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Ten Years of Disruption…a look over the horizon

James Duez

Entrepreneur, Angel Investor, NEDRainbird, Optalysys, Cuju Media, Tribal Toad

@jamesduez

2015WHERE AREWE NOW?

$5 million vs. $400PRICE OF THE FASTEST SUPERCOMPUTER IN 1975 AND AN IPHONE 4 WITH EQUAL PERFORMANCE

$2.7 billion, 13 yearsCOST AND DURATION OF THE HUMAN GENOME PROJECT, COMPLETED IN 2003

300,000 milesDRIVEN BY GOOGLE’S AUTONOMOUS CARS WITH ONLY ONE ACCIDENT (HUMAN ERROR)

3xINCREASE IN EFFICIENCY OF NORTH AMERICAN GAS WELLS BETWEEN 2007 AND 2011

85%DROP IN COST PER WATT OF A SOLARPHOTOVOLTAIC CELL SINCE 2000

2025WHERE ARE WE

HEADING?

2-3 billionMORE PEOPLE WITH ACCESS TO THE INTERNET IN 2025

$100, 1 hourCOST AND TIME TO SEQUENCE A HUMAN GENOME IN THE NEXT DECADE

1.5 millionDRIVER-CAUSED DEATHS FROM CAR ACCIDENTS IN 2025, POTENTIALLY ADDRESSABLE BY AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES

100-200%POTENTIAL INCREASE IN NORTH AMERICAN OIL PRODUCTION BY 2025, DRIVEN BY HYDRAULIC FRACKING

16%POTENTIAL SHARE OF SOLAR AND WIND IN GLOBAL ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY 2025

$5–7 trillionPOTENTIAL ECONOMIC IMPACT BY 2025 OF AUTOMATION OF KNOWLEDGE WORK

1. Mobile InternetIncreasingly inexpensive and capable mobile computing devices and Internet connectivity

2. Automation of Knowledge WorkIntelligent software systems that can perform knowledge work tasks involving unstructured commands and subtle judgments

3. Internet of ThingsNetworks of low-cost sensors and actuators for data collection, monitoring, decision making, and processes

4. Cloud TechnologyUse of computer hardware and software resources delivered over a network or the Internet, often as a service

5. Advanced RoboticsIncreasingly capable robots with enhanced senses, dexterity, and intelligence used to automate tasks

6. Autonomous VehiclesVehicles that can navigate and operate with reduced or no human intervention

7. GenomicsFast, low-cost gene sequencing, advanced big data analytics, and synthetic biology (“writing” DNA)

8. Energy StorageDevices or systems that store energy for later use, including batteries

9. 3D PrintingAdditive manufacturing techniques to create objects by printing layers of material based on digital models

10. Advanced MaterialsMaterials designed to have superior characteristics (e.g., strength, weight, conductivity) or functionality

11. Advanced oil and gasExploration and recovery techniques that make extraction of unconventional oil and gas economical

12. Renewable energyGeneration of electricity from renewable sources with reduced harmful climate impact