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7/23/2019 California Pension Poll
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_______________________________________
DBR CA Pension Title and Summary Test
December 2015, Page 1
FINAL RESULTS: California Voter Survey: Pension Title And Summary Test
Sample Size: 500; Margin of Error: ± 4.4%
Interview Dates: December 10th
-13th
, 2015
Select: Registered California voters, with working telephone numbers, who voted in November 2012 or another
election since, or registered since November 2014.
SECTION 1.
SCREENING
Hello. This is __________________________ from an independent public opinion research firm. May I please
speak with NAME? We are conducting a short research study of local issues in your area and would like to ask you
some questions. This survey may be monitored for quality assurance purposes.
IF ASKED HOW LONG IT WILL TAKE: About five minutes.
IF NECESSARY: We are only interested in your opinions and are definitely not selling anything.
1. First, have I reached you today on a cell phone or a landline?
Cell phone 35Land line 65
IF CELL PHONE:
2. Are you in a safe place where you can take a survey over your cell phone?
Yes 100
3. In November 2016, there will be an election for President, for Congress, for California offices, as well as
for ballot measures. How likely are you to vote in that election?
READ LIST.
Definitely will vote 82
Probably will vote 13
Chances are about 50-50 5
4. Just in general, how do you think things are going in California today – are things moving in the right
direction, or are things off on the wrong track?
Right direction 49Wrong track 43
Don’t know 8
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DBR CA Pension Title and Summary Test
December 2015, Page 2
SECTION 2: PENSION INITIATIVES
SPLIT A: Q5, Q6
SPLIT B: Q6, Q5
Next I’d like to get your reaction to a few propositions that could be on the ballot in California next year. I’m going
to read the title and summary as prepared by the Attorney General of California.
5. [MEASURE #1]
The title of the ballot measure is “Public Employees. Pension and Retiree Healthcare Benefits. Ini tiative
Constitutional Amendment”.
It amends the California Constitution to impose restrictions on pension and retiree healthcare benefits for
new public employees, including those working in K-12 schools, higher education, hospitals, and police
protection. It bars government employers from enrolling public employees hired after January 1, 2019 in
defined benefit pension plans, from enhancing certain retirement benefits for such employees, and from
paying more than one half cost of such employees’ pension and retiree healthcare benefits, unless first
approved by voters. It limits retirement boards’ ability to place financial conditions upon government
employers that close defined benefit plans to new employees.
Summary of estimate by Legislative Analyst and Director of Finance of fiscal impact on state and local
government: Significant effects – savings and costs – on state and local governments relating to
compensation for governmental employees. The magnitude and timing of these effects would dependheavily on future decisions made by voters, governmental employers, the Legislature, Governor, and the
courts.
Just based on this information, if the election were held today, would you vote yes or no?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or just somewhat?
IF UNDECIDED: Well if you had to make a decision, do you lean more towards yes or more towards no?
Total Asked 1st
Asked 2nd
Yes, strongly 17
42%
16
40%
19
44% Yes, somewhat 23 21 24
Undecided, lean yes 2 3 1
Undecided, lean no 442%
542%
342% No, somewhat 16 15 18
No, strongly 22 22 21
Don’t know 16 18 14
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DBR CA Pension Title and Summary Test
December 2015, Page 3
6. [MEASURE #2]
The title of the ballot measure is “Public Employees. Pension and Retiree Healthcare Benefits. Ini tiative
Constitutional Amendment”.
It amends the California Constitution to impose restrictions on employer contributions toward cost of
pension and retiree healthcare benefits for new public employees, including those working in K-12
schools, higher education, hospitals, and police protection. It bars government employers from
contributing an amount more than 11% of an employee’s base compensation, or 13% for safety
employees, toward cost of pension and retiree healthcare benefits for public employees hired after
January 1, 2019, and from paying more than one-half cost of such new public employees’ pension and
retiree healthcare benefits, unless higher portion is first approved by voters.
Summary of estimate by Legislative Analyst and Director of Finance of fiscal impact on state and local
government: Significant effects – savings and costs – on state and local governments relating to
compensation for governmental employees. The magnitude and timing of these effects would depend
heavily on future decisions made by voters, governmental employers, the Legislature, Governor, and the
courts.
Just based on this information, if the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on this ballot
measure?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or just somewhat?IF UNDECIDED: Well if you had to make a decision, do you lean more towards yes or more towards no?
Total Asked 1st
Asked 2nd
Yes, strongly 14
40%
13
40%
14
41% Yes, somewhat 22 23 22
Undecided, lean yes 4 4 5
Undecided, lean no 4
40%
8
38%
1
43% No, somewhat 18 13 23
No, strongly 18 17 19
Don’t know 20 22 16
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DBR CA Pension Title and Summary Test
December 2015, Page 4
SECTION 3. DEMOGRAPHICS
Thank you for your patience. Now some last questions about yourself for statistical purposes.
7. First, what is your age?
Under 30 13
30-39 11
40-49 14
50-64 30
65+ 30
PREFER NOT TO SAY 2
8. What best describes your educational background?
Not a high school graduate 2
High school graduate, but no college 12
Some college, but not a college graduate 29
College graduate, but not post graduate 26
College graduate with some post graduate study 10Post graduate degree 21
PREFER NOT TO SAY 0
9. Are you a current or retired labor union member?
IF NO: Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member?
Labor union member 21
Labor union household 6
Nonunion household 72
Don’t know 1
PREFER NOT TO SAY <1
10.
Which of the following ethnic groups describes you? You can stop me when I’ve read your group.
White 56
Black or African American 7
Latino or Hispanic 23
Asian American or Pacific Islander 9
Native American 1
Mixed Race 2
Other (Specify: _______) 1
DON’T KNOW 0
PREFER NOT TO SAY 1
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DBR CA Pension Title and Summary Test
December 2015, Page 5
IF PRIOR QUESTION IS NOT LATINO:
11. And are you of Hispanic or Latino descent? (n=411)
YES 7
NO 92
PREFER NOT TO SAY 1
12.
Are you currently working full-time, working part-time, or not working?
WORKING FULL-TIME 40
WORKING PART-TIME 15
NOT WORKING 45
PREFER NOT TO SAY <1
13. And thinking about your own retirement plan do you have… READ LIST MULTIPLE RESPONSE
A defined benefits plan or pension 37
A 401k through your employer that you contribute
to35
An IRA or savings account separate from your
employer40
OTHER 13
DO NOT HAVE PENSION OR 401K 22
DON’T KNOW 2
REFUSE 3
That’s all the questions I have. Thank you for your time.
14.
RECORD GENDER:
FEMALE 53
MALE 47
15. RECORD PARTY:
DEMOCRAT 44
REPUBLICAN 33
NO PARTY PREFERENCE 19
MINOR PARTY 4
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