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Chapter 8
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 1
Foreign Exchange and International Financial
Markets
Learning Objectives
• Describe how demand and supply affect the
price of foreign exchange
• Discuss the role of international banks in
the foreign-exchange market
• Learn how firms use the spot and forward
markets to settle international transactions
• Discuss arbitrage in foreign exchange
• Explore the international capital market
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 2
The Economics of Foreign Exchange
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 3
Demand for Yen
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 4
The demand for yen is
derived from foreigner’s
demand for Japanese
products
Supply of Yen
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 5
The supply of yen is derived
from Japanese demand for
foreign products
The Market for Yen
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 6
Equilibrium is reached when
supply and demand are
equal
Foreign Exchange Rate Quotes
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 7
IndirectQuote
DirectQuote
Summary of Discussion
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 8
Structure of the Foreign Exchange Market
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 9
Currencies Involved in Foreign-Exchange Market Transactions
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 10
The Role of Banks
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 11
Foreign-Exchange Market
Speculation
and Arbitrage
Spread
Between Bid
and Ask Prices
Types of Markets
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 12
Wholesa
le
Retail
Foreign-Exchange Clients
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 13
• Commercial Customers
• Exchange-Rate Speculators
• Currency Arbitrageurs
Types of Currencies
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 14
Convertible vs. Inconvertible
Summary of Discussion
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 15
Spot and Forward Markets
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 16
Types of Markets
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 17
•Spot Market
•Forward Market
Futures Transactions
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 18
•Swap Transactions
•Currency Futures
•Currency Options
Forward Pricing of Foreign Currency
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 19
Current Price of
the British Pound (£)
Firm’s
Holdings
of
(£) Assets
Firm’s
Holdings
of
(£)
Liabilities•Selling at Forward
Discount
•Selling at Forward
Premium
Reduce Increase
Increase Reduce
Summary of Discussion
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 20
Arbitrage and the Currency Market
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 21
Arbitrage of Goods
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 22
The Law of One Price
Buy in “Cheap”
Market
Sell in
“Expensive”
Market
Purchasing Power Parity
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 23
PPP
Expensive
Market
Cheap
Market
Cost of
Currency “B”
Price of
Good “X”
Cost of
Currency “A”
Price of
Good “X”
Arbitrage of Money
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 24
Professional Traders
Covered
Interest
Three-
Point
Two-
Point
Two-Point Arbitrage
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 25
Risk-Free Profit
Three-Point Arbitrage
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 26
$1 = ¥120
Sell $2, Get ¥240
Step 2
Step 1 Step 3
New York Tokyo
London
Gain£0.2
Covered-Interest Arbitrage
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 27
Currencies of Two Countries
Interest Rate
Differences
Forward
Discount/Premi
um
≠
The International Fisher Effect
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 28
Country’s Inflation
Rate
Expected to
Increase
Expected to
Decrease
Nomina
l
Interest
Forwar
d
Premiu
m
Forwar
d
Discou
nt
Higher Shrink Widen
Lower Widen Shrink
Summary of Discussion
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 29
The International Capital Market
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 30
The Eight Largest Banks
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 31
Ran
k
Company Country Revenues
($Mil)
1 ING Group Netherlands 147,052
2 Bank of America United States 134,194
3 BNP Paribas France 128,726
4 J.P. Morgan Chase
& Co
United States 115,475
5 Citigroup United States 111,055
6 Crédit Agricole France 105,003
7 HSBC Holdings United
Kingdom
102,680
8 Banco Santander Spain 100,350
International Banking
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 32
Correspondent
Relationship
Subsidiary
Bank
Affiliated BankBranch Bank
International Commercial Banking Services
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 33
Everyday
Transactions
Currency
Exchange
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 34
Mergers andAcquisitions
Long-TermDebt and Equity
Investment Banking
Eurocurrency Market
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 35
Foreign Currency on Deposit
London Interbank Offer Rate
(LIBOR)
International Banking Facility
(IBF)
• Foreign Bonds
• Eurobonds
• Global Bonds
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 36
The International Bond Market
Global Equity Markets
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 37
•Capital Markets
•Country Funds
•Financial Services
Offshore Financial Centers
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 38
Bahamas
Bahrain
Cayman Islands
Luxembourg
Bermuda
Netherlands
Antilles
Singapore
Switzerland
Summary of Discussion
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 39
Chapter 8
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 40
Foreign Exchange and International Financial
Markets
Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 41
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher. Printed in the United States of America.