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ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 1
Digital Divide in Tourism
Sifiso Shongwe
School of Hotel and Tourism ManagementHong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 2
Agenda
• Introduction– Problem
– Previous research
• Method
• Evaluation results
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 3
Introduction
• Tourism: International arrivals (UNWTO)– 2012 exceeded the 1 billionth mark– To grow at 3.3% between 2010 and 2030– To grow faster in emerging economies (4.4%)– By 2030:
• To reach 1.8 billion• 57% (over 1 billion) expected in emeging economies
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 4
Introduction
• Digital Divide (ITU). By end of 2013:– 2.7 billion people (39% of world population) on
line– Internet access limited in emerging economies
• 77% of population in developed countries online• 33% of Population in developing countries online
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 5
Problem
– Tourism growth to be fastest in emerging economies (Good)
– internet access limitation in emerging economies (potential bottleneck)
– Lack of quantitative eof how the digital divide relates to tourism destinations.
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 6
Introduction
• Previous research: Digital Divide in Tourism (Mingetti and Buhalis 2010)– High Digital access tourists most likely to book
holidays directly with establishments with high digital access in high digital access destinations
– High digital access destinations mostly found in developed regions.
– Destinations with high digital access more competitive than those with low digital access
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 7
Introduction
• Previous research:– The likelihood of direct online booking reduces
with the reducing digital access level of the tourist and the destination.
– The lower the destination digital access level the higher the total cost of travel due to reliance on intermediearies.
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 8
Research objective
• To test the validity of destination digital access hypothesis, not the digital access tourists.
• To establish an appropriate destination digital access evaluation tool.
• To follow robust quantitative techniques to arrive at conclusions.
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 9
Method
• Evaluation tool:– An evaluation form derived from the modified
balanced score card website evaluation tool.• Subjects for evaluation:
– Websites of National Tourism Organisations (NTO) of UNWTO member states.
• Source of Subjects– UNWTO website, members states section.
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 10
Evaluation tool
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 11
Method
• Evaluation (Primary data)– Member states were rearranged alphabetically
to diffuse the geographical grouping– Each website accessed was scored against the
presence or absence of items listed on the dichotomous website evaluation (1 /0)
– The 1’s were added to record a total score for that particular website.
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 12
Method
• Secondary Data– 2002 ITU Digital Access Index– 2004 UNCTD Digital Access Index– 2004 UNCTD Digital Connectivity Index– 2004 UNCTD Digital Diffusion Index– 2011 UNWTO Annual report– 2012 UNDP Human Development Index
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 13
Method
• Data Coding– Countries were allocated unique numerical
codes for consistency of reference between the different sources of sec0ndary data
– Categorical variables were coded 1-4 according to the country level of development category
• 1 = Low Digital Access / Low Human development• 4 = High digital Access / Very High Human
Develipment
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 14
Method
• Chi-squarer tests to on website accessibility against country’s development category
• Data description conducted on primary data• Normality tests conducted on primary data• Normality tests repeated without outliers.• Hypotheses tested (Oneway ANOVA/T-tests)• Correlation tests and regression analyses.
