the UK.
Our International business continues to drive Coors Light momentum with year-to-date volume for this brand up
mid-single digits, led by growth in Latin America and Australia. Excluding the impacts of total alcohol prohibition in
Bihar, India and the transfer of the Staropramen UK business to our Europe segment, our year-to-date underlying
pre-tax performance has significantly improved versus last year, driven by volume growth in the remaining
international markets.
Now, I'll turn it over to Mauricio to give third quarter financial highlights and new performance metrics. Mauricio? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mauricio Restrepo Pinto Chief Financial Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Co.
Thank you, Mark, and hello everybody. As a reminder, all of the results that I will be discussing are in U.S. dollars,
unless otherwise noted. So our third quarter and year-to-date financial headlines are as follows. Net sales were
down approximately 7% in U.S. dollars in the third quarter and about 5% year-to-date, primarily due to currency
movements, especially in Europe, as well as lower worldwide volume.
On a constant-currency basis, net sales decreased 2.2% in the third quarter and were virtually unchanged year-
to-date versus the same periods last year.
Our net sales per hectoliter in constant currency increased 1.3% in the quarter and 0.9% year-to-date, due to
positive mix. On a U.S. GAAP basis, we reported third quarter after tax income from continuing operations
attributable to Molson Coors of $202.5 million, up from $13.7 million a year ago. This increase was primarily
driven by cycling $275 million of impairment charges recorded for certain Europe brands last year. On a year-to-
date basis, U.S. GAAP after tax income increased 67.5% to $539.8 million, driven by brand impairment charges
last year and a gain on the sale of our Vancouver brewery earlier this year.
Third quarter underlying after-tax income decreased 14.3% to $222.7 million, or $1.03 per diluted share, driven by
lower worldwide volume, a higher underlying tax rate and higher brand investments globally, which were partially
offset by positive mix and higher underlying U.S. equity income.
Year-to-date underlying after tax income decreased 5.5% to $576.4 million, driven by the same factors as in the
quarter, along with negative foreign currency movements. Underlying pre-tax income declined 6.2% for the third
quarter and 1.3% year-to-date. Underlying EBITDA in the quarter was $403.1 million, 4.1% lower than a year ago
and our year-to-date underlying EBITDA declined 0.8%.
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Underlying free cash flow in the first three quarters of 2016 was $469.4 million. This represents a decrease of
$24.9 million from the prior year, primarily driven by lower underlying after-tax income and lower distributions from
MillerCoors.
Total debt at the end of the third quarter was $9.9 billion. Cash and cash equivalents totaled slightly less than $10
billion, resulting in a net cash position of $94 million, as we prepared to close the MillerCoors transaction on
October 11. Please see the earnings release we distributed earlier this morning for a detailed review of our
business unit financial results in the quarter. Also, please see the Investor Relations page of our website this
morning for updated 2015 full-year and 2016 year-to-date pro forma financial statements that reflect our
preliminary purchase accounting for the transaction.
Now, looking forward to the remainder of 2016, following are some financial factors to consider for the fourth
quarter. Our Europe business results will continue to reflect lower net pension benefit. Total alcohol prohibition in
Bihar has presented a headwind in our International business since its enactment in April this year and we will
continue to address this within our business.
And finally, foreign currency translation, which at current exchange rates would be a headwind of approximately
$8 million to our underlying pre-tax results in the fourth quarter this year, with all of the impact in Europe. Given
the volatility of our key foreign currencies, particularly the British pound, it is important to watch these rates
closely.
Now, regarding 2016 guidance, all of the following metrics exclude any effects of the MillerCoors and Miller global
brands transaction. For the full year, we continue to expect cash contributions to our defined benefit pension
plans to be in the range of $45 million to $65 million in 2016, and pension expense of approximately $17 million,
including our 42% of MillerCoors contributions and expense.
Underlying capital spending of approximately $220 million, which excludes capital this year related to the
construction of our new brewery in British Columbia, which we expect to be largely funded by the proceeds from
the sale of our Vancouver brewery earlier this year. MG&A expense in corporate of approx imately $120 million on
an underlying basis, which excludes expenses related to the MillerCoors transaction.
Consolidated net interest expense of approximately $110 million on an underlying basis, which excludes
transaction-related interest expense and income, an underlying effective tax rate in the range of 18% to 22%
assuming no further changes in tax laws, settlement of tax audits, excess tax deductions for share-based
compensation or adjustments to our uncertain tax positions.
As far as our cost outlook is concerned, we continue to expect full-year 2016 cost of goods sold per hectoliter in
Canada and Europe to increase at a low-single digit rate in local currency, and we expect a low-single digit
decrease in MillerCoors and a double-digit increase in International versus prior year. As we first mentioned
several months ago, with the completion of the MillerCoors transaction, we are no longer providing the most
recent volume trends for each of our businesses.
Earlier this year, we told you that we would share more specifics regarding three new performance metrics with
you once the transaction closed. These metrics are transaction-adjusted EPS and all-in multi-year cost savings
target, and an early view of our combined company underlying free cash flow target for 2017.
So taking these in order, transaction-adjusted EPS is a new non-GAAP performance measure we are introducing
to provide enhanced visibility to the performance and value of our company post transaction. To calculate this
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measure, we start with underlying book EPS, a non-GAAP measure, and then add back after-tax book
amortization that is directly related to the transaction, and we then add the transaction-related cash tax benefits.
Based on our latest pro forma financial statements, which we will post on our website this morning, our 2015 pro
forma transaction-adjusted EPS was $6.11 per diluted share on an underlying basis. This calculation includes
transaction-related after-tax book amortization of approximately $42 million and cash tax benefi ts of $275 million
per year, but it does not include any pre-tax income related to the Miller global brands nor any benefit from deal
synergies. Because the routes to market and supply chain structures for many of the Miller global brands markets
are still being developed, the cost and margin structure for these businesses are also work -in-progress. As a
result, we have decided to exclude the Miller global brands from our pro forma results for periods prior to the
close of the transaction.
