A Systems View of Quality for the 21st Century€¦ · Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org A Systems View...

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Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

A Systems View of Quality for

the 21st Century

Presented by Bill Bellows

President

In2:InThinking Network

Canoga Park, California, USA

Email: bill@in2in.org

DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016

Amersfoort, NL

May 26

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

“A system is never the sum of its parts. It is

the product of the interactions of its

parts………..the art of managing

interactions is very different indeed than the

management of actions, and history

requires this transition for effective

management.”

Russell Ackoff

Abstract

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Russell Ackoff 1919 - 2009

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Agenda

Quality in the 20th Century

Language

Resource Management

Perception & Thinking

Transmissions

Addition

Taking Tests

Opportunities to Act

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

In 1982, Larry Sullivan, a senior Ford

manager, travelled to Japan to lead an

internal effort to study automobile

suppliers and the gain explanations for

their “results.” Together, they had captured

nearly 30 percent of the US market share

in automobile sales, beginning with zero in

1950 and growing to 3 percent in 1970.

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

A summary of his findings were published

in an article for the American Society for

Quality. Excerpts follow:

In March 1982, I was part of a

[management] group [from Ford] that

visited Japan and studied quality systems

at a variety of automotive suppliers.

Source: Variability Reduction: A New Approach to Quality, L. Sullivan, 1983

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

The most important thing we learned was

that quality in those companies means

something different from what it means in

the U.S. - that it is in fact a totally different

discipline.

Source: Variability Reduction: A New Approach to Quality, L. Sullivan, 1983

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

In other words, quality in itself has not

been the primary motivation in Japan;

profit is the main objective and quality

(methods) is merely a means to improve

profit.

Source: Variability Reduction: A New Approach to Quality, L. Sullivan, 1983

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Over the years, Japanese managers,

engineers, and workers have been very

successful in reducing manufacturing

costs by adopting more enlightened quality

thinking and by applying more technical

quality methods.

Source: Variability Reduction: A New Approach to Quality, L. Sullivan, 1983

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Since 1980, U.S. automotive companies

and their suppliers have made dramatic

improvements in quality....In order to

continue this improvement, we must move

out of the traditional realm and adopt more

enlightened quality thinking....Although

statistical methods are uniform throughout

the world, they are applied very differently

in the East and West....

Source: Variability Reduction: A New Approach to Quality, L. Sullivan, 1983

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Of foremost importance is the new

definition of ‘manufacturing’ quality as

minimum variation from target.

Source: Variability Reduction: A New Approach to Quality, L. Sullivan, 1983

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

In 1963, Philip Crosby introduced Zero

Defect Quality:

Quality is defined as conformance to

requirements

In 1989, Motorola introduced Six Sigma

Quality as its own quality management

strategy.

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

On the reason for selecting “Six Sigma,”

Motorola offered this explanation:

At Motorola, we actually have a measure

for quality which we call "Six Sigma,"

and this literally affects everybody and

everything we do, every minute, of

everyday. Six Sigma is basically a target

based on zero defects per million

manufactured parts.

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

While terms like Zero Defects and defect-

free quality are now obvious indications of

managing quality through a lens of

interchangeable parts, less obvious terms

associated with this quality model are:

yield (the percentage of parts which

are “good”)

scrap (expenses for the disposal of

“bad” parts)

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

While terms like Zero Defects and defect-

free quality are now obvious indications of

managing quality through a lens of

interchangeable parts, less obvious terms

associated with this quality model are:

yield (the percentage of parts which

are “good”)

scrap (expenses for the disposal of

“bad” parts)

The Good

The Bad

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

rework (expenses for the repair of

“bad” parts)

non-conformances (parts which are

“bad”)

process capability indices (various

ratios, Cp, Cpk, etc., which are based

on specification limits)

Cost of Quality and Price of Non-

Conformance (expenses associated

with “bad” parts)

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

In the late 1960’s, Frank Pipp, an assembly

plant manager for an American automobile

company, instructed his team to purchase

competitor’s cars. His plan was to have the

final assembly team disassemble these cars

and learn first-hand how they assembled. At

that time, if two connecting parts could be

assembled in Pipp's plant without the use of

a handy rubber mallet, then these parts

were known as “snap fit.”

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

In the late 1960’s, Frank Pipp, an assembly

plant manager for an American automobile

company, instructed his team to purchase

competitor’s cars. His plan was to have the

final assembly team disassemble these cars

and learn first-hand how they assembled. At

that time, if two connecting parts could be

assembled in Pipp's plant without the use of

a handy rubber mallet, then these parts

were known as “snap fit”.

The Ugly

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

In Pipp’s experience, snap-fit was a rare

occurrence. To his amazement, one

competitor’s car was discovered to be 100%

“snap fit”, for which his division GM replied,

“The customer will never notice.”

Slowly, but surely, customers have noticed

the assembly and performance results that

Pipp’s team found in 1969, when they first

examined a Toyota pickup truck.

