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Presentation by Kim Geheb to the Mekong Forum on Water, Food and Energy, December 7-9, 2011
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Considerations for RBOs in light of existing and planned developments in the Mekong
Kim GehebCPWF-Mekong Basin Leader
High levels of complexity
Complexity
Diversity and variability
Scale
Competition
Uncertainty
Liu Xiaodong – Three Gorges: Newly Displaced Population, 2005
Complexity
Diversity and variability
Scale
Competition
Uncertainty
How do we manage complexity?
Strategy 1: Clear Targets
How do we manage complexity?
Strategy 2: Legal instruments
How do we manage complexity?
Strategy 3: Adaptive management
The process of management changing itself as a result of experimentation
Is the action reversible?Manage humans – not resources.
Don’t wait for science.Always employ the precautionary principle.
Learn from you’re your successes as well as you mistakes.
How do we manage complexity?
Strategy 4: Integrate
“Evolution is a tightly coupled dance, with life and the material environment as partners. From the dance emerges the entity Gaia”.
James Lovelock
“Most principles of decision-making under uncertainty are simply common sense” (Ludwig et al. 1993: 36).
Thank you for your attention!