For the first three quarters of 2016, pro forma transaction-adjusted EPS was $5.43 per diluted share, an increase
of 4% versus $5.22 per diluted share for the first three quarters of 2015.
Going on to our second metric, cost savings over the next three years, we have set an all-in target of $550 million,
which will be made up of ongoing cost savings in all of our businesses, as well as transaction-related synergies,
all of which will be delivered by the third full year of our combined company, which is 2019. Approximately half of
this three-year cost savings target is synergies, which represents a synergy goal that is nearly 40% larger and
25% faster than the original $200 million synergies target over four years that we shared with you when we
announced the transaction nearly a year ago.
We expect the synergies delivery to be weighted toward years two and three, while the other cost savings will be
weighted towards years one and two of the program. As we have been discussing for the past year, we expect
these cost savings to come primarily from the areas of global procurement and shared services, along with North
American supply chain, so they will primarily benefit the cost of goods sold line. As part of the planning process
for the past year, we have also identified a moderate amount of savings from information systems.
Please note that we do not plan to provide additional specifics regarding annual phasing of the cost savings or a
detailed breakout of transaction-related synergies versus other cost savings.
Related to this cost savings goal, we anticipate incurring approximately $350 million of one-time incremental cash
costs over three years to capture synergies, about evenly split between incremental capital spending and cash
operating expense, primarily in the first two years of the program.
Note that the incremental CapEx would be on top of our recent all-in CapEx run rate of approximately $650 million
to $700 million, plus or minus 10%, including 100% of MillerCoors CapEx in recent years. With a base CapEx
spend of approximately $2.1 billion over the past three years, the CapEx needed to capture synergies represents
an increment of less than 10% to our current run rate. We will continue to apply our PACC model to these and all
other significant potential capital and cash deployment decisions to help ensure that they are aligned with our
priorities.
Finally, as always, when these cost savings initiatives are completed in three years, we will continue to pursue
cost reductions across our business in order to provide resources to help drive our top line, bottom-line and
shareholder value.
Finally, to help you model our business, we also want to share our preliminary underlying free cash flow target for
2017, which is $1.1 billion, plus or minus 10%. Note that this target includes the impact of incremental interest
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expense, U.S. tax expense and synergies-related CapEx in 2017, as well as the cash tax benefits resulting from
the transaction. As in the past, we plan to report back to you each year regarding how we are performing against
these targets.
So at this point, I'll turn it back over to Mark for highlights of the transaction, business outlook and Q&A. Mark? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co.
Thanks, Mauricio. This clearly is a historic time in the evolution of Molson Coors. Three weeks ago, we completed
our acquisition of the remaining 58% stake in the MillerCoors joint venture, along with the Miller Global brand
portfolio. We emerge as the world's third largest brewer, bringing together Molson Coors and MillerCoors into a
bigger, better organization.
As one company with an expanded portfolio of iconic brands, we intend to leverage our increased scale,
resources, synergies and combined commercial experience to accelerate our First Choice agenda and deliver
long-term shareholder value. Because of this game-changing transaction, Molson Coors now controls 100% of
the highly-strategic and attractive U.S. business. And we'll accelerate new growth opportunities in emerging and
developed beer markets globally through the Miller brand rights.
This transaction also improves our operating efficiency and go-to-market strategy by step-changing our
commercial capability on a truly-global scale. Financially, this is a compelling combination based on a very
attractive price, planned operational synergies, substantial cash tax benefits, and the attractive financial package
that we put in place earlier this year.
As a reminder, for $12 billion of cash, we have purchased the remaining 58% of the MillerCoors joint venture that
we didn't already own. Full ownership of the Miller brands, which outside of the U.S. will be managed in more than
50 countries by our Molson Coors International, Molson Coors Canada and Molson Coors Europe businesses.
Perpetual royalty-free U.S. licenses for the existing SABMiller import and licensed brands, including Peroni,
Pilsner Urquell, Foster's, Grolsch and Redd's, for which MillerCoors most recently paid royalties of approximately
$16 million in 2015.
And finally, because this is an asset transaction for U.S. tax purposes, we will receive immediate cash tax benefits
that we now estimate will exceed $275 million annually for the next 15 years. This represents an increase from
our previous estimate of more than $250 million per year, due to the detailed tax diligence work that we've
completed during the past year.
The purchase price implies a headline enterprise value multiple of 11.5 times 2015 combined underlying EBITDA,
but including the present value of the cash tax benefits, the purchase multiple drops to an effective 9.2 times.
These tax benefits are common with this type of asset transaction, and they carry a high degree of certainty.
As such, we believe this is the most appropriate way to value this combination. This represents a very attractive
purchase multiple, even though it does not include the anticipated benefit of our transaction-related synergies. We
expect this combination to be accretive to underlying diluted EPS and transaction-adjusted EPS in the first full
year of operations before synergies, and we expect it to meet our PACC hurdle rates in year one, which is
consistent with our disciplined use-of-cash framework.
Now, looking forward as a combined company, our teams are focused on driving our First Choice agenda,
finishing the year with strong performance in each of our businesses and hitting the ground running on integration.
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You've heard us speak about these teams in the past, but each of our businesses will continue to focus on
transforming our portfolio to the Above Premium segment, introducing value-driving innovation, integrating the
Miller brands, and lifting and shifting best practices and talent across our global organization.
To provide just a few examples by business; in the U.S. Tenth and Blake will focus on the development and
integration of these new craft partners, Saint Archer, Terrapin, Hop Valley and Revolver. In FMBs, Henry's will
add a new Hard Grape flavor to its line of Hard Sodas, while introducing a new line of Hard Sparkling waters to
play in the growing alcoholic sparkling water category. Henry's Hard Sparkling will be launched nationally in
March with Lemon Lime and Passion Fruit flavors. Redd's and Blue Moon Belgian White will introduce new
Aluminum Pint packaging in the second quarter of 2017.
Over the past few months, we've built a strategy that elevates value across our economy portfolio. For example
Miller High Life recently announced plans to reintroduce new advertising creative that brings back it's classic
jingle, if you've got the time, we've got the beer, while also revamping its packaging to further play up its unique
heritage.
