Čempionu brokastis nr.18 / Daunis Auers / Sabrukums, uzplaukums vai viss pa vecam?

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#ČempionuBrokastis 28.novembris

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Sabrukums, uzplaukums vai viss pa vecam?Kas mūs sagaida 2015. gadā?

DDB Čempionu brokastis, 28/11/2014

Daunis Auers, PhD (Londona)

LU SZF Asocietais profesors

auers@lu.lv

#daunisauers

mailto:auers@lu.lv

Pasaule & Latvija

http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=_yCyxjrideID5M&tbnid=py_OfEZznquwiM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.freeworldmaps.net/europe/latvia/location.html&ei=a45GUty7GuqS4ATVoIHQAw&bvm=bv.53217764,d.bGE&psig=AFQjCNHb8Y9FQ2oYRRXyyA9SFl5F_5Rn9Q&ust=1380442086038547
http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=_yCyxjrideID5M&tbnid=py_OfEZznquwiM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.freeworldmaps.net/europe/latvia/location.html&ei=a45GUty7GuqS4ATVoIHQAw&bvm=bv.53217764,d.bGE&psig=AFQjCNHb8Y9FQ2oYRRXyyA9SFl5F_5Rn9Q&ust=1380442086038547

Ārējie riski 2015. gadā:1. Eiropa

http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=VQdQoIGGqR0sPM&tbnid=ID7yuAwVps15XM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.sstaffs.gov.uk/your_services/electoral_services/elections/elections_in_2014.aspx&ei=ONFXUs2FI-_P4QTA3YGoDQ&bvm=bv.53899372,d.bGE&psig=AFQjCNFYhplWH_X-JoD9IVfjp9Gb8l5jVw&ust=1381573193556639
http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&frm=1&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&docid=VQdQoIGGqR0sPM&tbnid=ID7yuAwVps15XM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://www.sstaffs.gov.uk/your_services/electoral_services/elections/elections_in_2014.aspx&ei=ONFXUs2FI-_P4QTA3YGoDQ&bvm=bv.53899372,d.bGE&psig=AFQjCNFYhplWH_X-JoD9IVfjp9Gb8l5jVw&ust=1381573193556639

Ārējie riski 2015. gadā:2. Krievija

Krievijas ekonomija 2015. gadā...

Latvija un Krievija. IKP pieaugums. 1993-2013.g. (%)

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

151993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Latvia

Russia

Iekšējie riski 2015. gadāLielākais (vienīgais?) risks: Politiskā stagnācija

Legal investiture Party government Effective government

N. Dienas N. Dienas N. Dienas

Igaunija 10 672 12 559 11 575

Latvija 15 446 18 369 18 344

Lietuva 11 655 12 601 11 630

CAE (1990-2008)

- 536 - - - 510

MK dzīvotspēja Baltijas valstīs. 1992-2014

Glābējs…?

Secinājumi: Sabrukums, uzplaukums vai viss pa vecam?

Paldies. Jautājumi vai komenti?

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