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Empowered lives. Resilient nations.
, 2015
4 5
. , .
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, , , . .
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1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
3. () . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
4. 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
5. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
6. , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
7. , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
6 7
BAU (business as usual)
CDM (Clean Development Mechanism)
GHG ()
GF
INC (Initial National Communication)
JICA (Japan International Cooperation Agency)
MRV , (Monitoring, Reporting and Veri cation)
NAMAs (Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions)
UNDP
UNFCCC a a
6 7
1.
(UNFCCC) 2001. , 2008. . , (- I ), UNFCCC , . . , , : ; () , ; , , , ; , .
. , , UNFCCC. , , .
UNFCCC (), (UNDP ).
8 9
2.
2.1.
, , , 88.361 km2. , . .
2.000 m , (2.656 m)
, . : , . , 588 km 2.783 km .
2.2.
-, .
1960-2012. . , .
2000, 1.86C, 2007, 2008, 2012. . 2007. .
, . . .
, .
2.3.
( 2006. ) .
, .
, .
, .
8 9
. , , 1244, 10. 1999,
( ) ( ) ( ). , (5) : , , , , .
: (30), (24), (28) (194). , , . 6.158 , 193 .
2.4.
2000 2013 , 2002. 2011. . 2011. 7,186,862. 2002. 2011. , . 2011, 2002. , 311.139. .
2011. . (1.659.440 ), (341.625), (260.237) (179.417).
. 69,9 72,5 , 75,1 77,7 .
, 37 .
2.5.
2001. . - . 2011. , 2012. 2012. . 2013. , 2,6%. , , , , 2014. .
2013. 22.4%. (17,9%) (27,3%).
, 65 .
10 11
, 129,1 USD 2001. 475,83 USD 2012. , , , .
2.6.
. , 10% -. , , , .
- . 21,2%, 16%, 19,3% 2013. .
, , .
2012. 33.872 GWh, 33.933 GWh ( ).
2.7.
2001-2012. 0.4% 3,4%.
, -. 2000-2010. ( 2003. 2009. ).
, , , , , . , , .
, , , , .
2013. 2012. 5,5%. ; ; , .
10 11
2.8.
, . , , , .
, , . . .
, . 2008. 2013. 2004. ( 5-15%), 2013. 50% 2000. , , , .
, .
2.9.
, -.
2000-2012. , 9.4%, . , .
2012. . . . 631.522 631.555 , 2.567 . 1.442.628. 108.230 . 90% 10% .
, . , , .
12 13
2.10. 20002013.
1,15% . .
, . . 2011. 2.254.400ha 25,5% . 53%, 47%. 1,8%.
: , , , , . .
. .
2.11.
, 1,2% -, 0,3% 2012. . 2010. , 2,65 1,59 .
. , .
. 72% (2010) , . , , . , . , , .
2.12. UNFCCC
(UNFCCC) 2001. , 2008. . . , I , ( ).
12 13
(INC) UNFCCC 2010. . CDM UNFCCC 2012.
. (6) CDM 2013. , .
2013. 12 (NAMAs) , NAMA UNFCCC. NAMAs (JICA). (65%), (29%) (6%). , NAMA (Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions) (2013) 16 NAMAs.
2014 2015. , (GEF) ( US$352,000). .
. , , . , 2020. 2030. .
, , , , , . , , , GEF- .
MRV
14 15
14 15
3. 2013. ,
, 62.520,88 Gg CO2eq. 2013. 3,5% 2010, 25,1% 1990. ( 3.1).
3.1.: , , 1990., 2010-2013.
1990. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2010-2013.
CO2eq (Gg) %
65.730,38 51.004,86 53.919,72 48.671,48 49.661,06 -2,6
4.871,13 4.201,66 4.482,80 2.662,35 3.031,42 -27,9
9.078,22 6.466,23 6.459,43 6.378,09 6.620,96 2,4
3.839,77 3.140,90 3.165,05 3.246,97 3.207,45 2,1
83.519,50 64.813,65 68.027,00 60.958,89 62.520,88 -3,5
CO2eq (Gg) %
-16.855,36 -16.558,87 -16.733,17 -16.733,17 -15.737,06 -5,0
66.664,14 48.254,78 51.293,83 44.225,72 46.783,83 -3,0
MRV MRV
14 15
14 15
2013. 79,4% , , (10,6%), (5,1%) (4,8%) ( 3.1.).
3.1. 2010-2013.
, CO2 (CO2eq), 2013. - (CO2), 78,9% , (CH4) (13,9%), (N2O) (7,0%), (HFC), (PFC) - (SF6) 0,2% . , CO2 94,4% ( 99,3% ). , 35,44%, (32,22%) (27,62%).
3.2.
