. - -

. . -

Empowered lives. Resilient nations.

, 2015

4 5

. , .

.

, , , . .

4 5

1. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7

2. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

3. () . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

4. 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

5. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21

6. , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24

7. , . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25

6 7

BAU (business as usual)

CDM (Clean Development Mechanism)

GHG ()

GF

INC (Initial National Communication)

JICA (Japan International Cooperation Agency)

MRV , (Monitoring, Reporting and Veri cation)

NAMAs (Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions)

UNDP

UNFCCC a a

6 7

1.

(UNFCCC) 2001. , 2008. . , (- I ), UNFCCC , . . , , : ; () , ; , , , ; , .

. , , UNFCCC. , , .

UNFCCC (), (UNDP ).

8 9

2.

2.1.

, , , 88.361 km2. , . .

2.000 m , (2.656 m)

, . : , . , 588 km 2.783 km .

2.2.

-, .

1960-2012. . , .

2000, 1.86C, 2007, 2008, 2012. . 2007. .

, . . .

, .

2.3.

( 2006. ) .

, .

, .

, .

8 9

. , , 1244, 10. 1999,

( ) ( ) ( ). , (5) : , , , , .

: (30), (24), (28) (194). , , . 6.158 , 193 .

2.4.

2000 2013 , 2002. 2011. . 2011. 7,186,862. 2002. 2011. , . 2011, 2002. , 311.139. .

2011. . (1.659.440 ), (341.625), (260.237) (179.417).

. 69,9 72,5 , 75,1 77,7 .

, 37 .

2.5.

2001. . - . 2011. , 2012. 2012. . 2013. , 2,6%. , , , , 2014. .

2013. 22.4%. (17,9%) (27,3%).

, 65 .

10 11

, 129,1 USD 2001. 475,83 USD 2012. , , , .

2.6.

. , 10% -. , , , .

- . 21,2%, 16%, 19,3% 2013. .

, , .

2012. 33.872 GWh, 33.933 GWh ( ).

2.7.

2001-2012. 0.4% 3,4%.

, -. 2000-2010. ( 2003. 2009. ).

, , , , , . , , .

, , , , .

2013. 2012. 5,5%. ; ; , .

10 11

2.8.

, . , , , .

, , . . .

, . 2008. 2013. 2004. ( 5-15%), 2013. 50% 2000. , , , .

, .

2.9.

, -.

2000-2012. , 9.4%, . , .

2012. . . . 631.522 631.555 , 2.567 . 1.442.628. 108.230 . 90% 10% .

, . , , .

12 13

2.10. 20002013.

1,15% . .

, . . 2011. 2.254.400ha 25,5% . 53%, 47%. 1,8%.

: , , , , . .

. .

2.11.

, 1,2% -, 0,3% 2012. . 2010. , 2,65 1,59 .

. , .

. 72% (2010) , . , , . , . , , .

2.12. UNFCCC

(UNFCCC) 2001. , 2008. . . , I , ( ).

12 13

(INC) UNFCCC 2010. . CDM UNFCCC 2012.

. (6) CDM 2013. , .

2013. 12 (NAMAs) , NAMA UNFCCC. NAMAs (JICA). (65%), (29%) (6%). , NAMA (Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions) (2013) 16 NAMAs.

2014 2015. , (GEF) ( US$352,000). .

. , , . , 2020. 2030. .

, , , , , . , , , GEF- .

MRV

14 15

14 15

3. 2013. ,

, 62.520,88 Gg CO2eq. 2013. 3,5% 2010, 25,1% 1990. ( 3.1).

3.1.: , , 1990., 2010-2013.

1990. 2010. 2011. 2012. 2013. 2010-2013.

CO2eq (Gg) %

65.730,38 51.004,86 53.919,72 48.671,48 49.661,06 -2,6

4.871,13 4.201,66 4.482,80 2.662,35 3.031,42 -27,9

9.078,22 6.466,23 6.459,43 6.378,09 6.620,96 2,4

3.839,77 3.140,90 3.165,05 3.246,97 3.207,45 2,1

83.519,50 64.813,65 68.027,00 60.958,89 62.520,88 -3,5

CO2eq (Gg) %

-16.855,36 -16.558,87 -16.733,17 -16.733,17 -15.737,06 -5,0

66.664,14 48.254,78 51.293,83 44.225,72 46.783,83 -3,0

MRV MRV

14 15

14 15

2013. 79,4% , , (10,6%), (5,1%) (4,8%) ( 3.1.).

3.1. 2010-2013.

