Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

The Determinants of Income in Louisville,

KentuckyHarrison Kirby

Centre College ‘17

Census Tracts

Income

The usual suspects

The usual suspects

Demographics

The usual suspects

Demographics

Local labor market

The usual suspects

Demographics

Local labor market

Occupation

FloodAge

MarriedGrad School

BuisinessProductionBachelors

ConstructionService

Age x AgeNo English

Fertility RateUnemployent

Disability

Results

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Buisiness

Production

Construction

Service0% 1%

Occupation Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Buisiness

Production

Construction

Service0% 1%

Occupation Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Buisiness

Production

Construction

Service0% 1%

Occupation Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Buisiness

Production

Construction

Service0% 1%

Occupation Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Buisiness

Production

Construction

Service0% 1%

Occupation Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

the usual story

The West End

“The history of the 9th Street Divide starts with urban renewal. Around that time period, cities around the country decided they were going to remove African Americans from the urban core and put them in their own neat little neighborhoods. Louisville was very progressive on that front—we built the 9th Street Divide as an exit off the expressway. As you can tell from driving around the city, it pretty much removed all the African American communities from downtown Louisville.”

A different narrative

Elevation

1937 Flood

FloodAge

MarriedGrad School

BuisinessProductionBachelors

ConstructionService

Age x AgeNo English

Fertility RateUnemployent

Disability

Results

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

FloodAge

MarriedGrad School

BuisinessProductionBachelors

ConstructionService

Age x AgeNo English

Fertility RateUnemployent

Disability

Results

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

R2 = .924N = 191

FloodAge

MarriedGrad School

BuisinessProductionBachelors

ConstructionService

Age x AgeNo English

Fertility RateUnemployent

Disability

9%

Results

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

R2 = .924N = 191

Conclusions

Conclusions

Race and gender not included in final

model

Conclusions

Race and gender not included in final

model

Impacts of the1937 Flood

ConclusionsRace and gender not included in final model

Impacts of the1937 Flood

Consequences for development