. 2013. , 49.661,06 Gg CO2eq, 79,4% . 2013. 2,6%, 2010. 24,4% 1990. .
, 69,1% , 11,7% , 7,7% 5,9% . 5,5% ( ).
MRV
16 17
16 17
3. 2.
3.3.
2013. , 3.031,42 Gg CO2eq, 4,8% . 2010. , 24,0%, 37,8% 1990. .
, 35,0% , 25,5% . 34,1%, 17,9% , 8,7% 7,6%. 21,8% . : (4,7%), N2O (2,2%) (2%).
3. 3. 2013.
MRV MRV
16 17
16 17
3.4. , ,
( ) , , , ( ) .
6 259,21 Gg CO2eq, 47,5%, . 3.142,50 Gg CO2eq CH4 N2O , -CO2 47,1% , . 3.116,71 Gg CO2eq. , 4% , , , , , .
, () , , -15.735,89 Gg CO2eq () -1,42 Gg CO2eq ( ). , 17,2% 1990. , 9,7% 2010. . 2010-2013. 2012. , 6,38% 2013. 2012. .
, , 2013. , 9.116,10 Gg CO2eq.
3.5
2013. 3.207,45 Gg CO2eq, 5,1% . 2010. , 2,1%, 16,5% 1990. .
, 61,9% , 38,1% .
3.4.
2020.
18 19
4. 2020. E : (business-as-
usual, BAU), , 2020. , 2015. . BAU a a , . (WM) , , , . , . .
(business-as-usual (BAU))
1990. 2015. 2020.
65.730,38 56.554,04 64.628,68
4.871,13 4.868,97 5.373,90
, 9.078,22 6.672,16 6.753,00
3.839,77 2.688,06 2.686,79
(Gg CO2 eq) 83.519,50 70.783,23 79.442,37
2020.
18 19
1990. 2015. 2020.
65.730,38 55.136,49 57.259,53
4.871,13 3.859,11 4.255,84
, 9.078,22 6.672,16 6.753,00
3.839,77 2.742,66 2.698,16
(Gg CO2 eq) 83.519,50 68.410,42 70.966,54
1990. 2015. 2020.
65.730,38 53.307,56 52.411,46
4.871,13 3.642,71 3.714,85
, 9.078,22 6.672,16 6.753,00
3.839,77 2.392,72 2.284,77
(Gg CO2 eq) 83.519,50 66.015,15 65.164,09
21
2020.
20 21
4. 1. 1990 2020 .
4. 1: 1990 2020. , Gg CO2eq
21
20 21
5.
, , , , , .
, 2020. . .
5.1.
, , . 1.418 GgCO2eq 2015. , 7.369 GgCO2eq 2020. . , 2.214 GgCO2eq 2015. , 9.972 GgCO2eq 2020. .
, 1.032 GgCO2eq 2015. , 2.245 GgCO2eq 2020. .
2010.
. 27% 10% 2020. .
, , , .
5.2.
, 2011. 2020. , , 2011. 2012. .
22 23
, , , .
, , , , .
5.3. ,
. , 2015. , /, 2020.
, 2008-2013. , . 2030. .
, , .
15.000 17.000 GgCO2eq , , :
, ; , ; ; (/) , , , ; ; .
.
5.4.
2010-2019. 0,5% , . , , 2020. , .
22 23
, 2020. 12.066,40 GgCO2eq, 1.723,8 GgCO2eq. , 2020. ,
.
2020. , 8%, 1,3% . 6.97%.
, , , , .
, , , . .
5.5. (Ns)
, NAMAs 12 Ns 1 . 15 30 . , 2020. . , , :
(NS-31, NS-40 and NS-50) 2.436,98 GgCO2 eq/.
(NS-32, NS-41, NS-46) 841,41 GgCO2eq/.
(NS-34, NS-39) 446,67 GgCO2eq/.
(NS-33, NS-35, NS-37) 517,51 GgCO2eq/.
(NS-36) 0,27 GgCO2eq/.
1 Source: http://www4.unfccc.int/sites/nama/SitePages/Country.aspx?CountryId=154
25
MRV
24
6. , (MRV)
, (MRV) , , , UNFCCC-.
, (). , .
, , . , 2017. . .
, UNFCCC, : MMR. , . . , , , , , . 2019. .
25
MRV
24
7. ,
, , , , - , , , .
, , , .
, .
3-4 , .
, , , ,
.
United Nat ce in SerbiaInternacionalnih brigada 6911000 Belgrade Serbia
Tel. +381 11 2040 400 Fax. +381 11 3444 300www.rs.undp.org
Copyright 2015, UNDP Serbia. Cover Illustration by: Tatjana Kuburovic
1 - 11070
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Republic of Serbia MINISTRY OF AGRICULTURE
AND ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
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