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Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
David Paterson
Country Director Mongolia
Oyu Tolgoi CopperMongolian partnership in action
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
Rio Tinto is one of the world’s leading companies
• Approximately 60,000 employees world wide
• Operations in over 40 countries
• 2010 global revenues of >US$60 billion
• US$12 billion in major capital growth projects approved for 2010/2011
2
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
Market capitalisation of majorlisted mining companies
3
At 15 February 2011(US$bn)
Source: Thomson Datastream
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011Source: Rio Tinto
Rio Tinto is a global leader in the development of key mining technologies
Advanced mineral recovery
Advanced flotation modelling and control
Technology platform for sorting bulk commodities
Linking orebody knowledge with selective leaching
Advanced FlotationSorting Platform Selective Leaching
• Two new tunnelling concepts that are more productive and cost effective than traditional methods.
• Integrated shaft boring machinery with the potentialto dramatically improve safety while reducing construction time.
Rapid underground development
4
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
Where we operate Copper
Note: Shaded areas denote countries where Rio Tinto has a presence through operations, offices or exploration.
Source: Rio Tinto 5
Other Rio Tinto
Pebble (USA)
Kennecott (USA)
Resolution (USA)
Eagle (USA)
La Granja (Peru)
Escondida (Chile)
Palabora (South Africa)
Northparkes (Australia)
Grasberg (Indonesia)
Sulawesi (Indonesia)
OyuTolgoi (Mongolia)
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
Rio Tinto Copper: Unparalleled capabilities
6
Mining & Processing
Global Diversity
Innovation & Technology
Governance
Sustainable Development
Functional support
Full Range of Copper Mining & Processing
• From Open cut to underground block cave
• Milling & smelting to SXEW, leaching & autoclave
True Global Company
• Proven capacity to develop large, low cost, long life operations in a range of different global settings (1st world to 3rd world)
Global Leader in Mining Innovation
• Advanced development of leading step change technologies with the greatest potential to create value in copper
Flexibility & Experience
• Proven capacity to successfully develop and operate with a rangeof different ownership structures (100% owner to minority JV’s)
Global Miner of Choice
• Strategic commitment by leadership of Rio Tinto
• Leading HSEC performance, systems, and standards
End to End Skills
• World class expertise in all related mining support functions, from exploration to marketing
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
Note: Expenditure profiles are based on Rio Tinto estimates of global income and consumption relationships and Brook Hunts long term price forecast.
Source: Global Insight, Brook Hunt a Wood Mackenzie Company, McKinsey, Rio Tinto
Strong demand & constrained supply
Global population distribution
Consumption per capita ($)
GDP per capita ($ thousands)
Copper
While supply will be constrainedStrong demand will continue
• The average exploration cost per tonne of copper discovered has almost doubled in the last decade
• Reserve life is decreasing, as is the average grade of new deposits
• Most discoveries are now blind
• High capital and operating costs, and greater technical risk, limit new production
7
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
Mongolia: well positioned to benefit from growth in China’s consumption of raw materials
02,0004,0006,0008,000
10,00012,00014,00016,00018,000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
China’s copper demand will remain strong driven by urbanisation and increasing intensity of use…….
Rest of world
ChinaRefined copper consumption (kt)
Source: RT Analysis, GTIS; Brook Hunt - a Wood Mackenzie Company; 8
CAGR 14%
2009
6.1
3.2
1.2
1.7
2008
4.6
1.4
1.7
1.5
2007
4.4
1.5
1.7
1.3
2006
3.3
0.8
1.5
1.0
2005
3.8
1.2
1.4
1.1
2004
3.2
1.2
1.2
0.8
Cathode
Scrap
ConcentrateCopper and copper raw material imports (Mt contained Cu)
….but is reliant on imports
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
Growth in concentrate demand
Global concentrate balance (‘000 tonnes contained Cu)
Source: CRU; Brook Hunt - a Wood Mackenzie Company; Rio Tinto Analysis
-10
40
10
20
30
0
50
10,0008,0006,0004,0002,000
Chinese Smelters
New Chinese smelters are low cost
High cost smelters are vulnerable to closure
-2,058
-1,274-1,525
-1,307
-678
-5
201520142013201220112010
Global concentrate deficit continues to grow…
Low cost capacity forecast to increase
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Driven by Chinese smelter capacity expansion
Copper production from concentrates (Kt contained Cu)
China
Japan
China has over taken Japan as the largest consumer of custom concentrates (6.1 Mt – 2009)
Most smelters in China are positioned in the lower quartile of the cost curve
Low cost capacity will continue to be built in China while marginal producers will be vulnerable to closure
Cts/lb
9
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
Oyu Tolgoi is a Tier one asset
1111
Note: 1. Copper assets include those in Pre-Production or Feasibility and the ten largest assets with Active Reserves Development as defined by MEG.
