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Kaedah Praktikal Untuk Menilai Permohonan Pembiayaan ZAHARI BIN AZIZ [email protected]

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Page 1: Credit evaluation   slide share

Kaedah Praktikal Untuk Menilai

Permohonan Pembiayaan

ZAHARI BIN AZIZ

[email protected]

Page 2: Credit evaluation   slide share

CAPACITY

5Cs

Analysis

COLLATERAL CAPITAL

CONDITION

CHARACTER

Page 3: Credit evaluation   slide share

5Cs Analysis

1. Character – Willingness to pay Integrity

• Past repayment patterns

• Existing Banking commitment

– Management Styles • Aggressive, speculative, prudence or conservative

– Management Quality • Qualification – Competence

• Experience – various eco cycle

• Succession plan

– Risk • Management / SH Risk, Production and Operational , Fund

Diversion and Financial Risk

Page 4: Credit evaluation   slide share

2. Capacity – Financial Capacity

• Generate CF, reliability of CF after sensitivity analysis

• Debt Service Ratio

– Past TIE, IPRC

– Future OSR

• No management, profit margin, cost efficiency

– Management Capacity to Operate Business • Operate Business

– Competency Qualification, track record (recession etc), experiences and succession plan

– Legal Capacity MAA

– Risks • Mgt /SH Risk, Industry / Market Risk

5Cs Analysis

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3. Capital

– Long Term SH Financial

• Commitment > 50%

– Gearing Ratio

– Financial Position

– Growth level Capitalisation of RR

– Risks

• Mgt/SH Risks, Fund Diversion Risks

5Cs Analysis

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4. Condition

– External factors influence repayment

– Macro assessment

• Market Shares and Growth

• Level of Competitiveness

• Globalisation, Fcy Mkt. Major Trading partners

• Business Cycle

• Relationship with suppliers, customers, regulators,

competition

• Risks

– Ind/Mkt risk, Business Risk (Position, Concentration, perform

Dissuasive Risk, Regulatory Risk

5Cs Analysis

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5. Collateral

– Composite 4 Cs

– Attributes of good service

– Realisation value land, share machinery,

debenture

– Risks

• Recovery Risk, Downside Risk

5Cs Analysis

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Scope of Credit Evaluation

• Purpose

• Structure

• Fact Analysis

• Qualitative

• Quantitative

• Ways Out Analysis

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Qualitative Analysis

• SHARIAH COMPLIANCE

• FINANCING PARAMATERS

• KNOW YOUR CUSTOMERS

• FACT ANALYSIS

• EXTERNAL ANALYSIS – Economic and Politic

– Market Factors

• INTERNAL ANALYSIS – Business Operations

– Management

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SUPPLIERS

SUBSTITUTES

BUYERS

INDUSTRY

COMPETITORS

RIVALRY AMONG

EXISTING FIRMS

POTENTIAL

ENTRANTS

Threats of

New Entrants

Bargaining Power

Of Buyers

Threat of Substitutes

Product of Services

Bargaining Power

Of Suppliers

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Economic, Industry & Product Cycle

• Economic

Cycle

• Use

Gen. Economic Cycle

Business Cycle

Over Leveraging

Abnormal Profit

Over Demand

Over Supply

Inflation Rate, Employment Rate

GDP Growth, Trade Data, Interest

Rate

Page 12: Credit evaluation   slide share

Industry Cycle - 5 Phases

1.Pioneering Development

2.Rapid Accelerating Growth

3.Matured Growth

4.Stabilisation & Market Maturity

5.Deceleration of Growth & Decline

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STAR PROBLEM

CHILD

CASH COW DOG

MARKET SHARE DOMINANCE HIGH LOW

HIGH

LOW

MA

RK

ET

GR

OW

TH

RA

TE

BCG: Growth-Share Matrix

Page 14: Credit evaluation   slide share

Quantitative Analysis

• EARNING CAPACITY

• FINANCIAL POSITION

• LIQUIDITY POSITION

• RATIO ANALYSIS