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293
Notes
2 Spending by Issuer of Domestic Currency
1 . Thanks to Eric Tymoigne for providing the mathematical exposition.
3 The Domestic Monetary System: Banking and CentralBanking
1 . All of this is described in Scott Fullwiler’s paper in much greater detail (prob-ably way too much detail for the casual reader) here: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1874795.
2 . The following discussion is adapted from Treasury Debt Operations – An Analysis Integrating Social Fabric Matrix and Social Accounting Matrix Methodologies, by Scott T. Fullwiler, September 2010 (edited April 2011), http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1874795.
6 Modern Money Theory and Alternative Exchange RateRegimes
1 . Payback: Debt and the Shadow Side of Wealth , by Margaret Atwood (Toronto:House of Anansi Press, 2008).
2 . Coins, Bodies, Games, and Gold, by Leslie Kurke (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1999), xxi, 385.
3 . I thank Chris Desan, David Fox, and other participants of a seminar at Cambridge University for the discussion I draw upon here. People might find this of interest: http://www.boston.com/bostonglobe/ideas/articles/2011/08/21/which_came_first_money_or_debt/.
10 Conclusions: Modern Money Theory for SovereignCurrencies
1 . Bezemer, D.J. (2009), “No One Saw This Coming”: Understanding FinancialCrisis Through Accounting Models. Unpublished. See also http://www.voxeu.org/article/no-one-saw-coming-or-did-they.
2 . For references to our early work, see: http://neweconomicperspectives.org/2012/07/nostradamus-and-the-euro.html; http://www.economonitor.com/lrwray/2012/07/24/who-first-warned-about-the-euro-the-wsj-weighs-in/; and here http://www.economonitor.com/lrwray/2011/11/16/euro-crisis-is-spreading-from-periphery-to-center-the-system-designed-to-fail-will-fail/.
3 . See here: http://neweconomicperspectives.org/2014/01/job-guarantee-2.html; here http://neweconomicperspectives.org/2014/01/dazed-confused-matt-ygle-
294 Notes
sias-job-guarantee.html; and here http://moslereconomics.com/2013/11/19/comments-on-bakerbernstein-book/.
4 . See here: http://www.economonitor.com/lrwray/2013/11/21/bow-down-to-the-bubble-larry-summerian-endorses-bubbleonian-madness-and-paul-krugman-embraces-the-hansenian-stagnation-thesis/.
5 . For much more, see a paper I wrote in 2007, http://www.levyinstitute.org/pubs/wp_488.pdf, as well as an earlier paper on secular stagnation that blamesdemand constraints, co-written with Marc-Andre Pigeon: http://www.levyin-stitute.org/pubs/wp269.pdf.
295
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301
Index
accounting, 9–23, 26–7, 35–41, 56, 60, 74–6, 83–7, 91–6, 106–17, 121–4, 213
of real values, 10, 13, 28–33, 59–62assets
as another party’s liabilities, 4, 6–7,9–13, 17–20, 29–34, 37–40, 71–8, 83–9, 91–6, 106, 114–16, 180, 276
financial, 9–14, 17–19, 31–4, 37–8, 59–61, 92–3, 100–1, 107, 110–16, 124, 135, 179–80, 204,211, 287
net financial, see net financialassets
