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The Determinants of Income in Louisville, Kentucky Harrison Kirby Centre College ‘17

Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

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Page 1: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

The Determinants of Income in Louisville,

KentuckyHarrison Kirby

Centre College ‘17

Page 2: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937
Page 3: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

Census Tracts

Page 4: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

Income

Page 5: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

The usual suspects

Page 6: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

The usual suspects

Demographics

Page 7: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

The usual suspects

Demographics

Local labor market

Page 8: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

The usual suspects

Demographics

Local labor market

Occupation

Page 9: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

FloodAge

MarriedGrad School

BuisinessProductionBachelors

ConstructionService

Age x AgeNo English

Fertility RateUnemployent

Disability

Results

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 10: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 11: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 12: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 13: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 14: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 15: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 16: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

AgeMarried

Grad SchoolBachelorsAge x AgeNo English

Fertility RateDisability

-2% -1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Demographic Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 17: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

Buisiness

Production

Construction

Service0% 1%

Occupation Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 18: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

Buisiness

Production

Construction

Service0% 1%

Occupation Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 19: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

Buisiness

Production

Construction

Service0% 1%

Occupation Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 20: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

Buisiness

Production

Construction

Service0% 1%

Occupation Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 21: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

Buisiness

Production

Construction

Service0% 1%

Occupation Variables

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 22: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

the usual story

Page 23: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

The West End

Page 24: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

“The history of the 9th Street Divide starts with urban renewal. Around that time period, cities around the country decided they were going to remove African Americans from the urban core and put them in their own neat little neighborhoods. Louisville was very progressive on that front—we built the 9th Street Divide as an exit off the expressway. As you can tell from driving around the city, it pretty much removed all the African American communities from downtown Louisville.”

Page 25: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

A different narrative

Page 26: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937
Page 27: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

Elevation

Page 28: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

1937 Flood

Page 29: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937
Page 30: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937
Page 31: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937
Page 32: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937
Page 33: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937
Page 34: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937
Page 35: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

FloodAge

MarriedGrad School

BuisinessProductionBachelors

ConstructionService

Age x AgeNo English

Fertility RateUnemployent

Disability

Results

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

Page 36: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

FloodAge

MarriedGrad School

BuisinessProductionBachelors

ConstructionService

Age x AgeNo English

Fertility RateUnemployent

Disability

Results

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

R2 = .924N = 191

Page 37: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

FloodAge

MarriedGrad School

BuisinessProductionBachelors

ConstructionService

Age x AgeNo English

Fertility RateUnemployent

Disability

9%

Results

Significancep > .1p < .1p < .05p < .01

R2 = .924N = 191

Page 38: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

Conclusions

Page 39: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

Conclusions

Race and gender not included in final

model

Page 40: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

Conclusions

Race and gender not included in final

model

Impacts of the1937 Flood

Page 41: Louisville Income: Demographics and the Flood of 1937

ConclusionsRace and gender not included in final model

Impacts of the1937 Flood

Consequences for development