Elsewhere across the economy portfolio, Hamm's will be reintroduced nationally at an opening price point, and
Milwaukee's Best is getting a total packaging update to give it a fresh new look. And beginning early in 2017, we
will fully revamp Keystone Light, including all-new packaging and advertising. For innovation in the value
category, we are introducing Spiked Watermelon to the Steel Reserve brand family, and we are increasing the
size of our PET bottle singles from 40 ounces to 42 ounces, for the same price, again to deliver value to our
consumers and customers.
In Canada, our team is integrating the Miller brands back into our portfolio, and we'll double down on Above
Premium MGD. We are also assessing the opportunities for Miller High Life and other U.S. brands that we can lift
and shift to the Canada market. Mad Jack is performing well in the FMB space, and we will consider other
innovative options that will drive value for our Canada consumers and customers.
In Europe, we now have the Miller brands in the UK and Ireland, and this business is also preparing to begin
managing the International license and export business in the region starting on January 1. This will allow us to
drive Staropramen, Carling, and other lead brands with fully-aligned strategies across Europe.
We'll also continue to build out our craft portfolio, including further expansion of Blue Moon across the region. Our
International business is well on its way to full integration of the Miller Global brands into our portfolio, and we're
leveraging a new footprint that complements our growth strategy in emerging markets. For example, in Panama
and Honduras, where our partners have already embraced Coors Light, we are ready to accelerate growth with
the addition of the Miller brands.
The International team has also begun the planning process for transitioning Puerto Rico over from MillerCoors
on January 1. Going forward, the Coors and Miller brands will be the priority brands for our International business.
To summarize, we are delighted to have completed the MillerCoors transaction, which is a compelling strategic
and financial opportunity for our company and our shareholders that catapults Molson and Coors to the next level.
And this combination fits into our key priorities in three specific areas.
Firstly, in brand-led growth, the cash tax benefits and cost savings made possible by this transaction will provide
resources that we can invest in accelerating the transformation at the frontend of our business through, for
example, investing behind our core brands across all of our geographies, premiumising our portfolio and engaging
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with consumers in new ways, including cross-border exchange of category-changing innovation, expanding the
depth and reach of our international brands in fast-growing markets, including securing a certain and aligned
future for the Miller brands globally, and finally leveraging our shared commercial excellence capability through
extraordinary brand building, world-class insights, digital leadership and unrivalled customer excellence.
Secondly, this transformation of our company offers unique opportunities for us to drive cash generation through
substantial tax benefits, cost synergies, cross-border working capital improvements and disciplined use of our
PACC model across the combined company.
We expect all of these benefits to provide strong free cash flow and allow us to quickly pay down the acquisition
debt and maintain our commitment to investment-grade debt ratings. And thirdly, this transaction represents a
prudent, high-return use of cash for Molson Coors and our shareholders. We're using this transaction not only to
make Molson Coors a bigger company, but also a better company without the integration complexity normally
found in a deal of this size.
As we focus on deleveraging our balance sheet over the next two to three years, we've suspended our share
repurchase program and have announced that we plan to maintain our current dividend per share level and we'll
revisit our dividend policy once deleveraging is well underway.
Overall, this combination is a game-changer in our ambition to become First Choice for consumers and
customers, and it's highly consistent with our goals and our focus on building extraordinary brands, delivering
innovation, and driving significant value to our shareholders.
Now, before we start the Q&A portion of the call, just a quick comment. As usual, our prepared remarks will be on
our website for your reference within a couple of hours this afternoon. Also, at 1 p.m. Eastern Time today, Dave
Dunnewald will host a follow-up conference call, which is an opportunity for you to ask additional questions
regarding our quarterly results. This call will also be available for you to hear via webcast on our website. So at
this point, Chad, we'd like to open up for questions please.
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QUESTION AND ANSWER SECTION
Operator: Certainly. Thank you, sir. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]
Our first question today comes from Wendy Nicholson with Citi Research. Please go ahead. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Wendy C. Nicholson Analyst, Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker) Q Hi. Good morning. Just a quick clarifying question. That $1.1 billion free cash flow number, did that include or
exclude the costs required to get your synergies? Just a housekeeping item.
And then second thing, of the $550 million of savings to come, can you talk specifically about how much
reinvestment, specifically in advertising, you expect to redeploy? I know some of the strength in Coors Light is
probably a function of the fact that spending is up a lot in the year-to-date period in the U.S. So I'm just wondering
about sort of targeted reinvestment levels if you can help us. Thanks. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Hi, Wendy. Thanks for your question. I think about two questions here. Let me just touch on the savings number
and then Mauricio can just clarify in the free cash flow number. With regard to savings, we don't offer guidance as
to how we'll allocate those savings through our business. I don't want to constrain our business with any specific
formula. And clearly as we drive the savings, they'll either drop to the bottom line or be reinvested back into our
business or offset, for example, inflation in our business.
We continue to review our sales and marketing investment on a geography-by-geography basis. We now have a
return on marketing investment model, which is allowing us to drive significant efficiencies in our marketing spend.
And we'll continue to monitor our level of spend in each of our markets to make sure that we can support our
brands in a way that allows them to be competitive, but we're not going to offer specific guidance and allocation of
those savings. On the free cash flow number, Mauricio, do you want to just clarify? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mauricio Restrepo Pinto Chief Financial Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Yes. Good morning, Wendy. The $1.1 billion is after taking into account the cost required to deliver the synergies. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Wendy C. Nicholson Analyst, Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker) Q Got it. But just as a follow-up, sort of conceptual, I know you said in your remarks that you're pleased that the
Coors Light brand health scores have improved, to what do you attribute that? I mean, again, we track the
advertising spending and it looks like that's gone up a lot in the U.S. but is there other stuff specifically that you
can call out that you're doing, whether it's distribution, whether it's work with your sales force, that's leading to the
stronger brand health scores per se? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Yeah. I mean we could get lost in lots of detail here, Wendy, and across all of our businesses, we've seen Coors
Light go from strength to strength. And I think what's at the heart of that is the clarity of the positioning of the
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brand, which is distinctive and consistent. So I've said in the past, I would rather spend less money on a great
idea than more money on a poor idea. And I actually think, we've got clarity of positioning and a great creative
platform, certainly across our International U.S. and our European business.