nonfinancial, 10, 32–3, 38, see alsowealth, nonfinancial (real)
Australia, 133, 223, 235automatic stabilizers, 24, 202, 210
bankassets, 29–30, 32–3, 49, 55–60, 72–6,
81–7, 91–6, 99commercial, 75, 205demand deposits, 5, 9, 55–7,
59–61, 73–4, 78, 85, 88, 92, 106, 109–10, 113, 138–9, 208,276–80
lending, 6, 73–4, 76, 80–5, 90–1, 100, 107–8, 114–15, 138, 188,265, 280
liabilities, 5, 32, 72–9, 81–7, 97, 107–8, 112
reserves, 3–5, 8, 11, 49, 52, 56–7, 60–1, 71–7, 81–93, 95–101, 104, 106–23, 126–7, 132, 134,179–80, 182, 192, 199–201, 204–6, 208–11, 216, 254, 257,263–5, 280, 282, see also Federal Reserve System
time deposits, 73, 78borrowed reserves, 96Brazil, 259
budget, 2–3, 6, 8, 11, 13–18, 23–7, 35–6, 42–3, 55, 62–9, 92, 100–1, 103–12, 114–17, 121, 127, 129, 135–6, 144, 175–6, 178, 181–6, 188–90, 200–16, 220, 223, 243, 259, 262–3
business cycle, 186, 200, 212, 226, 283
Canada, 74, 108, 146capital, 68, 83–5, 124, 129, 155,
274–5, 281controls of, 214, 217–18, 225, 232,
244, 286–7, 290flows of, 129, 214, 232, 244, 274human, 31markets of, 136
cash, see currencycentral bank, 2–5, 11, 49, 54–7, 73–84,
86–91, 95–6, 99, 101–15, 123, 132, 134, 160, 177, 179–80, 190–1, 200–1, 257, 263–8, 274, 276–80, 289
China, 68, 119, 121–3, 136, 162, 172–3, 176, 191, 215–16, 272, 286–7
Confederacy, 260–1consumer price index, 225, 248consumption spending, 40, 224, 268,
284convertibility, see currencyCPI, see consumer price indexcredit, 19, 29, 55–61, 73–5, 77–81,
88, 91, 94, 96, 99, 102, 104,106–16, 123, 132–8, 176,199–209, 257, 263–5, 279–80
creditor, 9, 12, 78, 80–1, 83, 90, 148,157, 164, 167, 275, 277
currencycash, 6, 33, 45, 56, 59–61, 72–7,
80–8, 112, 117, 251–2, 257, 263convertibility, 5, 71–3, 7–9, 131,
134, 142, 158, 174, 179, 192,261, 286
302 Index
currency – continueddefined, 1–2domestic, 41–6, 51–6, 59, 72, 111,
116, 121–8, 131, 160–1, 161, 192, 217–18, 231, 244, 248, 261, 288
government, 5, 10–11, 49–50, 56, 76, 124, 139, 254
pyramiding, 5–6, 76–80, 134reasons for acceptance of, 48–51,
137–8, 148, 156sovereign, see sovereignty
current accountdeficit, 24, 26, 36–7, 67–8, 116, 119,
121–34, 144, 160, 172, 180–5, 190, 212–16, 286
surplus, 2, 117, 119, 122, 129–30, 144, 160, 173, 190, 212–15, 220
debt, see private sector, debt; public sector, debt
debt-to-GDP ratio, 68–70, 118, 131, 200
default, see public sector, defaultdeficit hysteria, 9, 23–4, 63, 67, 290deflation, 64, 130, 153–4, 159, 171,
190, 199, 223, 252–3, 267deposits, see bank, demand depositsdeveloping nations, 41–3, 52, 54,
124–5, 128, 133, 173, 217, 270, 288, 290
dissaving, 13, 21–2
ECB, see European Central Bankeconomic growth, 16, 26, 66,
161, 188, 240, 242, 257,282–3
employer of last resort (ELR), 218,221–47, 249, 267, see also jobguarantee
EMU, see European Monetary Unionendogenous money, see money,
endogeneity ofendogenous versus exogenous, 27,
89–90, 104–5Euro, 43, 55, 131–2, 136, 176–90,
272–6crisis in, 180–7
European Central Bank (ECB), 81,115, 132, 136, 177–82, 186–90, 263, 273–6
