ANDARE INCONTRO AL LAVORO DI DOMANI

Roberto Siagri

Pordenone, 19 giugno 2015

Disrupting Ideas for Friuli Venezia Giulia

Quale è il posto in classifica dell’Italia

1- 11 °2- 17 °3- 23 °4- 32 °

Quale è il posto in classifica dell’Italia

1- 11 °2- 19 °3- 21 °4- 27 °

Quale è il posto in classifica dell’Italia

1- 12 °2- 28 °3- 31 °4- 47 °

National Power Index

6

…we won't experience 100 yearsof progress in the 21st century,it will be more like20,000 years of progress (at today's rate)

Law of accelerating returns

Ray KurzweilThe singularity is near

Late majority: Laggards:

Market share

Time

Adoption Rate

Innovators: Early majority:Early adopters:

Big Bang Market Adoption

Trial users Everyone else

L.Downes P. Nunes Big Bang Disruption

8

The Computer for the 21st Century

"The Computer for the 21st Century", Scientific American,

Vol. 265 No.9, pp. 66-75, 1991

Mark Weiser

“The most profoundtechnologies are those thatdisappear. They weavethemselves into the fabric of everyday life until they are indistinguishable from it “

9

Trends in Technological Acceleration

IDEAS are the new “ultimate” raw material

Moore's Law Miniaturization ‘65 Transistors increase 2 times over 18 months

Metcalfe's Law Interconnection ‘93 Value of a network increases with the square of the

number of connections

Gilder's Law Quantization ’00 Bandwidth increases 3 times over 12 months

I-IoT The Future of Automated Manufacturing

the fusion of IT & OT

business processes technical processes

10

The wave is arriving, it's time to decide

to ride or to be swept

is leading the way to a new industrial age

I-IoT or Industry 4.0

is not aboutProducts & Technologies

is about

Transition

Without a plan for changeyou can be located in an unconfortable zone

Change is Hard:70% of change efforts fail

Softwarization

Companies in every industry need to assume that a software revolution is coming…

Marc Andreessen

The dawn of a New Smart World

Transforming Bits of Data at the Edge of the Network

into Actionable Information & Knowledge

Industries will seea type of

not experienced

in the last two decades

Transition= Disruption = New value creation

• Improve operational efficiency

• Emergence of an outcome economy

• New connected ecosystems

• Collaboration between humans and machines

0 1 0 11 00 1 0 1 0 11 1 0 11

1 1 1 000 10 11 10 1 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1

1 0 1 1 1 0 11 1 0 111 0 1 0 1 0 1 0

1 0 1 0 11 1 0000 1

1 0 1 1 0 11

0 1 0 11 00 1 0 11 0

Adoption and impact path of the Industrial Internet

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1. OperationalEfficiency

2. New Products & Services

3. Outcome Economy

4. Autonomous, Pull Economy

Near-term

Long-term

World Economic Forum:Industrial Internet of Things:Unleashing the Potential ofConnected Products andServices Jan.2015

The Internet of Thingsis Everywhere …

Inside Opportunities

• Predictive maintenance• Remote Monitoring & Assets

Performance Management• Operational efficiency and

productivity gains

Outside Opportunities

• new business models• products-as-a-service,• pay-per-use • monetization of data

Re-Thinking

• Products• Value Add• Business Model• Business Processes

More data, More value, More services

Why it is important for nationsProgress, future, strategy

TO OUTCOMPUTE

IS TO

OUTCOMPETE

97% of companies* that had adopted supercomputing said they could no longer compete or survive without it.

*worldwide IDC study.

Why it is important for nations

• Worldwide political leaders increasingly recognize this trend

• USA, China, Japan, South Korea, India, Russia, UK, France, Germany. Huge investments for developing national supercomputing technologies. 

Progress, future, strategy

Distribution of Top500 for nation

25

BIT

26

ATOMIhttp://fab.cba.mit.edu/about

27

Genome

Bacterial image Genetic map

LIFE 2.0 : 21st May 2010

GENI

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A 99% biodegradable computer chip

HPC in life science

« 25 Percent of Life Scientists Will Require HPC in 2015 (HPC Wire) »

«High performance computing‐accelerate life sciences discoveries (Bio IT World)»

« Supercomputing Facilitates Breakthrough Cancer Treatment (HPC Wire) »

« The Future of Medical Care Are Tech Companies (Cheatsheet.com) »

News highlight changes and progresses in life sciences

What do they have in common?Physics and Astrophisics

Better quality of life Safer and more efficient transportation

High speed trading Weatherforecasting

New oilfields

Why HPC is importantHPC: the engine of progress

• Life Science progress• Complex problems resolution• Entertainment

Sovereignty

• Intelligence activities • Combat environment simulation • Cyber security

Competitiveness Societal improvement

• Innovation • Time to Market • Cost Reduction

Why it is important for nationsProgress, future, strategy

TO OUTCOMPUTE

IS TO

OUTCOMPETE

97% of companies* that had adopted supercomputing said they could no longer compete or survive without it.

*worldwide IDC study.

Why it is important for nations

• Worldwide political leaders increasingly recognize this trend

• USA, China, Japan, South Korea, India, Russia, UK, France, Germany. Huge investments for developing national supercomputing technologies. 

Progress, future, strategy

Distribution of Top500 for nation

34

Cosmic Evolution

Geosphere(Chemical Substrate)

Biosphere(Biologic-Genetic Substrate)

Noosphere(Memetic-Technologic Substrate)

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020 2040 2060 2080 2100

Cal

cula

tions

per

sec

ond

The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999), by Ray Kurzweil

One insect brain

One mouse brain

1040

1035

1030

1025

1020

1015

1010

105

10

10-5

$1,000 of computing buys…

One human brain

All human brains

Exponential Growth of Computing 1900-2100

CHALLENGE

1000 PF in 20 MW

1000 PF (1000 MW)3,000,000 people city

10 PetaOp/s With 20 W

Challenges in HPCThe energy challenge

1 PF (1 MW) 3,000 people

town

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“The ones who survive are not the biggest,

but those who adapt better to changes”Charles Darwin, Evolution Theory (1859)

faster you compute faster you adapt to changes

www.eurotech.com

Thank You!