79
Network Science (Part II) Daniel Martin Katz Michigan State University - College of Law Quantitative Methods for Lawyers Class #24 !"#$ &'()*+,)-. /)0 &'()*+,)-

Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

 

Citation preview

Page 1: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Network Science (Part II)

Daniel Martin KatzMichigan State University - College of Law

Quantitative Methods for Lawyers Class #24

!"#$%&'$()

!"#$%&'$()*#)+),$(,"-.)*(/"0*."1)20$3)$-',#4))5,,$01*(6).$)7*8*9)!!!"#$%&'()*+&,#+-'"#$%&'(#$!)*#!+(',')-!./!+0!'1+2'02!$-$)#1!!!!).!&#$.,3#!"#)+',!'0!)*#!.(4#%)!)*+)!'$!(#'02!'1+2#"5!!!

!"#$%&'()*+,)-.% /)0%&'()*+,)-%

• ):+()3+8")$&.)3+(;)1".+*%#<)=>?4>@AB)• )C&.D)

• )E".+*%#)3+;)F")($*#")• )G$3"'3"#)./";)1$(’.)3+H"0<))

• ):+(’.)0"+1)+)I$01<)• )C&.D)

• ):+()2$,&#)$()F0$+1)0"6*$(#)• )J$*#")*#)$&.)$2)2$,&#)

@*,/+"%)K4)C$33+0*.$)LL9)E+(*"%)@+0'()M+.N)

Page 2: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

A Brief Word About Tables in Stata

Estimates Table (esttab is best as it easily has the R^2 values)

http://repec.org/bocode/e/estout/esttab.html

You have to Install this as it is not here by defaulthttp://repec.org/bocode/e/estout/installation.html

There are Several Ways To Go Here:

Might Have to Say “Estimates Table”

Page 3: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

A Brief Word About Tables in Stata

Another Option is “Outreg”ssc install outreg

Remember you need to store the models first - so it knows what return to you

It is going to write the output to a file

http://www.kellogg.northwestern.edu/rc/stata-outreg.htmhttp://www.ats.ucla.edu/stat/stata/faq/outreg.htm

Some Tutorials (aka #hiveknowledge )

Page 4: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Random Graphs

Power Law networks

Page 5: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Generating Power Law Distributed Networks

Pseudocode for the growing power law networks:

Start with small number of nodes

add new vertices one by one

each new edge connects to an existing vertex in proportion to the number of edges that vertex already displays (i.e. preferentially attach)

Page 6: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Growing Power Law Distributed Networks

The previous pseudocode is not a unique solution

A variety of other growth dynamics are possible

In the simple case this is a system that extremely “sensitive to initial conditions”

upstarts who garner early advantage are able to extend their relative advantage in later periods

for example, imagine you receive a higher interest rate the more money you have “rich get richer”

Page 7: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Just To Preview The Application to Positive

Legal Theory ....

Page 8: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Power Laws Appear to be a Common Feature of Legal Systems

Katz, et al (2011)American Legal Academy

Katz & Stafford (2010)American Federal Judges

Geist (2009)Austrian Supreme Court

Smith (2007)U.S. Supreme Court

Smith (2007)U.S. Law Reviews

Post & Eisen (2000) NY Ct of Appeals

Smith (2007)U.S. Law Reviews

Page 9: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Some Additional Thoughts on the Question...

Page 10: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Back to Network Measures

Page 11: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Node Level Measures

Sociologists have long been interested in roles / positions that various nodes occupy with in networks

For example various centrality measures have been developed

Degree

Closeness

Here is a non-exhaustive List:

Betweenness

Hubs/Authorities

Page 12: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

DegreeDegree is simply a count of the number of arcs (or edges) incident to a node

Here the nodes are sized by degree:

Page 13: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Degree as a measure of centrality

Please Calculate the “degree” of each of the nodes

Page 14: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Degree as a measure of centrality

ask yourself, in which case does “degree” appear to capture the most important actors?

Page 15: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Degree as a measure of centrality

what about here, does it capture the “center”?

Page 16: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Closeness Centrality

Closeness is based on the inverse of the distance of each actor to every other actor in the network

Closeness Formula:

Normalized Closeness Formula:

Page 17: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Closeness Centrality

Page 18: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Closeness Centrality

Page 19: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Betweenness Centrality

Idea is related to bridges, weak ties

This individual may serve an important function

Betweenness centrality counts the number of geodesic paths between i & k that actor j resides on

Page 20: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Betweenness Centrality

Betweenness centrality counts the number of geodesic paths between i & k that actor j resides on

Page 21: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Betweenness Centrality

Check these yourself:

gjk = the number of geodesics connecting j & k, and

gjk = the number that actor i is on

Note: there is also a normalized version of the formula

Page 22: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Betweenness Centrality

Betweenness is a very powerful concept

We will return when we discuss community detection in networks ... If you want to preview check out this paper:

Michelle Girvan & Mark Newman, Community structure in social and biological networks, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 99, 7821–7826 (2002)

High Betweenness actors need not be actors that score high on other centrality measures (such as degree, etc.)