European Monetary Union, 41–2, 125,175, 177–83, 187–90, 232, 264, 272–6
see also EuroEuropean Union, 178, 189–90exchange rate policies
fixed regimes, 79, 89, 104, 128–31, 134, 158–62, 172–6, 191–2, 214, 256–8
floating regimes, 71, 103, 121, 123, 128–31, 141, 160–2, 172–6, 181, 188, 191–3, 199, 214, 217, 226, 243–6, 257–8, 286–9
“pegged,” 42, 48, 89, 105, 123, 127, 129–33, 136, 141, 158–62, 172–6, 179, 191–3, 213–14, 229–32, 256, 270, 286–8
exchange rates, 27, 61, 105, 127, 161, 173, 195, 232
Federal Reserve Systemcoordination with U.S. Treasury, 2,
90–8, 109, 182discount window, 75, 77, 82, 108,
115federal funds rate, 3, 74, 89–90,
107–8, 115, 208, 264reserve accounting, 99, 179, see also
accountingfiat money, see money, fiatfinance
functional finance, 199–202,214–18, 221–9, 243, 249, 267, 270
sound finance, 8, 200fiscal operations
the case of a non-sovereign currency, 134–6, 177–87, seealso Euro
the case of a sovereign currency, 103–34, 202
fiscal policy, 2, 102–5, 142–3, 177, 182–6, 188–90, 201, 213, 221, 243, 256–7, 262, 264, 273
flow of funds, 22, 39–40, 88
Index 303
flows, 9–40, 55–7, 65–70, 98–9, 129–30, 271, 287
foreign direct investment, 124, 128,134, 220
foreign sector, 13–14, 18–19, 27, 34, 38–42, 179
debt, 262“free” market, 196–7, 286full employment, 6, 27, 79, 89,
129–30, 144, 149, 188, 195, 199–204, 221–47, 267–70, 281–2, 288–90
see also employer of last resort; job guarantee
GDP, see gross domestic productGlobal Financial Crisis, 12, 23, 30,
34, 64, 79, 81, 83, 89, 98, 126, 175–83, 208, 213, 226, 251, 270–2, 283
Godley, Wynne, 1, 14–16, 35–6, 41, 271
gold, 45–50, 61–2, 74–5, 132, 141–2, 158–72, 206, 245, 248, 251–62, 268, 278, 286
gold standard, 158–60, 172, 192, 245, 255–7, 262
Goldilocks economy, 15, 34–40, 185,271
government“big,” 7, 128, 197, 200, 212, 244–5budget constraint, 103, 202–6,
217–18debt, 11–12, 62–3, 66, 68, 117–23,
132, 135–6, 172–92, 207–10, 216, 274
deficit, 8, 11–12, 16, 24, 27, 36–7, 52–3, 62, 66–7, 92–3, 99–101, 104, 109–22, 129, 184–5, 190, 200, 213–16, 245, 276
deficit as nondiscretionary, 23–8deficit spending, 13, 17, 20, 23,
34–8, 64–6, 92, 95–101, 106–7, 111–12, 118, 179, 207, 213, 216, 254
“small,” 198, 244, 246state and local, 36, 39, 147, 178,
251, 281–2surplus, 36, 64, 101, 107, 213
Greece, 52, 55, 62, 131, 136, 165, 167, 177–91, 273
ancient Greece and money, 167gross domestic product, 16, 19–20,
25–6, 37–40, 52–3, 63–4, 68–70, 173, 178, 180, 189, 210, 212, 218, 250, 281, 284
high powered money, 11, 75–6, 201,260, 263
see also currency, government; reserve currency
horizontalism, 89, 114households, 2–5, 10–41, 53, 78–9,
102–3, 122–5, 134, 186, 196, 200, 203, 208, 231, 236, 251
see also private sectorHungary, 174–6, 202hyperinflation, 163, 202–3, 208, 221,
244, 246, 248–63
imports, 23, 26–7, 36, 40, 42, 67–8, 123–33, 143, 154, 159, 191–5, 215–18, 224–5, 229–31, 244, 261–2, 286–9
income, 8, 10, 13–28, 34, 37–40, 56, 58, 64–6, 84–5, 106–20, 135, 139, 142–56, 175–6, 187, 195–6, 199, 203, 211–30, 236, 239, 241–2, 265–6, 281, 284–5, 291
