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Healthcare IT leaders and innovators were asked for predictions for 2012. These predictions were first featured at a Venrock / athenahealth / Oak Investment Partners networking event during the JP Morgan Healthcare conference in January 2012.
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PREDICTION
HCIT incumbents will continue to over promise and under-deliver, allowing new entrants to better serve their customers and be appropriately rewarded at >5X revenues” Bob Zollars
Vocera
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PREDICTION
After the election, the $20B of federal government subsidies for EMR usage is revealed as a horrible debacle. Backwards looking and ill-conceived. Doctors in revolt, patient-care not improved”
Anonymous
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PREDICTION
Someone will finally bring consumer-focused product design to the enterprise space and prove that payors and employers will pay for solutions consumers truly enjoy using”
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Sutha Kamal
Massive Health
PREDICTION
2012 will be a stunning and scary year for HCIT - some great business building and exits as well as over-funding in the sector not seen since 1999”
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Bryan Roberts
Venrock
PREDICTION
Pushed by government initiatives, better implementations of traditional healthcare IT will improve connectivity and flow of data, however connectivity does not mean better collaboration and decision making”
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Anne DeGheest
HealthTech Capital
PREDICTION
It will become a national education priority to equip every high school graduate with a personal health record and understanding of the importance of maintaining it throughout their life”
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John Grotting
Frazier Healthcare
PREDICTION
2012 will be the year the industry discovers that HIEs, as currently planned, accomplish little. We will see the beginning of a shift in focus to local networks sharing clinical and administrative data, while billions continue to flow into regional and national HIEs that don't meet either need”
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Tom Kelly
Aetna
PREDICTION
Collaborative networks between and among companies, and academic institutions, will create more new compounds to fill the baron pipelines of the Pharma industry, than the output of the big two big Pharma mega mergers!”
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Ron Burns
ProtonMedia
PREDICTION
We will see the first big stupid string of lawsuits from patient's lawyers suing some EMR vendor for a medical error that was supposedly caused by the "forced" installation of EMR systems”
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Lisa Suennen
Psilos Group
PREDICTION
Google will quietly get back into healthcare but on the Enterprise Analytics side through an acquisition”
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Bijan Salehizadeh
Highland Capital Partners
PREDICTION
With the aging of our populations, the need to engage physicians and families in the day-to-day activities and care will accelerate IT and mobile enabled services for the surveillance and care of the elderly”
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Isaac Ciechanover
Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers
PREDICTION
WalMart threatens to shake things up in healthcare, but does nothing in the end because they don't have the guts nor the vision to do something significant”
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Anonymous
PREDICTION
Price transparency will become increasingly prominent with adverse side effects overall. The cost of healthcare will rise 2-3% above normal trend for fully insured businesses over the next 3-4 years until comparison shopping results in tangible benefits”
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Chris DeNoia
Simplee
PREDICTION
A remote monitoring product will emerge that marries medical-grade robustness with consumer-grade design and ease of use...The iPod of health monitoring”
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Brian Ascher
Venrock
PREDICTION
HCIT will dissect the healthcare Freakosystem, niche by niche, and begin to lay the foundation for a true ecosystem”
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Jordan Shlain
Private Medical Services
PREDICTION
SoLoMo apps find big traction in patient compliance, monitoring, diagnosis, adherence, et al.”
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Brook Byers
Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers
PREDICTION
50% of doctors offering virtual visits or email visits”Bob Kocher
Venrock
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PREDICTION
Health insurers will keep buying their way into HCIT, bidding up many companies. Two venture backed HCIT cos will be acquired for $500+m each by insurers”
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Bijan Salehizadeh
Highland Capital Partners
PREDICTION
The opportunities for building new businesses will really emerge in the new HealthTech area, including integrated delivery solutions to improve team care delivery for specific pain points and the bubble of direct to consumer applications will continue to be driven by tech venture investors, hoping for a B2C business model like Facebook or Groupon”
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Anne DeGheest
HealthTech Capital
PREDICTION
2012 will see the advent of online weight loss programs becoming mainstream AND insurance reimbursable on a large scale”
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Nick Desai
FitOrbit
PREDICTION
People will not pay attention to the fact that Google and Microsoft failed and we will have many more failures, good ideas”
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Jordan Shlain
Private Medical Services
PREDICTION
Medicaid managed care emerges as the hottest healthcare IT segment, EMRs begin to fade and Supremes nix ObamaCare”
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Chris Kryder
PREDICTION
The emergence of aps and marketplaces specifically tailored to servicing the needs of drug developers and academic institutions. Examples including eBay for academics and productivity aps for managing CROs and multi-site work teams”
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Isaac Ciechanover
Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers
PREDICTION
The press starts to talk about how mobile health apps aren't really being used, nor are they used to drive down costs because they're not integrated with the regular flow of care”
“
Anonymous
PREDICTION
100% of health plans will be sharing price and quality data with their customers”Bob Kocher
Venrock
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PREDICTION
40% of docs using EMRs are accessing them via tablet”Matthew Holt
Health 2.0
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PREDICTION
HHS will announce its first ACO bail-out”Graham Gardner
Kyru.us
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PREDICTION
I predict that HCIT will enable the forest to meet the tree and the tree to meet the forest”Jordan Shlain
Private Medical Services
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PREDICTION
Telemedicine based services companies become mainstream as an established provider of primary care”Isaac Ciechanover
Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers
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PREDICTION
There will be several successful HCIT IPOs!”Brian Ascher
Venrock
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PREDICTION
Breakout analytics for insurance and post-sequencing "big data" problems”Brook Byers
Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield & Byers
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PREDICTION
Gamification!”Annie Lamont
Oak Investment Partners
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PREDICTION
80% of doctors owning a tablet or smart phone”Bob Kocher
Venrock
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PREDICTION
One independent company emerges with the credible threat to become the Facebook of health”Anonymous
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PREDICTION
Athena will make a significant acquisition that will put them directly in the hospital IT space”Rick Adam
Recondotech
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PREDICTION
A SaaS upstart will begin to make inroads against the major incumbent health information systems, a la Salesforce vs Siebel”
Brian Ascher
Venrock
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