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13 October 2016
Claims Management
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved.
Leveraging analytics to improve performance
Tom Helm
Claims data – so powerful it can save lives
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 2
Agenda
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 3
1
Empowering people
2
Advanced Analytics
3
Data Treasure Trove
What is Claims analytics?
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 4
Claims analytics => “Leveraging data to provide insight”
Static
Descriptive
Diagnostic
Prescriptive
Predictive
Cognitive
Claims analytics to improve claims performance
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 5
Unlocking the potential
Claims Spend Optimisation
Operational Performance
Advanced Claims
Analytics
Claims
Analytics
Claims analytics – empowering the enterprise
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson cl ient use only. 6
Claims analytics – empowering the enterprise
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson cl ient use only. 7
Claims analytics – empowering the enterprise
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson cl ient use only. 8
Claims Inflation
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 9
Key challenge
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 10
Car rental battle
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 11
Initial approach
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 12
Management
Information
Practices and
processes
People
Engagement
New Claims System
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 13
The breakthrough – analytics empowering people
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 14
Generate a daily report Auto Emailed to Team
Leaders @ 8:30am daily Capture the data
Team Leader reviews all
hire cases & prioritises
Claims adjusters clear
line of sight pro-active
Analytics
empowering people
Results delivered
€200 saving per claim
€2.4m saving per year
Case Study: Reducing Third Party Car Rental Costs
Claims analytics - monitoring behaviours
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 15
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
I.14 II.14 III.14 IV.14 V.14 VI.14 VII.14 VIII.14 IX.14 X.14 XI.14 XII.14 I.15 II.15 III.15 IV.15 V.15 VI.15 VII.15 VIII.15 IX.15 X.15 XI.15 XII.15
Tier 1 Tier 2 / Approved Other 3 per. Mov. Avg. (Tier 1) 3 per. Mov. Avg. (Tier 2 / Approved Other)
Vol distribution of repairs within Network – Tier 1 vs Tier 2
Network operates a two
tier solution
Case Study: Customer Vehicle Repairs – Repair costs up 22%
Outsourced repair
Network Average costs £650 lower
in their tier 1 solution
£465k Saving
opportunity
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 16
Advanced Analytics
Advanced Analytics – a solution tool kit
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 17
Data Technology Modelling People / skill set
Liability
Investigation
Medical Experts
Employers
Insurer
Accident
Management
Solicitor
Third
Party
Customer
ClaimFNOLIncident
Rich data gathered throughout the claim lifecycle
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 18
Can I learn about
the accident
earlier?
Can I allocate the
claim to the right
people?
Can I identify
fraud or
exaggeration?
Can I identify
witnesses?
Images?
Can I establish
severity of
injuries?
Can I settle this
claim quicker?
Can I be the first
to contact them
and offer a
service?
Can I reserve
more accurately?
Can I gain a better
insight into the
claimants
wellbeing/conditio
n?
Can I identify
potential high
value claims
earlier?
Can I identify
hidden witnesses?
Can I identify
hidden images?
Can I determine
nature of impact
through images?
Images
Emergency
services
Highway agency
Vehicle recovery
agency
Witnesses
Hospital
Location
Weather
conditions
Vehicle damage
severity
Injured parties
Witnesses
Circumstances
Injury details
Hospital details
Location
Weather
conditions
Third party vehicle
details
Third party details
Vehicle damage
repair estimate
Damage images
Circumstances
Vehicle
damage/repair
estimate
Acting solicitor
Injury details
Employment
status/occupation
TP Mobility status
Injury severity
Age
Vehicle damage
costs
Vehicle damage
severity
TP vehicle
mobility status
Hire vehicle need
Injury details
Salary
Prognosis
Pre-existing
condition
Treatment
Specialists
involved
Job Nature
Commute
distance
Seat belt
Images
Witness
statementsTotal Loss
Vehicle
registration
document
Purchase details
MOT certificate
Variety of data sources and techniques
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 19
Data digitalisation
WTW modeling process
20
Data Design Data ExplorationFeature Generation
& SelectionData Transformation
& Visualization
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.