We've now started to transfer the U.S. creative platform into our Canada business as well. And as we've done
that, we've seen our brand health scores accelerate in Canada through the last couple of quarters. So, I really
think it comes down to the differentiation and distinctiveness and consistency of the positioning. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Wendy C. Nicholson Analyst, Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. (Broker) Q Fair enough. Thank you. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Thanks, Wendy. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Operator: The next question is from Vivien Azer with Cowen. Please go ahead. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Vivien Azer Analyst, Cowen & Co. LLC Q Hi, good morning. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Hey, Vivien. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mauricio Restrepo Pinto Chief Financial Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Good morning, Vivien. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Vivien Azer Analyst, Cowen & Co. LLC Q So, just firstly on the consolidated cost savings number, clearly encouraging that you've been able to upsize that
and pull that forward. Would you be able to offer any incremental color on what gives you that enhanced
confidence around the total cost save realization? Thanks. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Yeah. Thanks, Vivien. Let me deal with that. So, if you remember at the time we announced the definitive
agreement to acquire MillerCoors business, we've done some very quick, but reasonably well informed analysis
on the cost savings opportunity, and we suggested it would be around $200 million over four years. We've had the
benefit of very, very detailed planning over the course of the last eight or nine months, and that work has
unearthed further opportunities and really it's been the detailed planning that's allowed us to move with more pace
and set a target that's materially higher than our initial target. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
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Vivien Azer Analyst, Cowen & Co. LLC Q But just in terms of the three buckets that you guys had previously identified, is there any one bucket that's driving
an outsized contribution to that more constructive view? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A We haven't given any color on the proportionality of the cost savings, but this three areas that we've flagged
historically in terms of procurement, North American supply chain, shared services, we've endorsed those
numbers that we had originally and some areas they have improved, and in addition to that we've unlocked some
additional synergies in area of IT systems as we consolidate our IT infrastructure, and we're pushing now into
areas around commercial as well, particularly North American level, as we look at efficiency of our creative
platforms there. So, but in and around, it's still pretty much the same areas that we have identified initially and
hopefully you would expect that because of familiarity with the business is high. So we went into this with a
reasonably good estimate as to where we could drive the value. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Vivien Azer Analyst, Cowen & Co. LLC Q Perfect. That's very helpful. Thanks. Moving on to Canada, I would've expected a slightly better outcome, given
the level of investment spending that we saw in 2Q. So I was hoping you could comment a little bit more on that. I
think you noted the softness in mainstream, so it's really a two-part question. Do you think that the investment
spending is doing what it needs to? And as you think ahead to 2017, what potential impact do you think is the
legalization of recreational cannabis could have on the beer industry in Canada? Thanks. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A I would describe it as a broad spectrum, touched on by you two questions here Vivien, wasn't expecting the
second part of that, so while I am chatting Stewart get thinking. I mean, just a couple of comments on the first part
in terms of performance in the quarter. Our strategy remains consistent in Canada around making sure that we
modernize our supply chain and drive our costs down, taking further cost out of our business and then improving
our overall commercial performance.
You're aware of some of the changes that we've made at the leadership level and as Fred and Fred's number two
in the customer area, Sergey Yeskov moved across from Europe. Their absolute focus will be on commercial
execution, really driving our field sales management and model, and really I think deploying more assertive
execution in the marketplace. That started to show off in some of our input measures, but Stewart, do you want to
offer just a little bit more color on the third quarter, things that you are pleased about and then, if you can think
about the recreational drugs question as well and offer a perspective on that, that would be helpful? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Stewart F. Glendinning President & Chief Executive Officer, Molson Coors International LP A Yeah, 100% Mark. So looking at the third quarter, three big drivers of the results. First, the FX, transactional FX
related to U.S. sourcing of raw materials, lower volumes and higher marketing spend. And on the volume side,
Mark pointed out that we are seeing some green shoots. I mean, we've been growing share in the Atlantic
provinces, the West, which has been a difficult area for us. In September, as we saw progress through the third
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quarter, September actually was flat share in Ontario, a big beer market for us. We saw growing share in the
LCBO and in the on-premise.
