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National Integrated Drought Information System:
(NIDIS)
Roger S. Pulwarty
1
Goal:Goal: Enable the Nation to move from a reactive to a more Enable the Nation to move from a reactive to a more proactive approach to managing drought risks and impacts proactive approach to managing drought risks and impacts
((Public Law 109-430, 2006)
(www.drought.gov)
National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS):
A NOAA-led Federal, State, Tribal and Local Partnership
2
>1YEAR
10YEARS
30YEARS
100YEARS
SHORT-TERM-Seasonal
DECADAL..
30DAYS
1-4SEASONS
An E&E Publishing ServiceWATER: Federal judge rules against Ga. in Lake Lanier battle (Friday, July 17, 2009)Taryn Luntz, E&E reporter
A federal judge ruled today that it is illegal to use Georgia's Lake Lanier for Atlanta-area drinking water, the latest development in the ongoing water wars among Georgia, Florida and Alabama.
U.S. District Judge Paul Magnuson said that only Congress, not the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, can authorize the water withdrawals, validating Alabama and Florida's contention that the lake was built solely to aid flood control, hydropower generation and navigation.Alabama filed the lawsuit in 1990.Atlanta depends on the lake for its drinking water, but Florida and Alabama rely on healthy water levels to support commercial fisheries, farms and cities downstream.
Magnuson ordered the water withdrawals to be frozen at current levels for three years to allow Congress to work out how much water from Lake Lanier can be used to supply Atlanta. Without new authorization, withdrawals would revert to much lower levels allowed in the 1970s after the three-year time frame expires.
Implementation: Elements
1. NIDIS Office
2. U.S. Drought Portal
3. Climate Test BedsIntegrating data and forecasts
4. Coping with DroughtIntegrated Impacts and Applications Research, Communication
(RISA,SARP,TRACS)
5. NIDIS Early Warning Information System Development
Pilot Design and Implementation
NIDIS Governance Structure1. NIDIS Executive Council
Co-chairs: Director, NOAA Climate Program Office (or designee) Director, National Drought Mitigation Center (or designee)
2. NIDIS Program Office(NPO)
Public AwarenessAnd Education
IntegratedMonitoring and
Forecasting
InterdisciplinaryResearch andApplications
Engaging PreparednessCommunities
U.S.Drought Portal
3. NIDIS Program Implementation Team (NPIT)
Chair: NPO Director ; Co-chairs
National Integrated Drought Information System Drought Early Warning Information System Design, Pilots, and Implementation
4. NIDIS Technical Working Groups
Over 50 Federal Over 50 Federal agency, state, tribal agency, state, tribal and private sector and private sector representatives from representatives from around the countryaround the country
NIDIS Governance Structure1. NIDIS Executive Council
2. NIDIS Program Office(NPO)
Public AwarenessAnd Education
IntegratedMonitoring and
Forecasting
InterdisciplinaryResearch andApplications
Engaging PreparednessCommunities
U.S.Drought Portal
3. NIDIS Program Implementation Team (NPIT)
National Integrated Drought Information System Drought Early Warning Information System Design, Pilots, and Implementation
4. NIDIS Technical Working GroupsFederal, Regional, State, Tribal and Local Partner Leads
Nation,regional, and local NIDIS ActivitiesDevelop pilot implementation and transferability criteria
Co-Chairs selected by NPIT
Interdisciplinary Research and Applications
NIDIS Knowledge Assessments
NIDIS Service Assessment Workshops
•“
Implementing the NIDIS: Pilots
ApplicationsResearch
PredictionMonitoring
ImpactMitigation
ProactivePlanning
ImprovedAdaptation
Engaging research, management and planning communities:
Stakeholder defined measures of drought and triggers for decision making
Engaging the preparedness communities
Integrating Tools:e.g. Drought Portal
Coordinating federal, state, and local drought-related activities (e.g. within watersheds and states)
Identifying and diffusing innovative strategies for drought risk assessment, communication and preparedness
Year 1: Designing a Drought Early Warning Information System for the Upper Colorado Basin (undeway) 2009-2010
What exists and what’s missing? Gap analyses• Monitoring and forecasting • Drought-sensitive planning indicators and management triggers assimilated
into one location • Present status of impacts and demand assessments
How does coordination and information flow take place?• What partnerships, decision support tools and actions are needed (to
improve information development, coordination and flow for preparedness and risk reduction)?
• Initiate development of Basin-specific Drought Information Monitor and Portal (as a subset of the U.S. Drought Portal)and early warning discussion groups (Denver Water, CTB, Upper CO and Northern CO Conservancy Districts)
• Partnership with the Colorado Water Conservation Board)
Year 2. Implementation of the Drought Early Warning System (seasonal, multi-year, longer term trends) 2010-2011
Develop (and support) CBRFC, NOAA, CPC, BoR partnerships for testing Climate Test-bed/ESP improvements
• Testing: Given better data and information coordination would responses have been improved for past events? Assess (1) value of improved information, (2)responses for projected conditions (decadal, climate change), (3) feedback on priorities to Executive Council.