sources
timeframe
sampling
fuzzy matching
what is a
record
correlation
linearity
grouping
clustering
principle
components
independent
components
singular value
decomposition
factor analysis
supervised:
GLM, LDA,
SVM, SGD, NN,
trees, gaussian
processes,
naïve bayes,
ensemble
unsupervised:
GMM,
clustering,
matrix
factorization,
NN, manifold
learning
genetic equation
search
topic modeling
one-ways
stats/common
sense checking
match rate
standardization
scaling
normalization
binarization
encoding
imputation
high-order
segmentation
hierarchy
separator
sparse coding
filter based
permutation
based
formula based
bag of words
holdout
cross validation
grid search
quantifying
the quality of
predictions
persistency
validation
curves
Model
Development Model Validation
Topic modeling
Topic modelling summary
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A topic is a set of co-occurring of words which
can describe specific events or ideas
E.g., topic describing recurring sci-fi ideas
future, technology, space, aliens, science
In an insurance context, topics represent
common events related to the insurance
process
For loss adjuster notes, topics reflect how:
An adjuster handles a claim
A claimant recovers from the loss/injury
For UW notes, topics reflect how:
An insured relates to, manages, or cares for
the insured item
An insured item was reviewed and documented
Text Mining
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22
Traditionally, if an insurer wants to systematically summarize information within
text documents, then word indicators are used:
Word indicators ignore relationships among words, and so part of a document’s
meaning is lost
Employee injured
lower back by lifting a
heavy box
Unused Words in Claim
Employee injured
lower back by lifting a
heavy box
Adjuster’s Note for Claim
Claim # Surgery Ind Lift Ind
123 0 1
Restated Adjuster Note
via Word Indicators
Topic modelling – advanced text mining
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 23
Advanced text mining techniques like Topic Modeling can capture the
content and meaning encoded in your text documents by restating
them as a blend of common topics or themes inferred from your
collection of documents
Topic modeling can create structured data from text documents
without significant loss of meaning
Employee injured
lower back by lifting a
heavy box
Adjuster’s Note for Claim
Claim # % of Topic 1 % of Topic 2
123 0.32 0.15
Restated Adjuster Note
via Topic Modeling
Claims Triage - Sleeping Giants
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 24
Case Study : Using topic modelling to identify claims that may “blow up”
Financial Benefits
€ Reduced claims settlements
€ Reduction in claims leakage
€ Improved reserving
€ Improved pricing
Opportunity to investigate
Opportunity to intervene
Opportunity to settle early
Increased control of legal costs
Investigate the claimant
background
Investigate fraud / exaggeration
Time for surveillance
The Problem Claims Handling Benefits of
Earlier Identification
High value claims
hidden amongst
the lower value
claims
=> late
identification and
late reserving
Topic Modeling Results
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 25
Topic 1 dentist tooth dental teeth lip rebar patent crown jaw
Topic 2 lifting felt muscle heavier pulled weighs lbs strain pop
Topic 3 herniated esi disc stenosis epidural spineneuro
surgeonbulge fusion
Summary:
The included topic factors were statistically significant, time
consistent, semantically coherent & reasonable for this
application, they were also more important than many factors already
in the model (including text mining flags)
Case Study : Using topic modelling to identify claims that may “blow up”
Topic Modeling Results
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 26
Double lift chart example from GLM including results from 100-topic STM with (supervised) content covariate
Case Study : Using topic modelling to identify claims that may “blow up”
Advanced Analytics – Opportunities across the claims process
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 27
Fault vs Non Fault
Fast settlement for high
value customers Supplier optimisation
Quickly identify the likely
claim outcome
Auto (re)allocate the
claim to the right people
Resolve fault claims
quick – save money
Improve subrogation
Link with underwriting
information to identify
high value and
trustworthy customers
Auto feed into the claim
notification process
Enable day one
settlements
Evaluate performance
between suppliers
Assess image of
damage – route claim to
most effective solution
Source repair or
replacement via an
online tender or
selection process
Determine the top
performers
What are the handling
characteristics of a top
performer?
Share the insights and
monitor to drive
performance
improvement
Claims Adjuster Performance
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 28
Claims => Data Treasure Trove
Claims Data – Providing deeper customer insight
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 29
Customer Data
Collected
At policy
inception
During
Claims
Process
New Correlations New Customer Insights
Lifestyle
Family
Travel / Holiday
Attitude to claiming
Attitude to risk
Assets
Claims Data – Providing deeper customer insight
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 30
Customer Data
Collected
At policy
inception
During
Claims
Process
New Correlations New Customer Insights
Lifestyle
Family
Travel / Holiday
Attitude to claiming
Attitude to risk
Assets
Business Analytics & Intelligence – Job Advert Walmart
• Our work is about more than just knowing what our customers want, it’s
about understanding who they are.
• It all comes down to working better so customers can live better.
• Our team is a customer-understanding powerhouse.
• Retail may be what we’re known for, but science is what’s building our
next-generation of business
• No matter what role you play, you’ll be at the– at the heart of customers’
needs.
Claims analytics – valuable asset across the business
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 31
Sales &
DistributionBig Data
Pricing &
Underwriting
Financial Reporting
Reinsurance &
Capital Management
Reserving
Claims
Analytics
Summary
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 32
Claims Data => A treasure trove to be unlocked
Smart Analytics => Business Experts + Analytic Experts
Recognise increased value in data
Claims community engaged
Empower people through data
Claims analytics can help:
solve business challenges
create new claims handling solutions
Powerful tool kit
Huge potential
Blend skills
Culture Change
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 33
Claims data – so powerful it can save lives
Discipline Everyone knows the value of data
Transforming claims analytics
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only. 34
Mapping the journey
Current State
Data Availability
Data Quality
Data Frequency
Analytical
Tools/Techniques
Analytical
Resources/
Skills
Analysis
Reports/
Outputs
SME
Key Questions
Proficient
Advanced
Stakeholders
ROI
DeliveryRich new insights
Data Identify the source
Determine What key outputs will provide value ?
For further information please contact:
35
Tom HelmHead of Claims Consulting
Risk and Financial Services
71 High Holborn
WC1V6TP London
United KingdomT: +44 20 7170 2262
M: +44 7773 040703Confidentiality Statement
This document has been prepared for the
sole and exclusive use for participants of the
Czech Insurance Conference 2016,
Willis Towers Watson Czech Republic.
Distribution or disclosure of, or quotation
from, or reference to this document to any
other party, is prohibited without the prior
written consent by Willis Towers Watson
(“WTW”, “we” or “us”.)
© 2016 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.
Roger GascoigneDirector
Risk Consulting and Software
Klimentská 1216/46
110 00 Praha 1
Czech RepublicT: +420 222 191 239
M:+420 602 313 408