inflation, 2, 34, 53–4, 64–7, 73–4, 88, 104–5, 116, 127, 138–43, 153, 160, 163, 168, 171–2, 183,187, 191–5, 199–210, 217–25, 242–70, 288–91
interest rate target, 3, 73, 89, 93, 97–8,104–5, 109, 113–15, 175, 189, 199–200, 260, 263–7
interest rateseffects of government deficit on,
106–11, 215exogenous, 89–90, 104–5
inventories, 19–20, 31investment, 12, 19–20, 23, 27, 39–40,
67, 80, 104, 106, 124–8, 134, 155, 157, 186, 212, 218, 220, 228, 230, 252, 281–4, 290
304 Index
IOUs, 4–7, 9–13, 29–30, 37–8, 42, 48–50, 53, 55–6, 59–61, 64, 71–85, 97, 101, 106, 115, 117, 124, 127–31, 134, 138–40, 148, 161–5, 169–75, 179, 186, 199, 201, 203, 208–11, 255–63, 277–80
issuer of currency, 7, 9, 36, 39, 41–70,80, 103–4, 106, 128, 135, 138–9, 168, 174, 177–9, 190, 203, 208, 213, 266, 275–80, 287, 290
Jefes program, 226, 231–3, 236–7job guarantee, 133, 218, 221, 227,
239, 245–6, 270, 281, 284–5
Keynes, J.M., 1, 23, 71, 110, 112, 163, 165, 234, 242, 248–51, 261, 277–8, 282
lender of last resort, 73, 76, 81–2, 179,221
see also Federal Reserve SystemLerner, Abba, 199–204, 211, 214, 217,
221, 243, 249, 267liabilities
financial, 9–12, 17, 31–2, 77, 180as government (public sector) debt,
11–12, 78–9as money, 41–5, 55–9, 71–81pyramid of, 76–81settlement of, 80–1, 83, 85, 99, 138,
152, 167see also assets, as another party’s
liabilities; payments systemliquidity, 80–5, 110, 115, 133, 252,
289
macroeconomic accounting, 9–40macroeconomics, 27, 145, 197, 234medium of exchange, 44–5, 58, 156,
163, 169Mesopotamia, 162–4metalism, 162–72, 255Minsky, Hyman, 6, 135, 144, 149,
155, 212, 236, 242–3, 271, 279, 281
Mitchell, Bill, 175–6, 223, 235, 261
modern money theory (MMT), 1–8, 12–15, 34, 36, 28, 41, 48, 66, 89, 97, 128, 131, 137–49, 164, 167, 173, 176–9, 186, 189, 198–9, 22, 244–8, 253–5, 259–60, 266–78, 286–91
monetarist, 88, 253–5, 260, 262–4,268
monetary economy, 246monetary policy, 2–4, 93, 98, 103,
105, 114, 127, 161, 177, 188, 199, 200–1, 221, 248, 264, 266–7, 276, 282, 286
monetary sovereignty, 41–5, 103–11,139
moneycommodity, 158–72, 245creation of by banks, 5–7, 71–102,
201, 211as credit, see creditas debt, see liabilities, as moneydefined, 1–2endogeneity of, see horizontalismfiat, 48, 163, 246, 251, 255, 261–2nature of, 44, 269–91origin of, 148–9supply of, 89, 114, 172, 201, 205,
253–4, 263, 268money of account, 1, 11, 29, 41–51,
55–9, 71,74, 77, 97, 126, 149, 163–4, 168, 248, 277, 279
money “things” (tokens) 7, 20, 44–5,58, 75–6, 83–4, 153, 162, 165–6, 170, 277
Mosler, Warren, 138, 148, 174, 250,266
net financial assets, 10–14, 17,19, 60–1, 92, 101, 107, 111, 179–80, 211, 214
accumulation of, 10, 12two sector model
private sector net financial assets equal government liabilities, 15–23
nominalism, 162–72, 255–6
paradox of thrift, 23, 27–8payments system, 102, 109
Index 305
“PIIGs,” 62, 131, 180, 185–7, 275policy space, 42, 128–31, 135, 161–2,
172–6, 188–93, 199, 201, 214,217–18, 244, 256–7, 265, 270,286
Ponzi finance, 135–6price stability, 27, 161, 199, 221–47,
248–9, 267, 270, 291private sector