So the number of tough areas is actually shrinking, and I think our increased execution certainly will help that. At
the same time, the higher levels of marketing spend are yielding positive improvements in our brand scores, and
of course, we expect that we'll be able to translate that into improved volumes. So, that's how I'd frame the
quarter. I will pause for a second in case there's anything else before I talk about cannabis. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Vivien Azer Analyst, Cowen & Co. LLC Q No, that's really helpful and thank you for indulging the cannabis question. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Stewart F. Glendinning President & Chief Executive Officer, Molson Coors International LP A Yeah. Look, I mean, cannabis is something that we are thinking very carefully about, not only as a business, but
also as an industry. And there's a lot of talk certainly about what it's going to – how it's going to be used and
where it's going to be deployed, et cetera. But there is just a lot we don't know at the moment. And so we're not
even really 100% clear on where it'll be sold, when it'll be sold. And the best place I could suggest to look for
guidance on what the impact might be, would be probably to look at a state like Colorado and see what that's
done to beer, but for the moment, we're steady as she goes here because of the lack of clarity about the
deployment of the drug itself. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Vivien Azer Analyst, Cowen & Co. LLC Q Fair enough. Thank you. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Thanks, Stewart. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Operator: The next question is from Judy Hong of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Judy E. Hong Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co. Q Thank you. Good morning. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Hey, Judy. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mauricio Restrepo Pinto Chief Financial Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Hi, Judy. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
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Judy E. Hong Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co. Q So, two questions, first, Mauricio the transaction-adjusted EPS for 2015 that's now $6.11 versus the $5.72 that
you've given us at the September conference, so it went up by $0.39. I think the cash tax went up by $0.12, and I
think the book amortization actually went down. But can you just bridge from $5.72 to $6.11, what's gone up in
that adjustment? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mauricio Restrepo Pinto Chief Financial Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Yeah. So, thank you, Judy. The two items that you mentioned are correct. But why don't I refer you to the call that
we're going to have afterwards led by Dave, and you'll be able to bridge that. Now the other factor that you're
missing there is the fact that our interest cost went down from the – that preliminary number of $5.72 that we had
given you, so that's the third component that gets you to the EPS, but we'll give you a more detailed walk on that
call. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
David Dunnewald Vice President-Investor Relations, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Yeah, Judy, we can give you some more details on that call a little bit later, but at least the initial headline is that
the bridge – sorry the pro formas that we put out in May, that you're referring to for the $5.72 for transaction-
adjusted EPS included bridge financing for U.S. GAAP, and then of course the financing that we actually put in
place for the long-term funding of the transaction, actually came in at very favorable rates, much more favorable
than the bridge loan financing, and so that's the driver of lower interest expense. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Judy E. Hong Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co. Q Sorry, the $5.72 is the number you've given us in September, correct? I don't think that was the May number? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
David Dunnewald Vice President-Investor Relations, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Okay. Well, yeah, adjustment to interest rate, additional refinement of purchase accounting and right some – and
then the adjustment up of cash tax benefits related to the transaction. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Judy E. Hong Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co. Q Okay. We can follow up later. And then, Mauricio, just on the free cash flow follow up, so can you give us the
underlying pro forma free cash flow for either 2015 or 2016, because I'm just trying to get to the $1.1 billion based
on kind of the transaction-adjusted EPS numbers that you've given us, and it seems to imply very little underlying
growth and I'm just trying to see if I'm reading that correctly. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mauricio Restrepo Pinto Chief Financial Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Yes, Judy, look, at this point, we're just given the – we're just going to give you the underlying free cash flow
projected for 2017. I would encourage you to a little bit later on when we post the performance on our website,
you can do your calculations there. Obviously, when you do kind of the back -of-the-envelope math that you can
do there, you would think about the free cash flow generation from MillerCoors and then the free cash flow
generation from Molson Coors pre the acquisition and you would get to a level of maybe $1.3 billion, $1.4 billion.
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Now, there are obviously some tailwinds that are represented in the form of the $275 mill ion of cash tax benefits,
but also some headwinds because we have a significant interest expense increase of around $250 million per
annum because of the acquisition financing. There's additional D&A expense from the step up, due to the fair
value re-measurement required by purchasing accounting of around $70 million, and there is higher income
taxes, because now we own the other 58% of MillerCoors. So we're paying additional taxes of around $200
million or we will be paying additional taxes of around $200 million in 2017 versus what we did before. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Judy E. Hong Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co. Q Okay. And the $350 million of cash restructuring charge, is all of that hitting in 2017? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mauricio Restrepo Pinto Chief Financial Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A No. No. That $350 million number is what we will be spending, that will be a one-time expenditure, but it will be
spread over the three-year period. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Judy E. Hong Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co. Q Got it. Okay. And then maybe, Gavin, just wanted to get your perspective on the volume performance for
MillerCoors in the third quarter. Obviously the industry has been a little bit soft and clearly you still have a vision to
get to flat volume by 2018, but just seems like that's a pretty challenging order given the recent trend. So, do you
think that you need to really step-up investments even more on some of your key brands or do you think this is
really just a broader industry problem? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Hey, Gavin. Do you want to pick that up directly? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Gavin Hattersley Chief Executive Officer, MillerCoors LLC A Yeah, sure. Thanks, Mark and thanks, Judy. Look, you're right. I mean, Q3 STR volumes were down across all
brand segments and reflective of the industry. Just as far as our expectations for – do you remember the long-
term goals, right, so our expectations are still to be flat in 2018 with growth in 2019. And, yes, we did see soft
industry trends. And you see that in our STR figure. But we have now for three straight quarters closed our
volume gap with the industry. We've got some work to do on the Above Premium segment, but we really lack our
portfolio there with the largest craft brand in the country with Blue Moon and Leinenkugel's is in the top five as
well.
We made four acquisitions, which we're pleased about and we've grown our flavored malt beverage share
meaningfully over the last year or so. Our Premium Light continued to perform well. Miller Lite gained share of the
Premium Light segment for the eighth consecutive quarter, Judy, and Coors Light gained share for the sixth
consecutive quarter. We've reengaged the economy drinker and it's a high priority for us. We've recently
announced our economy strategy at the full distributor meeting and that was well received by our distribution
network.
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Our Above Premium performance specifically was hindered by some of the performance on Blue Moon and
Leinenkugel's, was particularly seasonal in variety packs and that's an industry -wide trend and it's an issue we're
addressing and we have execution plans for early next year, but we are pleased with our performance on a brand
like Grapefruit Shandy, which doubled its volume. So overall, Judy, it's one quarter and I'm pleased with the
performance overall particularly from a share point of view. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Judy E. Hong Analyst, Goldman Sachs & Co. Q Got it. Okay. Thank you, everyone. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Thanks, Judy. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Operator: The next question is from Pablo Zuanic with SIG. Please go ahead. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Pablo Zuanic Analyst, Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP Q Good morning, everyone. Look, one – I want to ask two questions. Well, the first one bigger picture, something
that every investor I talked to asked me is – what's the track record of Mark Hunter and Gavin Hattersley, and why
are they the right people to execute here? And of course, I asked the question with great respect, right, but people
look at [ph] Brett and Philippe (46:59) having been at bat for 20 years. So, what we want to understand, when we
look at MillerCoors, clearly a few years ago, Tom Long for 40 years and now Gavin. So, if you can answer the
question in terms of what's your track record and why should investors be comfortable that this is the right
management team to execute this significant plan.
