Emerging Agriculture 2016: The Future of Agriculture

THE FUTURE OF AGRICULTURE

Design:Culture:Mind

#EmergingAg

@nikolasfuturist

“I know there's a farmer out there somewhere who never wants a PC and that's fine with me.”

Bill Gates

Today?

“Food production must increase with 60% to be able to feed the growing population expected to hit 9 billion in 2050.”

There is an urgency to increase yield, drive efficiencies and

fight the ever changing world.

Internet of Things

Internet of Things

Autonomous Vehicles & Drones

Internet of Things

Autonomous Vehicles & Drones

Big Data

Internet of Things

Autonomous Vehicles & Drones

Big Data

AR & VR

Internet of Things

Autonomous Vehicles & Drones

Big Data

AR & VR…and one more thing

Internet of Things

“The Internet of Things (IoT) is the network of physical objects or "things" embedded with electronics, software, sensors, and network connectivity, which enables these objects to collect and exchange data.”

Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_of_Things

1. Higher productivity and more efficient use of land, water and fertilizer.

2. Greater transparency.

3. Big data, and the software to collect it.

“4.9 billion connected things will be in use in 2015, up 30 percent from 2014, and will reach 25 billion by 2020.”

Gartner

Source: https://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2905717

“GE estimates that convergence of machines, data, and analytics will become a $200 billion global industry over the next three years.”

CMO.com

Source: http://www.cmo.com/articles/2015/4/13/mind-blowing-stats-internet-of-things-iot.html

“94% of all businesses have seen a return on their IoT investments.”

CMO.com

Source: http://www.cmo.com/articles/2015/4/13/mind-blowing-stats-internet-of-things-iot.html

Semios - Manage Your Orchard

Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/

Vital Herd - Quantified Livestock

Source: http://www.fastcoexist.com/3048171/the-quantified-cow-wearables-will-monitor-animals-as-closely-as-humans

“40% of dairy cows get sick each year and those losses from livestock animal sickness amount to $5 billion a year in the U.S. alone.”

Brian Walsh, Vital Herd's CEO

“500 billion devices by 2025.” Cisco

Source: XXX

Challenges

• Cost efficiency • Connectivity • Security • Maintenance and Upgrades • Data, data, data • Training

Drones

“Because of limited arable land, productivity must increase 25% to help meet that goal.”

The Robot Report

Source: http://www.therobotreport.com/news/ag-in-transition-from-precision-ag-to-full-autonomy

“Agricultural robot market size to grow from $817 million in 2013 to $16.3 billion by 2020.”

ResearchMoz

Source: http://www.therobotreport.com/news/ag-in-transition-from-precision-ag-to-full-autonomy

Autonomous Tractors

Weed Control

Source: http://spectrum.ieee.org/automaton/robotics/industrial-robots/bosch-deepfield-robotics-weed-control

WineBot

Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/

Herding Drone

Source: http://modernfarmer.com/2013/08/5-robots-on-the-farm/

Rosphere

Source: http://www.upm.es/internacional/UPM/UPM_Channel/News/9ec27b9df516f310VgnVCM10000009c7648aRCRD

And now, a look to the skies.

“The average size of a Canadian farm was 315 hectares in 2012. But in Saskatchewan, the average size was 675 hectares.”

Statistics Canada

Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/

Farm Drones

eBee Ag: Precision Agriculture

Google’s Project Wing

Source: http://www.theverge.com/2015/11/2/9660198/googles-project-wing-drone-launch-2017

Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/

Lancaster

“In 40 minutes, 120 hectares can be surveyed by Lancaster, the metre-long, 1.4-kilogram drone is used with various plug-and-play imaging sensors, including infrared and hyper-spectral, which depict more than 100 channels of light that can reveal problem areas invisible to the human eye.”

Source: https://gereports.ca/drones-take-to-the-agricultural-skies/

• 3D TERRAIN MAPPING • PLANT HEIGHT • WEED DETECTION • PLANT COUNTING • CANOPY COVER • CROP HEALTH INDEXES • SEASON MONITORING

What can it do?

What about some smaller applications with bigger impacts?

Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/

“Honey bees are responsible for $30 billion a year in crops.”

“One of every three bites of food comes from plants pollinated by honeybees and other pollinators. Yet, major declines in bee populations threaten the availability of many fresh ingredients consumers rely on for their dinner tables.”

Whole Foods

• Autonomously pollinating a field of crops. • Hazardous environment exploration. • Search and rescue (e.g., in the aftermath of a

natural disaster). • High resolution weather and climate mapping. • Traffic monitoring. • Surveillance.

Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/

Bee drones have wide-ranging applications

Drone Challenges

• Securing and patrolling the farm’s airspace.

• Navigating legislation and remaining compliant.

• Training. • Hacking and theft. • Rogue UAVs.

Big Data

• Machine optimization. • Optimized planting • Identify disease outbreaks. • Creating better seeds and hybrids • Better decisions that prevent

mistakes and increase efficiency.

Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/

The Promise

Source: http://www.cmo.com/articles/2015/4/13/mind-blowing-stats-internet-of-things-iot.html

Farm at Hand - Enterprise Resource Planning

Farmer’s Business Network

Source: https://www.farmersbusinessnetwork.com/

Farm Data Simplified.• Analyze your soils, seeds, fertilizers, chemicals, yields, economics,

and weather. • Move beyond maps. Unlock profitable, actionable insights from all

your data. • Integrate any precision monitor with unlimited file cleaning and

storage.

Real World Seed Intelligence.• Access agriculture’s largest database of real world seed

performance. • Find optimal planting populations and practices on over 700 varieties.

Farmers Connecting.• Farm with the confidence of millions of acres of anonymous crop and

practice insights. • Join thousands of advanced farmers in the digital coffee shop - this is

the new way to share. • Get exclusive access to FBN Events and Member Benefits.

Source: https://www.farmersbusinessnetwork.com/

Farmer’s Business Network

But, there are some real concerns around big data usage…

Sources: https://scicrop.com/en/index.php and https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P7m_llFYU1I

SCICROP

• Acquires worldwide data from agriculture, financial markets and climate, mapping the value-added information.

• Analyzes more than 200k data units per day collected through public and private agrometeorological stations (invented by Scicrop), mapping drones (invented by Scicrop), news, social networks and satellite images.

• Interpret data and build crop production and climate risk scenarios through realtime farm analysis.

“THE S&P AND BLOOMBERG FOR AGRICULTURE.”

Source: http://www.wsj.com/articles/startups-mine-market-moving-data-from-fields-parking-lotseven-shadows-1416502993

• Who owns the data? • How easy is it to acquire data? • Who profits off of the analytics? • How secure are the services?

Source: http://robobees.seas.harvard.edu/

The Challenges

AR & VR

This is bad

John Deere’s FarmSight

“Every screen larger than the one on your wrist will get eaten by VR/AR in the next 10 years”

Source: https://thoughts.ishuman.co/vr-will-eat-screens-be0c1ea2d789#.dwyqq41ed

Water

Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/

Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/

Source: http://waterfootprint.org/en/

Drought & Floods

Yorkton, Saskatoon

“Of all natural hazards, floods, droughts and tropical storms affect the agriculture sector most showing the severe impact of climate-related disasters.”

US Secretary-General

Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22129524-100-vertical-farms-sprouting-all-over-the-world/

“Over the last three decades, there has been a rising trend in the occurrence of disasters worldwide - droughts, hydrological events like floods and meteorological events such as storms.”

US Secretary-General

Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22129524-100-vertical-farms-sprouting-all-over-the-world/

“Economic losses have reached an average of USD 250 billion to USD 300 billion a year.”

US Secretary-General

Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22129524-100-vertical-farms-sprouting-all-over-the-world/

Somerset Levels, UK

Cities

“86% of the people in the developed world will live in cities by 2050.”

United Nations

Source: https://www.newscientist.com/article/mg22129524-100-vertical-farms-sprouting-all-over-the-world/

Vertical Farms

Source: http://www.citylab.com/design/2014/08/forget-vertical-farms-this-is-a-vertical-rice-paddy-fish-nursery-transit-center-nuclear-plant/376051/

Source: http://www.citylab.com/design/2014/08/forget-vertical-farms-this-is-a-vertical-rice-paddy-fish-nursery-transit-center-nuclear-plant/376051/

Hydroponics

"We're growing in 16 days what otherwise takes 30 days in a field - using 95% less water, about 50% less fertilizers, zero pesticides, herbicides, fungicides"

David Rosenberg, CEO, AeroFarms

Source: http://www.cnbc.com/2015/06/24/vertical-farming-the-next-big-thing-for-food-and-tech.html

NASA LETTUCE INFO - IMAGES?

Aquaponics

FutureFarmer

Smartdust

Quantum Computing

Human Augmentation

Brain-Computer Interfaces

Virtual Personal Assistants

nik@nikolasbadminton.com + 1 778 918 6446

See and download the presentation at slideshare.com/nikolasbadminton