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helmut-norpoth documents
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Electoral myth and reality: Realignments in American politics
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From Eisenhower to Bush: Perceptions of candidates and parties
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The chancellor model: Forecasting German elections
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To Change or Not to Change Horses: The World War II Elections
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The Falklands war and government popularity in Britain: Rally without consequence or surge without decline?
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Guns and Butter and Government Popularity in Britain
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As New Hampshire Goes (In January)
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Is Clinton Doomed? An Early Forecast for 1996
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On the Razor's Edge: The Forecast of the Primary Model
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Primary Colors: A Mixed Blessing for Al Gore