California Pension Poll

7/23/2019 California Pension Poll

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DBR CA Pension Title and Summary Test

December 2015, Page 1

FINAL RESULTS: California Voter Survey: Pension Title And Summary Test

Sample Size: 500; Margin of Error: ± 4.4%

Interview Dates: December 10th

-13th

, 2015

Select: Registered California voters, with working telephone numbers, who voted in November 2012 or another

election since, or registered since November 2014.

SECTION 1.

SCREENING

Hello. This is __________________________ from an independent public opinion research firm. May I please

speak with NAME? We are conducting a short research study of local issues in your area and would like to ask you

some questions. This survey may be monitored for quality assurance purposes.

IF ASKED HOW LONG IT WILL TAKE: About five minutes.

IF NECESSARY: We are only interested in your opinions and are definitely not selling anything.

1. First, have I reached you today on a cell phone or a landline?

Cell phone 35Land line 65

IF CELL PHONE:

2. Are you in a safe place where you can take a survey over your cell phone?

Yes 100

3. In November 2016, there will be an election for President, for Congress, for California offices, as well as

for ballot measures. How likely are you to vote in that election?

READ LIST.

Definitely will vote 82

Probably will vote 13

Chances are about 50-50 5

4. Just in general, how do you think things are going in California today – are things moving in the right

direction, or are things off on the wrong track?

Right direction 49Wrong track 43

Don’t know 8



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SECTION 2: PENSION INITIATIVES

SPLIT A: Q5, Q6

SPLIT B: Q6, Q5

Next I’d like to get your reaction to a few propositions that could be on the ballot in California next year. I’m going

to read the title and summary as prepared by the Attorney General of California.

5. [MEASURE #1]

The title of the ballot measure is “Public Employees. Pension and Retiree Healthcare Benefits. Ini tiative

Constitutional Amendment”.

It amends the California Constitution to impose restrictions on pension and retiree healthcare benefits for

new public employees, including those working in K-12 schools, higher education, hospitals, and police

protection. It bars government employers from enrolling public employees hired after January 1, 2019 in

defined benefit pension plans, from enhancing certain retirement benefits for such employees, and from

paying more than one half cost of such employees’ pension and retiree healthcare benefits, unless first

approved by voters. It limits retirement boards’ ability to place financial conditions upon government

employers that close defined benefit plans to new employees.

Summary of estimate by Legislative Analyst and Director of Finance of fiscal impact on state and local

government: Significant effects – savings and costs – on state and local governments relating to

compensation for governmental employees. The magnitude and timing of these effects would dependheavily on future decisions made by voters, governmental employers, the Legislature, Governor, and the

courts.

Just based on this information, if the election were held today, would you vote yes or no?

IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or just somewhat?

IF UNDECIDED: Well if you had to make a decision, do you lean more towards yes or more towards no?

Total Asked 1st

Asked 2nd

Yes, strongly 17

42%

16

40%

19

44% Yes, somewhat 23 21 24

Undecided, lean yes 2 3 1

Undecided, lean no 442%

542%

342% No, somewhat 16 15 18

No, strongly 22 22 21

Don’t know 16 18 14



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6. [MEASURE #2]

The title of the ballot measure is “Public Employees. Pension and Retiree Healthcare Benefits. Ini tiative

Constitutional Amendment”.

It amends the California Constitution to impose restrictions on employer contributions toward cost of

pension and retiree healthcare benefits for new public employees, including those working in K-12

schools, higher education, hospitals, and police protection. It bars government employers from

contributing an amount more than 11% of an employee’s base compensation, or 13% for safety

employees, toward cost of pension and retiree healthcare benefits for public employees hired after

January 1, 2019, and from paying more than one-half cost of such new public employees’ pension and

retiree healthcare benefits, unless higher portion is first approved by voters.

Summary of estimate by Legislative Analyst and Director of Finance of fiscal impact on state and local

government: Significant effects – savings and costs – on state and local governments relating to

compensation for governmental employees. The magnitude and timing of these effects would depend

heavily on future decisions made by voters, governmental employers, the Legislature, Governor, and the

courts.

Just based on this information, if the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on this ballot

measure?

IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or just somewhat?IF UNDECIDED: Well if you had to make a decision, do you lean more towards yes or more towards no?

Total Asked 1st

Asked 2nd

Yes, strongly 14

40%

13

40%

14

41% Yes, somewhat 22 23 22

Undecided, lean yes 4 4 5

Undecided, lean no 4

40%

8

38%

1

43% No, somewhat 18 13 23

No, strongly 18 17 19

Don’t know 20 22 16



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SECTION 3. DEMOGRAPHICS

Thank you for your patience. Now some last questions about yourself for statistical purposes.

7. First, what is your age?

Under 30 13

30-39 11

40-49 14

50-64 30

65+ 30

PREFER NOT TO SAY 2

8. What best describes your educational background?

Not a high school graduate 2

High school graduate, but no college 12

Some college, but not a college graduate 29

College graduate, but not post graduate 26

College graduate with some post graduate study 10Post graduate degree 21

PREFER NOT TO SAY 0

9. Are you a current or retired labor union member?

IF NO: Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member?

Labor union member 21

Labor union household 6

Nonunion household 72

Don’t know 1

PREFER NOT TO SAY <1

10.

Which of the following ethnic groups describes you? You can stop me when I’ve read your group.

White 56

Black or African American 7

Latino or Hispanic 23

Asian American or Pacific Islander 9

Native American 1

Mixed Race 2

Other (Specify: _______) 1

DON’T KNOW 0

PREFER NOT TO SAY 1



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IF PRIOR QUESTION IS NOT LATINO:

11. And are you of Hispanic or Latino descent? (n=411)

YES 7

NO 92

PREFER NOT TO SAY 1

12.

Are you currently working full-time, working part-time, or not working?

WORKING FULL-TIME 40

WORKING PART-TIME 15

NOT WORKING 45

PREFER NOT TO SAY <1

13. And thinking about your own retirement plan do you have… READ LIST MULTIPLE RESPONSE

A defined benefits plan or pension 37

A 401k through your employer that you contribute

to35

An IRA or savings account separate from your

employer40

OTHER 13

DO NOT HAVE PENSION OR 401K 22

DON’T KNOW 2

REFUSE 3

That’s all the questions I have. Thank you for your time.

14.

RECORD GENDER:

FEMALE 53

MALE 47

15. RECORD PARTY:

DEMOCRAT 44

REPUBLICAN 33

NO PARTY PREFERENCE 19

MINOR PARTY 4

Documents

California Pension Poll