2. Rio Tinto’s owns 100% of La Granja, 55% of Resolution, has a 22.4% interest in Ivanhoe Mines Limited (with the option to increase to 44%) who own 66% of Oyu Tolgoi and a 19.8% interest in Northern Dynasty Minerals Limited who own 50% of Pebble. Deposit data for La Granja, Resolution and Oyu Tolgoi is from the JORC compliant ore reserves and resources statement outlined in the 2009 Annual Report, pp. 68-77. Pebble deposit data is 43-101 compliant, derived from the “Updates Mineral Resource Estimate…” news release dated 01/02/2010.
Source: Metals Economics Group, Rio Tinto, Northern Dynasty
Bubble size denotes size of asset (contained Cu)
Resolution
La Granja
Oyu Tolgoi
Pebble
Comparison of undeveloped copper assets 1
Grade(%Cu)
Reserves & resources (Mt)
Rio Tinto interests
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
• Long term investment
• Transparent reporting
Terms of Investment
• Stable tax environment
• Tax and royalty revenue
Taxation
• Flexible energy options
• Provision for roads
Infrastructure
Source: Oyu Tolgoi LLC
• 90% Mongolian employees
• 5 yr training & strategy plan
Employment & Training
• New regional council
• Transparent communities plans
Regional development
• Detailed environmental impact assessments and protection plan
Environment
12
A landmark investment agreement
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
Benefits for Mongolia
Capital expenditure
Education & Training
Employment
• Estimated investment of ~US$6 billion
• US$100 million committed, training for 3,300 operators initially
• 150 scholarships awarded
• Workforce will peak at 17,000 during construction
• Experienced in Western methods, process and standards
• 90% Mongolian nationals during operations
Procurement
Infrastructure
Sustainable development
• Estimated $500-800m per annum when operational
• Infrastructure plans include an airstrip, water, transport and power developments
• Contributing to sustainable development was a key foundation forinvestment agreement
• Rio Tinto sponsored General Equilibrium Model
The development of Oyu Tolgoi is a catalyst for eco nomic and social development
13
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011 14
Oyu Tolgoi will increase the Mongolian economy by over 35% by 2020
Mongolian real gross domestic productMNT trillions and annual growth • By 2020 Oyu Tolgoi’s
impact will increase GDP by around a third.
• Oyu Tolgoi will lift GDP per person by MNT1.7 million (over $1000) in 2020 – an increase equivalent to over 60% of today's GDP per person.
• GDP growth peaks at 22% in 2016.
• The average growth rate from 2013-2020 is projected to be 12.7% compared to 7.7% without Oyu Tolgoi.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
20%
24%
2010 2015 2020 2025
Real GDP in OT scenario
% annual growth
MNT trillions (2010)
Real GDP in reference case
Annual growth in OT scenario
Annual growth in reference case
Long run copper price of $2.50/lb ($5,500/ton)Long run gold price of $1000/oz
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
Focus on training and development
Traineeships / Apprentices• 148 Mongolians currently on Traineeships studying mining skills• Expect an addition 172 Traineeships to be awarded by February 2012
Scholarships• 30 Mongolian students awarded scholarships as at end 2010• Expect an additional 200 scholarships to be awarded over the next 6 years
“Rio Tinto will bring world standards and advanced technologies”
Batsukh GalsanChairman, Oyu Tolgoi
15
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
OT Current Status: Investment & Ownership
• Secure additional funding for the project; and
• Enabled Rio Tinto to assume management control
16
Rio Tinto has invested over US$2.3 billion in OT ov er the past 4 years
Rio Tinto42.1%
OtherShareholders
Ivanhoe66%
Govt of Mongolia 34%
Oyu Tolgoi
• In December 2010, Rio Tinto and IVN announced a number of key agreements.
These agreements:
• Provide Rio Tinto with a clear pathway to 49% ownership in IVN (32.3% of the OT project)
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
The transition to Rio Tinto management control will provide significant additional benefits
17
OT Project will be carried out with
access to the full functional and
technical expertise of Rio Tinto.
OT will be able to utilize the suite of
Rio Tinto’s intellectual property relevant to the OT
Project.
OT Project will benefit from the
combined practical experience gleaned from operating in over 40 countries
worldwide .
Functional & Technical Expertise
GlobalExperience
Intellectual Property
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
Current status
• Construction is advancing on schedule
• >9000 people on site
• On track for first copper production in Q4 2012, ramping up to full production by 2018
18
Australian / Mongolian Business Forum - 2011
The benefits of doing business in Mongolia
Source: Oyu Tolgoi LLC
Liberal political environment
Supportive of foreign investment
Commitment to develop infrastructure
Financial system restructuring
• Transparent, long-term vision, neutral foreign relations policy• Maintaining prudent macroeconomic and structural policies
• Tax policies protecting the rights and interests of foreign investors• Willingness to negotiate on terms
• Government proactively legislating • Railway and Air network development
• More prudent monetary policy• Strengthening of the banking and financial system• IMF says there is “low risk of debt distress”
“Looking forward, the economic outlook is very favo urable, driven by the signing of the Oyu Tolgoi investment agreement in O ctober 2009.”
World Bank Mongolia Monthly Economic Update
Rich in natural resources
• Highly prospective region• In close proximity to China & Russia• Growing Mongolian Mining Sector
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