[see picture to the right]

Page 23: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Hubs and Authorities

The Hubs and Authorities Algorithm (HITS) was developed by Computer Scientist Jon Kleinberg

Similar to the Google “PageRank” Algorithm developed by Larry Page

Kleinberg is a MacArthur Fellow and has offered a number of major contributions

Page 24: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Hubs and Authorities

We are interested in BOTH:

to whom a webpage links

and

From whom it has received links

In Ranking a Webpage ...

Page 25: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Hubs and Authorities

Intuition --

If we are trying to rank a webpage having a link from the New York Times is more of than one from a random person’s blog

HITS offers a significant improvement over measuring degree as degree treats all connections as equally valuable

Page 26: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Hubs and Authorities

Relies upon ideas such as recursion

Measure who is important?

Measure who is important to who is important?

Measure who is important to who is important to who is important ?

Etc.

Page 27: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Hubs and Authorities

Hubs: Hubs are highly-valued lists for a given query

for example, a directory page from a major encyclopedia or paper that links to many different highly-linked pages would typically have a higher hub score than a page that links to relatively few other sources.

Authority: Authorities are highly endorsed answers to a query

A page that is particularly popular and linked by many different directories will typically have a higher authority score than a page that is unpopular.

Note: A Given WebPage could be both a hub and an authority

Page 28: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Hubs and Authorities

Hubs and Authorities has been used in a wide number of social science articles

There exists some variants of the Original HITS Algorithm

Here is the Original Article : Jon Kleinberg, Authoritative sources in a hyperlinked environment, Journal of the Association of Computing Machinery, 46 (5): 604–632 (1999).

Note: there is a 1998 edition as well

Page 29: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Calculating Centrality Measures

Thankfully, centrality measures, etc. need not be calculated by hand

Lots of software packages ... in increasing levels of difficulty ... left to right

Difference in functions, etc. across the packages

easy: acceptsmicrosoft excel files

Medium: requires the .net / .paj

file setup

Hard: has lots of features

(R or Python)

Page 30: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Daniel Martin Katz Eric Provins!

Introduction to Computing for Complex Systems (Session XVII)!

Access A Full Step By Step

Tutorial for Pajek

The Slides From My Intro to Computing

for Complex Systems@ UMich ICPSR

Access Using this Tab

http://computationallegalstudies.com/icpsr-class/

Page 31: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Network Analysis Software

Just Download Pajek and Use the Tutorial

You should download it to your personal machine

MAC Users Note: It is a PC only Program so you will need something like crossover or you will have to multiboot

http://pajek.imfm.si/doku.php?id=download

Page 33: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'(#!%")#%)(%*+'#!",)(%*+-./)010#.*0)20.00!%")/3!!!4)

)))

*!(56.-)7)8%**6$!#%)!!))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))&6"!.-)*6$#!")96#:))

!"#$%&'"()'*+,-.(!%$/0121(3'*4,"15(6,778%2*0(9'*'&:,%(

(!!"#$%&'(#!%")#%)(%*+'#!",)(%*+-./)010#.*0)

20.00!%")/3!!!4))))

*!(56.-)7)8%**6$!#%)!!))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))&6"!.-)*6$#!")96#:))

!"#$%&'"()'*+,-.(!%$/0121(3'*4,"15(6,778%2*0(9'*'&:,%(

(!

!"#$%&''()*+,-../)(0#1+

2&%%&3+4#$#)5(3+6&$7&1+38(91#7:+!"#$%&'(")*+,&*$%&'-.//(")*#$001"(+2*3+'1#+1'&*$4*#$0/-&5*"&+6$'73*("*".+1'&*."8*3$#(&+2*

9.+1'&++;<=3+>??=:+

@(9A&#%+B:+C-..&$(D-+EE3+4&)(#%+@&$0)+F&DG+

Page 34: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'$()(*%+,-"(."/0%'$(

!  !"#$%&'((“1(2/'3,('4($'5"0(6716(1/"(!"#$%&"#'()"*+"#'(8'$$"86"5(6'("$,-(./-"!(936(+0$!+"#'(8'$$"86"5(6'(./-"!(5"$0"(2/'3,0(%$(67"($"6:'/;”(!  <'/6"/=(>$$"-1=(?3871@((1.223*4%"+(4*(5"/6.!7+@(A'&8"0(6'(67"(B?*=(CDDE8(