And the second question maybe is more for Mauricio, just basic in terms of numbers. I guess, there is different
ways to get – to judge the guidance that you've given us today. One way I judge it is that I look at the cost savings
that MillerCoors generated over the last five years on average, right, about $120 million per annum, $88 million
last year, you're running about $80 million this year, if I look at the $90 million this year for the third quarter. So,
you've done $120 million on average over the last five years. But then I look at the synergy number you're giving
us today, $275 million divided by three, that's $92 million, and then I take out from the balance the Molson Coors
savings ex-MillerCoors, there is another $32 million of cost savings at MillerCoors. So, synergies plus cost
savings at MillerCoors and I know that the lines get blurred are about $124 million per annum over the next three
years, which is what MillerCoors did over the last five years.
So I'm not so sure to be – how to judge that number, nice that you can sustain it. But if this is the significant
transaction and there is this plethora of opportunities that we've talked about in terms of cost savings, because
now you own the full company, why would the cost savings $124 million as per my math total, would be pretty
much similar to what you've been doing for the last five years? I guess, if you can answer, well, those are the two
questions. Thank you. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Hey, Pablo, it's Mark here and thanks. Clearly to your first question, I'm not going to conduct a performance
review over our quarterly earnings call or get into detail as to why our board believes that I'm the right leader for
this business and why I believe Gavin is the right leader for this business. I'll let our track record speak for
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ourselves, we're both seasoned professionals who have been in the beer industry for a long period of time, driven
significant change across many businesses, integrated businesses like StarBev and driven this transaction at a
rate which on a valuation multiple, I think, is utterly compelling for our business. So I would just leave it there. I am
not going to talk in any more detail beyond that.
And let me just backup on the second question you asked for Mauricio, but what we have endeavored to do here
is give full transparency and ensure that we are not duplicating any of the cost savings in our business and clearly
we have now set a target for the next three years, we'll update that on an annual basis.
There was a lot of questions around the synergies number and we have scaled up and picked up pace on the
synergies number and we've ensured that there is no duplication with the synergies on an ongoing underlying
cost savings and we will continue to test ourselves as to whether that number can be further improved, as we
actually get into fully running the business. But we feel it's a number we can meet and we will attempt to beat. It
makes sense as we look at our business, which if you remember has very, very little geographical overlap. We
got to drive this by a number of restructuring initiatives, setting up things like shared service globally and we'll get
at that and we'll update you if there is any new news on that number, but we feel it was the right number for our
business at this point in time. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Pablo Zuanic Analyst, Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP Q Thank you and just a very quick follow-up regarding cadence. I know you're not willing to talk about how much of
the savings are accretive to the bottom-line, but will it be reasonable to assume, given that you have this target of
stabilizing volumes by 2018 and growing after that, that a lot of those savings will be reinvested initially and we
should be thinking more year three and four seeing accretion of the EBIT line. If you can comment on that
please? Thanks, that's all. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Okay. Thanks, Pablo. And I mean, again, I haven't given any guidance as to how we're approaching the cost
savings. One of the things I did indicate though earlier this year was that we have now developed a small global
group led by Kandy. That team will be looking for incremental opportunities to accelerate our top-line
performance. Clearly some of those opportunities will require incremental investment in our business. But we'll
look at those in their own as we aggregate our total sales and marketing spend across our business. So, I'm more
interested in the quality of our marketing, and I think there is plenty of examples, and there is one in the U.S.
market at the moment, where people are competitive, have been spending very aggressively, and let's just say
the incremental spend doesn't always buy you success. I'm really focused on the quality of our marketing and the
discipline of our execution and we'll continue to drive efficiencies across our marketing spend.
And if there is a return that makes sense for us, we'll put it through the PACC model and we will s pend
incrementally to generate additional return. So, we want to drive very hard in getting the top line moving and that
will be a focus for us over the course of the next 24 months to 36 months. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Pablo Zuanic Analyst, Susquehanna Financial Group LLLP Q Okay. Thank you. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
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Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A I'm not going to get any more specific, Pablo. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Operator: Thank you. The next question comes from Mark Swartzberg with Stifel, Nicolaus. Please go ahead. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark Swartzberg Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. Q Yeah. Thanks, good morning gentlemen. A couple on the free cash flow and then a couple on the U.S. On the
free cash flow, the $1.1 billion, you mentioned that includes these one-time cash costs, how much of that $350
million is actually in that $1.1 billion? And how much is, as an expense item, and how much is a capital
expenditure item? And then, are there other one-time items in there, because on a per share basis you were at
$5.09 in free cash flow, so you're basically telling us you think that transaction-adjusted EPS will be down in
calendar 2017 or you're saying there is some pretty significant CapEx. I'm just trying to understand what else is
going on in that number? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mauricio Restrepo Pinto Chief Financial Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Yes. Hi, Mark. This is Mauricio. Look, we haven't given a specific breakout of the $350 million other than to say
about half of that will be additional CapEx and half of that will be additional OpEx. Now if you think about the
nature of the cost savings that we're going to deliver, including the synergies, a lot of the delivery of the synergies
will be happening probably towards the latter part of the three-year period, which means that actually the
investment to deliver those synergies will be weighted towards years one and two. We haven't really given a
specific amount of how much of that will specifically hit 2017.
