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The Next Generation Revenue – Will Broadband Deliver? Vitalis Ozianyi, Industry Analyst Information and Communications Technology Information and Communications Technology June 8, 2011

The Next Generation Revenue - Will Broadband Deliver?

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Page 1: The Next Generation Revenue - Will Broadband Deliver?

The Next Generation Revenue – Will Broadband Deliver?

Vitalis Ozianyi, Industry Analyst

Information and Communications TechnologyInformation and Communications Technology

June 8, 2011

Page 2: The Next Generation Revenue - Will Broadband Deliver?

Functional Expertise

� 8 years of research and development expertise, which include more than 20 international conference

presentations in the telecommunications industry. Particular expertise in:

- Pricing and billing of telecommunications services

- Network infrastructure and resource sharing

- Broadband networks

- IP Multimedia Subsystems

Industry Expertise

� Experience in analysis of the African telecommunications infrastructure landscape, convergence and

broadband penetration strategies taking advantage of a sound working relationship with engineers in

leading telecommunication companies.

- Network equipment and solution vendors

- Fixed line operators

Mobile operators

Today’s Presenter: Vitalis Ozianyi

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- Mobile operators

What I bring to the Team

• Thorough understanding and knowledge of telecommunication systems

• Conference speaking and client engagement skills

• A growing network of dynamic engineers and experts in the telecommunications industry

Career Highlights

� Extensive expertise in telecommunications prototype development and the use of open source software

for ICT systems development and integration

- Institute of Telecommunications, Aveiro, Portugal

- Centre of Excellence in Broadband Networks and Applications Research, University of Cape

Town, South Africa

Education

� PhD Electrical Engineering from the University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa

� MSc Electrical Engineering from the University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa

� BTech Electrical and Telecommunications Engineering from Moi University, Eldoret, Kenya

Dr. Vitalis G. OzianyiIndustry Analyst

Frost & Sullivan

Africa

Cape Town

South Africa

Page 3: The Next Generation Revenue - Will Broadband Deliver?

Agenda

• Introduction

• Current Market Status

• Revenues (South Africa, Angola, Zambia, Lesotho)

• Broadband Infrastructure and Technologies: Is 3G the choice for Southern Africa Operators?

• The impact of Undersea Cables: What prices should the market expect?

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expect?

• Next Generation Revenue: Have voice revenues peaked?

• Conclusions

• Questions

Page 4: The Next Generation Revenue - Will Broadband Deliver?

Southern Africa is a dynamic region thatbenefits from a strategic position as themeeting point for East and West Africanmarkets.

As members of the Southern AfricaDevelopment Community (SADC), thesecountries have been cultivating strongeconomic ties.

South Africa, the most industrialized countryin the region, exhibits leadership in

Introduction

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in the region, exhibits leadership intechnology advancement.

On the other hand, Angola having emergedfrom a civil war is positioned to achieve astrong economic growth. This will be drivenby mining, oil and construction industries.

Southern Africa countries are served by fourundersea fibre cables: SAT-3/SAFE, SEACOM, EASSy and WACS. Thefour coastal countries have landing pointsand the majority of landlocked countries areconnected.

Source: Frost & Sullivan

Page 5: The Next Generation Revenue - Will Broadband Deliver?

Introduction

Gro

wth

Disruption Point LTE / IMS

3G+ and WiMAX

Undersea

cables

Will broadband and

services revenue

exceed voice

revenues?

3G capacities unable to meet

demand for bandwidth

intensive applications

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Services

Broadband IPTV CS Voice VoIP, Broadband

Fixed Access Networks

xDSLDial-up

Wireless Access Networks

3G+, WiMAX LTE

2016201520142013201220112010200920082007

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

FTTC/FTTB

Source: Frost & Sullivan