!  )*$+,&-.(/!  F-%G3"0(%$(1(7%27(087''-(0'8%1-($"6:'/;(!  .'&$2(8'1-%&'$0(%$(F'$2/"00(!  F'$03+"/(6H,"0(%$(1($"6:'/;('4(8'I,3/8710"0(

?%871"-(J@(K'++1/%6'(LL=(!1$%"-(?1/&$(M16N(

Page 35: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'()(*+,-#&(.'/0+123(

!"#$%&'()*%+(,-#.*(/0(

4-,5#'&(67(8+$$#1-/+(99:(;#<-'&(4#1=<(>#/?(

Page 36: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'()(*+,-#&(.'/0+123(

!"#$% &#'$()*% +,-"$% #./'$% $"/% &()+#0(1% (&%&),/12*",3*%,1%#%",-"%*'"((4%*(',#4%1/$5()67%%82/#*9%%45'6((7'89'16(:&#336(;#,'6(<8/'1'3/3(

(:(5% +,-"$% 5/% #**,-1% '(++;1,0/*% $(% $",*%1/$5()67%(

%%%%((

</)0'/*=(>'+%&'(=2-/*=(?1-'893@-%(

A-,@#'&(BC(D+$$#1-/+(<<6(E#8-'&(A#1F8(G#/H(

Page 37: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'()(*+,-#&(.'/0+123(

!"#$% &#'$()*% +,-"$% #./'$% $"/% &()+#0(1% (&%&),/12*",3*%,1%#%",-"%*'"((4%*(',#4%1/$5()67%%82/#*9%%45'6((7'89'16(:&#336(;#,'6(<8/'1'3/3(

(:(5% +,-"$% 5/% #**,-1% '(++;1,0/*% $(% $",*%1/$5()67%(

%%%%((

<,)4*%

=(>*%

?/)0'/*=(>'+%&'(@2-/*=(?1-'893@-%(

A-,@#'&(BC(D+$$#1-/+(<<6(E#8-'&(A#1F8(G#/H(

Page 38: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'()(*+,-.(/+#&0,+-1(

2034#'&(56(7+$$#809+(::;(<#-0'&(2#8,-(=#9>(

!"#$%"&?(@'+%&'('()"&?(/+AB+9'C((((((((#9(&'#19(+-3'(

*+,-."/’&-.++0-1/-/2"-&13"-4"/,+#0-1&-56-5/-#"7#"&"4/"(-%+89+$4)-54-/2"-:"41/";--<("1&=-:11D'(%+10,+-;(.'+.8#%4E;('94-0309E;(.'-C'8(->+,-35)2/-,"-1&&5)4-%+33?45$"&-/+-/25&-4"/,+#0@----((

Page 39: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'()(*+,-.(/+#&0,+-1(

!"#$%&'()*+,

-"./(0)1+,

2-3'%'-3'-41(

5067#'&(89(:+$$#;04+(22<(=#-0'&(5#;,-(>#4?(

2"03("+@(A'+%&'(456"+@(/+BC+4'3((((((((#4(&'#14(+-6'(

7/8,&"1’+,&//9,)1,1:",+).",*"18/09,)+,';,'1,0"#0"+"*1"5,(/<=/3*6,'*,1:",>"*)1"?,,@5")+A,211D'(%+10,+-<(.'+.;#%7E<('47-0604E<(.'-3';(,B/8,.'6:1,8",)++'6*,(/..$*'3"+,1/,1:'+,*"18/09C,,,,((

Page 40: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&$'(

!"#$%#&'#%($%&')$%'**+,-$.%/"001-+#2%0$03$4*&+5%.+6$4$-#72%%%%.$*5+#$%"3*$4)+-,%#&$%!"#$%&'"()*%%8"001-+#2%.$#$/9"-%+*%-"#%'%/"-/$5#%#&'#%/'-%3$%.+)"4/$.%:4"0%/"-#$;#<%((

)*+,-%.(/0(1"22-3*$"(445(6-#*%.()-37#(8-$9(

Page 41: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&$'($))*

!"#$%&'(&#) *$%&'(&#)

+"%,-$.*/0*1233-#"&2*445*!-("$.*+-#6(*7-&8*

Page 42: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&$'($))*

!"#$%&'()*+,%+*%#*(%-#.*/0*/"('%+-/'.1*#2%*%!"#$%&'()*+,%()"(%+*%-#.*/0*/"('%+-/'.1*#%+*%#*(%"33*4%5*/%6-+-/'.('+%'+7',8%*%9-:'/'#(%,*;4"/'%0".<"7',%&"$%-&03'&'#(%()'%,"&'%“&'()*+”%4-()%*/%4-()*=(%,=00*/(%5*/%+-/'.('+%'+7',8%