• Feedback into “Colorado Basin” Drought Monitor and Portal, Maintain network for ongoing briefings on impacts and projections across climate timescales. Early Warning System maintenance and transferability
Highlights from the Peachtree meeting (April 29-30, 2008)
Demands and pressures
Lake Lanier water availability
Metro Atlanta-demographic pressures
Downstream agricultural irrigation
Power facilities-water temperature and minimum flow rate
Ecosystem services
Apalachicola Bay oyster and seafood industry
Increased salinity in the bay due to decreased fresh water flows
Endangered species concerns
Low water flows, wetlands
Regional focus-to include the Carolinas
Multi-state drought mitigation plans – indicators and triggers
Thorough scientific assessment and cataloguing of water resources and water users
End-to-end assessment of water quality and water quantity, available in real-time
Comprehensive watershed-coastal zone management
Coordination and communication among federal agencies
Federal agencies must understand the concerns of industry, user groups, state and local governments, and the public at large
NOAA – improvements to drought monitoring and forecasting and informational products
State-led forum or council to develop regional visionReduce fragmentationEstablish more consistent approaches to water resource managementSet overarching regional prioritiesBuild collaborative working relationships
Possible partnerships and opportunities
For this workshop (Chapel Hill)-watershed to coast
•Critical issues-watershed, urban, coastal
•Unit(s) of analysis
•Information sources and needs
•Partnerships needed for early warning information system development and implementation (Fed, state, tribal, ngo etc.)
•Timeline-Broader Scoping meeting
Process research/obs. networks: Universities and labs
Integrating knowledge & products with needs
assessments(e.g. RISAs, RCCs, NCDC, CSD)
Operational, training (RCCs, NCDC, RFCs CPC, WFOs, SCs,
other private sector)
Reg
ion
al O
vers
igh
t an
d E
valu
atio
n
OT
HE
R N
ON
-NO
AA
R
EG
ION
AL
PA
RT
NE
RS
new or enhanced regional products information delivery technology sustained & systematic communication and feedback
RESEARCH/MONITORING
&
DEVELOPMENT
&
PROTOTYPING
OPERATIONS
A Prototype Pathway for NOAA RegionalClimate Information Services
Monitoring & ForecastingDrought and Flood Impacts
Assessments and Scenarios
Communication and Outreach Engaging Preparedness & Adaptation
NIDIS
Information Services in support of planning and decision making
Climate, Water and Drought:
16
Five main Colorado Basin issues for near-term action:Assessment of gaps in present monitoring and forecasting systems within the Basin
Assimilation of existing drought-related indicators, triggers and trends into one accessible location
Assist in demand projections (Northern Water, Denver Water, Grand Valley)
Promoting interaction (existing websites, datasets) with the US Drought Portal to begin developing a Colorado Basin drought portal and information clearinghouse
Develop an Upper Colorado basin-specific drought monitor and ongoing (quarterly and as needed) discussion forum across Federal agencies, State and Tribal Water Availability Task Forces
Revisit past event and projections with key managers given new /improved information coordination and interpretation
Engage in ongoing early warning system discussions-season to season-and multi-year projections of impacts
From this workshop-watersheds-coasts
•Critical issues-watershed, urban, coastal, energy, ecosystems, cross-sector
•Unit(s) of analysis
•Information needs and sources
•Partnerships needed for early warning information system development and implementation (Fed, state, tribal, ngo etc.)
•Timeline-Broader Scoping meeting
19
20
Backup slides
22
Understanding and Responding to Changing Climate-National Climate
Services
Observations ModelingPlatforms:Satellites, ships, buoys, stations
Earth System Models,Climate Predictions/Projections
TransportationEnergyWater
Society
TransportationEnergyWater
Society
AgricultureHealth
Living Marine Resources
Coastal Systems
AgricultureHealth
Living Marine Resources
Coastal Systems
National Security and
Economy
National Security and
Economy
Ecosystems and Biodiversity
Ecosystems and Biodiversity
Implementing the NIDIS: Pilots
ApplicationsResearch
PredictionMonitoring
ImpactMitigation
ProactivePlanning
ImprovedAdaptation
Engaging research, management and planning communities:Stakeholder defined measures of drought and triggers for decision making
Engaging the preparedness communities
Integrating Tools:e.g. Drought Portal
NIDIS offers a framework for developing and information services to support adaptation strategies as climate varies and changes
+ =
Decision Support
Integrated Climate, Ecosystems, Hydrology:
Technical Info & Data
Watershed, state, tribal, local: Experience &
Knowledge
ASSESSING CLIMATE INFORMATION
USER NEEDS
A forum for proactiveplanning
HELPING SOCIETY ADAPT
Provide best availableinformation
to inform infrastructure development
and ongoing adaptation
(RISAs, RCCs, Climate and Hydromet Test-Beds, NWS Field Offices…. NOAA-Integrated Water Resources Services teams, Coastal Services Center, NIDIS…)
Drought and Water Resources: Beyond The Impact Assessment
Engaging communities and resource managers in assessment and decision support as climate varies and changes
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Initial Findings & OpportunitiesUS Drought Monitor and the NOAA Seasonal Outlooks – adapt to
state, watershed and local levels
Tools and products developed for the state, watershed and local levels
Integration of observing networks between federal, state and local entities (esp. stream gages and precip measurements)
Identify and address monitoring gapsDevelop cross-agency partnerships to fill gaps
Develop a suite of decision support tools for local and state decision makers
Consider agricultural, recreational, water management and commercial needs
Multi-disciplinary obs. integrated with impacts informationRelate to impacts, climate models and improved regional forecasts
Recent NIDIS activities:
World Water Forum March 09
US Drought Portal Assessment May 09
Drought on Tribal Lands June 09
Southeast Scoping Workshop July 09
WGA-WSWC-NIDIS Regional Partnerships
Workshops
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