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

In Pipp’s experience, snap-fit was a rare

occurrence. To his amazement, one

competitor’s car was discovered to be 100%

“snap fit”, for which his division GM replied,

“The customer will never notice.”

Slowly, but surely, customers have noticed

the assembly and performance results that

Pipp’s team found in 1969, when they first

examined a Toyota pickup truck.

The Beautiful

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Agenda

Quality in the 20th Century

Language

Resource Management

Perception & Thinking

Transmissions

Addition

Taking Tests

Opportunities to Act

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Togetherness

What does it mean

to “work together” ?

What does it mean

to “learn together” ?

What does it mean

to “think together” ?

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Together

Taken or considered collectively or

conjointly and without interruption;

continuously, uninterruptedly.

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Eat, Join, Drive, Sit, Live, Pull,

Stand, Grow, Sleep, Sing, Learn,

Work, and Play

Together

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Together

Antonyms: separately, apart,

individually, alone, and

independently

Synonyms: jointly, mutually,

collectively, concurrently, and

simultaneously

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

A Lion used to prowl about a field in

which Four Oxen used to dwell…….

Aesop: The Four Oxen and

the Lion

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

A Lion used to prowl about a field in

which Four Oxen used to dwell…….

United We Stand, Divided We Fall

Aesop: The Four Oxen and

the Lion

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Henry Ford

Coming together is a beginning;

keeping together is progress;

working together is success.

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Vincent Van Gogh

Great things are done by a series

of small things brought together.

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

United

Airlines, Technologies, States,

Kingdom, Nations, Manchester, Way

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Agenda

Quality in the 20th Century

Language

Resource Management

Perception & Thinking

Transmissions

Addition

Taking Tests

Opportunities to Act

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

“The characteristic way of

management that we have taught in

the Western World is to take a

complex system, divide it into parts,

and then try to manage each part as

well as possible. And, if that’s done,

the system…”

Russ Ackoff (w/ W. Edwards Deming, 1992)

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

“The system as a whole will behave

well and that’s absolutely false.

What’s missing is that the parts

wouldn’t fit.”

Russ Ackoff (w/ W. Edwards Deming, 1992)

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

W. Edwards Deming

“They would not work together.”

Russ Ackoff

“Good. So it’s the working together

that’s the main contribution to

systemic thinking, as opposed to

working in parts separately.”

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

“Yes, so easy it is to observe, to see,

to understand, and yet people do not

know about it.”

W. Edwards Deming

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

W. Edwards Deming Western CT State University, February 1990

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Counting Heads

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

On Baseball (United)

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

On Baseball (Divided)

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Time Management

How much time is spent discussing

parts, tasks, milestones, efforts, etc.

which are good and completed on

time?

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Time Management

How much time is spent discussing

parts, tasks, milestones, efforts, etc.

which are good and completed on

time?

How much time is spent studying for

the final exam, questions from weekly

quizzes and the mid-term which were

correct?

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Proactive – applying effort while “good,”

“OK,” “well,” or “correct” is happening

Resource Management

Reactive – applying effort after “bad,”

“not OK,” “sick,” or “incorrect” happens

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

A

c

t

i

v

i

t

y

Proactive

Reactive

Resource Management Model

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Day One of a Plant Manager

“What should I focus on first?”

What do you think you should

focus on?

“I think I should focus on all the

things which are broken.”

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Resource Management

“An ounce of prevention is worth a

pound of cure”

Ben Franklin

“A stitch in time saves nine”

Francis Baily

“Every dollar we invest in high-quality early

education can save more than $7 later on”

Barack Obama

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Ownership

A

c

t

i

v

i

t

y

Proactive

Reactive

“Mine” “Ours”

Resource Management Model

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Ownership

A

c

t

i

v

i

t

y

Proactive

Reactive

“Mine” “Ours”

P

U

R

P

O

S

E

F

U

L

REFLEXIVE

Resource Management Model

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Agenda

Quality in the 20th Century

Language

Resource Management

Perception & Thinking

Transmissions

Addition

Taking Tests

Opportunities to Act

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Interactions - Gaps Actions - Parts

Actions & Interactions

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

“A system is never the sum of its parts. It

is the product of the interactions of its

parts………………the art of managing

interactions is very different indeed than

the management of actions, and history

requires this transition for effective

management.”

Russ Ackoff

Actions & Interactions

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Task Management

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Macro System Model

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Managing Actions

Macro System Model

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Sub-

Assembly 1

Task A Step 1

Step 2

Step N

Task B

Task O

Task P

Sub-

Assembly 2

Product

Assembly

Assembly Final Assembly

FIT

FIT

FIT

GOOD

WORKS

GOOD

GOOD

GOOD

Step 1

Step 2

Step N

Step 1

Step 2

Step N

Step 1

Step 2

Step N

Task Completion

Macro System Model

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

“What we see depends on what we

thought before we looked.”