Now, as for the headwinds and tailwinds, the $275 million of cash tax savings, obviously, that's a tailwind for the
next 15 years, the additional interest expense, because of the company financing, again that's something that is
going to be there for the foreseeable future as well the additional D&A expense, obviously even though that's not
– that's a non-cash item, but that's something that's obviously also going to be there as a generator of those cash
tax savings. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark Swartzberg Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. Q Yeah. Okay. I'm still confused not only because I'm sitting here with $6.11 and you're saying this year that number
is growing. So, call it, I don't $6.20, $6.25 in transaction-adjusted EPS and then the free cash flow view is $5.09,
so we're at more than $1 below the transaction-adjusted EPS number, which implies – again, it implies some
pretty significant CapEx or something else was going on in transaction-adjusted EPS, again which is all pro forma
for this transaction and doesn't have the international brands. So maybe it's 1 O'clock, but I'm still not – I don't
know, if you have response to that, yeah. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Gavin Hattersley Chief Executive Officer, MillerCoors LLC A Rather than get into kind of the weak zone on this call can I suggest that we hear the question, I think it's
important to give you an answer. So Dave and the team this afternoon will try and give you a bridge, just to give
you that clarity. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
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Mark Swartzberg Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. Q Okay. Fair enough. That would be great. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Gavin Hattersley Chief Executive Officer, MillerCoors LLC A That's probably the best way to deal with the question. So I appreciate the question, we will get a response and
take you through that this afternoon's call. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark Swartzberg Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. Q Fair enough. And then just shifting to the U.S., I'd just be curious Mark or Gavin, craft has been weak for
everybody. So just from a broader industry's perspective, why do you think we – the craft has gotten weaker
sequentially and how enduring do you think that is, I know that's hard to have a crystal ball there. But why do you
think that is? And then just mechanically for your U.S. business, it seems like your distributor inventories are
higher than you'd like them to be. So is it reasonable to think your own shipments will lag your STRs in t he fourth
quarter? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A So, Mark, let me split that into two. So, Gavin, I'll pass across to you on the STWs, STRs section in a second and
let me offer a couple of headlines around craft. I don't think it's true to say that craft is weak for everybody, that's a
really general statement. I think there's a number of craft companies who continue to show very strong growth
and we just acquired a number of them, which is a good thing for our business.
I think what you're starting to see though in the marketplace is what I described is probably oversupply of flavors
and SKUs or beer styles and SKUs. And both retailers and consumers are trying to make sense of that plethora of
choice and that's against the backdrop the craft has been good for the beer industry, because it's driven
conversations and interest in beer to probably an all-time high. But you get to the point where each SKU has to
deliver on a velocity basis and has to actually demonstrate its value to both our customers and our consumers.
And as Gavin mentioned earlier, things like seasonal packs, which have been a big driver of the craft industry
have really started to come under pressure because consumers are now – in essence making up their own
seasonal packs by the way that they actually shop the shelf.
But I think what you're starting to see is, from a retailer perspective, a push to really simplify the offering, and
Walmart just did that recently as they reset all of their shelf sets. So the more progressive retailers are really
trying to focus on those brands that have got long-term distinctive positionings and drive velocity per SKU. Also
think from a consumer perspective because most of the craft growth has been driven on the back of heavily hot
IPAs, consumers are recognizing that those beers are great, but they are not beers that you can probably take
with you through a long occasion, and we're actually starting to see some consumers step back into some of the
American light brands.
So, I think, it's just crafts starting to kind of shake itself out with the brands that are well -positioned and clearly
distinctive and alongside that the retailers really starting to simplify their offer, and that's in its infancy at the
moment, but I think that's starting to have an impact on overall kind of craft velocity or craft trends. Gavin, I don't
know whether you want to add anything to that and answer couple of STW, STRs question. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
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Gavin Hattersley Chief Executive Officer, MillerCoors LLC A Yeah. Thanks, Mark. Look, I mean, anything I would add to that, which is pretty much what you said, right? I
mean, there's tons of choice and there's not a lot of floor space, and velocity at retail is important, and that's why
our Building with Beer program, which we've launched, Mark, and talked quite a lot about it, has had such a
positive impact with beer buys at retail, not only on-premise but also off-premise.
As far as the STWs, STRs are concerned, Mark, I mean, fundamentally that's just a – there's a difference in
timing. If you remember at the end of Q2 that dynamic was reversed, when domestic STWs were down and STRs
were down less than that. And on a year-to-date basis those two numbers are much closer and, generally, we try
and align those things much closer by the end of the year as we try and ship to consumptions. So I wouldn't get
too worked up on quarter-over-quarter because of timing of holidays, price increases and so on. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark Swartzberg Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. Q That's great. And if I could real quick and that's very helpful, July 4, Anheuser-Busch and they have called out the
timing of July 4 is affecting the industry. Do you think the timing of July 4 hurt the industry in the third quarter? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Yeah, it did, yes, I would agree with that statement. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark Swartzberg Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. Q Great, all right. Thanks, Mark. Thanks, Gavin. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Thanks, Mark. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark Swartzberg Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. Q Thank you. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Gavin Hattersley Chief Executive Officer, MillerCoors LLC A [indiscernible] (60:01) this afternoon on your first question. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark Swartzberg Analyst, Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc. Q Great. Thank you, guys. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Operator: The next question comes from Bryan Spillane with Bank of America. Please go ahead. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
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Bryan D. Spillane Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Q Hey, good morning, everybody. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Hey, Bryan. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Bryan D. Spillane Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Q I'm going to hold off on the free cash flow questions until 1:00, Dave, this could be one of the most anticipated
1:00 calls in a while, I think. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
David Dunnewald Vice President-Investor Relations, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A [indiscernible] (1:00:23) ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Bryan D. Spillane Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Q Hey, so my question is just related to the cost savings, and if you could give us some – outside of the synergies, if
you can give us some sense of like what's included and what's not, you've got the process you're going through in
Vancouver in terms of selling the brewery, and you'll migrate to a new brewery there. I guess there is a potential
the same thing could happen in Montreal, is Eden – the Eden, North Carolina brewery in that – inside that savings
number. Just any sense of some of those bigger items that may be in there would be helpful. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Okay. Mauricio, do you want to – specifics on that? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mauricio Restrepo Pinto Chief Financial Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Yeah. So, hi, Bryan. So with respect to the cost savings, I mean some of the items that you allude to – that you
alluded to during your questions are indeed in there. So for example the savings that will come from the Eden
brewery closure are included in there. The work that we are continuously doing in terms of looking at our
procurement, in addition to the savings related to procurement that are in the synergy number, and as Mark
referenced to earlier, we've made a concerted effort to ensure that we've separated what is sort of business as
usual savings, which as you know a way of doing business here from the piece that's going to come specifically
from the synergies.
