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Data for the Classroom from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.co m/ US GDP: Growth for Q2 2011 Revised Upward, But Still Weak Posted Sept. 29, 2011 Terms of Use: These slides are made available under Creative Commons License Attribution—Share Alike 3.0 . You are free to use these slides as a resource for your economics classes together with whatever textbook you are using. If you like the slides, you may also want to take a look at my textbook, Introduction to Economics, from BVT Publishers.

US GDP Data: Growth for Q2 2011 Revised Upward, But Still Weak

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Page 1: US GDP Data: Growth for Q2 2011 Revised Upward, But Still Weak

Data for the Classroom fromEd Dolan’s Econ Blog

http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/

US GDP: Growth for Q2 2011 Revised Upward, But

Still WeakPosted Sept. 29, 2011

Terms of Use: These slides are made available under Creative Commons License Attribution—Share Alike 3.0 . You are free to use these slides as a resource for your economics classes

together with whatever textbook you are using. If you like the slides, you may also want to take a look at my textbook, Introduction to Economics, from BVT Publishers.

Page 2: US GDP Data: Growth for Q2 2011 Revised Upward, But Still Weak

Posted Sept. 29, 2011 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com

US GDP Growth Q2 2011

US GDP grew at an estimated 1.3% annual rate in Q2 2011

The January-March 2011 quarter was the 8th consecutive quarter of growth since the end of the recession that lasted from Dec 2007 to Jun 2009

The growth rate of 1.3% was a slight upward revision from the second estimate of 1.0 percent that was reported in August

About 2.5% growth of GDP is needed to keep unemployment from rising, when increases in the labor force and productivity are taken into account

Page 3: US GDP Data: Growth for Q2 2011 Revised Upward, But Still Weak

Posted Sept. 29, 2011 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com

Phases of the Business Cycle

According to standard business cycle terminology, the recession phase of the business cycle is the downward movement of GDP from its previous peak

The recovery phase is the upward movement from the trough (low point) of the recession and continues until GDP reaches its previous peak.

Once GDP moves above its previous peak, the expansion phase begins

Following this terminology, we see that the recovery, underway for two years, is not yet complete, and the economy has not yet entered the expansion phase of the cycle

Page 4: US GDP Data: Growth for Q2 2011 Revised Upward, But Still Weak

Posted Sept. 29, 2011 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com

Sources of US GDP Growth Q2 2011

Consumption accounted for about a third of the growth in Q2 2011

Investment accounted for 0.79 percentage points of growth, with strong business fixed investment helping to make up for weak residential investment

Federal government defense spending grew but was more than offset by continued decline of federal nondefense spending and state and local government spending

Net exports grew more strongly than previously reported, due to upward revision of exports and downward revision of imports

Table shows the contribution of each sector to the 1.34% total GDP growth in Q2, 2011