debt, 35–6, 61, 186deficit, 36, 66, 183, 185, 213, 275surplus, 24, 37, 121, 144, 184,
216profits, 12, 20, 30, 39–40, 67, 73–4,
125, 133, 151, 154–5, 203, 209, 218–19, 246, 265, 272
public purpose, 6–7, 92, 144, 147–50, 156, 175, 195–200, 270, 292
public sectordebt, see government, debtdefault, 50, 68, 72, 116, 126–7,
131–3, 162–3, 172–82, 186–92,245, 257–8, 263, 271, 286, 288,290
deficit, see government, deficitsurplus, see also government,
surplus
quantitative easing, 74, 89–90, 98, 100, 104, 107, 110, 115, 204,208–9, 248, 254, 263–6
recession, 25, 34–6, 104, 141, 153, 175, 186, 201–2, 211, 223, 226,265–6, 273, 283
Great Recession of 2007, 23–6, 34–5, 283
reserve currency, 68, 124, 128, 173, 214–16, 287, 292
“rest of world”, see foreign sector
saving, 11, 13, 15–28, 37–40, 43, 56,59, 63–7, 73, 81, 83–4, 104,106, 109–12, 116–19, 131, 136,183, 212, 215–16, 265, 276
net, 40, 43, 111–12, 117, 131sectoral balances, 12, 15–28, 34–41,
121, 183–5, 190, 212, 215behavior of, 15–20
causation of, 15–23deficits equal surpluses, 15–28three sector model, 11–18, 23, 36,
110two sector model, 11, 16–18, 23,
64, 213settlement, interbank, 83–9
see also payments systemsovereignty
currency, 7, 36, 39–45, 52, 59, 67, 103–4, 128–35, 140–1, 145, 156, 158, 174, 176, 179–82, 186–91, 203, 214, 217, 243–4, 266–70, 273, 275, 292
defined, 43government, 2–8, 17, 39, 43–55,
66–7, 79–80, 101, 105–6, 110, 123, 126, 128, 132, 135–7, 141–2, 148, 173, 176, 182, 193–6, 201–6, 214, 220, 231, 244–5, 258, 266–7, 270, 275–6, 286
spending, 4–28, 34–9, 41–70, 91–102, see also deficit spending
stock-flow consistency, seemacroeconomic accounting
stocks, 9–28, 55–7, 105, 154, 271real versus nominal, 28–34, 59–62
sustainability conditions, 62–70of current account ratios, 67–8of government deficits, 62–70, 200,
290of government that borrows in
foreign currency, 125, 190
taxes, 137–57income, 142, 144, 151–6, 211, 259not needed to finance government,
137–41, 142, 199–206payroll tax, 151–4, 211, 291stabilizing aggregate demand,
141–5, 199–206, see alsofinance, functional finance
taxes-drive-money, 48–51, 72, 92, 137, 139, 141–50, 156, 162, 220, 260, 276–8
transfer payments, 24–5, 40, 106,259
306 Index
unemployment, 6, 34, 148–9, 159,186, 199, 201–4, 210–17, 221–47, 249, 257, 267, 272, 281, 283–6, 290
unit of account, see money of accountU.S. Treasury, 2–4, 8, 43–6, 49–50,
56–7, 60, 75–6, 103–16, 182, 187, 205–11, 272–3, 277, 291
bonds (securities) of, 3–4, 8, 61,99–102, 107, 114, 119, 146, 208, 257, 280
debt operations, 98–102, 105, 114technical coordination with
the Federal Reserve System, see Federal Reserve System, coordination with U.S. Treasury
user of currency, 39, 177–8, 189, 213,218
wages, 20, 26–7, 37–8, 42, 56–8,130, 133, 146, 148–51,155, 172–3, 183, 187,194–5, 203–4, 219,222–34, 239–53, 259,268, 281–6
wealthfinancial
inside financial wealth, 13, 33net financial wealth, 9–18, 30,
53, 61nonfinancial (real), 10, 29–30, 61“outside,” 10–13, 18, 34
Weimar Republic, 163, 202, 253, 258,261
Zimbabwe, 55, 163, 202, 244, 253, 255, 261–2, 290