+"%,-$.*/0*1233-#"&2*445*!-("$.*+-#6(*7-&8*

Page 43: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'(

!"#$%&'($)* +$%&'($)*

• ()#*+,-(,".+/0*'%#1'(• (2+&+(.#3#&+/0*'(

• (4".+/0*'%#1('&,"*$&%(• (5,"67"*8-(09(,".+/0*'%#1(• (5.0:(

;#8%+".(<=()033+,#&0(>>?(2+*#".(;+,/*(@+&A(

Page 44: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'(

!"#$%&'($)* +$%&'($)*

• ()#*+,-(,".+/0*'%#1'(• (2+&+(.#3#&+/0*'(

• (4".+/0*'%#1('&,"*$&%(• (5,"67"*8-(09(,".+/0*'%#1(• (5.0:(

,-($*$)&$*('%./"$001*

;#8%+".(<=()033+,#&0(>>?(2+*#".(;+,/*(@+&A(

Page 45: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'(

!"#$%&'()*+,%+*%#*(%-#.*/0*/"('%'+1'%2'-1)(,3%(!'()*+,%()"(%+*%-#.*/0*/"('%'+1'%2'-1)(,%&"$%+-4'/%-#%"..'0("56'%7"68',3%• ()*&"$"+'(,+(+"-.(/"#$%&'(• (0&+#1&.2(3,'#45"(/"#$%&'((9-4'/'#(%,*:2"/'%0".;"1',%&"$%-&06'&'#(%()'%,"&'%“&'()*+”%2-()%*/%2-()*8(%,800*/(%<*/%2'-1)('+%'+1',=%

6#1%-".(78(9,::-+#&,());(<-*#".(6-+4*(=-&>(

Page 46: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'$()

!"#$%&'$()*#)+),$(,"-.)*(/"0*."1)20$3)$-',#4))5,,$01*(6).$)7*8*9)!!!"#$%&'()*+&,#+-'"#$%&'(#$!)*#!+(',')-!./!+0!'1+2'02!$-$)#1!!!!).!&#$.,3#!"#)+',!'0!)*#!.(4#%)!)*+)!'$!(#'02!'1+2#"5!!!

!"#$%&'()*+,)-.% /)0%&'()*+,)-%

• ):+()3+8")$&.)3+(;)1".+*%#<)=>?4>@AB)• )C&.D)

• )E".+*%#)3+;)F")($*#")• )G$3"'3"#)./";)1$(’.)3+H"0<))

• ):+(’.)0"+1)+)I$01<)• )C&.D)

• ):+()2$,&#)$()F0$+1)0"6*$(#)• )J$*#")*#)$&.)$2)2$,&#)

@*,/+"%)K4)C$33+0*.$)LL9)E+(*"%)@+0'()M+.N)

Page 47: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'$()

!"#$%&'()*+,)-%./"0&)(0)1"02% 3)4%&'()*+,)-%./50&)(0)1"02%

*+,")-.+/0#1)

2340+"%)56)7$,,+.38$)99:);+(3"%)2+.'()<+8=)

Page 48: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'$()

!"#$%$&'()*+,')$-$-(,%(./$-0,&-(1,%%$-+,&2(',(2"#$%$&'(((%$-,3/0,&-4((!"#$%$&'(5$'),2-(6%$(5,%$(,%(3$--($#$107$(6'(2$'$10&8((((1,55/&"'*(-'%/1'/%$(6'(2"#$%$&'(%$-,3/0,&-4()9,2/36%"'*:;6-$2(5$'),2-(!"##$%&2$'$1'(-'%/1'/%$(;$3,<(((6(=&,<&(%$-,3/0,&(3"5"'4(

*+,-."%)/0)1$22.3+4$)556)7.(+"%)*.3'()8.49)

Page 49: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&''()*+,-../)(0#1+

2&%%&3+4#$#)5(3+6&$7&1+38(91#7:+!"#$%&'(")*+,&*$%&'-.//(")*#$001"(+2*3+'1#+1'&*$4*#$0/-&5*"&+6$'73*("*".+1'&*."8*3$#(&+2*

9.+1'&++;<=3+>??=:+

@(9A&#%+B:+C-..&$(D-+EE3+4&)(#%+@&$0)+F&DG+

Page 50: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'(")'*+!"#$*,-.&/+0,12,34,2+