There are also other savings that are coming from looking at our supply chain network that are not included in the
synergy piece of the optimization of the North America supply chain grid. So, just a lot of savings that are coming
from our business as usual, run of the mill, running the business, vis -à-vis the synergies that have specifically to
do with those three buckets that we alluded to earlier. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
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Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Hey, Bryan. Bryan, it's Mark. The other context point I would give you is, over the course of the last three or four
years, on enterprise level we've tried to drive for what we've described as our one-way principles. So across our
major functional areas to try and drive for consistency of approach, now whether that's world-class supply chain,
HR one way, and we're now introducing that from a commercial perspective in terms of a commercial excellence
approach, really trying to drive for best practice orientation and consistency of approach, wherever we can in the
business, and that's been one of the drivers for unlocking additional efficiency savings through our business. A big
part has been in our world-class supply chain where we truly believe that we are at world class or close to world
class in many areas. So, we will continue to crank the handle on that and drive as much value and efficiency as
we can out of those areas, while overlooking the synergy opportunity as well. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Bryan D. Spillane Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Q All right. Thanks, gentlemen, we'll catch up at 1 o'clock. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Okay. Thanks, Bryan. Nice to have you back. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Operator: Our next question is from Robert Ottenstein with Evercore. Please go ahead. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Robert Ottenstein Analyst, Evercore ISI Q Great. Gavin, we understand certainly the goals on the improvement in the volumes for – and trajectory for 2018-
2019. If that doesn't pan out and if we have a continuation of the current trends, what sort of opportunities would
there be, do you think, in terms of managing the brewery footprint to address that? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Gavin Hattersley Chief Executive Officer, MillerCoors LLC A Mark, do you mind if I take that question direct? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A No, just on you go Gavin, and I'll you give some... ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Gavin Hattersley Chief Executive Officer, MillerCoors LLC A Robert, I'm not planning to fail, right? I mean, I think we've got the right plans, the right strategies, the right
brands, and the right people to get this done. And I wouldn't look at this on a simple quarter basis. This is a
longer-term plan. The industry had a tough quarter, surely, but our expectations are still flat in 2018 with growth in
2019. And I can run you through all the high-level plans that we've got in our brands, but we as a business are
certainly focused on that goal, and believe we will achieve it. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
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Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A And Robert, I mean the only color I would add there is that at an enterprise level we're committed to supporting
Gavin and the team to make that happen, and there's been lots of questions over the course of the last 12 months
to 18 months on how we'll get there and we've tried to really simplify the thinking into three specific areas. Our
economy are below premium strategy, and many of you've asked about clarity on our thinking there, that's now
been clarified and launched and generated a lot of excitement with our distributors.
Many of you have asked about our ability to get Coors Light and Miller Lite growing at the same time, and we're
now doing that consistently and alongside them Coors Banquet is going from strength to strength. And we
continue to drive the premiumization of our portfolio on the craft acquisitions, and Henry's are great examples.
Don't forget that Redd's, which is now such a significant brand, didn't even exist just over three years ago. And my
view is that we still have untapped opportunities in our own portfolio as well. So, all of the component parts are
there. A lot of it is down to how ruthless we want to be from an execution perspective. But Gavin and the
leadership team have driven a significant change in the ambit ion, the energy and the focus in our U.S. business
and it's been great to see that happening. And some quarters will be tougher than others, but we are absolutely
resolute on our ambition to get this business back into growth trajectory. And as Gavin said, that's over the course
of the next couple of years. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Robert Ottenstein Analyst, Evercore ISI Q That's terrific. On the International side, can you give us, and I know some of this may have come out earlier on in
the prelude, but can you give us an update of where you are on the Miller brands globally, and have there been
any new agreements in terms of supply and distribution? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Yeah. So, let me ask, Kandy, who is obviously transitioning at the moment from his previous role across Europe,
but Kandy's been leading that stream of work. So Kandy, do you want to just offer some highlights around that at
this stage? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Kandy Anand Chief Growth Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Company A Sure. Hi, Robert. So, we've made good progress in terms of planning and executing the transition of the Miller
brand into our systems, because it was relatively easier in places like Canada and UK, which came on to our
business footprint. We have a series of markets where we have existing partners, Panama, Honduras as an
example, where we've moved the distribution onto our existing partners. In the markets which were near to us, we
have established with one or two exceptions almost all of them near distribution agreements that are in place.
In terms of production, we are relying either on our infrastructure like MillerCoors and in certain cases, we are
continuing to rely on transitional services agreements via ABI and we'd be working to transit ion those into our own
system as well. But on the whole, I'm very pleased and Stewart, Simon, Fred are all involved in this in terms of
transitioning over into our set-up, our initial two to three weeks has gone without any significant issues and so
we're quite pleased with the transition. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
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Robert Ottenstein Analyst, Evercore ISI Q Are you able to discuss to any of the – in the more notable markets, are you able to discuss who any of the new
partners are? ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A We haven't made any kind of public statements around that other than in markets like Panama, we have an
existing partner there and we've transitioned across. I think, I'd probably save that maybe until our Q4 February
call, Robert, we can give our fuller update, just because we are working through some of the kind of finer details
at this point in time, where there is not partner in place there are TSAs, Transitional Service Agreements in place
and as I mentioned earlier, I mean some of the markets are doing better than we anticipated, some of the markets
are going to take a bit more work to get back on the front, so as you would expect in a transition of this nature, but
we'll give probably more color and a fuller update on our February call. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Robert Ottenstein Analyst, Evercore ISI Q Great. Well, thank you very much. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co. A Thanks, Robert. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the
conference back over to Mark Hunter for any closing remarks. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co.
I just like to thank everybody for the continuing interest in Molson Coors. We've opened a new chapter in the
history of our business, and as a leadership team we're delighted to be leading the business forward from this
position. And we look forward to updating you as we make our business bigger and stronger in the coming
quarters ahead. So, thank you for your continuing interest in our business. Thanks, everybody. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Operator: And thank you, Mr. Hunter. This concludes today's conference. Thank you for attending. You may
now disconnect. Take care. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mark R. Hunter President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, Molson Coors Brewing Co.
Thank you, Chad. ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Mauricio Restrepo Pinto Chief Financial Officer, Molson Coors Brewing Co.
Thank you.
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