Myron Tribus

Perception & Thinking

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Sub-

Assembly 1

Task A Step 1

Step 2

Step N

Task B

Task O

Task P

Sub-

Assembly 2

Product

Assembly

Assembly Final Assembly

FIT

FIT

FIT

GOOD

WORKS

GOOD

GOOD

GOOD

Step 1

Step 2

Step N

Step 1

Step 2

Step N

Step 1

Step 2

Step N

Task Completion

Macro System Model

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Task Grades

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Interactions, Not Actions

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

MAX MIN

BORE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

25 20

PAGE COUNT

VALVE DIAMETER

Examples of

Action Management

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

On Bowling Balls

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Managing Actions

On Bowling Balls

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

On Books

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Managing Actions –

Business as Usual

On Clothes

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Bad Dog

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

MAX MIN

BORE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

25 20

PAGE COUNT

VALVE DIAMETER

0 FT

DISTANCE FROM THE DOOR

20 FT

Examples of

Action Management

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

MAX MIN

HOLE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

25 20

PAGE COUNT

OUTER DIAMETER

100 FT 0 FT

DISTANCE FROM THE DOOR

= =

= =

Macro System Model (Actions)

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

MAX MIN

HOLE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

25 20

PAGE COUNT

OUTER DIAMETER

100 FT 0 FT

DISTANCE FROM THE DOOR

= =

= =

Micro System Model (Actions)

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Agenda

Quality in the 20th Century

Language

Resource Management

Perception & Thinking

Transmissions

Addition

Taking Tests

Opportunities to Act

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Meanwhile, Ford learned that Mazda’s

manufacturing focus was to actively manage

the gap between the outer diameter of the

valves within the transmission and

the corresponding diameter of the valve

bore.

gap

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

In doing so, Mazda’s efforts realized the

existence of an ideal gap, resulting from ideal

(“target”) values for both the bore and valve

diameters, with an awareness that variation in

gap size matters.

valve diameter

bore diameter

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

MAX MIN

BORE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

VALVE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

BORE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

VALVE DIAMETER

Resource Management

Contrast

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

MAX MIN

BORE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

VALVE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

BORE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

VALVE DIAMETER

The Beautiful The Good and

The Bad

Resource Management

Contrast

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

MAX MIN

BORE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

VALVE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

BORE DIAMETER

MAX MIN

VALVE DIAMETER

MIND THE PART MIND THE GAP

Resource Management

Contrast

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Of foremost importance is the new

definition of ‘manufacturing’ quality as

minimum variation from target.

Source: Variability Reduction: A New Approach to Quality, L. Sullivan, 1983

Quality in the 20th Century

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Genichi Taguchi 1924 - 2012

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Upper

Specification

Limit

Lower

Specification

Limit

target

(desired

value of

parameter)

“Loss to

Society” (a greater system)

1 2

Low Loss

Medium

Loss

High Loss

Taguchi’s Quality Loss

Function

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Agenda

Quality in the 20th Century

Language

Resource Management

Perception & Thinking

Transmissions

Addition

Taking Tests

Opportunities to Act

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

+ =

+ =

Resource Accumulation

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

D E F

P

G I H

-$1,000 -$1,000

-$1,000

-$1,000

-$1,000 -$1,000

-$1,000

Net gain of $7,000 ??

Addition?

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

D E F

P

G I H

$1,000

$1,500

-$10,000

Net gain of $7,500

Addition?

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

“You think because you understand

one you must understand two,

because one and one makes two.

But you must also understand and.”

Donella Meadows

Resource Accumulation

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Agenda

Quality in the 20th Century

Language

Resource Management

Perception & Thinking

Transmissions

Addition

Taking Tests

Opportunities to Act

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

How did you do on the test?

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

My grade

My energy

My commitment

Other students

My Professor My ability

How did you do on the test?

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Our grade

My energy

My commitment

Other students My ability

My Professor

How did we do on the test?

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

How did we do on the proposal?

How did we do on the design?

How did we do on the contract?

Awareness Questions

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

Agenda

Quality in the 20th Century

Language

Resource Management

Perception & Thinking

Transmissions

Addition

Taking Tests

Opportunities to Act

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Bill Bellows, william.bellows@rocket.com, 818-519-8209

Opportunities to Act Choose Separate or Together

Choose Independence or Interdependence

Choose Macro Systems or Micro Systems

Choose Mind the Bad or Mind the Good

Choose Mind the Part or Mind the Gap

Choose Actions or Interactions

Choose Addition or Super-Addition

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

“The quality of our thinking

will determine the quality of

our future”

Edward de Bono

Edward de Bono on Quality

Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org

A Systems View of Quality for

the 21st Century

Presented by Bill Bellows

President

In2:InThinking Network

Canoga Park, California, USA

Email: bill@in2in.org

DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016

Amersfoort, NL

May 26

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