!"#$%&'(")'*+,"#$*-./&0+/1+'+1-2/"%1+/11%-3+

++++

5'&'+ .3+ 6,7"#.)8+ #"2,+ '6%)9')&+ ')9+ #"2,+9,&'.*,9:++;')/+ <%')(&'(=,+ 2,3,'274+ $2">,7&3+ 4.)8,+ ")+&4,+1,'3.6.*.&/+"1+7'*7%*'(")3:++?)9,23&')9.)8+ 7"#$%&'(")'*+ 7"#$*,-.&/+ 7')+'**"@+/"%+&"+7"##%).7'&,+@.&4+9,$'2&#,)&+AB+$,23")),*+"2+7"#$%&,2+37.,)(3&3+&"+3"*=,+/"%2+$2"6*,#:++4'5-+ 1%2-+ 0"%2+ $2"6-,&+ /1+ 7-'1/8*-+ 8-7"2-+,"##/9):+&;-+(#-3+++

;.74',*+C:+D"##'2.&"+AAE+5').,*+;'2()+F'&G+

Page 51: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'(")'*+!"#$*,-.&/+0,12,34,2+

!"#$%&'(")'*+5"#$*,-.&/+.)+&4,+5")&,-&+"1+#"6,2)+5"#$%()7+.3++++$2.#'2.*/+1"5%3,6+")+&8"+2,3"%25,39++!"  #$%&'(#:"8+*")7+6",3+.&+&';,+&"+$,21"2#+'+3,<%,)5,+"1+"$,2'(")3=+

•  !>?@A>?+•  B-'5&+C3D+'$$2"-.#'&,+3"*%(")3+#

)"  #*+,-./'(#:"8+#%54+3$'5,+6",3+.&+&';,+&"+3&"2,+"%2+$2"E*,#=#•  F,#"2/+')6+“$,23.3&,)&”+3&"2'7,+G&"+'+*,33,2+6,72,,H+•  I'&'+2,$2,3,)&'(")3+

J,+&,)6+&"+5"##%).5'&,+(#,+')6+3&"2'7,+5"#$*,-.&/+&42"%74+“K.7LM+)"&'(")D”+

F.54',*+ND+K"##'2.&"+OOP+I').,*+F'2()+Q'&R+

Page 52: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'(")'*+!"#$*,-.&/+0,12,34,2+

5)+6"#$%&'(")'*+6"#$*,-.&/7+“8.9:;+)"&'(")”+6")<,/3+.)1"2#'(")++++'="%&+4">+(#,+')?+3&"2'9,+6"3&3+36'*,+>.&4+.)$%&3@++• +!"#$A+6")3&')&+:+.)?,$,)?,)&+"1+.)$%&+• +!"%$A+36'*,3+*.),'2*/+>.&4+&4,+3.B,+"1+.)$%&+• +!"%&'$A+36'*,3+C%'?2'(6'**/+>.&4+&4,+3.B,+"1+.)$%&+• +!"%&($A+36'*,3+6%=.6'**/+>.&4+&4,+3.B,+"1+.)$%&+

D4,3,+&,2#3+"E,)+"66%2+>.&4+)*+,%,&,2#3+++')?+'2,+&4,)+9.<,)+&4,+$2,F-+“C%'3.:@”+

G"2+92'$4+'*9"2.&4#37+&4,+.)$%&+%+.3+&/$.6'**/++• -.-7+&4,+)%#=,2+"1+<,2(6,3+• -/-7+&4,+)%#=,2+"1+,?9,3+

++++

H.64',*+I@+8"##'2.&"+557+J').,*+H'2()+K'&B+

Page 53: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%$&'($)(*+,-$./(

!-0/(,"#$%$&'($)(&+,-$./()$11$2/(,-+(-0/,$3'($)(,-+03(.+4+1$5&+%,6(!• "#$#%#$&!'&()*+%!

•  7.8+9:+,2++%%+//(;<==<>((

• '*+,-./#(0!'&()*+%(•  ?"/,983++.'(;<==@>(•  A+".0%8(708+%4+B,$3(;<==C>(

• "01.2#3!'&()*+%!•  D10EF+(5+3B$1"G$%(;<==H>(•  I"1J,3"5(;<==H>(

*0B-"+1(K6(L$&&"30,$(MMN(O"%0+1(*"3G%(P",Q(

Page 54: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&$'($$))$**%

!"#$%&'()*+,-.//+,-./)0%1$(2/)!""#$%%&'()*"+),&-)&,."('"+$-(/0"/'1"2($0$3(-/0"'.)4$,5+3%%41560%78873%/0',%&/123'.//9,.,"$%':$%)$'(;-<%,)';%*=>*$?=$)'@A%*2/@@$-%B,$C$*%>A%D)",)#%$"#$*%':/'%“>-,"#$”%C;22=),E$*3/%4)*,56'%*5,.///• /F/)%>$%/"/B'$"%';%",-$C'$"%)$'(;-<*%G,#-/B:H3%• /F/)%>$%/"/B'$"%';%($,#:'*%G);%B=>@,C%*;I(/-$H3%%7%83/4)89$3:%5;./67898:;<",)%#$)$-/@0%67898:="0$3"898<%J;-%*B$C,/@%C/*$*!

