TURNING NC BLUE

TURNING NC BLUE1 + 1 + 1 = Victory

Can NC Be POTUS Blue?

2000 Gore Bush Margin

1,257,692 1,631,163 -373,471

2004 Kerry Bush Margin

1,520,339 1,966,676 -446,338

2004 Actual Numbers

Repub over DemsRep (40%) Dem (39%) UNA (21%) Total

Totals 1,394,806 1,359,936 732,273 3,487,015

Vote D 55,792 (4%) 1,142,346 322,200 (44%) 1,520,339

Vote R 1,339,014 217,590 (16%) 410,073 (56%) 1,966,676

446,338

2004 Actual Numbers

Repub over DemsRep (40%) Dem (39%) UNA (21%) Total

Totals 1,394,806 1,359,936 732,273 3,487,015

Vote D 55,792 (4%) 1,142,346 322,200 (44%) 1,520,339

Vote R 1,339,014 217,590 (16%) 410,073 (56%) 1,966,676

446,338

2004 Actual Numbers

Repub over DemsRep (40%) Dem (39%) UNA (21%) Total

Totals 1,394,806 1,359,936 732,273 3,487,015

Vote D 55,792 (4%) 1,142,346 322,200 (44%) 1,520,339

Vote R 1,339,014 217,590 (16%) 410,073 (56%) 1,966,676

446,338

Can NC BE POTUS Blue?

Is it hopeless?

Victory is closer than you think –It is as simple as 1 + 1 +1

If Democrats act!

2004 Results Adjusted

Repub over DemsRep (34%) Dem (45%) UNA (21%) Total

Totals 1,185,585 1,569,157 732,273 3,487,015

Vote D 160,053 (13.5%) 1,142,345 351,491 (48%) 1,653,889

Vote R 1,025,532 329,523 (21%) 380,782 (52%) 1,735,837

81,947

Keys To Victory In ‘08

• Drive Up Democratic Turnout• Register 200,000+ new Democrats • Energize 200,000 non-voting Dems to vote

in ‘08.

• Convince More Independents• Work 100,000 more Unaffiliated Voters to

Vote Democrat.

• Keep reaching out to dissatisfied Republicans.

North Carolina

# UNREGISTERED

VAP 1/2008 # Blacks # Age 18-24

Unreg 1.32 M

Unreg 0.27 M

Unreg 0.46 M

35%

Democrats Desperately Seeking ..

18 to 29 year olds (males and female)

VOTE BY AGE 2004

BUSH KERRYTOTAL 2004 200418-29 (14%) 43% 56%

Democrats Desperately Seeking…..

Single Women

• In 2000, 22 million unmarried women did not vote.

• The largest group of non voters in America today.

DEMOCRATS CAN DO IT!

CountyDem 1/08

Rep 1/08

UNA 1/08

Dem 4/5/08

Rep 4/5/08

UNA 4/5/08

Dem Change 1/08

to 4/5/08

Repub Change1/08

to 4/5/08

UNA 1/08 to 4/5/08

Totals2,520,2

471,925,1

321,172,3

512,565,8

801,934,8

921,213,8

98

45,633 9,760

41,547

% Totals 44.86% 34.27% 20.87% 44.90% 33.86% 21.24%      

Democrats Desperately Seeking ….

Sleeping Democrats

• 1.65 NC registered voters did not vote.

• Over 600,000 Democrats since 2000

North Carolina

MISSING VOTERS

Adults Who Are Unreg. Or Who Did Not Vote, 2000-07

Number | % VAP

Black Miss'g Voters

18-24 Miss'g Voters

2.96 M 43% 0.66 M 0.76 M

North Carolina

% REG. WHO VOTED IN 2004

Total Turn-out, 2004

Turn-out White

Turn-out Black

Turn-out Women

Turn-out Age 18-25

64% 66% 59% 65% 52%

Dispel Myths

Have you moved to North Carolina since 1990?

(2000 exit polls)

% of % oftotal category total

19% Yes 56% (Gore) 44%

(Bush)

‘08 Winning Formula

• 35 Dems – average – per county.• Either singly or in combination – per

week:• 5 new voters, or• 5 non-voting Dems, or • 5 Unaffiliated voters• 5 in any combination

• 175 per week x 30 weeks = 5,250.• 100 counties = 525,000 a) new

registrations or activation of non-voting Dems, or Unaffiliated conversions.

1+1+1 = A Blue NC

• It is literally • 1 Democrat• Contacting 1 person • Every day

It equals a Blue North Carolina

Question

Who did you contact today?

The Political Junkies

• Produced by The Political Junkies (thepoliticaljunkies.net)

• TPJ is a “webzine” of Democratic Party politics in North Carolina.