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Chapter 8 Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 1 Foreign Exchange and International Financial Markets

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Page 1: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Chapter 8

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 1

Foreign Exchange and International Financial

Markets

Page 2: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Learning Objectives

• Describe how demand and supply affect the

price of foreign exchange

• Discuss the role of international banks in

the foreign-exchange market

• Learn how firms use the spot and forward

markets to settle international transactions

• Discuss arbitrage in foreign exchange

• Explore the international capital market

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 2

Page 3: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

The Economics of Foreign Exchange

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 3

Page 4: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Demand for Yen

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 4

The demand for yen is

derived from foreigner’s

demand for Japanese

products

Page 5: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Supply of Yen

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 5

The supply of yen is derived

from Japanese demand for

foreign products

Page 6: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

The Market for Yen

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 6

Equilibrium is reached when

supply and demand are

equal

Page 7: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Foreign Exchange Rate Quotes

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 7

IndirectQuote

DirectQuote

Page 8: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Summary of Discussion

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 8

Page 9: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Structure of the Foreign Exchange Market

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 9

Page 10: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Currencies Involved in Foreign-Exchange Market Transactions

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 10

Page 11: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

The Role of Banks

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 11

Foreign-Exchange Market

Speculation

and Arbitrage

Spread

Between Bid

and Ask Prices

Page 12: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Types of Markets

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 12

Wholesa

le

Retail

Page 13: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Foreign-Exchange Clients

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 13

• Commercial Customers

• Exchange-Rate Speculators

• Currency Arbitrageurs

Page 14: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Types of Currencies

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 14

Convertible vs. Inconvertible

Page 15: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Summary of Discussion

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 15

Page 16: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Spot and Forward Markets

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 16

Page 17: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Types of Markets

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 17

•Spot Market

•Forward Market

Page 18: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Futures Transactions

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 18

•Swap Transactions

•Currency Futures

•Currency Options

Page 19: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Forward Pricing of Foreign Currency

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 19

Current Price of

the British Pound (£)

Firm’s

Holdings

of

(£) Assets

Firm’s

Holdings

of

(£)

Liabilities•Selling at Forward

Discount

•Selling at Forward

Premium

Reduce Increase

Increase Reduce

Page 20: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Summary of Discussion

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 20

Page 21: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Arbitrage and the Currency Market

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 21

Page 22: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Arbitrage of Goods

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 22

The Law of One Price

Buy in “Cheap”

Market

Sell in

“Expensive”

Market

Page 23: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Purchasing Power Parity

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 23

PPP

Expensive

Market

Cheap

Market

Cost of

Currency “B”

Price of

Good “X”

Cost of

Currency “A”

Price of

Good “X”

Page 24: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Arbitrage of Money

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 24

Professional Traders

Covered

Interest

Three-

Point

Two-

Point

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Two-Point Arbitrage

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Risk-Free Profit

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Three-Point Arbitrage

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$1 = ¥120

Sell $2, Get ¥240

Step 2

Step 1 Step 3

New York Tokyo

London

Gain£0.2

Page 27: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Covered-Interest Arbitrage

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 27

Currencies of Two Countries

Interest Rate

Differences

Forward

Discount/Premi

um

Page 28: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

The International Fisher Effect

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 28

Country’s Inflation

Rate

Expected to

Increase

Expected to

Decrease

Nomina

l

Interest

Forwar

d

Premiu

m

Forwar

d

Discou

nt

Higher Shrink Widen

Lower Widen Shrink

Page 29: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Summary of Discussion

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 29

Page 30: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

The International Capital Market

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The Eight Largest Banks

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 31

Ran

k

Company Country Revenues

($Mil)

1 ING Group Netherlands 147,052

2 Bank of America United States 134,194

3 BNP Paribas France 128,726

4 J.P. Morgan Chase

& Co

United States 115,475

5 Citigroup United States 111,055

6 Crédit Agricole France 105,003

7 HSBC Holdings United

Kingdom

102,680

8 Banco Santander Spain 100,350

Page 32: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

International Banking

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 32

Correspondent

Relationship

Subsidiary

Bank

Affiliated BankBranch Bank

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International Commercial Banking Services

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 33

Everyday

Transactions

Currency

Exchange

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Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 34

Mergers andAcquisitions

Long-TermDebt and Equity

Investment Banking

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Eurocurrency Market

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 35

Foreign Currency on Deposit

London Interbank Offer Rate

(LIBOR)

International Banking Facility

(IBF)

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• Foreign Bonds

• Eurobonds

• Global Bonds

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 36

The International Bond Market

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Global Equity Markets

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 37

•Capital Markets

•Country Funds

•Financial Services

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Offshore Financial Centers

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 38

Bahamas

Bahrain

Cayman Islands

Luxembourg

Bermuda

Netherlands

Antilles

Singapore

Switzerland

Page 39: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Summary of Discussion

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 39

Page 40: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Chapter 8

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 40

Foreign Exchange and International Financial

Markets

Page 41: Griffin ib7 inppt_08

Copyright © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 8 - 41

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher. Printed in the United States of America.