K,C:/$@%L3%&;22/-,';%MM0%9/),$@%K/-E)%N/'O%

Page 55: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&$'($$))$**%

!"#$%&'(%)*)("+%

+,-./$0%12%&344/5,'3%667%8/),$0%+/59)%:/';%

Page 56: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'(#)*&+&,-$.’(&/-0-1*&23"4&

!"#$"%&'()*"%"+,)-./05&67$#-3&8*1970%&7:&:0#*8)(.#;(&4*19**8&<=&>*>4*0(&7:&-&%-0-1*&$3"4&-1&-&?6&"8#@*0(#1A&#8&1.*&BCDE(&

12,3+4)F"0#8G&1.*&74(*0@-H78&;*0#7)I&1.*&$3"4&407%*&#817&J&(>-33*0&$3"4(K&&L.#(&(;3#1&7$$"00*)&-378G&-&;0*M*N#(H8G&(7$#-3&)#@#(#78&4*19**8&1.*&197&“$7>>"8#H*(”&#8&1.*&8*1970%K&

&5%"63)7%89)+$,):";,%4),-$.-0AK&!"#$"%&'()*&"#+&,#(&-./#%&'#0&"+$01#)"-#233$&"#$"#

3()//#4'&5637&O7"08-3&7:&'81.07;737G#$-3&P*(*-0$.&<<I&BCDDK&

5863.8"<)+$,)5"+"4).Q;5RR999M;*0(78-3K">#$.K*)"RS>*T8R8*1)-1-R&

&&&

&

&&

U#$.-*3&OK&V7>>-0#17&WWI&F-8#*3&U-0H8&/-1X&

Page 57: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&$'($$))$**%

+),-%./*0,1**/20134)%

5/061$,%78%&4..19/'4%::;%<1)/$,%5193)%=1'>%

Page 58: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&$'($$))$**%

&$'($$))$**%'$)"*%'+%#$'%',$%-.#%/.0'12$%2.#,'3%%%%4+($5$26%2$*+718+)%09)%-$%9%/2+-7$:;%%%%<+%)+'%"29(%0+)071*.+)*%9-+1'%*:977%0+::1).8$*%=2+:%',.*%97#+2.',:%97+)$3%

>.0,9$7%?3%&+::92.'+%@@6%<9).$7%>928)%A9'B%

Page 59: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'()*+

!• +!+(,+)-.+/$01.'+"2+.#3.,+(/+0"#$%.+"##• +$+(,+)")&%+#.3'..+"2+4.'56.,+(/+0"#$%.+"++• +%+(,+)-.+)")&%+/$01.'+"2+.#3.,+(/+/.)7"'8+!"!#$!%#&'(')*'!+',-'')!.+$'(/'%!*.))'*0/#,1!-#,2#)!3.%45'$!6)%!78!9.(!,2'!*.):;4(60.)!3.%'5!<%';(''=%#$,(#+40.)!:>'%?!!

!(6-&.%+9:+;"00&'()"+<<=+>&/(.%+!&'5/+?&)@+

Page 60: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'()*+

,-.-./-'+"$'+0'-1("$2+#(23$22("4+"4+3".0$)&5"4&%+3".0%-6()*7++

!"#$%&'()*+.&6(.(8&5"4+(2+&4+!"#$%&'()&*+,-.9++

:;(2+.-&42+);&)+);-'-+(2+4"+0"%*4".(&%+'-0'-2-4)&5"4+"<+5.-+3".0%-6()*=++

/,,(.-0$*'1(0$-&-2*&-(0&3(0*(1*,4-(2*&(%))&*56.%0-(1*,78*91:(++

!(3;&-%+>9+?"..&'()"+@@A+B&4(-%+!&'54+C&)8+

Page 61: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'()*+

!(,-&.%+/0+1"22&'()"+334+5&6(.%+!&'76+8&)9+

1.6:&2(6+;0+<""#4+=>.?@A%.B&6#'.+#.+!"6):"*.+C+A&'"6+D%&$?.)4++E-.+F.'G"'2&6,.+"G++!"#$%&'()*+!&B(2(9&7"6+(6+F'&,7,&%+D"6).B)?4+F-*?0+H.>0+I+JK4+LMNKLN+OPLKLQ+