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 15
Evaluation Results
Table 1. Case Summary
Total High Digital Access
Upper Digital Access
Medium Digital Access
Low Digital Access
N/A
All NTO cases 255 24 52 87 82 10 Evaluated 135 12 35 54 30 4 Not Evaluated 120 12 17 33 52 6
Case not evaluated Total Cases 120 24 17 33 52 6 Not in English 53 8 10 19 14 2 Not Accessible 43 2 1 11 25 4 Other reasons 24 2 6 3 13 0
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 16
Results
Histogram of d$Total
Website Scores
Fre
qu
en
cy
10 20 30 40
01
02
03
04
0
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 17
Box Plot
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 18
Normality Test
-2 -1 0 1 2
1015
2025
3035
40
Normal Q-Q Plot
Theoretical Quantiles
Sam
ple
Qua
ntile
s
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 19
Histogram without outliers
Histogram of website scores
Website Scores
Fre
quen
cy
15 20 25 30 35 40 45
010
2030
40
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 20
Box Plot without outliers
15
20
25
30
35
40
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 21
Normality test without outliers
-2 -1 0 1 2
1520
2530
3540
Normal Q-Q Plot
Theoretical Quantiles
Sam
ple
Qua
ntile
s
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 22
Correlation
Correlation Matrix
2012 NTOs Website
Total scores
2012 UNDP Human
Development Index
2002 UN-ITU Digital
Access Index
2004 UNCTD Digital
Access Index
2004 UNCTD Digital
Connectivity Index
2004 UNCTD Digital
Diffusion Index
NTO Website scores 1.00 0.25 0.22 0.21 0.25 0.25 2012 HDI 0.25 1.00 0.69 0.85 0.77 0.83 ITU DAI 0.22 0.69 1.00 0.68 0.64 0.67 UNCTD DAI 0.21 0.85 0.68 1.00 0.87 0.94 UNCTD DCI 0.25 0.77 0.64 0.87 1.00 0.98 UNCTD DDI 0.25 0.83 0.67 0.94 0.98 1.00
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 23
Relative weights
X2012_HDI ITU_DAI_Index UNCTD_DAI UNCTD_DCI UNCTD_DDI
Relative Importance of Predictor Variables
R-Square= 0.094Predictor Variables
% o
f R-S
qu
are
05
10
15
20
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 24
High digital access destinations in well developed regions
Table 2. Digital Access destinations by Human Development Index classification
Total High Digital Access
Upper Digital Access
Medium Digital Access
Low Digital Access
N/A
All Countries 205 25 40 59 55 27 ITU DAI 178 25 40 59 55 0 UNDP HDI 187 24 39 59 55 10
UNDP HDI Categories Very High 47 24 21 0 0 2 High 47 0 18 26 1 2 Medium 47 0 0 33 11 3 Low 46 0 0 0 43 3 None 0 1 1 0 0 0
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 25
Results continued
• High digital access destinations are at the forefront of web applications development.– The Welch test results were:
• F Statistic = 4.962107; p-value = 0.004828367. • The p-value is less than 0.05.
– Each group mean was significantly higher or lower than the next group.
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 26
• High digital access destinations are at the forefront of web application in terms of design, content and production skills. – The Welch test (ANOVA) results for only the
site attractiveness factor were: • F Statistic = 2.056409; p-value = 0.1188848. • The p-value is greater than 0.05.
– The group means are not significantly different.
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 27
• Upper-digital-access destinations have good access to the web. – Out of the total of 43 NTO inaccessible website
cases:• One was from upper digital access category; • 11 were from the medium Digital Access (26%), • 25 were from low digital access category (58%).
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 28
• Upper digital access destinations have less ICT usage than high digital access destinations (UNCTD DCI)– The Welch test (T-Test) results:
• F = 67.898, P-value = 0.0000000039374. • p-value less than 0.05, the difference is significant.
– Upper digital access destinations have significantly less connectivity than high digital access destinations.
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 29
• Low digital access destinations’ websites not used directly to market destinations.– The Welch test (One way ANOVA) results for
only the marketing information factor were: • F Statistic = 3.929009; p-value = 0.01506642. The p-
value is less than 0.05. – Low digital access destinations are at the
trailing end of web marketing
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 30
• Does the digital divide affect the competitiveness of tourism destinations through their website quality?
• Do High digital access destinations have better quality websites than low digital destinations?
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 31
• The Welch test (T-Test) results were: – Total (F = 13.07, p = 0.0012)– ease of navigation (F = 9.04, p = 0.0047)– ease of contact (F = 4.06; p = 0.056)– site attractiveness (F = 2.32, p = 0.137)– marketing information (F = 11.24, p = 0.003)– trip planner assistance (F = 1.62; P = 0.221).
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 32
Conclusion
• Emerging economies have limited access to the internet.– Most websites that could not be accesses were
from the low digital access destinations• Developed countries websites are of better
quality and functionality than websites from developing countries.
ENTER 2014 Research Track Slide Number 33
Recommendations
• Websites can be hosted in areas with good internet access.
• International Hotel chains can host the websites in their corporate head office with good internet access
• Strategic alliances can be arranged between DMOs in developing countries to host their websites in developed areas.