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Bill Bellows, [email protected] Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad Presented by Bill Bellows President In2:InThinking Network Canoga Park, California, USA Email: [email protected] DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26

Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, [email protected] Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

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Page 1: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Brief History of Quality:

The Good and The Bad

Presented by Bill Bellows

President

In2:InThinking Network

Canoga Park, California, USA

Email: [email protected]

DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016

Amersfoort, NL

May 26

Page 2: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Tank Engines

Rocket Engines

Page 3: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Audiences

Page 4: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

The word “quality” has Latin roots, beginning

as “qualitas,” coined by Roman philosopher

and statesman Marcus Tullius Cicero, who

introduced his fellow Romans to the

vocabulary of qualitas, quantitas, humanitas,

and essentia. While Plato invented the phrase

poiotes for use by his peers, Cicero spoke of

qualitas with his peers when focusing on the

property of an object, rather than its quantitas

or quantity.

Abstract

Page 5: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Two-thousand years later, when writing The

New Economics, W. Edwards Deming wrote:

“The basic problem anywhere is quality. What

is quality? A product or a service possesses

quality if it helps somebody and enjoys a good

and sustainable market.”

As with Cicero, Deming saw quality as a

property.

Abstract

Page 6: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Agenda

Preview

Quality and the Greeks

Quality in the Middle Ages

Quality in Industrial Revolution

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 7: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Space Exploration

3 Space

Shuttle Main

Engines

Page 8: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Space Exploration

Page 9: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

As Conceived

Replacing the screwdriver

Pilot holes

Hole saw

Drywall installation

Concrete

Product or Service Innovation

Page 10: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

As Conceived

Replacing the screwdriver

Pilot holes

Hole saw

Drywall installation

Concrete

Product or Service Innovation

Page 11: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

As Conceived

Replacing the screwdriver

Pilot holes

Hole saw

Drywall installation

Concrete

The top 5 uses:

1. Replacing the screwdriver

2. Pilot holes

3. Hole saw

4. Drywall installation

5. Concrete

Product or Service Innovation

Page 12: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

As Managed As Conceived

Product or Service Innovation

Page 13: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Interactions - Gaps Actions - Parts

Actions & Interactions

Page 14: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Interactions - Gaps Actions - Parts

Actions & Interactions

Page 15: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Handoff Requirements?

D E F

C

G I H

Task (Action) Flow

Page 16: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

What “grade quality” is required for all

purchased parts and services, as well

as tasks completed internally?

Grade Quality

Page 17: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Exam Grade Quality

USA Netherlands UK

A+ 10 A* (first)

A+ 9.5 A* (first)

A+ 9 A* (first)

A+ 8.5 A* (first)

A 8 A (first)

A 7.5 A- (upper 2nd)

B+ 7 B (upper 2nd)

B 6.5 C (lower 2nd)

C 6 D (lower 2nd)

D 5.5 E (third)

F 5 F

F 4 F

F 3 F

F 2 F

F 1 F

Page 18: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Exam Grade Quality

USA Netherlands UK

A+ 10 A* (first)

A+ 9.5 A* (first)

A+ 9 A* (first)

A+ 8.5 A* (first)

A 8 A (first)

A 7.5 A- (upper 2nd)

B+ 7 B (upper 2nd)

B 6.5 C (lower 2nd)

C 6 D (lower 2nd)

D 5.5 E (third)

F 5 F

F 4 F

F 3 F

F 2 F

F 1 F

The Good

The Bad

Page 19: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Grade Quality

The Good The Bad

Page 20: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Strike

Zone

Top of Shoulders

Beneath Kneecap

The Good

On Strike Zones

The Bad

Page 21: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Task Management

Page 22: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Quality Management - 2016

Page 23: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Task (Action) Flow

D E F

C

G I H

P P P

P

P

P P

P

P – The Good

Page 24: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Agenda

Preview

Quality and the Greeks

Quality in the Middle Ages

Quality in Industrial Revolution

Quality in the 20th Century

Quality in the 21st Century

Page 25: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Marcus Tullius Cicero, Roman

statesman, lawyer, linguist, politician,

and philosopher

Born 106BC, Died 43BC

Introduced Romans to Greek

philosophy

Executed after power struggle with

Marc Antony

Quality and the Greeks

Page 26: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Cicero added words to the Latin,

including

Humanitas, Quantitas, Qualitas

Qualitas – a property of an object,

character, nature

Quantitas – greatness, magnitude, size

Quality and the Greeks

Page 27: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Agenda

Preview

Quality and the Greeks

Quality in the Middle Ages

Quality in Industrial Revolution

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 28: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Guilds – associations of artisans who

controlled the practice of their craft

Apprentices trained by Master

Craftsman

Quality in the Middle Ages

Page 29: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Guilds included textile workers,

masons, carpenters, money changers,

etc.