+

Page 62: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'(()*%

!"#$%&'()*+,-.//• %+(,-"./%%!"#$%"&'()*$+,%-()%./$/012'%0(,,32*$4%#$)30$3)/%*2%2/$5()6#7%01*#/%2(3/%45%6778/%• %9:";#($5%+(,-".5%<=='(/%%!*2.*2'%0(,,32*$4%#$)30$3)/%*2%8/)4%&")'/%2/$5()6#7%01*#/%2(3/%%45%6778/%• %>"?@$"5%A#;';-@/%!*2.*2'%9(,,32*$4%:$)30$3)/%*2%;/'"<#0"&/%:(0*"&%=/$5()6#7%677B/%%%0',%&/123'.////A'*%$=%'".)=-:*%"##(-C:(%"%:"'D('%".)%:"'D('%E=--;.@F(#%G'=-%$1(%D'=;.)%;H/%%I$"'$%C*%H:"[email protected]%("E1%3('$(J%@.%@$#%=,.%E=--;.@$*%".)%$1(.%E=-C@.(%E=--;.@F(#%$1"$%H'=);E(%$1(%C(#$%-=);:"'@$*%"$%$1"$%#$(H//%4)*,56'%*5,./• /9".%C(%")"H$()%$=%)@'(E$()%()D(#%K.=%H;C:@EL/%• /9".%C(%")"H$()%$=%,(@D1$#%K@D'"H1L/%%7%83/4)89$3:%5;./>?@A@@B@%&('%@B@C%,='#$%E"#(%

<@E1"(:%M/%N=--"'@$=%OO5%P".@(:%<"'F.%Q"$R%

Page 63: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'(()*%

!"#$+&'(()*%",#-%$(.)#%$-%"//'(##01(,*%2'("$(%,"'/('%2-334.05(#%$-%$6(%)($'03(.$%-7%#3",,('%2-334.05(#8%

96*%0#%$60#%.-)(%'()%0.#$(")%-7%:,4(;%

<026"(,%=8%>-33"'0$-%??@%A".0(,%<"'5.%B"$C%

Page 64: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'()%'"&*"+,-.(

!"#$%&'()*+,-.//• (/"01#&2(!"#$"#%&'())*#"+,&-+.*'+*./&"#&#/+0(.1-&*-"#%&+2/&/"%/#3/'+(.-&(4&)5+."'/-6&34562(7"*2()8(9::;2(• (!"%+4,8(/"01#&2(7())*#"+,&-+.*'+*./&"#&$"./'+/$&#/+0(.1-6&34562(7"*2(!"<28(9::=2&(0',%&/123'./>6"(,4"(6%'&(-&(,4"(+-1?-&"&,6(-@(,4"(A"#$%&'("%'"&*"+,-.(-@(,4"(!#?A#+%#&(,-(6"BC"&D#AA5($%*%$"(,4"(&",0-.E2((4)*,56'%*5,./• /F#&(G"(#$#?,"$(,-($%."+,"$("$'"6(H&-(?CGA%+I2(• /F#&(G"(#$#?,"$(,-(0"%'4,6(H%'.#?4I2((7%83/4)89$3:%5;./89:;:<=>(

J%+4#"A(K2(L-11#.%,-(MM8(N#&%"A(J#.D&(O#,P(

Page 65: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'()%'"&*"+,-.(

/-,"( ,0#,( "%'"&*"+,-.’1( ."123,1(1""4( ,-( 153%,( ,0"( $%6"."&+"(7",8""&( "$'"( 7",8""&&"11( #&$(9#1,:'.""$;(%&(,0%1(+#1"<(

=0;(#."(,0"1"(&-$"1(&-,(#(5#.,(-9(,0"(3#.'".(4-$23"1>(

?%+0#"3(@<(A-44#.%,-(BBC(D#&%"3(?#.E&(F#,G(

Page 66: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&"'(

!"#$%&'()*+,-./)*+,-(."%"'/0(!"#$%&'()*"##%'+&,-)+')./0(,)',12"03-)%-+'()0/'4"#)2/.3-5)1233-(45560((0',%&/123'.//789:#"%;(9"+/(,<*&%(&"+=*9(>"#$,(*+(%<;(+;%>*&$("+=(?*9':%;('"8&>8,;(,898#"&8%/(9;",:&;,(@",;=(*+(%<;,;(>"#$,0((A,;(%<;,;(,898#"&8%/(B"#:;,(%*("CC&;C"%;(B;&D?;,(8+%*(?*99:+8D;,0((4)*,56'%*5,./• (E"+(@;("="'%;=(%*(=8&;?%;=(;=C;,(F8C&"'<G0(• (E"+(@;("="'%;=(%*(>;8C<%,(F8C&"'<G0(• (E"+("#%;&(&;,*#:D*+(@/(>"#$(#;+C%<(F8C&"'<G0((7%83/4)89$3:%5;./=;';+=,(*+(>"#$(#;+C%<-(67898:;)."()898<)1=$+*/..=)

