New York Taiwanese Finance Association Event: Big Data, Deep Learning, and the New Roles of Cognitive Systems in Human World

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March 22, 2016Big Data, Deep Learning, and New Roles of Cognitive Systems in Human WorldErin M. Burke, J.D., M.S.D. Frank Hsu, Ph.D.

Evolution of AI in ChessMariano Kamp, Creative Commons Attribution License

19851989

Chiptest (Carnegie Mellon)50,000 moves/sec

Chiptest-M500,000 moves/secWins first world championship, Kasparov easily defeats19871988

Deep Thought 0.01, 0.02720,000 moves/sec

19901993

Move to Yorktown Heights,2MM positions/second, increased efforts on parallel search algorithm

Renamed Deep Blue

1991Increased processing power, 6-7MM positions per second, Deep Thought II, ACM World ChampDefeats Kasparov,100MM positions/second1997

Deep Blue ChoicesEvaluation algorithm measures the "goodness" of a given chess position:material position King safetytempoSelective SearchingPruning, not brute forceParallel computingJames Gardner, Creative Commons Attribution License

Deep Blue v. WatsonDifferent technologies, different skills. Sheer computing v. cognition.

Stephen Baker, author of Final JeopardyWatson is a far more sophisticated program than Deep Blue, because it's closer to mastering kindergarten (though still far away)

Big Data 4 VsVolumeVarietyVelocityVeracity

Deep LearningTrain Artificial Neural Networks on Big Data - audio, pictures, ANN: learning and reinforcementClusteringExamine Enormous number of examples-> not hand-coded rules based (better on GPUs) Layers of algorithms, themselves discovered by sheer processing power

Wikimedia Commons

AlphagoGO: self-ignorance-> knowing more than we can tell is difficult to program. Needs to learn on its own, and therefore use deep learning.Difference with chess:Too many choices for even the fastest computers Difficult to assess where to startFed millions of examples learning and then played against itself to learn more reinforcement

ApplicationsSpeech recognitioncredit card fraud detectionradiology finance: temporal signals - 3D view of trends, patterns across different time scales

Fuzzy Logic ApplicationE-mailing StudentsGoal: Use correct tone in email to students