Internet in 2020 rohmer open world forum 2011

2011-09-22 Open World Forum Paris 2011 Jean Rohmer

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Internet in 2020A personal view

Jean [email protected]

http://plexus-logos-calx.blogspot.com/

Institut Fredrik Rosing BullEcole Supérieure d’Ingénieurs Léonard de Vinci


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Assumptions

• Reason as if memory, speed, bandwidth, energy, QoS wereinfinite and free

• Hardware performance improvement is neutral in the centralized vs distributed debate

• Sensemaking technologies progress is very slow (Natural Language understanding, Image understanding, AutomaticReasoning …)


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Assumption• Software Engineering as a whole is a

« meringue lemon pie »: it will neverchange qualitatively

Idem for the « hyperparallel » Von Neuman Architecture


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CLAIM

• Natural Language is the UltimateOpen Source Standard.

• Natural language exists for « more than » 100000 years

• Natural Language will exist in 2120

• Which Computer Format (like XML) will exist in 2120 ?


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CLAIMS• Natural Language is the sole sustainable

information representation and exchange standard (including among artefacts)

• Everybody should grow a « Personet »which mirrors the brain as an « Intelligence Amplifier , SemanticGuardian Angel» and connects/shields itwith/from the global Net

• Increase of the global WW Intelligence / Knowledge will come from an « Alterity »(or « ALTER IT! ») attitude: everybody isresponsible of what is fed –in naturallanguage- in the network

Semantic Guardian Angel


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Conjectures for 2020

• Intel (or Google or …) assembles directly an unique evergrowing computer in its factories: each wafer is positioned and connected as soonas produced:

• « Make it Cheap: Don’t Ship Chips! »

• Large corporations decide to replace documents, dabases, mails, applications by a « sentences manager » with appropriatenavigation and computation tools. We call it« Litteratus Calculus »

Technology

Internet in 2020 rohmer open world forum 2011