H8?<";#(10(I*99"&8%*(JJ-(K"+8;#(H"&D+(L"%M(

Page 67: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&"'(

)*+,"-#(./(0122"&*%1(334(5"6*-#()"&76(8"%9(

Page 68: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&"'(

!"#$%&"'("))*+,)(-.&/0.)(%1(2*3.&.,%(01445,*/.)(%6",('&.-*15)("#+1&*%64)7((81%.(%6"%(%6.()*45#"%.2(9"#$(#.,+%6(0",(:.(06",+.2(%1("#%.&(&.)1#5/1,7((!"#$%&#'(#&)*+,'"-./(0*,+*+$(1%.+/1*.02*$%"+*#&+"-$+*'.3*1%.04&*&5&0*.6&#*78,04*$%&*9.-:*-&04$%*.02*,0;"$*4#.;%<*((

;*06".#(<7(=144"&*%1(>>?(@",*.#(;"&/,(A"%B(

Page 69: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'(%)*+,-.%/'

!"#$%&$'($$))$**+ ,-*'%./$$"0+

1$-"2)#+!2#$)3$4'5/+6-78'/-9+

!-0$+"1'23'4%))+,-#%'556'7+/-"1'!+,8/'9+#:'

Page 70: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%%"&'"'()$*+,-"(.(/0-,12(

• (3$-"(4/5-,-67(3(• (8&9"-:,#";7(<692$&=(!=(!>56((• (?",9>-";7(@-,12($1"-,A$&;(B(,C0$-/92%;=(-,&'$%(0-,12(0"&"-,A$&=(0-,12(;9,A;A#;=(#$%%>&/96('"9"#A$&=(D/;>,C/E,A$&(C,6$>9=(1C$F&0(• (G!47(2H17II/0-,12J;$>-#":$-0"J&"9I(• (K$#>%"&9,A$&7(2H17II/0-,12J;$>-#":$-0"J&"9I'$#>%"&9,A$&J29%C(

(

L/#2,"C(MJ(N$%%,-/9$(88=(K,&/"C(L,-A&(O,9E(

Page 71: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'()*+,-.(/-012'(3-4'(

562,#'&(78(9-$$#16+-(::;(<#.6'&(5#1=.(>#+?(

Page 72: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&"'(#)(*#++,$-./(0&.&1%#$2(3&+4#"56(7&.8#"9(0/$5+-1'(

:-1;5&6(<=(>#++5"-.#(??@(05$-&6(:5"%$(A5.B(

Gergely Palla, Albert-Laszlo Barabasi & Tamas Vicsek, Quantifying Social Group Evolution, Nature 446:7136, 664-667 (2007)

Page 73: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'#(!$)!*$++,%-./!0'.'1&$%2!

*$++,%-./!3.#,1.,#'!45'#!3167'(8!9-+'!:'#-$;8!'.1<!!

=-1>6'7!?<!@$++6#-.$!AA8!06%-'7!=6#&%!B6.C!

Science 14 May 2010, Vol. 328. no. 5980, pp. 876 - 878

Page 74: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"##$%&'()*+'+,-"%).+/&+0)12-,3+4)

!"#$%&'$()*%+$,-$.%/012*$'3%%% Mason A. Porter, Jukka-Pekka Onnela and Peter J. Mucha. 2009. “Communities in Networks.” Notices of the American Mathematical Society 56: 1082-1166. ))Santo Forunato. 2010. “Community detection in graphs.” Physics Reports. 486: 75-174.)

5&,67+3)89):"##72&'");;<)*7%&+3)572-%)=7'>)

Page 75: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

!"#$%&'($)*+,#$-)./0&1*$2$$$

3&1.*,4$56$7899*#&:8$;;<$=*'&,4$3*#>'$?*:@$

We Will Discuss This Later ...

Page 76: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

In Both Citation and Social Networks -- Algorithm Choice Matters

Page 77: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Due to Time Constraints

Those Who Are Interested in

Applications to Law

Page 78: Quantitative Methods for Lawyers - Class #24 - Professor Daniel Martin Katz - MSU College of Law

Network Analysis and the Law

Daniel Martin KatzMichigan State University

College of Law

Michael J. Bommarito IICenter for Study of

Complex Systems

Jurix 2011 Tutorial @ Universität Wien

!