Guilds created their own high standards

Declining influence in the 18th and 19th

centuries

Quality in the Middle Ages

Page 30: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Agenda

Preview

Quality and the Greeks

Quality in the Middle Ages

Quality in the Industrial Revolution

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 31: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Guilds perceived by Adam Smith and

Jean-Jacques Rousseau as hindering

market forces over prices, wages, and

profits

Quality in the Industrial

Revolution

Page 32: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Guilds perceived by Karl Marx as

maintaining social classes

Guilds faded in power with the

emergence of the Industrial Revolution

Quality in the Industrial

Revolution

Page 33: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

In 1776, French General Jean-Baptiste

Vaquette de Gribeauval sponsored

standardized weapons through a royal

order

Quality in the Industrial

Revolution

Page 34: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Efforts to execute the royal order of

“Interchangeable Parts” were led by

Honore Blanc

Higher volumes (mass production) and

lower prices of products were attractive

Quality in the Industrial

Revolution

Page 35: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Mass production first demonstrated in

1803 at Portsmouth Block Works in

Hampshire, England

By 1808, annual production was

130,000, done with “ten men”, not “one

hundred and ten”

Quality in the Industrial

Revolution

Page 36: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Thomas Jefferson learned of Blanc

during his role as US Ambassador to

France, 1785-1789

Blanc declined Jefferson’s offer to

relocate to US

Jefferson shared Blanc’s efforts with

Eli Whitney, leading to first contract with

US Congress for product (rifles) with

interchangeable parts

Quality in the Industrial

Revolution

Page 37: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Agenda

Preview

Quality and the Greeks

Quality in the Middle Ages

Quality in Industrial Revolution

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 38: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

The advancement of machine tools

allowed mass produced parts to be

made to specification limits

The role of examination of parts by a

craftsman was replaced by a quality

inspector

Ransom Olds introduced assembly

lines in 1901 to build the “Curved Dash,”

the first mass produced automobile

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 39: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Olds Motor Works was sold to GM in

1908

Ford installed the first moving assembly

line in 1913

Model T assembly was divided into 48

steps

Ford hired Frederick Winslow Taylor to

conduct time and motion studies to add

efficiency to these steps

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 40: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

In parallel with Ford hiring Taylor, Bell

Lab’s Walter Shewhart was assigned

the task of developing a method to

manage variation in the production of

telephones

W. Edwards Deming met Shewhart in

1927 and him invited him to lecture on

control charts at the US Department of

Agriculture

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 41: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

During WW2, Deming partnered with

professors to share the theory of control

charts with the US defense industry

Deming was invited to Japan in 1950 to

share Shewhart’s methods for Statistical

Quality Control

During his 1950 visit, Deming also

shared his concept of “Production

Viewed as a System”

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 42: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

In 1982, Larry Sullivan, a senior Ford

manager, travelled to Japan to lead an

internal effort to study automobile

suppliers and the gain explanations for

their “results.” Together, they had captured

nearly 30 percent of the US market share

in automobile sales, beginning with zero in

1950 and growing to 3 percent in 1970.

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 43: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

A summary of his findings were published

in an article for the American Society for

Quality. Excerpts follow:

In March 1982, I was part of a

[management] group [from Ford] that

visited Japan and studied quality systems

at a variety of automotive suppliers.

Source: Variability Reduction: A New Approach to Quality, L. Sullivan, 1983

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 44: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

The most important thing we learned was

that quality in those companies means

something different from what it means in

the U.S. - that it is in fact a totally different

discipline.

Source: Variability Reduction: A New Approach to Quality, L. Sullivan, 1983

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 45: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

One inspiration for challenging the

mental model of “good parts are equally

good” is the 1983 discovery by Ford

Motor Company of a dramatic difference

in warranty claims between automatic

transmissions designed by Ford and

produced in two locations, one in

Batavia, Ohio, the other by Mazda in

Japan.

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 46: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Much to the surprise of Ford’s corporate

warranty office, the number of

complaints associated with the erratic

shifting of the transmissions produced in

Batavia were a factor of 3 greater than

the complaints against the

transmissions produced by Mazda.

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 47: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 48: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Upon close examination, Ford realized that

their manufacturing focus was on the valve

diameter and the bore diameter, taken

separately

valve diameter

bore diameter

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 49: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Meanwhile, Ford learned that Mazda’s

manufacturing focus was to actively manage

the gap between the outer diameter of the

valves within the transmission and

the corresponding diameter of the valve

bore.

gap

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 50: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

In doing so, Mazda’s efforts realized the

existence of an ideal gap, resulting from ideal

(“target”) values for both the bore and valve

diameters, with an awareness that variation in

gap size matters.

valve diameter

bore diameter

Quality in the 20th Century

Page 51: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

“A product or a service possesses

quality if it helps somebody and

enjoys a good and sustainable

market.”

W. E. Deming on Quality

Page 52: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

“A man’s mind, stretched by a

new idea, can never go back to

its original dimension.”

Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr.

Page 53: Brief History of Quality: The Good and The Bad€¦ · DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016 Amersfoort, NL May 26 . Bill Bellows, bill@in2in.org Tank Engines ... DARQA Jubilee Conference

Bill Bellows, [email protected]

Brief History of Quality:

The Good and The Bad

Presented by Bill Bellows

President

In2:InThinking Network

Canoga Park, California, USA

Email: [email protected]

DARQA Jubilee Conference 2016

Amersfoort, NL

May 26