, CO2 (CO2eq), 2013. - (CO2), 78,9% , (CH4) (13,9%), (N2O) (7,0%), (HFC), (PFC) - (SF6) 0,2% . , CO2 94,4% ( 99,3% ). , 35,44%, (32,22%) (27,62%).

3.2.

. 2013. , 49.661,06 Gg CO2eq, 79,4% . 2013. 2,6%, 2010. 24,4% 1990. .

, 69,1% , 11,7% , 7,7% 5,9% . 5,5% ( ).

MRV

16 17

16 17

3. 2.

3.3.

2013. , 3.031,42 Gg CO2eq, 4,8% . 2010. , 24,0%, 37,8% 1990. .

, 35,0% , 25,5% . 34,1%, 17,9% , 8,7% 7,6%. 21,8% . : (4,7%), N2O (2,2%) (2%).

3. 3. 2013.

MRV MRV

16 17

16 17

3.4. , ,

( ) , , , ( ) .

6 259,21 Gg CO2eq, 47,5%, . 3.142,50 Gg CO2eq CH4 N2O , -CO2 47,1% , . 3.116,71 Gg CO2eq. , 4% , , , , , .

, () , , -15.735,89 Gg CO2eq () -1,42 Gg CO2eq ( ). , 17,2% 1990. , 9,7% 2010. . 2010-2013. 2012. , 6,38% 2013. 2012. .

, , 2013. , 9.116,10 Gg CO2eq.

3.5

2013. 3.207,45 Gg CO2eq, 5,1% . 2010. , 2,1%, 16,5% 1990. .

, 61,9% , 38,1% .

3.4.

2020.

18 19

4. 2020. E : (business-as-

usual, BAU), , 2020. , 2015. . BAU a a , . (WM) , , , . , . .

(business-as-usual (BAU))

1990. 2015. 2020.

65.730,38 56.554,04 64.628,68

4.871,13 4.868,97 5.373,90

, 9.078,22 6.672,16 6.753,00

3.839,77 2.688,06 2.686,79

(Gg CO2 eq) 83.519,50 70.783,23 79.442,37

2020.

18 19

1990. 2015. 2020.

65.730,38 55.136,49 57.259,53

4.871,13 3.859,11 4.255,84

, 9.078,22 6.672,16 6.753,00

3.839,77 2.742,66 2.698,16

(Gg CO2 eq) 83.519,50 68.410,42 70.966,54

1990. 2015. 2020.

65.730,38 53.307,56 52.411,46

4.871,13 3.642,71 3.714,85

, 9.078,22 6.672,16 6.753,00

3.839,77 2.392,72 2.284,77

(Gg CO2 eq) 83.519,50 66.015,15 65.164,09

21

2020.

20 21

4. 1. 1990 2020 .

4. 1: 1990 2020. , Gg CO2eq

21

20 21

5.

, , , , , .

, 2020. . .

5.1.

, , . 1.418 GgCO2eq 2015. , 7.369 GgCO2eq 2020. . , 2.214 GgCO2eq 2015. , 9.972 GgCO2eq 2020. .

, 1.032 GgCO2eq 2015. , 2.245 GgCO2eq 2020. .

2010.

. 27% 10% 2020. .

, , , .

5.2.

, 2011. 2020. , , 2011. 2012. .

22 23

, , , .

, , , , .

5.3. ,

. , 2015. , /, 2020.

, 2008-2013. , . 2030. .

, , .

15.000 17.000 GgCO2eq , , :

, ; , ; ; (/) , , , ; ; .

.

5.4.

2010-2019. 0,5% , . , , 2020. , .

22 23

, 2020. 12.066,40 GgCO2eq, 1.723,8 GgCO2eq. , 2020. ,

.

2020. , 8%, 1,3% . 6.97%.

, , , , .

, , , . .

5.5. (Ns)

, NAMAs 12 Ns 1 . 15 30 . , 2020. . , , :

(NS-31, NS-40 and NS-50) 2.436,98 GgCO2 eq/.

(NS-32, NS-41, NS-46) 841,41 GgCO2eq/.

(NS-34, NS-39) 446,67 GgCO2eq/.

(NS-33, NS-35, NS-37) 517,51 GgCO2eq/.

(NS-36) 0,27 GgCO2eq/.

1 Source: http://www4.unfccc.int/sites/nama/SitePages/Country.aspx?CountryId=154

25

MRV

24

6. , (MRV)

, (MRV) , , , UNFCCC-.

, (). , .

, , . , 2017. . .

, UNFCCC, : MMR. , . . , , , , , . 2019. .

25

MRV

24

7. ,

, , , , - , , , .

, , , .

, .

3-4 , .

, , , ,

.

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